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Topic: Draw betting strategy - page 2. (Read 502 times)

legendary
Activity: 2604
Merit: 2353
January 19, 2024, 03:59:01 PM
#38
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading
I don't understand the point of betting on a Draw No Bet or Asian Handicap bet equivalent if you think the match will end in a draw. You will just get a refund if your main choice win, and you will have to bet on a team that you don't think will win to be able to get some winnings. If you think the winning outcome will be a draw, you should bet on draw or take a Double Chance bet at least. You can lower your stake if you think it's more risky than betting on one team and if you think you will likely lose more bets before winning one, in order to protect your bankroll. But taking draw no bets for such strategy is useless.
full member
Activity: 560
Merit: 100
Eloncoin.org - Mars, here we come!
January 19, 2024, 03:55:12 PM
#37
I can't remember when last I bet draw on my tickets, the draw options are very hard to predict.
People don't really like the draw options just as I don't like it too, but even if two strong teams are meet each other they might end the game at 0:0 score but on a second thought, there is also a possibility that one of the team might score (maybe 1:0) and this is why it is very hard for people to bet on draw matches became a lot of gamblers are there to make money and not to watch the game.
We have 50/50 chances of either succeeding or failing in the system. Money is the initiative needed to keep pushing in gambling. I'm always looking forward for good opportunities to explore and not hold back on becoming dormant in one position, because I need good results on transforming myself to milk the system. Draw betting strategy can be simple and complex depending on the gambler mindset and goal set already. We become victims of defeat when we're unable to control our motives and easily allow our desperation take over our decisions which is bad and makes us uncomfortable.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 511
January 19, 2024, 03:47:27 PM
#36
It is easy to come up with various ways to see how you can win in gambling, but the question remains, will they work out. Gambling is more of luck than any strategy. This is why you see that slot players hit the jackpot without knowing how. Gamblers win big without much skills in them. Just gamble for fun so that if your strategy did not work out, you will not become sad. On your lucky day, if you gamble, you will win, irrespective of how much that you stake with. If you want to be gambling for profit that is when, it is bad and unethical.
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1083
January 19, 2024, 03:34:01 PM
#35
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?

Specifically for sports that are being played in an open field, weather conditions might affect the gameplay.

But in terms of increasing the chance of the match ending up in a draw, we can't put that as a factor as for sure, those teams are used to playing in any weather conditions, of course not on a considered worst as I doubt the match will commence if the weather is really bad.

You already pointed out those basic approaches in making an analysis and I think you don't need any further advice. My suggestion is just simply, if your current strategy is working well and effective in the long-run, then keep on using it while trying to improve everything.
sr. member
Activity: 882
Merit: 326
January 19, 2024, 05:20:39 AM
#34
Draw games is difficult to predicts some team even scores at the dying minutes like when match is up to 90 minutes probably extra 5 to 6 minutes was given before you know it the other team will score making it 0.1, which is bad but what do we do, it gambling and we can't apportioned our blames to the game rather its our fault because we can't see the bright future of every game if it was so then it will be very hard for people lose their matches. Like you said, weather condition can actually make people lost their games against their predicted matches.

I agree with you. I would rather choose matches from unequal clubs (the strong and the weak), this gives more chances of winning even if the results are small (small odds).

In essence, in gambling, our policy is to use money in every bet. Use money that if you lose doesn't bother us (use a small balance in each bet)

The weather or seasons in each country or region are different, I think the differences in weather and seasons really influence it. This is related to the habits, endurance and adaptation of the player.
hero member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 674
January 19, 2024, 04:36:54 AM
#33
Weather conditions and games, especially in sports betting, have been talked about and argued by gamblers. When playing outdoor sports like soccer or football, bad weather like heavy rain, strong winds, or high temperatures may affect how the match is played. Due to these conditions, players might have a hard time using their strategies or generating scores.

Yes agree with this those games is vary in the weather conditions cause these games like soccer football and even baseball is held on the open court so like what you said above if there's an heavy rains then they will be not continued praying cause it will affect the players strategy and and techniques also as on heavy winds and hot condition. Anyways if the weather is in normal then it will be a good plays to watch.

But the problem is that weather conditions cannot be predicted easily, although in principle it can, but some weather conditions do not match the initial prediction, like that when it comes to nature, although yes when it rains heavily the match will be very difficult to create goals or points, so we have to have a draw in case of heavy rain like that, but what if the weather changes in the middle of the game, and we basically still have to gamble before the game to get big odds. This would be much more difficult in my opinion.

I think more people gamble and watch the game when it's normal rather than betting on weather that might be wrong. picking a draw in a game during extreme weather is difficult too.
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1298
Lightning network is good with small amount of BTC
January 19, 2024, 04:07:07 AM
#32
This strategy may work sometimes, but it cannot work all the time, this is something that gamblers must understand, a prediction could tick all the boxes in your head, but when the teams go out to play, you find out how wrong you were. I don't go too deep into strategies like this and i usually pick the odds for a draw when two big teams who are fighting for something face each other, i.e. when they are both in the title race. I also go for a draw when two teams at the bottom of the table face each other, i.e. teams battling for survival from relegation.
You are not wrong that this type of game is not easy to predict as draw. I do not take this type of game at all. I go for better ones like win. What most people do not know is that the odds are not easy, and they can just likely to be losing more than winning. I lost so much in fall ball betting like this, which makes me start to prefer live matches. Live matches is also risky, but better than betting before a match started. Draw, win or draw, draw no bet, all I do not choose. I have chosen draw no bet and win or draw before several times, but they are not good as they seem at all. Taking draw has the highest odds among the three, but also not good at all.
sr. member
Activity: 1148
Merit: 346
January 18, 2024, 10:14:09 AM
#31
Weather conditions and games, especially in sports betting, have been talked about and argued by gamblers. When playing outdoor sports like soccer or football, bad weather like heavy rain, strong winds, or high temperatures may affect how the match is played. Due to these conditions, players might have a hard time using their strategies or generating scores.

Yes agree with this those games is vary in the weather conditions cause these games like soccer football and even baseball is held on the open court so like what you said above if there's an heavy rains then they will be not continued praying cause it will affect the players strategy and and techniques also as on heavy winds and hot condition. Anyways if the weather is in normal then it will be a good plays to watch.
legendary
Activity: 3164
Merit: 1127
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 18, 2024, 10:07:38 AM
#30
In my opinion, the "draw no bet" market is not advantageous for me, because it has been a market with very low odds, something that does not pay off, and if the person makes a multibet bet and puts the draw no bet on that multibet bet, the The risk of losing every bet is very high, which is why I have chosen to place bets on markets other than draw bets, corners, cards and simple bets with low odds such as below 2.00, because betting on games with low odds is not profitable long-term. in my opinion when people want to help with the knowledge and experience they have acquired from gambling. It is always better that they post proof that they are doing well in gambling so that people will believe in that advice

I know the post is well intentioned, but as there are no photos of your bets it is difficult for anyone to believe that you are placing sports bets, see that you are not obliged to post proof and people are not obliged to believe you either. I'm just saying that if you had posted photos of some of your bets on this draw no bet market it would be something that would take the discussion to a high level, because we would all be seeing to what extent this draw no bet market was useful or useless for you. In my case, as I said before, I don't bet on this draw market because it has very low odds. but for those people who like this draw market in betting, I just advise that regardless of the market you choose to bet on, always choose games with good odds if they are simple bets
legendary
Activity: 2422
Merit: 1451
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 17, 2024, 06:54:58 PM
#29
I think bookies overcompensate for the possibilities of a draw by giving it super low payouts, even if it's extremely unlikely to happen.
Let's say if a draw in a completely theoretical scenario had a 1/3 chance of occuring, if the bookie didn't care about his profit he would offer 3.0 odds. But we usually see odds like 1.9... which is a crazy high devistion from a realistically rewarding scenario.

It's only kn very rare occasions that strategically betting on a draw makes sense.

These occasions include if for instance you had already bet on a match for one team to win but for some reason the odds for a draw went up too much. On that case you can also place a small bet on the draw to secure profits in case of either draw or your team winning.

The other scenario is if punters are extremely divided on either team winning and therefore gave put the odds for a draw very high. But bookies rarely allow draw odds to go very high.

Overall I don't think there are many valid bet on draw strategies due to how bookies deal with odds. Unless the strategy involves changing stakes based on live results and renewed odds.
hero member
Activity: 1652
Merit: 518
OrangeFren.com
January 17, 2024, 05:38:57 PM
#28
The draw is the most difficult result to achieve and even in those leagues you are referring to here things have changed quite a bit.In Spain Segunda for example as I have not followed the other leagues draws are becoming rare as I see the top teams fighting for a spot in La Liga winning or losing games.I know that when we place draws we start advantaged as the games start 0-0 but most of the time that result ends and changes.

The draw is not the difficult one,it was the most desired one.Because sometimes it is hard to accept the loss in the gambling site,instead the draw will save your loss.The gambling people mostly get satisfied with the result of winning or draw,because the game loss is not the desired to any gamblers.If the gamblers play the game with the motive of entertainment,they never expect the income from the usage of the gambling sites.The gamblers should use the free money to play in the gambling site,because the loss should not affect the gamblers in the real life,So the gamblers should play the game with gambling responsibility.
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 520
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 17, 2024, 05:11:28 PM
#27
When it comes to this kind of betting, my most fovarite becomes American women league's, this league's happens to be one of the league's with the highest registered goals scores, this is because of the statistics that is available and how much amount of goals accumulations their already recorded on each matches.
Most times, I prefer to bet on them during the halftime and when both clubs/teams already made multiple goals scores, this way I can easily make the predictions and if the match happens to be around a draw goals that time, I may choose draw and most times I have recorded alot of winnings from following that pattern, but like I said this is only practiced with American women league's.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 509
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 17, 2024, 05:05:41 PM
#26
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading
Your tips are really helpful and will really help a good gambler stay responsible gambling and as it regards the weather conditions it does have effect on the out come nof games because the condition of the weather do have effect on the players and it will affect their performance in a away or the other just like nit did in the world cup at quatar.

The weather at Qatar was at some point really hot that they have to take breaks on the pitch to at some point rehydrate and get back on the pitch playing. It's also important to know that following all that you did stated so far still doesn't guarantee wins or that the game will turn out  in your favour but it only puts you at an advantage to winning and help you stay responsible gambling more like a guide to helping you stay responsible gambling outside all that you can still add discipline and good statistical analysis.
full member
Activity: 448
Merit: 163
January 17, 2024, 04:44:48 PM
#25
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams
You are right, mate, however not all the time some of your suggestions may work because gambling is something that you most think about and comprehend before predicting any matches. At times, we can state that betting on a draw is highly risky, but in some situations where two good teams are confronting each other, what will survive you is to play a draw.

Some people play a lot of games in the hopes of winning a lot of money when they put in a small amount of money, which is a very difficult strategy to implement. How is it possible to play almost 20 games with a stake of only 200 Naira and expect to win all of them? Wouldn't it be better to play only two games with a stake of 1000 Naira and wait for what to happen.
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 1089
January 17, 2024, 01:27:00 PM
#24
This strategy may work sometimes, but it cannot work all the time, this is something that gamblers must understand, a prediction could tick all the boxes in your head, but when the teams go out to play, you find out how wrong you were. I don't go too deep into strategies like this and i usually pick the odds for a draw when two big teams who are fighting for something face each other, i.e. when they are both in the title race. I also go for a draw when two teams at the bottom of the table face each other, i.e. teams battling for survival from relegation.
legendary
Activity: 2548
Merit: 1009
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 17, 2024, 12:52:56 PM
#23
You can do it your way, and there is absolutely nothing against it. Honestly, I don't know whether what you post in this thread is the result of your experience and combining it with all the information and insights you get. including references from experts, whether it be knowledge of the art of betting and also in observing sports activities. however, some of the points you said could be useful for the community, especially those interested in sports betting. however, there are several points that are based on your personal assumptions, especially point 5. for me, the important thing is that we really know the league, avoid something we don't know at all. Ideally, betting on top leagues is easier for us to research and analyze. why, because we can get a lot of information quickly, including predictions presented by several sites. for me, it is very helpful and at least gives an idea of ​​​​the match in progress. even though in reality, everything boils down to predictions, that's why we do it to minimize losses. Well, let me add a tip that I always do. In essence, the essence is the same as point 3. However, don't be too greedy to bet by choosing lots of matches, because this will obviously only reduce our chances of winning. 1 or 2 single bets, that's enough. even if more, maybe 3 to complement it. try to choose a decent ospi, whether it's 1×2, Under/Over or something else and so on. If you are interested in multinet or parlay options, try with a small bankroll. because the probability of winning is very slim. As for the weather factor, let's look at the league first. some are influential, some are not. But in reality, professional athletes have been tested in various fields, they only need to adapt. Finally, bet with our abilities.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 337
January 17, 2024, 12:25:08 PM
#22
I can't remember when last I bet draw on my tickets, the draw options are very hard to predict.
People don't really like the draw options just as I don't like it too, but even if two strong teams are meet each other they might end the game at 0:0 score but on a second thought, there is also a possibility that one of the team might score (maybe 1:0) and this is why it is very hard for people to bet on draw matches became a lot of gamblers are there to make money and not to watch the game.
full member
Activity: 658
Merit: 172
January 17, 2024, 11:58:23 AM
#21
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
When two defensive teams play against each other, the chances of goals still scored in the game is more than 25% to me because teams that have very good defensive record are always very aware when they play against strong and big teams, but against small and teams like them, they loose their guard and may become more likley to errors and defensive mistakes.

4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
When you're making your analysis of a game you look at the nationality of the players that make up the team if it's a club football and then you judge from the continent, if these players are from continent where people are easily able to adapt and adjust to terrible or harsh weather conditions. A team with players who have an origin from continent where they are strong and easily can adapt to harsh weather conditions has a higher chance of winning games than a team with players from continent where the people there are soft and easily affected by weather conditions.
hero member
Activity: 1456
Merit: 608
Vave.com - Crypto Casino
January 17, 2024, 11:26:09 AM
#20
The draw is the most difficult result to achieve and even in those leagues you are referring to here things have changed quite a bit.In Spain Segunda for example as I have not followed the other leagues draws are becoming rare as I see the top teams fighting for a spot in La Liga winning or losing games.I know that when we place draws we start advantaged as the games start 0-0 but most of the time that result ends and changes.
When two equally strong teams are played against each other, the match is likely to be a draw, but a draw is rare these days. I have predicted a few matches that will be drawn but those matches were not drawn and won by one of the teams with unbelievable scores. Every team starts playing with the hope of winning the match with their best efforts and these days it is more and more noticeable that the draws are disappearing in the matches.
hero member
Activity: 3038
Merit: 634
January 17, 2024, 11:18:56 AM
#19
I rarely bet with draw because in esports, there's no draw at most times unless the series is just best of 2 and that's the only time that draw is possible.

Although on that phase of the tournament, draw is very possible. It is what I am avoiding because it's hard to get onto those phase when most teams aren't serious and are on experimental mode.

I guess it's the same reason for the other sports where draw is possible and bettors might bet on it but on a very rare case.
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