3W-1L +1.523 units
Total: 139W-113L +4.942 units
Also, had a pretty decent day yesterday, with NiP taking down Empire as a big underdog, but forums were down so no picks posted :|
Topic: ◢◤ e-SPORT ◢◤ picks ►►► (+54.99 units) - page 43. (Read 60392 times)
Results
3W-1L +1.523 units
Total: 139W-113L +4.942 units
Also, had a pretty decent day yesterday, with NiP taking down Empire as a big underdog, but forums were down so no picks posted :|
3W-1L +1.523 units
Total: 139W-113L +4.942 units
Also, had a pretty decent day yesterday, with NiP taking down Empire as a big underdog, but forums were down so no picks posted :|
Jan 23 picks
Will post results of prev. day soon.
Will post results of prev. day soon.
New pick
Dota 2 - Esportal Dota 2 League
Dota 2 - Esportal Dota 2 League
Jan 21 picks
Dota 2
Dota 2
Interesting line movement.
Peculiar stuff - here is my pick from the Jan 17 (you can scroll up a bit and find it)
And this is how the line looks now -
Intriguing, isnt it? I still stand by my pick, and think its a ridiculously good of a value bet @these odds. There were no new results//rumours, or any new information to fuel this line movement at all, so to me it looks like someone thought bookmakers made a blunder and gave away very good odds on the "favorite". Usually i dont pay much attention to line movements, because over the long run it negates the time it was 'wrong', and one thing is certain - blindly following the movement wont make you money. And guessing which time is which is not a good investment of the time in this field, in my opinion.
In any case, this will be the match to pay attention to. Not particularly interested in the overall result, but more like how close it will be, and how exactly will it play out.
Peculiar stuff - here is my pick from the Jan 17 (you can scroll up a bit and find it)
And this is how the line looks now -
Intriguing, isnt it? I still stand by my pick, and think its a ridiculously good of a value bet @these odds. There were no new results//rumours, or any new information to fuel this line movement at all, so to me it looks like someone thought bookmakers made a blunder and gave away very good odds on the "favorite". Usually i dont pay much attention to line movements, because over the long run it negates the time it was 'wrong', and one thing is certain - blindly following the movement wont make you money. And guessing which time is which is not a good investment of the time in this field, in my opinion.
In any case, this will be the match to pay attention to. Not particularly interested in the overall result, but more like how close it will be, and how exactly will it play out.
He-he, seems the match was, indeed, fixed. The result was canceled by all the bookies.
-1L +0.45 units
Total: +3.87 units
Results
3W-6L -2.757 units
Total: 136W-113L +3.419 units
3W-6L -2.757 units
Total: 136W-113L +3.419 units
Jan 20 picks
Dota 2 - JoinDota League
Dota 2 - JoinDota League
Interesting line movement.
Peculiar stuff - here is my pick from the Jan 17 (you can scroll up a bit and find it)
And this is how the line looks now -
Intriguing, isnt it? I still stand by my pick, and think its a ridiculously good of a value bet @these odds. There were no new results//rumours, or any new information to fuel this line movement at all, so to me it looks like someone thought bookmakers made a blunder and gave away very good odds on the "favorite". Usually i dont pay much attention to line movements, because over the long run it negates the time it was 'wrong', and one thing is certain - blindly following the movement wont make you money. And guessing which time is which is not a good investment of the time in this field, in my opinion.
In any case, this will be the match to pay attention to. Not particularly interested in the overall result, but more like how close it will be, and how exactly will it play out.
Peculiar stuff - here is my pick from the Jan 17 (you can scroll up a bit and find it)
And this is how the line looks now -
Intriguing, isnt it? I still stand by my pick, and think its a ridiculously good of a value bet @these odds. There were no new results//rumours, or any new information to fuel this line movement at all, so to me it looks like someone thought bookmakers made a blunder and gave away very good odds on the "favorite". Usually i dont pay much attention to line movements, because over the long run it negates the time it was 'wrong', and one thing is certain - blindly following the movement wont make you money. And guessing which time is which is not a good investment of the time in this field, in my opinion.
In any case, this will be the match to pay attention to. Not particularly interested in the overall result, but more like how close it will be, and how exactly will it play out.
By the way, after today's 9 picks, it will be exactly 1 month since i've started to post the picks. It's really just an arbitary number that people pay attention way too much in betting. However, it will be still nice to avoid breaking the streak of never having a losing month (as long as volume is meaningfull, of course).
Jan 20 picks
Today's quick result
1W-0L +0.3435 units
Total: 133W-107L +6.175 units
1W-0L +0.3435 units
Total: 133W-107L +6.175 units
Results
2W-2L +0.403 units
Total: 132W-107L +5.832 units
2W-2L +0.403 units
Total: 132W-107L +5.832 units
Quick pick for today
Picks for Jan 23
Also, the small update with the results is coming soon
Also, the small update with the results is coming soon
More picks for Jan19
Jan 17 results
1W-3L -0.831 units
Total: 130W-105L +5.429 units
1W-3L -0.831 units
Total: 130W-105L +5.429 units
Jan 19-20 Starcraft2 picks
Seems like a couple of starcraft2 matches from Jan 16 got delayed and canceled(TY-Bomber, Yonghwa-Dream). Thats a little bit annoying, missing 2 value bets that had their lines moved quite a bit after i made the pick.
So at the moment there are no 'pending' bets, except my picks for Jan 17.
So at the moment there are no 'pending' bets, except my picks for Jan 17.
Jan 17 picks
Jan 16 Results
6W-2L +4.769 units
Total: 129W-102L +6.260 units
Pretty interesting day. I think the oddmakers were not the brightest this time, and made tons of mistakes with the odds @Dota2. The public also moved the lines into the wrong direction by betting on the "favorites", so that was a nice bonus. Some matches were a clear value bets, but Fire vs Hellraisers was a rare case of oddmakers misjudging the favorite and the underdog(giving a favorite +271 odds). I was even considering betting something like 3-5 units in that case, but decided to stay disciplined.
In the end a perfect dota2 day. The 'underdogs' (who were not really dogs) did prevail.
Moving to Starcraft2 , Taeja losing to herO was not super unexpected, it was a razor-thin value bet. However, the Curious-Terminator loss was somewhat frustrating, because Curious had the game won, but choked by making a clear rookie mistake and ended up snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. This should've been another +1 unit profit, making it a +6.75 units day. But this happens too often to get mad about it.
6W-2L +4.769 units
Total: 129W-102L +6.260 units
Pretty interesting day. I think the oddmakers were not the brightest this time, and made tons of mistakes with the odds @Dota2. The public also moved the lines into the wrong direction by betting on the "favorites", so that was a nice bonus. Some matches were a clear value bets, but Fire vs Hellraisers was a rare case of oddmakers misjudging the favorite and the underdog(giving a favorite +271 odds). I was even considering betting something like 3-5 units in that case, but decided to stay disciplined.
In the end a perfect dota2 day. The 'underdogs' (who were not really dogs) did prevail.
Moving to Starcraft2 , Taeja losing to herO was not super unexpected, it was a razor-thin value bet. However, the Curious-Terminator loss was somewhat frustrating, because Curious had the game won, but choked by making a clear rookie mistake and ended up snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. This should've been another +1 unit profit, making it a +6.75 units day. But this happens too often to get mad about it.
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