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Topic: Economic Devastation - page 62. (Read 504811 times)

hero member
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JAYCE DESIGNS - http://bit.ly/1tmgIwK
August 16, 2015, 03:50:30 PM

One of your errors is to assume that the increases in productivity that lower prices for everyone are most harmful to the poor. In fact, the poor spend the greatest % of their income on basic necessities of life which you admitted. You assume that deflation due to increases in productivity are causing the poor to lose manual labor jobs and thus impoverishing them. Realize that these poor need to uplift their children with education so their children can be Knowledge Age workers and earn $200,000 a year fresh out of college working for Google.

No you misunderstand me again, I agree with you on that. I`m Austrian Economist, not Keynesian.

What I ment by that is that this is only temporary, and when the crash happens it will be reversed: stocks crash & food prices go up, so either it's postponed indefinitely (which is impossible)

Or you make a system without debt based ponzi schemes, that will achieve this, in a more sustainable and risk free way.


But due to the welfare state financed with debt, many people don't bother to act wisely and get the right kind of STEM fields education. Debt causes the "poor" to become fat and lazy.

And so when the debt collapse comes and the government must cull the fat and lazy, then everyone gets what they deserve.

The amazing aspect of this shift into a Knowledge Age, is that knowledge creation mostly can't be financed. Sure you can dangle a little bit of money in front a programmer and it might entice him to work on a project. But the best ones are going to work on what is interesting as a first and primary consideration. Because they can already earn more $ than they really need to be happy, so it more about choosing work that makes them feel happy.

I could probably say a lot more to make some better points, but I am very sleepy. Try reading my essay which I linked in the prior post.

This is what I was telling you, that wealth is not necessarly opportunity based (we need to help the poor with welfare because they have less oportunity) but rather intelligence based.

So basically 3 futures can exist:

1) 1-2% of the population with IQ over 140, and the wealthiest, will provide the goods & services in the more and more complex economy, the manual labour will be achieved by robots, and the rest of the people 98%, will be on permanent welfare like some freeloaders, in a massive socialist economy

2) The elite will do eugenics, and will wipe out the low IQ people with war,plague or else, and reduce the world population to a very very small level, and only keep the high IQ people alive.

3) The economy will be reset, everybody loses all their money, and we start over, but soon enough the high IQ people will again emerge wealthy even with equal opportunities, and the same shit starts again.


I`d prefer 3) but i think 1) is the most likely outcome unfortunately. I also think that if 1) will become true then it's only a matter of time until the elite will become fed up with so many freeloaders so 1) will become 2) in a matter of years.

sr. member
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August 16, 2015, 03:36:16 PM
RealBitcoin you are not entirely incorrect in the sense that a debt based fractional reserve financial system enriches the capitalists who hoard monetary capital and political power (capture of the State).

One of your errors is to assume that the increases in productivity that lower prices for everyone are most harmful to the poor. In fact, the poor spend the greatest % of their income on basic necessities of life which you admitted. You assume that deflation due to increases in productivity are causing the poor to lose manual labor jobs and thus impoverishing them. Realize that these poor need to uplift their children with education so their children can be Knowledge Age workers and earn $200,000 a year fresh out of college working for Google.

You see Knowledge Age work is lucrative, challenging, fun, creative and manual labor is slavery, drudgery, inhumane, and poverty.

So removing manual labor jobs is a positive event, because it lowers costs and enables more people to spend on education.

But due to the welfare state financed with debt, many people don't bother to act wisely and get the right kind of STEM fields education. Debt causes the "poor" to become fat and lazy.

And so when the debt collapse comes and the government must cull the fat and lazy, then everyone gets what they deserve.

The amazing aspect of this shift into a Knowledge Age, is that knowledge creation mostly can't be financed. Sure you can dangle a little bit of money in front a programmer and it might entice him to work on a project. But the best ones are going to work on what is interesting as a first and primary consideration. Because they can already earn more $ than they really need to be happy, so it more about choosing work that makes them feel happy.

I could probably say a lot more to make some better points, but I am very sleepy. Try reading my essay which I linked in the prior post.

Edit: regarding your recent post (which I wasn't replying to above), you put too much emphasis on IQ and not enough emphasis on the fact that debt and welfare makes people unmotivated. Many people have a creative knowledge attribute regardless of their test score on an IQ test. Let me quote for you from one of my essays:

http://unheresy.com/Information%20Is%20Alive.html#Algorithm_!=_Entropy

Quote from: myself
Every possible model of the brain will lack the fundamental cause of human creativity— every human brain is unique. Thus each of billions of brains is able to contemplate possibilities and scenarios differently enough so that it is more likely at least one brain will contemplate some unique idea that fits each set of possibilities at each point in time.
hero member
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JAYCE DESIGNS - http://bit.ly/1tmgIwK
August 16, 2015, 03:27:10 PM
Common people's products go down in price (deflation in the poor strata)

RealBitcoin, you act as if manual labor is a nirvana that people should want to retain. Your understanding is entirely incorrect just like most goldbugs you are clueless. You have a lot to learn and the process of admitting you've been totally lied to, is not going to be an easy adjustment for you. Let me think about how I can efficiently give you an education in economics. I will post again shortly.

Haha, I searched Google and my essay from the opening post of this thread is the first listing!

https://www.google.com/search?q=repetitive+manual+labor+is+does+not+use+the+brain

Demise of Finance, Rise of Knowledge - Cool Page

Quote
Manual labor refers to repetitive physical movements that do not use the brain creatively— labor without knowledge creation. As mankind has progressed ...

Then you misunderstood me, I know exactly what i`m talking about, and you misquoted me i think you referred to this:
Quote
(except that jobs also evaporate in the process and taxes rise)

Which is a danger to society, yes manual jobs need to evaporate with technology but here is the catch.

80% of the population has an IQ under 105 , how are you going to put these people in high mental capacity requiring jobs when most of them are braindead monkeys. Most people work with their hands and not with their brain , because they don't have one.



It would be the optimal society if everybody would be an office worker, or a self-employed entrepreneur, and the manual labour would be done by robots, BUT 80% of the people can't even tie their shoelaces without welfare and government oversight over their jobs, so it's highly unlikely that they fit for the entrepreneur job.




So what 1% of the people would be the employees and 99% would be welfare freeloader parasites, is that your dream economy? (because the 99% either dont have the capital or the intelligence to create jobs, even for themselves in this future of yours)

sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
August 16, 2015, 03:15:46 PM
Common people's products go down in price (deflation in the poor strata)

RealBitcoin, you act as if manual labor is a nirvana that people should want to retain. Your understanding is entirely incorrect just like most goldbugs you are clueless. You have a lot to learn and the process of admitting you've been totally lied to, is not going to be an easy adjustment for you. Let me think about how I can efficiently give you an education in economics. I will post again shortly.

Haha, I searched Google and my essay from the opening post of this thread is the first listing!

https://www.google.com/search?q=repetitive+manual+labor+is+does+not+use+the+brain

Demise of Finance, Rise of Knowledge - Cool Page

Quote
Manual labor refers to repetitive physical movements that do not use the brain creatively— labor without knowledge creation. As mankind has progressed ...
hero member
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JAYCE DESIGNS - http://bit.ly/1tmgIwK
August 16, 2015, 02:52:30 PM
It won't too long from now that physically manufactured items will be nearly free.

This is already true. Look you can go into a dollar store (or other efficient distributor) and buy thousands of manufactured items that used to have 1+ orders of magnitude higher cost. Conversely I can not think of a single manufactured item that is an order of magnitude more expensive than it used to be. Not even one.

This is only not glaringly obvious due to the (reverse?) boiled frog effect.

Well its divergent, unfortunately with keynesian economics, inflation diverges.

Common people's products go down in price (deflation in the poor strata)
Rich people's products go up in price (inflation for investors & speculators)

This looks nice and shiny (except that jobs also evaporate in the process and taxes rise), but when the next collapse hits it will reverse.

There will be deflation for stock markets, and bonds, and other financial instruments, and massive inflation for food, clothes and other. Thats why you see so many central bankers crying that there is not enough inflation, because they refer to the inflation of their own instruments a.k.a stock market pumping and bond pumping
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
August 16, 2015, 01:22:48 PM
Since what other (financial) merit can a person have other than run a succesful business and become rich?

Already having substantive quantities of capital (or the rhetoric [and/or violence] to convince others to ensure the person does).

What you are really talking about here is "accessing your own value". We can save america without rhetoric or violence, it just takes the knowledge to see what exactly has happened to the money system, and to consider that no one can (lawfully) force you to use the debt-money system, so there must be an alternative!

Those of us in the US may have a solution...

It is called "a new currency"!

https://iuvdeposit.wordpress.com/2014/03/10/indorsed-bill-remedy/
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
August 16, 2015, 01:05:18 AM
Gold simply does not back anything any more because it no longer correlates to the intangible knowledge that is valuable in an era where knowledge moves the economy.

Semi-/precious metals and stones (e.g., rose, white, and yellow gold and diamonds) are "standard of [metallurgical and geological, respectively] beauty," and beautifulness is "intangible knowledge" (TPTB_need_war) (i.e., knowledge).

And a miniscule (and shriveling in terms of relative growth) portion of the intangible knowledge economy.

Relative size is an important concept in economics, as well as scalability and relative rates of growth.

And that 'beauty' attribute is not the attribute that historically imparted most of the value to gold. Rather gold was a more rare, compact, fungible, durable physical representation of physical value in a physical economy where trade of physical objects was the major aspect of the economy. It was like packing a bunch of land into a compact, transportable form. Whereas if you review my essay linked from the opening post of this thread, I argue that knowledge creation is accretive, spontaneous, and the property of the creator, thus it can't be tied to money or physical value. Knowledge creation is like an end-to-end principled network in that middle men (Theory of the Firm) can only obstruct it.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
Knowledge could but approximate existence.
August 15, 2015, 06:56:39 PM
Gold simply does not back anything any more because it no longer correlates to the intangible knowledge that is valuable in an era where knowledge moves the economy.

Semi-/precious metals and stones (e.g., rose, white, and yellow gold and diamonds) are "standard of [metallurgical and geological, respectively] beauty," and beautifulness is "intangible knowledge" (TPTB_need_war) (i.e., knowledge).
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
Knowledge could but approximate existence.
August 15, 2015, 06:38:28 PM
There is also the dictatorial rule, which is not necessarly plutocratic(feudal, noble republic ancestors) , based on the absolute rule of 1 individual or a small group of individuals. This differs from plutocracy in the sense that it's not wealth oriented, it's power oriented, absolute domination (soviet union ,etc.)

Josef Stalin's "standard of living" was substantially "higher" than that of those Soviets which endured the Holodomor.


I`d prefer a decentralized capitalism model, where everyone could have enough money to prosper, but not enough money to subjugate his fellow men. And since the majority of people would have equal wealth and the rich would be only richer by x50 or maybe x100 but not by x100000000 as it is now, so the income and wealth gap would be smaller.

If wealth would be correctly distributed, by merit of each individual (and not by blindless socialist redistribution which goes to the most unproductive), is by definition a free market capitalism.
(Colorization mine.)


2. Earth humans act to secure resources for themselves by, like chimpanzees, denying them to others. However, anyone that can set the "sendfreetransactions" option in "bitcoin.conf" and enter "sendtoaddress [one's GEC address] [an amount exceeding one's GEC balance]" into the debugging window of Bitcoin Core for Writcoin™ could mint quintillions of coins to themselves (and/or others) if they so wished. Accordingly, since exclusion is no longer possible, the instinct should "malfunction" and, largely, fail to manifest itself.


Since what other (financial) merit can a person have other than run a succesful business and become rich?

Already having substantive quantities of capital (or the rhetoric [and/or violence] to convince others to ensure the person does).
legendary
Activity: 2968
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August 15, 2015, 06:02:00 PM
It won't too long from now that physically manufactured items will be nearly free.

This is already true. Look you can go into a dollar store (or other efficient distributor) and buy thousands of manufactured items that used to have 1+ orders of magnitude higher cost. Conversely I can not think of a single manufactured item that is an order of magnitude more expensive than it used to be. Not even one.

This is only not glaringly obvious due to the (reverse?) boiled frog effect.
hero member
Activity: 854
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JAYCE DESIGNS - http://bit.ly/1tmgIwK
August 15, 2015, 06:01:40 PM
"There are two types of [earthly governments]": plutocracies either heterarchical or hierarchical.

There is also the dictatorial rule, which is not necessarly plutocratic(feudal, noble republic ancestors) , based on the absolute rule of 1 individual or a small group of individuals. This differs from plutocracy in the sense that it's not wealth oriented, it's power oriented, absolute domination (soviet union ,etc.)

I`d prefer a decentralized capitalism model, where everyone could have enough money to prosper, but not enough money to subjugate his fellow men. And since the majority of people would have equal wealth and the rich would be only richer by x50 or maybe x100 but not by x100000000 as it is now, so the income and wealth gap would be smaller.

If wealth would be correctly distributed, by merit of each individual (and not by blindless socialist redistribution which goes to the most unproductive), is by definition a free market capitalism.

Since what other (financial) merit can a person have other than run a succesful business and become rich?
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
August 15, 2015, 05:57:38 PM

During the lost era where physical trade was the economy, precious metals represented physical value.

No one is measuring knowledge value in units of precious metals.

Gold simply does not back anything any more because it no longer correlates to the intangible knowledge that is valuable in an era where knowledge moves the economy.

Back your lost era, knowledge was less important than land ownership, number of head of cattle, etc..

Also we are in era where digital reach is ubiquitous geographically, thus there is no place to hide from the fact that governments want to be able to tax and physical gold as untraceable cash would prevent them from doing so. Thus governments will fight gold as cash and besides for the reasons I stated above, gold is not a representation of value any more in the knowledge age.

Gold is hanging on because the physical industrial age is not quite dead yet. But gold is fading fast.

The physical economy is fading away in relative value (relative to knowledge creation value). It won't too long from now that physically manufactured items will be nearly free.
sr. member
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Knowledge could but approximate existence.
August 15, 2015, 03:34:22 PM
I am a 100% hardcore pure capitalist, and I also agree that people work more and more and earn less and less, but socialism will only make things worse.


"There are two types of [earthly governments]": plutocracies either heterarchical or hierarchical.


hero member
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JAYCE DESIGNS - http://bit.ly/1tmgIwK
August 15, 2015, 02:17:05 PM




Let's fight back and win.


Ok but i dont know which one of you is the socialist, but do you guys realize that socialism will only worsten that labour compensation problem.


I am a 100% hardcore pure capitalist, and I also agree that people work more and more and earn less and less, but socialism will only make things worse.


The root cause of this issue is the money printing mechanism / overregulation. If you could liberate the economy and end money counterfeiting, then I guarantee you the chart would look like this in a few years:





sr. member
Activity: 420
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August 15, 2015, 01:07:39 PM

This chart is so sad. What happen in the past that now we have so low compensation for increased productivity? World supposed to be evolving, not devolving.
Exactly this problem is touching every major economy. And China is trying to keep it that way.

Let's fight back and win.

I use bitcoin because I want to earn anonymously online. It's also a good investment and I like low transaction fees of bitcoin

I love you because I am formerly AnonyMint and since 2013 my goal has been to add more anonymity to cryptoland. Thanks for validating my thesis about a coming glorious, anonymous Knowledge Age.

What I see people essentially saying in this thread is that Bitcoin is autonomous. They can get access to it, spend as anonymously as they take the care to obscure their IP address, and use it without any permission or without obtaining any account with some authority. In short, permission-less commerce (do what you like, no big brother with his dick up your ass!). Most of the terms above fall under the "autonomy" umbrella taxonomy.

In my case, I don't have a utility bill matching my current address because I rent. And so I can't comply with the asinine Patriot Act KYC identification requirements that exchanges and financial institutions impose. So no worries, I just go place a buy order on localbitcoins, then go deposit some cash in a local bank and I get the BTC released an hour or so later.

Later as the bankrupted Western governments start to limit more how much money you can get out per day from your ATM account (e.g. Greece is an example of what is coming to every Western nation because they are all broke), then if you are holding crypto-currency you can sidestep these restrictions.

However, do note that Bitcoin is not reliably anonymous (unless you are for example connecting via a unregistered, public WiFi connection) as your IP address can be traced back to your identity (and Tor and I2P don't really stop the national security agencies from tracking your identity on the block chain) and so the authorities will one day in the future be clawing back against you prosecuting you for violating their regulations by using Bitcoin.

This is why I (formerly username AnonyMint since 2013) support the development of altcoins with more robust built in anonymity. Many users will not appreciate the need for this until later when so many Bitcoin users are being busted for past activity all stored on the block chain.

You should understand what this productivity is made of. If we substitute one group of machines with more productive ones, why should the increase in productivity be reflected in the increase in wages?

Because knowledge creation is where all the value is added. The manufacturing is headed towards a zero margin economy.

But knowledge creation is not the same as non-supervisory compensation, right?

Agree. Knowledge creation is being held back to some extent by a $227 trillion global debt funded socialism turning into totalitarianism as a way to prevent adjustment from the Industrial Age and force an NWO eugenics outcome so the old world fat cats can retain power, because the Knowledge Age can't be financed with usury so those bastards are trying to kill it, but they will fail.
sr. member
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August 15, 2015, 01:51:40 AM
Similar employers?  Tongue

Haha yeah "we the socialist people".

He always spins the concepts in support of his "we are all in this together" and thus his proposed socialistic "solutions".

I am of course fiercely for individualism and anonymous (autonomous) commerce and end of the State.

No way I could join the banksters and investment moguls. I want to destroy their paradigm. I want to make it irrelevant to accumulate large amounts of capital. I want to make money have a high slope of declining marginal utility. In other words, more money than you can actively invest in your Knowledge Age production, will become worthless to you in a zero margin tangible world (manufactured products will be nearly free).
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
August 15, 2015, 12:24:07 AM
Philosophical hyperrealism is a contrapositive of epistemological nihilism: epistemological nihilism asserts "no [extant] thing is knowable"; philosophical hyperrealism asserts "[every extant thing] is unknowable."

Dualism is I think the more accurate term similar to the concept of covariance vs. contravariance in the Liskov Substitution Principle or inductive vs. co-inductive structures in math and logic.

For example in Haskell, the top of all of the types is _|_ (Bottom, i.e. it is all types simultaneously!) whereas in most computer languages the top of all types is Any (it can be any type), i.e. when you cast to (void *) in C.

To express infinity in an inductive representation, you have a starting point and you enumerate an inductive operation from each point to create another point, e.g. the natural numbers are the recurrence relation:

nat = nat + 0

To express infinity in a co-inductive representation, there is an unknown ending point (that is never reached) and a function to return another point of the series. For example streams in computer science are co-inductive. You open a handle to the I/O streams and read input from it until you receive an EOF (end of file).

We hyperrealists say that we can have things, but we don't assert that we have complete control over them and we view the world as an inductive conjunction of global and local entropy. You nihilists say that we don't have any things.

So this is why you think all our efforts are in vain. But I hope you've just realized that it is just a dualism and thus you are neither more correct than we are (and vice versa). And thus the debate between you and RealBitcoin in the Economic Devastation thread about the importance of property rights.
sr. member
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August 14, 2015, 11:47:00 PM
I use bitcoin because I want to earn anonymously online. It's also a good investment and I like low transaction fees of bitcoin

I love you because I am formerly AnonyMint and since 2013 my goal has been to add more anonymity to cryptoland. Thanks for validating my thesis about a coming glorious, anonymous Knowledge Age.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
Knowledge could but approximate existence.
August 13, 2015, 03:18:08 PM
I maintain that the real cannot be known (and vice versa). Your argumentation, however, presumes that discourse could pertain to the real. We shall now, therefore, debate, indirectly, the in-/validity of philosophical realism.


I dont think its pure oligarchy, as pure oligarchy would be business oriented, while this system is more theft oriented and pleasing the masses.

(Conception deprives one of that which accompanies antithetical-thereto non-conception.)

Quote from: Martin Gilens, Benjamin I. Page. "Testing Theories of American Politics: Elites, Interest Groups, and Average Citizens." _Perspectives on Politics_ (2014). 576. Web. 22 July 2015.
What do our findings say about democracy in America? They certainly constitute troubling news for advocates of “populistic” democracy, who want governments to respond primarily or exclusively to the policy preferences of their citizens. In the United States, our findings indicate, the majority does not rule—at least not in the causal sense of actually determining policy outcomes. When a majority of citizens disagrees with economic elites or with organized interests, they generally lose. Moreover, because of the strong status quo bias built into the U.S. political system, even when fairly large majorities of Americans favor policy change, they generally do not get it.

Plutocracy (which is not, necessarily, oligarchy) "would [not] be business oriented" (RealBitcoin), for "business" (RealBitcoin) is competitive and would, necessarily, jeporadize the political status of a plutocrat (which derives authority from wealth).


Yea but we have to adhere to concepts even if they dont exist in real world. I could say that you don't exist because you are just a collection of cells, and you don't exist as a human.

If one should discuss it, it should prove non-veridical. It should also, however, persist within its conception.


Because even a vicous ruler realizes that the longterm benefits overwegith the short one. It's immediate profit if you rob a farm owner of all his crops.
But if you rob him only 1% every year, you get more from him long term, plus he wont rebell against you.

If the farmer could so "rebell " (RealBitcoin) the "ruler" (username18333) would not be a "violence monopolist" (username18333) (emphasis added).


Art like gladiator slaves fighting in a colosseum? That was art once.

Not only do trees not combat each other "in a colosseum" (RealBitcoin), but even bonobos do not do that.


Yes they do because some level or organization is always needed in society.

A "need[]" (RealBitcoin) for food does not equate to the like for caviar. Likewise, "some level or organization is always needed in society" (RealBitcoin) "does not equate to the like for" (username18333) "skyscrapers[] and massive projects" (RealBitcoin).


Thats why judges exist that define the limits of the rights and obligations. Of course with the advent of blockchain technologies, arbitrariness becomes less and less necessary, and things become more and more well-defined.

Knowledge is contrived, and the contrived is arbitrary categorically; therefore, both any and every constituent thereof is so arbitrary.


Thats not all true, I say again, the top 0.001% elite hardly governs actively, they are more passive governing, and only care about their money, and less about population politics. Which could intersect at some levels, but they rarely do.

National governments affect states and provinces without also being state and provincial governments (respectively). An international government, therefore, could affect nations "without also being" (username18333) a national government.
hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 500
August 13, 2015, 05:17:07 AM
...

Miss Fortune

In retrospect, I agree.

But, 2008 was a very scary time.  NO ONE knew what would happen.  Many of us (my self included) were very worried.

And as N. N. Taleb explains (in his masterpiece books The Black Swan and Antifragile), it is impossible to really look at the past and what might happen after certain decisions going into the future.  Like putting the milk spill back into the glass the way it was before...

A lot of statistics tell us the real devastation is near.
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