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Topic: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 416. (Read 77114 times)

legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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October 23, 2020, 06:34:46 AM
^ I am on OG today, agree with above and hopefully there will be no surprises.

I am skipping Secret game since ML odds are almost non existing and I don't like playing handicap games on Secret before finals. When they get to the final they add another level of seriousness to their draft. Until then there is always a chance they will get playful and let their opponents get one map.

copper member
Activity: 994
Merit: 100
October 23, 2020, 04:55:40 AM
[DOTA 2] Friday, October 23rd picks and bets:

Here we go. It’s time for the ESL One Germany 2020 playoffs. 8 teams advanced from the group stage to the double elimination bracket playoffs with best of 3 matches all the way to the finals (best of 5). OG and Team Secret are the first teams to face their opponents. Let’s analyse their matches and make predictions.

OG - Natus Vincere: OG ML

What an amazing start of the playoffs. The 2x TI winners will face Natus Vincere, the most legendary Dota 2 organization. OG ended their group stage run in 4th place. With 3 wins and 1 loss they showed that they are really a big contender for the title. When playing well they can surely threaten Team Secret. OG have wins vs 2 young CIS squads, Winstrike and Yellow Submarine. Both matches ended up with a clean 2-0 win for OG. They’ve got their 3rd win vs Vikin.gg, recent BTS Pro Series champions. Another 2-0 result. However, OG dropped a series to Alliance with a close 1-2 result. But that match could go either way for sure. This new Natus Vincere squad (ex FlyToMoon) ended up in 6th place in the group rankings. With 3 wins and 2 losses they needed to play 1 extra match on the final group stage day to be able to qualify for the playoffs. They’ve beat all CIS teams they faced. 2-0 vs Cyber Legacy and Winstrike and 2-1 win vs Yellow Submarine. However, in the process they’ve managed to get crushed by mudgolems with 0-2, and by Liquid with a close 1-2 score. Basically they didn’t manage to win against either of the two teams that was their direct opponent for the playoffs. I expect that OG can go really far in this competition. I can say that I expect a top 3 placement from them. They didn’t deserve anything lower than that at the moment. Their last clash vs Natus Vincere was 1 month ago in the OGA Dota Pit, where NaVi took the whole series with a 2-1 victory. Interestingly enough, I don’t think they have too big a chance here. 3 maps are possible here, but I would go for the straight winner in this case. OG have better players and with NoTail on the help, they should proceed to the next round.

Team Secret - Team Nigma: Secret -1.5

I am not sure if I’m more excited for the first or second series today in ESL One Germany. Team Secret are the undisputed rulers of the European Dota 2. The best team in Europe for a mile. 7 championships in a row in Europe made them immortal in 2020. They don’t have a proper competition in Europe as there is no team that can come close to them. Their latest tournament victories are speaking for them. Seven grand finals, seven 3-0 victories. Team Secret ended up on the 1st place in the group stage rankings and they are the only team that didn’t lose a single map. Three matches, three straight 2-0 victories. They did beat Tempo Esports, Yellow Submarine and Team Liquid. On the other side there is Team Nigma. A team that is playing with a position 5 stand-in, as their coach rmN- is still playing instead of their injured captain Kuroky. Team Nigma ended up in 7th place in the group. They barely scraped through. 5 matches in total with 3 wins and 2 losses. They’ve opened this competition with a surprising 0-2 loss vs Yellow Submarine. After that they beat the worst team in the competition, Tempo Esports. Mudgolems proved too strong for Nigma at the moment as they’ve crushed them easily with 2-0. That was a breaking point for them, as they needed 2 wins from their last 2 matches potentially. A 2-0 win vs weak Winstrike brought them another chance and deciding match vs 5men. In a very close series after losing 0-1, Team Nigma managed to overcome their opponents in the next 2 maps and they won with 2-1 in the end. Very close match which showed a lot of Nigma’s weaknesses. Secret and Nigma played each other in the Beyond Epic EU/CIS grand finals, and that was their last match. It was almost 3 months ago and Team Secret were dominant there with a 3-0 win. Worst possible option for Nigma happened - to play Team Secret in the round 1 of playoffs. Sadly, I don’t think that they have too many chances here. With a stand-in and their bad play in the group stages, this should be Team Secret’s victory. 2-0 for Team Secret is very likely here as they are just on another level, especially compared to Nigma.
newbie
Activity: 79
Merit: 0
October 23, 2020, 02:19:26 AM
Kinda bad day yesterday but at least faze won against g2, today going for:

BIG vs Heroic - MY BET

fnatic vs NiP - MY BET

North vs FaZe - MY BET

Astralis vs Vitality - MY BET

Heroic and FaZe should be rather easy bets, NiP impressed me yesterday and I think they have a chance against fnatic and odds are decent, when it comes to Astralis vs Vitality, I think both teams are great, Astralis is definitely back at their best at the moment but those Vitality odds are worth a risk imo
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1914
Shuffle.com
October 22, 2020, 08:48:08 AM
I already asked some time ago and got some generic answer like "cash out feature is still developed and not available all the time". In real life that usually translates into I can cash out only on football after the game starts and on other sports only if it is multi and some games are finishe and other did not start yet.

Cash out is without a doubt made to help the bookie and not us but I still use it sometimes and with great results so far. Usually the offered amount is very low and I decide against cashing out but here and there when I am almost certain I am loosing my ticket and they offer something somewhat decent I take it.

In the above example I would have took the cash out only if they offered 5+ mBTC.
I think they've disabled it on purpose. I remember there was a time when cash out was still available for esports but after they updated the site with the new UI it's only limited to the other sports.

Same, cashout is helpful in esports since the odds swing heavily for no reason and it's a good way to secure a nice profit if you don't want to sweat the entire series like yesterday on G2's pick when they're only ahead by 2-3 rounds in the first half the odds went as low as 1.15 then it ended 8-7.

legendary
Activity: 3136
Merit: 1176
October 22, 2020, 08:20:27 AM
Godsend vs North  Unikrn qute is for Godsend, butt im think North will win  Grin Grin
Sproud vs Heroic its clear Heroic will win is the better Team.
OG vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Normaly should ninja win, butt OG can be the underdog this dreamhack.  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
G2 Esports vs Faze thats a standart high end match in cs:go very happy to see this match today :
i dont realy now who will win its hard to say.
newbie
Activity: 79
Merit: 0
October 22, 2020, 05:00:33 AM
Won combo yesterday, today going for:

BIG vs Vitality - MY BET

OG vs NiP - MY BET

G2 vs FaZe - MY BET
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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October 21, 2020, 12:15:30 PM
Does somebody know why I can never cash out on CS games (Sportsbet)? 3rd map was train and Virtus Pro made a very nice lead 11:4 on CT side and I wanted to cash out. I knew it will get much closer before it ends and Forze managed to claw they way to 12:11 before Vpro finally winning it. Could have saved a lot of nerves if I was able to cash out.
sounds like a question for our good Sportsbet forum friend Steve. I wouldn't know cos all the esports books that i'm using don't have a cashout option, which is something that i don't use too often in bookies as it is something implemented to help the book rather than to help you, at least that's my take on it  Cheesy
I already asked some time ago and got some generic answer like "cash out feature is still developed and not available all the time". In real life that usually translates into I can cash out only on football after the game starts and on other sports only if it is multi and some games are finishe and other did not start yet.

Cash out is without a doubt made to help the bookie and not us but I still use it sometimes and with great results so far. Usually the offered amount is very low and I decide against cashing out but here and there when I am almost certain I am loosing my ticket and they offer something somewhat decent I take it.

In the above example I would have took the cash out only if they offered 5+ mBTC.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
October 21, 2020, 11:19:56 AM
OG took Mirage and they're off to a decent start on Nuke...#ComeOnOG

Unicorns of Love, i must say the Name is realy funny.
funny name, funny logo, funny team cuz they're really bad in the ESEA Season, they're sitting in #43 place in the league table

Does somebody know why I can never cash out on CS games (Sportsbet)? 3rd map was train and Virtus Pro made a very nice lead 11:4 on CT side and I wanted to cash out. I knew it will get much closer before it ends and Forze managed to claw they way to 12:11 before Vpro finally winning it. Could have saved a lot of nerves if I was able to cash out.
sounds like a question for our good Sportsbet forum friend Steve. I wouldn't know cos all the esports books that i'm using don't have a cashout option, which is something that i don't use too often in bookies as it is something implemented to help the book rather than to help you, at least that's my take on it  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 3094
Merit: 1472
October 21, 2020, 11:01:46 AM
I am really hitting CS matches lately. May it continue for a long long time.

I wanted to play on Virtus Pro today and got late when they were already 1 map down. Checked the map pool on HLTV and decided they could still win this and placed a bet with nice odds.


Does somebody know why I can never cash out on CS games (Sportsbet)? 3rd map was train and Virtus Pro made a very nice lead 11:4 on CT side and I wanted to cash out. I knew it will get much closer before it ends and Forze managed to claw they way to 12:11 before Vpro finally winning it. Could have saved a lot of nerves if I was able to cash out.

Thats a good hit on Virtus pro there considering they were 1 map down, risky but well played  Smiley. I was bit tempted to put some money on Virtus but decided to leave after Forze had a good start in first map.

I've also noticed the same about no cashout option in esports-sportsbet. Maybe their provider doesn't allows it but would be interesting to check out with stake as well since they work out with same market provider as well.
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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October 21, 2020, 10:41:18 AM
I am really hitting CS matches lately. May it continue for a long long time.

I wanted to play on Virtus Pro today and got late when they were already 1 map down. Checked the map pool on HLTV and decided they could still win this and placed a bet with nice odds.


Does somebody know why I can never cash out on CS games (Sportsbet)? 3rd map was train and Virtus Pro made a very nice lead 11:4 on CT side and I wanted to cash out. I knew it will get much closer before it ends and Forze managed to claw they way to 12:11 before Vpro finally winning it. Could have saved a lot of nerves if I was able to cash out.
legendary
Activity: 3136
Merit: 1176
October 21, 2020, 10:17:25 AM
Today go on with ESL Mastership  Grin Grin
My Prediction for this  matches, first Match should win Alternate aTTaX.
No limit Gaming is a new Team im dont realy now about this Team.
And Sproud is my Favorite for today.
Unicorns of Love, i must say the Name is realy funny.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
October 21, 2020, 07:27:39 AM
Edit : Just when I start to believe in Fnatic they go down early 7-1 in the t side then came back at the end 8-7 but it's looking like a 2-0 for Astralis.  Tongue
yep, Fnatic have a 0% winrate on Dust 2  Lips sealed but it's not like Astralis are good there, so there's a small chance for Fnatic

i only have one ticket today,

They've been playing good CS lately (except vs. Fnatic lol), while G2 have been a shaky, but just like the game against BIG the other day, i can see the french taking this match to the decider
legendary
Activity: 3094
Merit: 1472
October 21, 2020, 06:43:41 AM
The odds are too low on Astralis to win so I went with the map handicap on Fnatic they got the first pick priority and took Inferno since they're the lower seed. In their previous meeting it went to all three maps and Fnatic took down Astralis on Inferno 16-9.

Fnatic plays Inferno well. I have seen many Inferno plays and they are quite good in that but Astralis are not a bad one either so I feel like this gonna be a change here and break it for Fnatic. I have though have put my money on Astralis ML , well not much but enough to keep me hang tight and watch the match.  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1914
Shuffle.com
October 21, 2020, 06:04:37 AM
The odds are too low on Astralis to win so I went with the map handicap on Fnatic they got the first pick priority and took Inferno since they're the lower seed. In their previous meeting it went to all three maps and Fnatic took down Astralis on Inferno 16-9.

Edit : Just when I start to believe in Fnatic they go down early 7-1 in the t side then came back at the end 8-7 but it's looking like a 2-0 for Astralis.  Tongue
newbie
Activity: 79
Merit: 0
October 21, 2020, 03:12:26 AM
Good wins yesterday, especially forze vs navi, today I'm going for:

Astralis vs fnatic, NaVi vs Espada, VP vs forZE - MY COMBO BET

OG vs G2 - MY BET

Combo should be quite safe, Astralis and VP are in great form and I think that NaVi will bounce back today from yesterday's defeat against forze. When it comes to OG vs G2 imo this match will be even so I'm going for better odds betting on G2 here. GL!
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
October 20, 2020, 08:47:43 AM
Got Soma at 1.71.  The line dropped to 1.36 and feeling good rn.  Grin 
i know that feeling all right

you got any tips for the SC League Season 3 semifinal match tomorrow or you just following the ASL season10?

I'm going for Navi's map handicap @2.06 against Yellow Submarine.
gonna follow this one
btw, Nigma playing like crap vs. 5men right now,  they could get KO'd from the tourney :/
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1914
Shuffle.com
October 20, 2020, 08:02:55 AM
Today's the last day of the ESL One group stage. I'm going for Navi's map handicap @2.06 against Yellow Submarine. Both teams on a 2-2 record, Yellow Submarine got a win against Team Nigma and NiP but I still prefer Navi since their wins have been a clean 2-0 on weaker teams.



Edit : Bad draft from Navi with the Clockwerk offlane.   Undecided
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
October 20, 2020, 04:22:11 AM
Soma (Z) vs Snow (P) live in around 45 mins or so.  Got Soma at 1.71.  The line dropped to 1.36 and feeling good rn.  Grin  At least I get a win in these for once.  Lol.

Broodwar AfreecaTV Star League Season 10, Ro8 Day 2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zfXGHmBPppg
newbie
Activity: 79
Merit: 0
October 20, 2020, 02:47:54 AM
Clean 2/2 win yesterday, today I'm going for:

Vitality vs NiP - MY BET
NaVi vs forZE - MY BET
Heroic vs North - MY BET

Vitality should be an easy win while forze and North are heavy underdogs although I think those odds are definitely worth a try considering the fact that navi and heroic are definitely not at their best form at the moment
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
October 19, 2020, 11:22:28 AM
Now I have over 2.5 maps on Fnatic and BiG matches. Fnatic won their map pick and now North started with 3:0 on their map pick so I hope first game will be settled without problems.
Unfortunate. North were just trolling on Overpass, 90% of the time they had a man advantage but then bottled it, or MSL was there to help Fnatic with his crap awp shots. Another one bites the dust, another team going to my blacklist  Smiley  Off to the next match
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