Author

Topic: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 439. (Read 80314 times)

legendary
Activity: 3458
Merit: 1940
Shuffle.com
August 23, 2020, 09:12:42 AM
League playoffs is back once again, for the most part i'm betting live so I couldn't post my predictions but i'm somewhat confident on this one to hit.

Rogue to win vs Fnatic @1.67 a slot for the Worlds 2020 is on the line here. I expect Rogue to take this series as Fnatic barely made the playoffs and their performance at the end of the season wasn't convincing. Also Rogue beat Fnatic twice during the summer season. Fnatic could redeem themselves here but right now they don't look like the second best team in the league.


Edit : The series isn't over yet but this is a loss already as Rogue's execution is way too slow while Fnatic is always one step ahead. Rogue had a decent draft in the first game but couldn't stop the snowball during the early game and forced azir on all three games when it already failed in the first two games of the series.
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 2789
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
August 23, 2020, 08:17:42 AM
COL/NaVi O2.5 total odds 2.62
I got this one in a single at 1.89 odds...rule of thumb is to stay away from NaVi, but there's not much going on today, so  Roll Eyes

I have this one as well as part of multi ticket.

I just watched and lost some money on Gambit youngsters. I had them to win 2 :0 and they lost both maps easy. It seems they changed in game captain and they aren't the squad they used to be. Wish I knew that before betting  Grin
legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
August 23, 2020, 08:16:17 AM
COL/NaVi O2.5 total odds 2.62
I got this one in a single at 1.89 odds...rule of thumb is to stay away from NaVi, but there's not much going on today, so  Roll Eyes  although, Spirit vs forZe in the malta vibes could be a good match, kinda screams O2.5 maps too, doesn't it? =P

about Astralis, they're looking too good, didn't expect such a performance from them. they messed up my single ticket but Furia came in to save the day and helped me recover from the early loss https://i.ibb.co/K6L7jnB/ez4furia.png

@Globb0  no csgo today?  Shocked  GL!

haha yeah where are my 1 million parlays. What a slacker.

Ill probably get back to it tomorrow if anyone is interested.

I watch dota but in a kind of clueless state. While the commentators shout oo hes brought out the gypsy whipper and that will go great with his new boots.  Huh   Smiley

No Idea but it all looks nice when it kicks off.

I may try to start that chart tomorrow so think about your recent experiences with particular teams. Lets make a little knowledge base. I will appreciate the tips from people and use it as a cheat sheet for recent form.

I do have some ideas now, I just need to think on the format so its maintainable.


*edit*


I just watched and lost some money on Gambit youngsters. I had them to win 2 :0 and they lost both maps easy. It seems they changed in game captain and they aren't the squad they used to be. Wish I knew that before betting  Grin

Exactly this sort of thing, a warning for others
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
August 23, 2020, 08:09:06 AM
COL/NaVi O2.5 total odds 2.62
I got this one in a single at 1.89 odds...rule of thumb is to stay away from NaVi, but there's not much going on today, so (edit* oh geez, what a surprise 🤣)  although, Spirit vs forZe in the malta vibes could be a good match, kinda screams O2.5 maps too, doesn't it? =P

about Astralis, they're looking too good, didn't expect such a performance from them. they messed up my single ticket but Furia came in to save the day and helped me recover from the early loss https://i.ibb.co/K6L7jnB/ez4furia.png

@Globb0  no csgo today?  Shocked  GL!
legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
August 23, 2020, 06:46:49 AM
Im back from holiday. Nice camping in gale force winds.  Smiley

I saw lots of tents in bins.  Cheesy

Here is my Dota starter for today


legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 2061
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
August 22, 2020, 06:20:29 PM
Obviously, this will be a hard test for Astralis, but if their last performance is anything to go by, i think they can take a map. Vitality will prolly win d2 or Vertigo

Surprisingly easy one for Astralis, first 0-2 loss for Vitality since June, i had them as favorites to win the tournament, well they still can, have to beat FaZe next week in a decider match to make the playoffs, but they did not look good from the few rounds that i watched.

Let me sub my prediction for tomorrow's games real quick, i have Heroic 1.5 + COL/NaVi O2.5 total odds 2.62


hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
August 22, 2020, 04:56:33 AM
so much stuff going on today: the LPL semi final right now, then the LSC and LEC playoffs (gonna watch G2), some matches in the OMEGA league  (watch out for 5men and Vikingg, high odds for both of them), Malta Vibes and and round 2 of ESL Cologne!  Cool

well, my first ticket of the day will be Vitality - Astralis O2.5 maps. Astralis showed great teamwork in the last game vs Fnatic despite a couple of players making their debut with the danish team. Obviously, this will be a hard test for Astralis, but if their last performance is anything to go by, i think they can take a map. Vitality will prolly win d2 or Vertigo

mibr with only 6 rounds vs G2 and Evil Geniuses are on an 8 game (17 map) win streak.  Shocked
they're so bad lol
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 2061
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
August 21, 2020, 10:34:06 AM
mousesports out of ESL One Cologne after losing 0-2 to MAD Lions. Did anyone watch the game, what happened? 9 total rounds for mous, this must have been a complete beat down. I was thinking about MAD 1.5 but with all the roster changes they have i had to skip it, 0-2 was probably valued at 5/6.00 hmm

I had some luck with my 3 o'clock matches, HAVU 1.5 + FATE/Galaxy Racer O2.5


Two more games from ESL One later today, so i'm thinking FaZe -1.5 and Evil Geniuses ML
mibr with only 6 rounds vs G2 and Evil Geniuses are on an 8 game (17 map) win streak.  Shocked

edit; faze wyd?
EG with 19 consecutive maps now; woot
legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
August 21, 2020, 02:37:01 AM
I called some games right against the favourite yesterday but  they got taken out by other losses.


Here is what I have got for today. Bit of Dota and a bit of SCGO

Good luck guys

legendary
Activity: 3094
Merit: 1472
August 20, 2020, 01:16:06 PM
NiP did it 3v5 in the 54th round (4th OT) Cheesy this is probably my sweetest win ever as i had it O2.5

I originally posted (and then deleted) when the game was in second OT and NiP had a map point but failed to convert. Never post before it's all done.  Grin


NIP did a great job making comeback in BIG's map pick and Mirage. I thought it was BIG game in the beginning with BIG starting with 11 rounds straight wins against NIP's map pick - Vertigo and NIP. NIP have good coordination amongst themselves which is why I love supporting them. Also with that win BIG is eliminated from ESL One Cologne.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
August 20, 2020, 12:46:57 PM
After you wrote this I played another simple double FTM to win @ 1.64 and BIG to win 2:0 @2.6
FTM trolling in map 3 and BUG getting KO'd from ESL One...*sigh* not a good day, eh?  Sad 

NiP did it 3v5 in the 54th round (4th OT) Cheesy this is probably my sweetest win ever as i had it O2.5
nice! those OTs were so stressful to watch tho, and i didn't have this match on my tickets! can't imagine how the high rollers were feeling while watching that game Shocked  NiP looked really today, i think they can make it to the playoffs
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 2061
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
August 20, 2020, 11:09:14 AM
NiP did it 3v5 in the 54th round (4th OT) Cheesy this is probably my sweetest win ever as i had it O2.5

I originally posted (and then deleted) when the game was in second OT and NiP had a map point but failed to convert. Never post before it's all done.  Grin

What an absolute thriller that was pheww..., anyway i just wanted to say/brag that i'm 2/2 on the day, had another win on those 3 o'clock Nine to Five 3 matches, backed both underdogs to win a map, and both FATE and KOVA won their map picks.

legendary
Activity: 3094
Merit: 1472
August 20, 2020, 10:10:57 AM
oof! dev1ce vs ZywOo, comeback of the best awper in the world vs Zywho?? Vitality will be a good benchmark for Astralis to test their abilities, the game vs Fnatic doesn't count, it was child's play 🤣


Yeah Fnatic haven't been in their best form lately. But still given the previous performances and the changes they have went through i favoured Fnatic over Astralia but they did very well. Vitality on the other hand are a very good team and are currently performing good as well so yeah it will be definitely a good test for them
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 2789
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
August 20, 2020, 06:30:43 AM
anyhow, i need a change of pace so i'm gonna skip the csgo matches and focus on Dota. FlyToMoon ML https://i.ibb.co/r3BWpqC/gogo.png  odds dropped dramatically overnight, currently at 1.66. next
Now you made me play another ticket. I already have a nice multi which includes Nigma later today but I didn't have to courage to take FTM even though I thought them a good bet. After you wrote this I played another simple double FTM to win @ 1.64 and BIG to win 2:0 @2.6

Also waiting for Izako Boars to take one map but it is not gonna happen so my early CS ticket goes bye, bye.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
August 20, 2020, 06:22:11 AM
But that price boost is a thing of beauty.
indeed!

They have next match against Vitality . Zywoo vs device ,- that would be fun  Cheesy
oof! dev1ce vs ZywOo, comeback of the best awper in the world vs Zywho?? Vitality will be a good benchmark for Astralis to test their abilities, the game vs Fnatic doesn't count, it was child's play 🤣

anyhow, i need a change of pace so i'm gonna skip the csgo matches and focus on Dota. FlyToMoon ML https://i.ibb.co/r3BWpqC/gogo.png  odds dropped dramatically overnight, currently at 1.66. next edit* huh, for some odd reason, FTM decided to drop game 3 to play Fall Guys 🤔

Also, reminder: LCS playoffs are coming back today with Cloud9 - FlyQuest, anyone expecting a stop from C9 or a close match?
legendary
Activity: 3094
Merit: 1472
August 20, 2020, 03:16:23 AM
did anyone watch Astralis yesterday? they crushed Fnatic  Shocked Bubzkji was outstanding and es3tag with some great plays too, Astralis looking pretty good!

Yeah I saw that one. I like the changes in the team. Bubzkji and es3tag platted really well. Hope they can lift up the performance again. I loved the play Astralia displayed in Nuke. There was a round when these two players-Bubzkji and es3tag took won the round against 4 alone.

They have next match against Vitality . Zywoo vs device ,- that would be fun  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
August 20, 2020, 02:25:20 AM
Lots of groan for you there guys.


I was thinking about the form thing. When we are watching these games then report back here. Maybe we can collect some info like "didn't turn up" "unreliable" "frequent overtime"

Ill give it a little think, I may collect in some ideas and publish it in 1.


Here is my picks for today.


legendary
Activity: 3458
Merit: 1940
Shuffle.com
August 19, 2020, 09:57:23 AM
But that price boost is a thing of beauty. I have just took NaVi to win after loosing first map @2,91. Best regular odds I could find were 2.74. I make sure to use a boost for each sport every day. They really give you an edge. If only you could use a boost once every day instead once every 24h. For instance I used my football boost half an hour before yesterday CL match and now I have to wait until 20 minutes before today's match so I can use it again instead of placing the bet now.
I agree the price boost is really great when you're making a bet with odds that are above 2.00 and the best part is you can use it on live odds as well.

complexity please don't fuck this up, will ya? i need that 2/2
I got complexity too it's looking really close in the second map currently 13-12 with complexity losing the previous round.

On the mousesports series it might go to a third as Navi pulls ahead in the second half 10-7 atm. I got Navi to win and parlayed it on Complexity.
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 2789
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
August 19, 2020, 09:42:37 AM
That's sportsbet, right? without price boost? good odds
Unfortunately, i've decided to skip SB for esports bets a long time ago cuz of their high margins on esports when compared to esports bookies. For instance, on buffbet, map handicap margins for the upcoming 4 ESL One matches today are 5%, while on sportsbet.io they're 8%, too big a difference (as always), IMO

But that price boost is a thing of beauty. I have just took NaVi to win after loosing first map @2,91. Best regular odds I could find were 2.74. I make sure to use a boost for each sport every day. They really give you an edge. If only you could use a boost once every day instead once every 24h. For instance I used my football boost half an hour before yesterday CL match and now I have to wait until 20 minutes before today's match so I can use it again instead of placing the bet now.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
August 19, 2020, 09:20:53 AM
s0mple's team just lost map 1 to mousebots, wow  🤔


Complexity -1.5 at 1.78 odds

Are those buff.bet odds? pretty low, most other bookies have it at 1.90 (my bet)
<...>
That's sportsbet, right? without price boost? good odds
Unfortunately, i've decided to skip SB for esports bets a long time ago cuz of their high margins on esports when compared to esports bookies. For instance, on buffbet, map handicap margins for the upcoming 4 ESL One matches today are 5%, while on sportsbet.io they're 8%, too big a difference (as always), IMO

I just watched that match against Nordavind and I feel Avez is taking 3rd map easy. Too bad I can't bet on that on Stake or Sportsbet. I would go with high stake. I gad over 2.5 on that match so enough for me.
man, Nordavind looked so good in the offseason, now they're total crap, wtf?? banned from my future bet slips until they get their shit together lol  Grin
Jump to: