Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 440.

Trofo

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Quote from: Globb0 on August 19, 2020, 07:42:54 AM

Im still not really feeling Avez, Im betting against them until I see better.

I just watched that match against Nordavind and I feel Avez is taking 3rd map easy. Too bad I can't bet on that on Stake or Sportsbet. I would go with high stake. I gad over 2.5 on that match so enough for me.
It seems like I will finally cash out on some esports but still waiting for K23 to take a map from forZe. They are 12-6 up so hopefully this post will not jinx it. Of course cash out is not available. Would have taken it just now.

morvillz7z

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 19, 2020, 06:27:41 AM

Complexity -1.5 at 1.78 odds

Are those buff.bet odds? pretty low, most other bookies have it at 1.90 (my bet)
Complexity disappointed against Heroic in the DreamHack semis, but MAD losing to Nexus just last week is somewhat outrageous no matter the roster changes that they are dealing with right now.

Quote from: ralle14 on August 18, 2020, 06:47:28 PM

Hopefully tomorrow we get to see at least two favorites win. Cheesy

Complexity and G2 should win, can't say the same for NaVi, to me they are one of the most unpredictable teams out there.
FaZe vs. Heroic this game could go either way, no clear cut favorite here.

I had an early bet on Nine to Five 3, Copenhagen Flames O2.5 + ForZe -1.5

complexity please don't fuck this up, will ya? i need that 2/2

Globb0

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I backed Nordavind against Avez.

Watching that now pretty smug cos Avez lost me last few times. But its 1 all now since Nordavind just couldn't close it out at 2:0.

2 overtimes in a row so far.

Im still not really feeling Avez, Im betting against them until I see better.

tomahawk9

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did anyone watch Astralis yesterday? they crushed Fnatic Shocked

Bubzkji was outstanding and es3tag with some great plays too, Astralis looking pretty good!

couple of tickets today: Complexity -1.5 at 1.78 odds (mad lions without Bubzkji are looking pretty bad atm, seems like they need more time for everyone to be in the wavelenght). FaZe - Heroic O2.5 maps at 1.95

Quote from: morvillz7z on August 18, 2020, 04:39:57 PM

Furia - having a hard time, lost the opening map and playing catch up as we speak

coulda been a 2/2 wins for me yesterday but i underestimated Chaos...not a great start for Furia Undecided

Globb0

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I have scaled it back today, lots of smaller ones back to winning please.

Oh yeah who said my parlays are hard to follow if they won or not? Ill have a think about a better way to show it or a summary view or something.

ralle14

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Quote from: morvillz7z on August 18, 2020, 04:39:57 PM

Fnatic (slight advantage odds wise) - lost
Furia - having a hard time, lost the opening map and playing catch up as we speak

I had bets on these two, both had a good chance to take their map pick but couldn't close it in round 30 then it went to overtime and everything is just going the way of the other team.

Maybe it's just underdogs stepping up as there's more circuit points on the line. This reminds me of that previous tournament when mousesports still had a good form then suddenly lost way too much against weaker teams.

Hopefully tomorrow we get to see at least two favorites win. Cheesy

morvillz7z

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 18, 2020, 11:30:58 AM

@morvillz7z stay away from BIG, they're a coin flip, today they lose against a tier 4 team, tomorrow they could beat Vitality 32-0, too unpredictable

Yeah, pretty much...

I was excited to check out some of the matches today but only ended up watching the opening map (Overpass) on BIG vs Sprout match, big were a BIG no-show in this one, only tabseN with a few nice plays 1v2 and 1v3. Kinda lost interest after that, my second parlay lost too, Fnatic couldn't stop the new Astralis roster, had the lead on train in OT, which is a map they usually play very well on, but lost.

BIG (favored by the bookies) - lost
NiP (also favored) - lost
Fnatic (slight advantage odds wise) - lost
Furia - having a hard time, lost the opening map and playing catch up as we speak

A day full of surprises, Vitality being the only team getting the job done.

Globb0

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I went 10£ up to £60 but dipping now around £30 cos a few bad days.

Some days I leap forward 10 or 20 other days are pain. (Avez cost me 3 parlays yesterday. The commentators were stunned)

Here I just placed this. Watching games and betting the opposite then add a few sure's. Seems to work for me.

tomahawk9

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@morvillz7z stay away from BIG, they're a coin flip, today they lose against a tier 4 team, tomorrow they could beat Vitality 32-0, too unpredictable

@Globb0 i wanna know whether you're winning your accas or not right now, but it's pretty difficult to keep up with all the games in your bet slips, well, at least we can remove the ones with BIG Cheesy

VIT-Herectics about to start, no more surprises plz, i want a clean 2-0 for Zyw0o & Co 🙏 btw, i updated Calendar and few other things in the OP (:

Globb0

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Avez lost me about 30 quid yesterday, 13.50 on 1 parlay. Damn. Think I be skipping them they looked awful again this morning (lost more)

Heres my mash up for today so far. Cant help myself.

morvillz7z

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 18, 2020, 05:18:27 AM

Finally, top tier CSGO is back!

Hell yeah, it was about time! I'm kicking off the week with two parlays.

BiG -1.5 + Vitality -1.5 total odds 2.79
~~BIG should win fairly easily against Sprout~~, though the last meeting between these two teams was won by Sprout in two maps back in May.
I'm trusting ZywOo and his squad to not screw this one for me hehe

OG vs. Nip O2.5 + fnatic vs. Astralis O2.5 total odds 3.55
This one a bit riskier, but teams seem equal in terms of performance, overall rankings, and map pool selection, those should be close games. A small question mark on Astralis' new additions..let's see how those two players fit in.

edit; meh

tomahawk9

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Finally, top tier CSGO is back!

https://twitter.com/ESLCS/status/1295390385968119809

My first pick: Vitality -1.5 @1.72. I'll be watching Astralis tho, i wanna see the debut of this new roster, gonna be a great match to watch for sure. For NA, I have Furia -1.5 @1.90, rematch of the DH open semis from a few days ago, i'm expecting the same result (:

Globb0

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My 9 fold is still alive. Im losing again last 2 days.

I will get something on but Im going to slow it down a bit from about 10-15 parlays a day.

tomahawk9

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yesterday, i made a mistake, i went to my fav bookie and saw ML odds (bookies usually have ML odds on the main page) for the DH Open final NA, i saw Furia @2.04 and, obviously, i went for it (i mean, come on, best team in NA Grin

)...little did i know the Furia odds i saw were not actually moneyline but Map 3 odds and i thought "oh fck!!" :/ but, you guys saw who won, right? lol https://i.ibb.co/Z22ZmbX/dr.png

end of blog post/ 🤣

monday ticket: Nordavind ML - SKADE

Globb0

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Free spirit

I still have a few live parlays on the later games today

watching NaVi VP right now

ralle14

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Taking Team Liquid for the grand finals of the Dreamhack Open NA the match starts in a few minutes. I think this series is 55-45 since both teams are undefeated and Furia only dropped 1 map against TeamOne while Liquid hasn't dropped any so far.

And for the LCS later today i'll probably bet on them live as i'm still not convinced with EG. Imo 100Thieves are the better team since most of EG's wins during the summer split came from their previous roster (with Jizuke and Kumo) i'm impressed with their performance against FlyQuest but the bookies might be giving them way too much value compared to 100Thieves.

Globb0

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well then a few fails but I am still doing ok slipped back to 5x

Im on it again with some early games. Gonna come back Cool

tomahawk9

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Quote from: morvillz7z on August 15, 2020, 09:37:09 AM

Why did complexity have to choose overpass over inferno, that's usually their first ban, i really don't understand the logic behind this? smh

those mappicks were a big "wtf" moment for me, as soon as i saw it i thought "fuck!!" Lips sealed

i decided to skip BIG - OG (dodged a bullet there) and went with Nigma ML vs. Alliance for my last pick of the day

Quote from: ralle14 on August 15, 2020, 10:26:04 AM

<...>
I might take TSM later<...>.

i'm gonna skip today's match (i don't see much value there) and just wait for 100T - EG tomorrow

ralle14

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 15, 2020, 05:49:15 AM

@ralle14 did u place any bets on FLY - EG? I couldn't cuz my dumb bookie was having issues...didn't watch the match but it looks like Evil Geniuses put up a good fight

Yes

I ended up taking FlyQuest to win since I feel like the handicap was too risky. I also wasn't expecting the series go to the distance after they took down EG in the first two they got outdrafted in the next match and played passively giving up certain objectives like the drakes.

I might take TSM later if BIG manages to pull a reverse sweep against OG right now they're about to go down 1-0 in the series it's already 12-7 for OG.

morvillz7z

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 15, 2020, 05:49:15 AM

~~today: COL ML @1.64 *edit: uhhh, wtf are those map picks? :/~~ clowns

Why did complexity have to choose overpass over inferno, that's usually their first ban, i really don't understand the logic behind this? smh

I'm officially 0-4 on my parlays this week (excluding rand's picks yesterday), i haven't taken this much beating in a long time.

Next week can't be this bad...

Topic: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 440. (Read 80314 times)