Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 468.

tomahawk9

hero member

Activity: 2086

Merit: 994

Cats on Mars

Two major upsets today (sAw, VP) + Triumph with the draw vs. Evil Geniuses, and here I am glad that i avoided ML. 3/3 in CS Grin

EG vs Triumph was intense!

2morrow:
Dota
~~Nigma +1.5 @1.94 ✔~~ void
Alliance ML @1.82 ✔
CSGO
MIBR ML @1.72 ✔

Quote from: Harkorede on June 04, 2020, 03:37:56 PM

I went with a single dota 2 game today and that was on Niqma ML @ 1.80

I never expected a 2-0 in this match, I thought we were going to go to a decisive third game.

Quote from: morvillz7z on June 04, 2020, 05:47:29 PM

I can't believe i took those miserable 1.17 odds to fill my parlay

Trying to boost those odds a little bit, huh? Been there, done that...And it stings when it doesn't go your way :/

morvillz7z

legendary

Activity: 2212

Merit: 2061

Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!

Vitality ruined so many betslips with their loss against sAw. I can't believe i took those miserable 1.17 odds to fill my parlay, it hurts as the other two games finished as i anticipated (mous v MAD over 26.5 and Fnatic's win over Dignitas). At least there was another draw, 4th in four days for me.

Quote from: Harkorede on June 04, 2020, 03:37:56 PM

Do you have any idea when a CS:GO best of 3 or 5 tournies will start ?

BLAST Premier playoffs are BO3, also DreamHack Masters (Playoffs phase) will start this Monday July 8th.

au revoir dear draws! Cheesy

Harkorede

copper member

Activity: 2044

Merit: 793

Quote from: tomahawk9 on June 04, 2020, 06:54:23 AM

Thursday picks
Dota
Nigma - Liquid O2.5 @1.91

I went with a single dota 2 game today and that was on Niqma ML @ 1.80

They made up for their shortcomings of yesterday, It's quite unfortunate that they couldn't allow Liquid win a map for you to win on your pick as well.

Do you have any idea when a CS:GO best of 3 or 5 tournies will start ?

tomahawk9

hero member

Activity: 2086

Merit: 994

Cats on Mars

Quote from: STT on June 03, 2020, 04:36:49 PM

The way a team can come back during a map is great if live odds are possible, people really can jack the odds to one side and thats with even 1 map remaining. It does test the faith in that team as an underdog in that moment but if like 2.95x odds pop up I see no reason not to risk some capital on a comeback.

I was talking to a guy the other day who does this shit for a living (betting in CSGO). He showed me some of his winnings and ROI in live bets in the last 3 weeks and the guy makes bank! I might give live betting a shot during the BLAST premier playoffs.

Quote from: Harkorede on June 03, 2020, 05:06:48 PM

I parlayed Niqma ML and Team Secret -1.5 @ 1.50 for a total odds of 3x+

Shitty wednesday in Dota all around Sad

Thursday picks
Dota
Nigma - Liquid O2.5 @1.91 ✖
CSGO
MouZ - MAD O26.5 @1.84 ✔
FURIA - Chaos U26.5 @1.81 ✔
100T - Cloud9 O26.5 @1.86 ✔

Harkorede

copper member

Activity: 2044

Merit: 793

Quote from: tomahawk9 on June 03, 2020, 06:20:44 AM

@Harko a small break every once in a while is good, plus, we gotta take care of that bankroll, eh? football leagues are coming back very soon (: oh, and the Blast Premier playoffs starts next friday and they'll be BO3.

Yeah right since Dream Hack ended I've not been placing bets per se, I don't bet on what I don't understand, Lol.

I parlayed Niqma ML and Team Secret -1.5 @ 1.50 for a total odds of 3x+

To be honest I knew Team Secret were due for a loss, and Alliance seemed like a capable to team, but I had quite a number of movements today so I wasn't able place the bets before the game started.

STT

legendary

Activity: 4172

Merit: 1462

The way a team can come back during a map is great if live odds are possible, people really can jack the odds to one side and thats with even 1 map remaining. It does test the faith in that team as an underdog in that moment but if like 2.95x odds pop up I see no reason not to risk some capital on a comeback.

ralle14

legendary

Activity: 3458

Merit: 1940

Shuffle.com

Quote from: Trofo on June 03, 2020, 12:28:30 PM

Interesting thing happened in the 3rd map of Secret - Aliance, the server crashed and we will have a repeat of the 3rd map. The teams were pretty even at that point with Aliance slightly ahead but Secret with better heroes for endgame so I guess it was fair but I feel Aliance lost more. If you are playing against Secret and leading I don't think you want to give them another chance to steam roll you.

Before the long pause happened during the third map Alliance were in a great position Secret's mid was struggling hard and their carry about to get the first item in a good timing. I was able to get Alliance with 2.8 odds but unfortunately it got voided because of the match remake.

Quote from: morvillz7z on June 03, 2020, 08:37:22 AM

Someone mentioned earlier that draws are highly unlikely in BO1 games.
Welp, we had two draws so far in the first two days of Blast Premier Series, so i have 4 more picks for today (only skipped the first match).
Can Vitality get a third draw in a row? UNJINXED hah

Guess I was wrong. Cheesy

The CT economy is just too fragile it only takes one or two losses in a row for the other side to come back just like that.

Trofo

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 2789

Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!

Quote from: tomahawk9 on June 03, 2020, 11:52:10 AM

Quote from: Trofo on June 03, 2020, 07:49:27 AM

<...> so I am just backing underdogs here and there and hope for upsets. <...>

Well, there was an upset today, Dignitas 16-8 vs. VPro. Idk what the odds were for DIG but some ppl made some nice profits today.

Well I got them around 2.4 if I am not mistaken. I already deleted the ticket so don't have it to check.

Interesting thing happened in the 3rd map of Secret - Aliance, the server crashed and we will have a repeat of the 3rd map. The teams were pretty even at that point with Aliance slightly ahead but Secret with better heroes for endgame so I guess it was fair but I feel Aliance lost more. If you are playing against Secret and leading I don't think you want to give them another chance to steam roll you.

tomahawk9

hero member

Activity: 2086

Merit: 994

Cats on Mars

off to a good start today with Over 26.5 thanks to ENCE and god Allu vs NiP (:

Quote from: Trofo on June 03, 2020, 07:49:27 AM

<...> so I am just backing underdogs here and there and hope for upsets. <...>

Well, there was an upset today, Dignitas 16-8 vs. VPro. Idk what the odds were for DIG but some ppl made some nice profits today.

Quote from: Trofo on June 03, 2020, 07:49:27 AM

I think you have a typo in your last bet, I guess it should say over 26,5 since it is BO1 match.

Thx. Fixed!

morvillz7z

legendary

Activity: 2212

Merit: 2061

Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!

Someone mentioned earlier that draws are highly unlikely in BO1 games.
Welp, we had two draws so far in the first two days of Blast Premier Series, so i have 4 more picks for today (only skipped the first match).
Can Vitality get a third draw in a row? UNJINXED hah

I also have ENCE ML (v sAw) parlayed with NIP v ENCE O 26.5 and Fnatic v mousesports O 26.5 (total odds 4.28)

edit; ENCE survived somehow

edit2; https://i.ibb.co/DQfDYdt/zdgfhzdh.png Cheesy

Trofo

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 2789

Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!

Quote from: tomahawk9 on June 03, 2020, 06:20:44 AM

picks!!
Dota
Nigma ML @2.10
CSGO
NiP - ENCE O26.5 @1.85
Fnatic - Mouze O2.5 @1.86

gonna cheer for Nigma today. i don't think i've lost whenever i back them so let's see if i can continue that winning streak. Fnatic and Mouz, again, just like in the Pro League season 11 final...please, no 16-1 in this match, ffs!

I am also on Nigma today, have a feeling they should win this one and odds are very nice.

Can't really wrap my head around this BO1 counter strike matches, so I am just backing underdogs here and there and hope for upsets. My local bookie doesn't have 1x2 markets so I can't hazard a guess on draw.

I think you have a typo in your last bet, I guess it should say over 26,5 since it is BO1 match.

tomahawk9

hero member

Activity: 2086

Merit: 994

Cats on Mars

Quote from: morvillz7z on June 02, 2020, 02:39:20 PM

image source:https://www.v9digital.com/wp-content/uploads/SELL-IT.png

The absolute madman...HOW?? lolol Grin

btw, why not avoid draws in your accas and go for singles? you would've made huge profits with single bets.

@Harko a small break every once in a while is good, plus, we gotta take care of that bankroll, eh? football leagues are coming back very soon (: oh, and the Blast Premier playoffs starts next friday and they'll be BO3.

picks!!
Dota
Nigma ML @2.10 ✘
CSGO
NiP - ENCE O26.5 @1.85 ✔
Fnatic - Mouze O26.5 @1.86 ✔

gonna cheer for Nigma today. i don't think i've lost whenever i back them so let's see if i can continue that winning streak. Fnatic and Mouz, again, just like in the Pro League season 11 final...please, no 16-1 in this match, ffs!

Harkorede

copper member

Activity: 2044

Merit: 793

Quote from: morvillz7z on June 02, 2020, 02:39:20 PM

image source:https://www.v9digital.com/wp-content/uploads/SELL-IT.png

You're never going to stop, are you ? I'm taking a break from these games until there is some real tournament again that doesn't have a draw option(best of 3 or 5 maps, idc).

Maybe I'll just tail a few bets on here or go fully in on dota 2 (I just don't like their odds most times)

morvillz7z

legendary

Activity: 2212

Merit: 2061

Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!

Quote from: tomahawk9 on June 02, 2020, 02:11:21 PM

@morvillz7z where u at man? Did you win today? no way you also expected a draw today? =P

Sorry i was busy today, couldn't post/share my picks.
And there's not much to brag anyway, Vitality ML ruined my 3-team parlay (the other two selections went pretty smooth MAD and NIP's wins).
I would try to get on time tomorrow, i'm targeting ENCE's games cuz they really need those wins but against NIP it will be tough.

image source:https://www.v9digital.com/wp-content/uploads/SELL-IT.png

tomahawk9

hero member

Activity: 2086

Merit: 994

Cats on Mars

1/2 wins today, meh...gonna go back to csgo picks tomorrow. Btw, Vitality with yet another draw, wtf?

@morvillz7z where u at man? Did you win today? no way you also expected a draw today? =P

Quote from: Trofo on June 02, 2020, 11:18:33 AM

Damn, that Luna can destroy the base fast

things went south really fucking fast for Vikin, everything happened so fast, it was a bit frustrating to watch :/

Quote from: turkandjaydee on June 02, 2020, 01:42:52 PM

They should've ended that game faster.

Yep, but still man, wth was Ember doing?? wth was that jump?? Lips sealed

(genuine question, i'm no Pro in Dota so idk exactly what Boom could've accomplished by doing that)

turkandjaydee

hero member

Activity: 1456

Merit: 567

Quote from: tomahawk9 on June 02, 2020, 07:44:13 AM

-snip-
Dota
O 2.5 @ https://i.ibb.co/31BNd6c/vikinftm.png ✘ Vikin threw the game...bunch of clowns!
-snip-

Quote from: Trofo on June 02, 2020, 11:18:33 AM

-snip-
Viking had a very solid lead in that second map but FTM turned around quickly. They just needed one good fight and few seconds later it was all over.

Damn, that Luna can destroy the base fast

Too bad for Vikin.gg. Unfortunately, FTM draft was way better in the late-game than Vikin.gg draft and there was no way Vikin.gg could win a late-game fight if its 5v5 fight.

Just look at all of Vikin.gg heroes when their BKB immunity ends, they can't do any shit. They should've ended that game faster.

Trofo

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 2789

Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!

Just watched FTM kick Viking ass. I had them as ML on high stake ticket and I had over 2.5 on low stake multi so I would have preferred if Viking managed to get that second map and then lost. Viking had a very solid lead in that second map but FTM turned around quickly. They just needed one good fight and few seconds later it was all over.

Damn, that Luna can destroy the base fast

Avirunes

legendary

Activity: 3094

Merit: 1472

Quote from: tomahawk9 on June 02, 2020, 07:44:13 AM

@Avirunes talking about Astralis, looks like Dupreeh got tired of all the BS ppl are saying about the team: https://twitter.com/dupreeh/status/1267501122580873222

I also saw some discussion of some commentators and they were discussing about the two players breaks from Astralis. They talked about that Majors is right around the corner and the leaves is the right time to regain the mental strength and overcome health issues. I think it is the right time as well. ESL One Rio is scheduled to happen in November and they have months to recover.

People always throw pebbles when they don't find the performance as expected. People are questioning about the leave but checking that discussion I also think they have something big going on their mind.

tomahawk9

hero member

Activity: 2086

Merit: 994

Cats on Mars

Got me 2 wins (out of 5) thanks to the Americas teams yesterday..phew! Did anyone one watch the games? Except for Chaos vs Gen G, the other two matches were far more entertaining than all the EU matches combined lol Grin

@Avirunes talking about Astralis, looks like Dupreeh got tired of all the BS ppl are saying about the team: https://twitter.com/dupreeh/status/1267501122580873222

Quote from: ralle14 on June 01, 2020, 11:57:02 PM

What do you guys have for the ESL playoffs later today? Team Nigma is looking like a value bet, the bookies have them as underdogs against VP.Prodigy.

Today i'm going with:

Dota
O 2.5 @ https://i.ibb.co/31BNd6c/vikinftm.png ✘ Vikin threw the game...bunch of clowns!
+1.5 @ https://i.ibb.co/4fkjnhN/liquid.png ✔

About Nigma, i'm gonna back them tomorrow. ML @1.99 at the time of writing, might take this rn, too good =)

Avirunes

legendary

Activity: 3094

Merit: 1472

Quote from: tomahawk9 on June 01, 2020, 03:25:26 PM

(so, time to avoid Astralis in future bet slips?)

Yeah I would or maybe side a bit with handicap for the other if they are up against some really unpredictable sides like complexity,VP, Nip. Astralis all players are very good on comms and with new players I think that communication link up is kinda lost now and they have to build up that in them.

But i am sure at one point both Snappi and Jugi will adjust into the team, so I am just waiting for that sign for now before going for betting on Astralis.

Topic: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 468. (Read 80274 times)