Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 465.

Harkorede

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on May 21, 2020, 08:20:41 AM

Off to a bad start today. Fnatic vs. Adroit under 2.5 ✖ FFS! fnatic!! anyways:

Dota
Team Liquid ML @1.50
CSGO
Astralis -1.5 @2.10
Furia ML @1.70

Quote from: morvillz7z on May 20, 2020, 05:56:32 PM

How do you see tomorrow's matchup between North and Heroic?

Heroic played decent vs Astralis, almost stole a map off them, today they were very close to beat G2 in two maps. Heroic ML or O.2.5?

Man, couldn't give you my feedback on this one, saw your post a little too late :/ What did you pick?

Quote from: Harkorede on May 20, 2020, 06:09:17 PM

Astralis were terrific as usual Shocked

They're in the zone right now Cool

I fortunately avoided the fnatic -1.5 but I was very tempted with the odds, I only had them to win the first (so lucky not to have gone for ML too) It's all hand on deck anticipating Astralis to do their thang again today, they can't stop now, please!

https://imgur.com/a/wjOE8ap ~ 12.67 Odds.

Elsewhere I got Astralis -1.5 and Furia ML to go in a 9X+ parlay

batang_bitcoin

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Quote from: turkandjaydee on May 21, 2020, 07:37:09 AM

Quote from: batang_bitcoin on May 21, 2020, 05:39:24 AM

They are on game. The score is 1-1. Adroit takes the game 2, I'm expecting that this is a weep 2-0 but that's fine, it's a good starter for both teams.

Fnatic lost dudee, they were throwing so hard on the game 3. Did you see that 23garbage throw? He was farming very close to roshan pit just after Adroit killed the Roshan. It's a very stupid move or just a real 322 Grin

They've just broken what everyone is expecting including me. Undecided

Well I counted for them but they've lost and that's ok. Adroit is also a good team and this is just the start of the group stages. They are doing pretty good at the early game but well that's not always the factor to determine the end of the game.
It's really hard to go against an aura team.

morvillz7z

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on May 21, 2020, 08:20:41 AM

Quote from: morvillz7z on May 20, 2020, 05:56:32 PM

How do you see tomorrow's matchup between North and Heroic?

Heroic played decent vs Astralis, almost stole a map off them, today they were very close to beat G2 in two maps. Heroic ML or O.2.5?

Man, couldn't give you my feedback on this one, saw your post a little too late :/ What did you pick?

Unfortunately with O2.5 just because the odds dropped down from 1.70 to 1.55 and i was looking for more value, my perfect streak from Sunday is over.

North got beat up pretty bad at their own map (Vertigo) 4:16 Grin

I still have one more bet for today, followed rand1919 picks (flytomoon 1.5 parlayed with Virtus Pro ml).

tomahawk9

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Cats on Mars

Off to a bad start today. Fnatic vs. Adroit under 2.5 ✘ FFS! fnatic!! anyways:

Dota
Team Liquid ML @1.50 ✓
CSGO
Astralis -1.5 @2.10 ✘
Furia ML @1.70 ✓

Quote from: morvillz7z on May 20, 2020, 05:56:32 PM

How do you see tomorrow's matchup between North and Heroic?

Heroic played decent vs Astralis, almost stole a map off them, today they were very close to beat G2 in two maps. Heroic ML or O.2.5?

Man, couldn't give you my feedback on this one, saw your post a little too late :/ What did you pick?

Quote from: Harkorede on May 20, 2020, 06:09:17 PM

Astralis were terrific as usual Shocked

They're in the zone right now Cool

turkandjaydee

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Quote from: batang_bitcoin on May 21, 2020, 05:39:24 AM

They are on game. The score is 1-1. Adroit takes the game 2, I'm expecting that this is a weep 2-0 but that's fine, it's a good starter for both teams.

Fnatic lost dudee, they were throwing so hard on the game 3. Did you see that 23garbage throw? He was farming very close to roshan pit just after Adroit killed the Roshan. It's a very stupid move or just a real 322 Grin

Quote from: mu_enrico on May 21, 2020, 02:23:49 AM

Did you guys read the news about Newbee getting a lifetime ban?
https://dotesports.com/dota-2/news/newbee-handed-lifetime-bans-from-imbatv-and-chinese-dota-2-professional-association-on-match-fixing-allegations

This case probably explains why we see so many throws on DOTA2 tournaments. What do you think? Should we be more careful about matches that have high multipliers, i.e., underdogs get >10x return?

Yeah, that was very hype news, even a news site like Forbes posted it.

Just be careful especially on Chinese tournaments and Chinese teams because this region has been corrupted by the mobs since a long time ago.
By the way, Newbee has replaced their roster with other players from their academy, even though they will still be banned from Chinese tournaments.

batang_bitcoin

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on May 20, 2020, 08:34:39 AM

Quote from: batang_bitcoin on May 20, 2020, 06:52:09 AM

Not only with BTS PRO sea but they also became the champs for these online tournaments.
<...>

Yeah, they're on a winning streak..they'll prolly kick some major ass in this tournament (:

They are on game. The score is 1-1. Adroit takes the game 2, I'm expecting that this is a weep 2-0 but that's fine, it's a good starter for both teams.

Quote from: mu_enrico on May 21, 2020, 02:23:49 AM

Did you guys read the news about Newbee getting a lifetime ban?
https://dotesports.com/dota-2/news/newbee-handed-lifetime-bans-from-imbatv-and-chinese-dota-2-professional-association-on-match-fixing-allegations

This case probably explains why we see so many throws on DOTA2 tournaments. What do you think? Should we be more careful about matches that have high multipliers, i.e., underdogs get >10x return?

Yes, I'm aware of that and that saddens me for the organization itself. They've been in the biggest tournaments of Dota 2 but they'll just fall with this 322. There's no final statement with Valve related events but sure they are banned now with ImbaTV events and also they are no longer a member of dota 2 union in their country, the CDA. I have read a statement that they are denying the accusation so there's still more to see from this.

mu_enrico

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Did you guys read the news about Newbee getting a lifetime ban?
https://dotesports.com/dota-2/news/newbee-handed-lifetime-bans-from-imbatv-and-chinese-dota-2-professional-association-on-match-fixing-allegations

This case probably explains why we see so many throws on DOTA2 tournaments. What do you think? Should we be more careful about matches that have high multipliers, i.e., underdogs get >10x return?

Harkorede

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on May 20, 2020, 11:23:46 AM

Quote from: tomahawk9 on May 20, 2020, 08:34:39 AM

Astralis -1.5 @1.80 ✓
Furia ML @1.42 ✓
Team Secret -1.5 @1.55 ✓

GG

Nice one, Congratz!

Astralis were terrific as usual Shocked

There were not upsets in the Dota2 OGA Dota PIT, I was able to bag a ~ 2.2+ Odd on ML on the favorites

https://i.imgur.com/bSDo3nb.png

There are some fixtures too look forward to tomorrow, I'll await your opinion on those games.

Quote from: morvillz7z on May 20, 2020, 05:56:32 PM

I couldn't get myself to back North and mibr to steal a map off Astralis and FURIA, which in the end turn out to be the right decision.

How do you see tomorrow's matchup between North and Heroic?

Heroic played decent vs Astralis, almost stole a map off them, today they were very close to beat G2 in two maps. Heroic ML or O.2.5?

I'm really undecided about the Heroic vs North, but I'd leaning more towards Heroic, Astralis @ 1.52 also seem to be of quite a value.

STT

legendary

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I didnt watch North thats the problem but overall Heroic have been doing far better then normal or what would be expected. I imagine too that it'd be 3 maps, I have a slight bias towards expecting that now.

G2 is not an underdog that is kinda ridiculous and extremely embarrassing that Heroic on that last possible round didnt try to defuse with every person available, its hard to explain except the smoke confused matters I guess. Plenty of CSGO games are online so thats not the reason but G2 should not have been struggling this much, perhaps ping is a factor but they dont show it.

morvillz7z

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I couldn't get myself to back North and mibr to steal a map off Astralis and FURIA, which in the end turn out to be the right decision.

How do you see tomorrow's matchup between North and Heroic?

Heroic played decent vs Astralis, almost stole a map off them, today they were very close to beat G2 in two maps. Heroic ML or O.2.5?

tomahawk9

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Cats on Mars

Quote from: Harkorede on May 20, 2020, 10:31:46 AM

Woah!!! Goodness! they won it, that really was intense! G2 were valued @ around 7.5 odds, but I don't think anyone would cap that with the scores being 12-15.

Some ppl prefer live betting, and 'To Win' at such odds would've been a no brainer for G2 fans, but judging from G2 recent performance, only a handful of people would have the balls to back them at that point lol Congrats on the win.

Out of the last ten BO3 matches, seven matches went to 3rd map. G2 and O2.5 maps is ez $$$, but it's not recommended for the faint-hearted =P

Quote from: Harkorede on May 20, 2020, 10:31:46 AM

I went with Over 2.5 maps, So many underdogs are stealing maps today, North can too Wink

good luck!

EDIT*

Quote from: tomahawk9 on May 20, 2020, 08:34:39 AM

Astralis -1.5 @1.80 ✓
Furia ML @1.42 ✓
Team Secret -1.5 @1.55 ✓

GG

Harkorede

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on May 20, 2020, 10:00:50 AM

Quote from: Harkorede on May 20, 2020, 09:23:58 AM

It's all square and we are headed for the 3rd Map, I had G2 already before the game @ 1.45 and I was beginning to question my decision really.

I'm watching it right now, such a close match, pretty entertaining but also a bit stressful if you have money on the line =P looks like G2 and Over 2.5 maps is ez money Grin

Are you kidding me ?!! This was no easy money, not by any means I hate betting of this kind of games, It's so stressful and I'll be so pissed off if G2 doesn't eventually win this, I mean come back from 8 - 12 and 12 - 15 to force an overtime ? Jeez! They've got to just win this, damn Undecided

EDIT: Woah!!! Goodness! they won it, that really was intense! G2 were valued @ around 7.5 odds, but I don't think anyone would cap that with the scores being 12-15.

Up next:

Quote from: tomahawk9 on May 20, 2020, 10:00:50 AM

Astralis had a super close match yesterday, and North won vs G2, but then again, G2 has been a bit sh*t lately. Maybe Over 2.5 maps on this one @2.25 odds could be good if you want to back North.

I went with Over 2.5 maps, So many underdogs are stealing maps today, North can too Wink

tomahawk9

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Quote from: Harkorede on May 20, 2020, 09:23:58 AM

It's all square and we are headed for the 3rd Map, I had G2 already before the game @ 1.45 and I was beginning to question my decision really.

I'm watching it right now, such a close match, pretty entertaining but also a bit stressful if you have money on the line =P looks like G2 and Over 2.5 maps is ez money Grin

Quote from: Harkorede on May 20, 2020, 09:23:58 AM

Astralis are super hot, but I'm tempted to back North to steal a map, not totally decided yet, though.

Astralis had a super close match yesterday, and North won vs G2, but then again, G2 has been a bit sh*t lately. Maybe Over 2.5 maps on this one @2.25 odds could be good if you want to back North.

Harkorede

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on May 20, 2020, 08:34:39 AM

Guys, what's going on with G2? They're 0-1 vs. Heroic....G2 ML @2.20...kinda tempting, ngl

Anywho, my picks today:

CS:GO:
Astralis -1.5 @1.80
Furia ML @1.42
Dota:
Team Secret -1.5 @1.55

It's all square and we are headed for the 3rd Map, I had G2 already before the game @ 1.45 and I was beginning to question my decision really. Heroic has been impressive really, and I must say it's still anyone games for the 3rd Map but I sure do hope G2 would complete their come back.

Astralis are super hot, but I'm tempted to back North to steal a map, not totally decided yet, though.

tomahawk9

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Guys, what's going on with G2? They're 0-1 vs. Heroic....G2 ML @2.20...kinda tempting, ngl

Anywho, my picks today:

CS:GO:
Astralis -1.5 @1.80 ✓
Furia ML @1.42 ✓
Dota:
Team Secret -1.5 @1.55 ✓

Quote from: batang_bitcoin on May 20, 2020, 06:52:09 AM

Not only with BTS PRO sea but they also became the champs for these online tournaments.
<...>

Yeah, they're on a winning streak..they'll prolly kick some major ass in this tournament (:

STT

legendary

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Quote

Heroic with that good odds but they are on losing streak right now

Devil is in the detail (not the player) and Heroic did much better then expected vs Astralis when I watched them, alot of people miss the fine quality inside the games and just see the end result. A wins a win, well no it matters how they got it imo. Exactly the same thing happens inside cs games I play, how many frags you got does not exactly mean how useful were you in that match and its the rounds which counts. Heroic are definitely the underdog to watch, not that I've watched a ton of games recently but from what I've seen so far I'm impressed. Deal with CSGO is always quality matters its not just about how kennyS might be the best awper in the world, it'll take more then that and he can just end up wasted.

Nuke itself is an upset map anyhow, some teams shiver playing this one. I've no idea what to think of Vertigo with its latest changes, seems extreme to me but maybe G2 can harness the chaos innate on this map.

batang_bitcoin

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on May 19, 2020, 07:20:17 AM

@batang_bitcoin After what happened in the BTS Pro SEA, I think i'm gonna back Fnatic. Roll Eyes

Under 2.5 maps @1.55 versus Adroit looks like a no brainer. I wonder if Birmingham 2020 will be another walk in the park for Fnatic.

Not only with BTS PRO sea but they also became the champs for these online tournaments.

ESL One LA Online: SEA
https://liquipedia.net/dota2/ESL_One/Los_Angeles/2020/Online/Southeast_Asia
Team Adroit was their opponent on this tourney but they've sent them to 2nd place.

Dota Summit 12
https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_Summit/12

Harkorede

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Quote from: rdbase on May 19, 2020, 05:43:09 PM

I had G2 on an earlier bet so was pissed off to losing it I said just F* it and put what I had left on Chaos.
To my surprise and everyone elses they did! At 5.80x to beat Team Liquid.
Even their team was shocked right at the end when they beat them with just pistols and money running low from being up on map 3 15-9 then

I won 2 live bets on Chaos too! the first was in the 2nd Map they were leading 4-9, and the odds 2+ issh, I didn't even understand how much of na underdog they were, I was just like how in hell could they not get to 16 first Grin

and in the 3rd Map again the score was 8-9 or 7-8 (not too sure which one it was) in favor of Chaos and they were offered handicap +2.5 @ 2.29, I went in again. Prior to my 2nd Map betting, I had no idea who was what between both teams, I just went with the odds I found logical!

Quote from: JanpriX on May 19, 2020, 10:40:35 PM

CS:GO Dreamhack - Spring
G2 esports (1.40) vs Heroic (2.75)

What do you guys think about this game? I'm thinking of betting on Heroic with that good odds but they are on losing streak right now (4 in a row). Will they get their 5th loss here with G2 esports or will they turn it around and grab that elusive win here?

I already had my bet on G2 Sports, as they are also on a 2 game losing streak, Since their loss against North was a shocker, I guess they will bounce back, and for Heroic the theirs woes will probably continue.

JanpriX

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Buy The F*cking Dip

CS:GO Dreamhack - Spring
G2 esports (1.40) vs Heroic (2.75)

What do you guys think about this game? I'm thinking of betting on Heroic with that good odds but they are on losing streak right now (4 in a row). Will they get their 5th loss here with G2 esports or will they turn it around and grab that elusive win here?

tomahawk9

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Quote from: SyGambler on May 19, 2020, 05:34:18 PM

was wondering if what happened today with Gla1ve is a common thing in Esports world , does that happen a lot guys ? <...>

I'm wondering the same thing...i'd like to see the ML odds just before and right after the news about changing the lineup.

@rdbase here, you deserve a merit for having the balls to back Chaos Grin

don't you love it when those YOLO bets win? such a nice feeling =P

Topic: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 465. (Read 76975 times)