Topic: ESPORTS - predictions and tips (Dota 2, CS:GO, LoL) - page 70. (Read 23808 times)

But that high ping should've affected them a lot yesterday. Bounty Hunter mid lane? It looks strange and not really good. But yeah, MidOne played very well with that high ping.

Where did you see this? OG tweet said that it was 300 ping. https://twitter.com/OGesports/status/1255585066174025728

It seems most of the recent matches have a 2-1 score. Did the recent patches cause this?

[DOTA 2] Wednesday was a really interesting day at WePlay! Pushka League Season 1. Two out of 3 favourites losing their matches, and 3rd favourite barely taking their match victory. Both VirtusPro squads lost their matches, and Team Secret barely won against a mixed OG squad. Let’s see what are the next scheduled matches.

Alliance - OG Seed: Alliance, 1.34 @ BetOnBit
Team Secret - Team Liquid: Team Secret -1.5, 1.69 @ BetOnBit
Natus Vincere - Virtus Pro: Virtus Pro -1.5, 1.86 @ BetOnBit

When Alliance last faced OG.Seed two months ago, they won that match easily. However, Alliance had a slightly different lineup 2 months ago compared to today. Let’s keep in mind, they still don’t have a position 5 player, as they are using Gambit’s fng as their temporary stand-in for this tournament. OG.Seed are currently holding last place in their European group with 3 losses out of 3 matches played. They had a pretty hard schedule though as they faced Secret, Nigma and NiP. On the other side, Alliance won vs OG and Liquid, both with 2-1 results. Team Secret was a little bit too much for them currently, as this is their only loss for now. However, in this match I don’t expect anything else than Alliance winning it. Each day I’m more and more impressed with their carry NikoBaby, as I think he is one of the best EU carries nowadays. Big bet on Alliance for me.

Team Secret are together with NiP the most dominant team in this group. They are holding 2nd place currently with 3 wins and a 100% win ratio. They have dropped a map only to OG. On the other hand, Liquid was demolished in the recently played ESL One LA Online tournament, they were falling apart in all matches with their disappointing play and communication. Can they fix it for their upcoming matches in WePlay! Pushka League Season 1? To a certain level, yes. But more of that, no. I don’t think this is their patch or they have some bigger and more serious problems within the team. Liquid only has 1 win in this league as they have managed to beat Nigma with a close 2-1, but they have lost to Alliance and NiP. Team Secret are big favourites here. 2-0 is highly possible.

Is NaVi coming back after their disastrous performance at ESL One LA? They have managed to connect 3 wins in a row vs Spirit, FlyToMoon and B8. NaVi is the team with the most matches played in this league for now. They have 4 matches behind them and with 3 wins and only 1 loss they are holding 2nd place currently in their CIS group. On the other side, Virtus.Pro was knocked down by HellRaisers on Wednesday, losing the match 1-2. They were big favourites beforehand, but a lot of missplays and fail picks did bring them their first loss in this league. They have one win vs FlyToMoon however, as they are sitting on 4th place in the rankings with 1 win and 1 loss. It’s interesting that Virtus.Pro managed to drop 3 maps in only 2 matches, and now I wonder how they can perform in the next games. Will they be back to their dominant ESL One LA performance, or did they hit the wall? As a conclusion to this, I do believe they are big favourites vs NaVi, and hopefully they can prove that they are the strongest CIS team at the moment.

My twitter: rand1919

There was quite a lot of talk and jokes made about this during the stream yesterday. His exact ping was 196 and he was by far the best player in second match of the series with lots of great decisions and perfect timings. Then all the commentators agreed that ping is just an excuse which "bad" players use when things doesn't go their way.

No, ping is too high for him to be able to play normally or high level without the lag. Ping is around 200 for him.

I am also worried about the roster of OG. Since MidOne is in Asia right now right? So now he will play with the EU server, he will probably get a huge ping playing there. And as far as I know, the time here in Asia is around 4 am when he played against Team Secret. For sure the time and the ping of MidOne could really affect their game.
Correct me if I am wrong if MidOne is in Asia and when he will play in EU server, ping is not good, right?

Good point. There are no sportsbooks that would change or cancel your bets because of 1 different player in a esports team. That's not possible, or at least I have never heard that somebody is doing this. Ofc there are websites where you can cancel your bet beforehand (in exchange for some fee or %), but that's their general system and is not connected to the team replacements.

yeah you bet on the team.

so be it if they changed something.


Do you get your bets back in the premier league when your scorer gets substituted?

They won't void the bet on request in this matter and this is actually a good thing, because it would also allow them, to void bets, where they themselves were caught off guard. Normally the punters have an advantage when it comes to late roster changes, because the bookmakers are not that well informed, like the experts are. So while in this case, this is to the bookmakers advantage (probably), most of the time we as punters can take advantage of it. And bets should stand then.

In some sports/bets, the bookmakers insure themselves by saying "XY has to start for bets to stand", because late changes happen quite frequently and this can turn the probabilites upside down. In Major League Baseball you always have this "has to start" condition.

It appears that they have a habit right now to change their roster when they're entering new tournament. If they didn't win their past tournament with their current roster, they then decide to change someone after it. 

Regarding your placed bet on BetOnBit, if I'm not mistaken, you cannot change it. Well, most of the bookies don't allow it. You can try reaching out to their support team but I doubt if they'll consider of cancelling it.

Damnn, OG just changed their roster again. CCnC will be their pos 2 instead of W1sh- but I don't know whether this will remain until the end of the tournament or not.



Can we change our placed bet on BetOnBit.com?

[DOTA 2] With each day WePlay! Pushka League Season 1: Division 1 is getting more and more interesting. Surprises are happening, broken hero combos are played, and some tier 1 teams are underperforming. However, this makes it even more interesting. It’s time for us to analyse Wednesday matches.

flytomoon - VP.Prodigy: VP.Prodigy -1.5, 2.33 @ BetOnBit
Virtus Pro - HellRaisers: Virtus Pro -1.5, 1.69 @ BetOnBit
Team Secret - OG: OG 1.5, 1.58 @ BetOnBit

Can Virtus.Pro’s academy team continue to dominate their opponents? It’s time for us to find out. VP.Prodigy is on a great winning streak, having 5 wins from their 5 last Dota 2 matches. They are on an impressive winning streak, 5 wins, 0 losses and 10-0 in maps. Really amazing for such a young squad that was put together just recently. FlyToMoon has a decent lineup on paper, but they can’t perform lately. They have only 1 win from their last 5 Dota 2 matches.In this tournament, FTM are still without a victory (0-3), and VP.Prodigy has one 2-0 dominant win vs Team Spirit. I see a great value here on betting on -1.5 Prodigy handicap, as I think they can win vs FTM easily if they continue their performance from the last days. If you are sceptical about this, it’s understandable as in CIS Dota you never know what will happen and who will underperform. For that reason, a safer bet would be VP.Prodigy ML win with decent odds.

I would say that Virtus.Pro’s main team and Team Secret are the best and strongest teams in this competition. Virtus.Pro is on a 5 match winning streak in all Dota 2 competitions, while HellRaisers are on a 3 game winning streak as they are 6-0 in maps in their last 3 matches. This will be a very interesting match. Maybe a match between currently two best CIS teams. However, Virtus.Pro had one small fail versus FlyToMoon, where they’ve managed to lose the 2nd map with untypical mistakes for them. HellRaisers are 2-0 currently in this league by beating NaVi and FTM with 2-0. But Virtus.Pro is on another dimension and a much higher level team. If they take this match seriously they could take both maps, if they make one mistake, VP will use their errors and capitalize on their mistakes. In that case, a map is sure for the HellRaisers. It’s very hard to pick a right handicap option here, but let’s just say Virtus.Pro are very big favourites, if you can catch decent odds on Virtus.Pro ML victory, take it, as a safer road.

And again, the most interesting match is left as the last one. One of the best teams in the world currently vs 2 time TI champions. What an impressive title, but sadly OG are playing with 2 stand-ins. And in their last game that didn’t look too good. Alliance took their match vs OG with 2-1, but OG had their chances, they just didn’t use them. OG is a team that is capable of doing anything you can imagine, no matter the players, they just have that mentality of the winners. Maybe they have dropped a series to Alliance on Tuesday, but that doesn’t mean anything. Now they need to face an even harder opponent, an opponent who has two impressive 2-0 victories vs Alliance and OG.Seed. OG will need to try hard, show a proper effort to jeopardize Team Secret, but I do think they are capable of doing it. OG’s standing player on position 2, Wish-, showed some really impressive plays on Tuesday. Props to him.

My twitter: rand1919

[CS:GO] My bets and picks for today's ESL One: Road to Rio matches:

Fnatic - Team Dignitas: Fnatic -1.5, 1.55 @ BetOnBit
GODSENT - Copenhagen Flames: Copenhagen Flames 1.5, 1.50 @ BetOnBit
Ninjas In Pyjamas - ENCE: ENCE 1.5, 1.49 @ BetOnBit
Heretics - compLexity: compLexity, 1.48 @ BetOnBit
Vitality - Astralis: Vitality 1.5, 1.78 @ BetOnBit
FaZe - Movistar Riders: FaZe -1.5, 1.53 @ BetOnBit
Evil geniuses - Cloud9: Cloud9 1.5, 1.73 @ BetOnBit
Triumph - 100 Thieves: Triumph 1.5, 1.94 @ BetOnBit

All matches are BO3. Bets are risky.

My twitter: rand1919

Bookies had Spirit game scheduled for first match and then it was later swapped out with Nigma game. I don't know the reason for schedule change but most of the bookies are just slow to react to change. I checked my local bookie and now i can again bet on Spirit. That was not possible an hour ago.

This match isn't started yet, but I can't place a bet on this match, can't find it on BetOnBit site. Do you know the reason?

Nigma already lost the 1st game and now they're also losing in the 2nd game (NIP is currently leading with 17k networth).

And indeed Nigma has a poor performance in the current patch, but I don't know why Kuroky is trying so hard to put miracle as pos 1. I mean I see Miracle as a great mid dominator and Nigma was really great and powerful when Miracle was still playing as pos 2.

NIP is really unstoppable right now, I can't wait to see them face Team Secret and other big teams.

---

And for OG vs Alliance, I will just watch them closely.

[DOTA 2] We are following WePlay! Pushka League Season 1 where it’s time for the day 6 of the division 1 with two EU and one CIS clashes. Let’s analyze the matches and see who are the favourites today.

Natus Vincere - Team Spirit: Team Spirit ML, 2.16 @ BetOnBit
Nigma - Ninjas in Pyjamas: Ninjas in Pyjamas ML, 2.73 @ BetOnBit
OG - Alliance: Alliance 1.5, 1.61 @ BetOnBit

Last clash between NaVi and Spirit was in ESL One LA Online CIS division. Team Spirit took that match dominantly with 2-0 and showed why they are real up and coming stack that’s gonna shake the CIS scene. However, since they’ve entered the ESL One LA playoffs, Team Spirit went downhill. 0-2 vs VirtusPro and 0-2 vs Chicken Fighters showed that they are still not on the necessary level. In this league they currently have a win vs B8 and a loss vs VP.Prodigy, academy team of VirtusPro. Why i’m only talking about Team Spirit? Because I think they can fight an even battle vs NaVi. NaVi played 3 matches in this league and have a win vs B8 and FlyToMoon, but a loss vs HellRaisers. NaVi were pretty much lost in their ESL One LA Online group, finishing in the last place in the group stage. They just look lost and it seems like this is not their patch. 2.00+ odds on Team Spirit are just a must take. This is a 50-50 match, neither team looks good in their last matches, but Spirit impressed me in the ESL One. If they can get back to that performance, they can easily beat NaVi.

Today’s matches are getting better and better. NiP (or ex Chicken Fighters squad) has a chance to beat Nigma. Why? Because Nigma still didn’t find their pace, and they are easily losing games when opponents shut down Miracle. He is carrying them hard, and with good draft and rotations they can shut down Miracle’s play and if that happens, NiP will have a big shot to take them down. Nigma still didn’t adjust to the new patch and currently they are far away from once famous unbeatable team. Nigma currently has 1 win and 1 loss in this league as they have lost against Liquid with 1-2, and they have barely beat OG.Seed on Monday with 2-1. They are surely beatable, there is no question about that. Odds on NiP are amazing, and I do think that ex Chicken Fighters can do it. They are 2-0 in the league with wins over Liquid and OG.Seed. Safer bet would be +1.5 handicap on NiP.

And the best comes at the end. OG is facing Alliance in a classic match. Let’s keep in mind, OG is again playing with standins. W1sh- and Ceb will standin for Topson and MidOne. We still didn’t see them in this combination, as the last tournament they played they had 33 on position 2 and Ceb again at the position 3. Wish- is a 22 year old player that still didn’t have a chance to perform for any bigger teams and organizations. Now it’s his chance to prove himself to the public. Is that too much pressure for him to handle or will he just go with a flow? I do think a lot of OG’s play will depend on him. On the other side, Alliance is playing with a stand-in on position 5 too, as they still don’t have a full lineup announced. Fng from Gambit joined them for this tournament. Alliance is 1-1, with a win vs Liquid and a loss vs Secret, while the main squad of OG still didn’t play any official matches in this league. This is their first match with this mixed team and it will be interesting to see how they will perform. We saw that they had a lot of fun in the ESL One LA Online tournament pulling out some funny meme plays and tactics. Will they take this tournament seriously? We will see. Surely they are big favourites in this match, but Alliance with NikoBaby carrying them can surely take a map. Big opportunity for Alliance.

All matches are BO3! High odds, maximum risk!

My twitter: rand1919

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We start on May 1st.

Dota 2/3 today. navi vs ftm was really close (2-1 for navi)

✅ Nigma - OG Seed: OG Seed 1.5, 1.62
✅ Team Spirit - VP.Prodigy: VP.Prodigy, 1.45
❌ Natus Vincere - FlyToMoon: FlyToMoon, 1.95

GG. tomorrow new bets!

[DOTA 2] WePlay! Pushka League Season 1 is going into the 5th play day. In CIS group we already saw 5 exciting matches so far, while in the EU group we saw 6 matches. It’s time for the day 6 of the division 1 with one EU and two CIS matches. Let’s see what can happen on Monday.

Nigma - OG Seed: OG Seed 1.5, 1.62 @ BetOnBit
Team Spirit - VP.Prodigy: VP.Prodigy, 1.45 @ BetOnBit
Natus Vincere - FlyToMoon: FlyToMoon, 1.95 @ BetOnBit

In their last 3 matches, OG.Seed didn’t manage to take a map off Team Nigma. However, that was a long time ago and today the situation is different. Nigma was favoured in their match vs Liquid on Sunday, however they’ve managed to continue their bad form, and dropped the series 1-2. They didn’t impress, their play is so unreliable, and they get lost going to mid / late game. I see an opportunity here for OG.Seed to take a map off Nigma. In their first match in this league OG.Seed lost to the new NiP squad (ex Chicken Fighters), but they really had impressive wins vs Chicken Fighters and Vikin.gg not a long time ago. If you catch decent odds on Nigma (1.30 or more), go with that, but otherwise, OG.Seed taking a map is a way to go. They have the ability to do it.

VP.Prodigy really look amazing lately. Since Virtus.Pro formed their academy squad, they are looking better and better with each game. From their last 5 Dota 2 official matches, they have all 5 wins, and some of them are really impressive like a 3-1 vs Vikin.gg or wins vs Spirit and Unique. Team Spirit has already 1 win in this league as they have beat B8, probably the weakest team in the CIS group. For VP.Prodigy this will be the first match, and I do think they can open their league participation with a win over Team Spirit. I must admit, Team Spirit was amazing in the ESL One LA Online league, where they’ve managed to get some impressive wins and finish 2nd in the group right after Team Secret. However, after that they have somewhat lost themselves. Maybe the new patch affected them heavily and they are not yet comfortable with it. However, it seems like VP.Prodigy surely is.

Interestingly enough, those two teams faced each other last time 4 months ago, and both times NaVi lost to FlyToMoon. NaVi has looked terrible in the last weeks, they have only 1 win from their last 5 matches. In the WePlay! Pushka League Season 1 they have 1 win and 1 loss. However, that win was vs definitely the weakest team in the group, B8. They have lost to HellRaisers, the same as FlyToMoon. On the other side, FlyToMoon showed some signs of a nice team play and communication versus Virtus.Pro on Sunday, where they’ve managed to pull off a map 2 win. They lost the match in the end, but anyway, in the current state, taking a map of Virtus.Pro, one of the strongest teams in Europe right now is a big success. I believe they might surprise NaVi here, and if NaVi haven’t changed anything in their drafts and gameplay, there is a high possibility for FTM here.

GL! PM me for discord / google sheet!

My twitter: rand1919

✅ Quincy Crew - EG: EG 1.5 @ 1.68
✅ EG - Thunder Predator: EG ML @ 1.54
✅ Secret - OG.Seed: Team Secret -1.5 @ 1.52
❌ VirtusPro - FlyToMoon: VirtusPro -1.5 @ 1.49
❌ Nigma - Liquid: Nigma ML @ 1.31

3/5 Dota2 today, we managed to pull it off, thanks to €400 EG +1.5 bet.

Finally a good CS:GO day. 3/3

✅ BOOM - Isurus: BOOM -1.5 @ 1.67
✅ c0ntact - Movistar Riders: Movistar Riders ML @ 1.92
✅ North - mousesports: North 1.5 @ 1.72