You cannot conflate a currency with script fuel. The average user doesn't care how their app or dapp runs , they just want it to run cheaply and efficiently and securely.
Ok, agreed. And about a month ago, I was more or less agnostic about how the value of Ether would be impacted. I held some from the IPO "just in case" but thought it may go down equally as up. I just didn't now how the market would value the blockchain tokens as distinct from the assets that run on them.
However, the market has kind of spoken.
It's still early days, but clearly the ecosystem as a whole is going to have significant value. If that entire ecosystem runs on a scarce resource then that will have value as well. The scarce resource isn't just the tokens, it's the hashing power and it seems to be "
following the money" so I'm not going to argue with the market.
MSFT and other companies can and will create their own standards that are partially open source. There is no need for them to buy a pathetically small 25k userbase
Eh hem..Ethereum already has a Javascript API. How much more "standards based" do you want than that ?
I will give you that Adam Back did say one thing about Blockchain 2.0 that does favour your view, though. He said that the he thought the applications were independent of the tokens and therefore could "go elsewhere". That may be true to some extent but it's all a question of degree.
Look at that
hashrate chart again. That's only going to increase from now - whatever happens to the price. If you're a venture capitalist looking to plough your dough into a new "Daap", what blockchain are you going to pick for maximum security and track record ? This one or Microsoft's one that with the relative hashpower of 10 PC's in their back office by comparison ?
No contest.
I'm not saying they might not come up with a feeble attempt like they did with IIS. I'm just saying it's too late for it to be anything other than that.