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Topic: FADE ME! - (46W - 33L) (+24.05 UNITS) FREE Daily Betting Tips - Startup Thread - page 65. (Read 12658 times)

hero member
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I navigated around the thread and I noticed that you bet hardly above 2.00 odds.
Most of the bets are around 1.80-1.90 which makes me wonder how it is profitable and be +33 units profitable with a score of 53-42... I think that the total should be negative when playing with odds below 2 and be around 52% successful.

Thanks for making the time in checking my thread. Regarding your question, yes, I almost didn't bet at 2.00 odds and most of my bets are at 1.80 to 1.90 odds. If you can check all my bets (which are well-documented, with screenshots, WIN or LOSS), my units on my bets varies. If I feel that I'm not confident on my bet, I'll put lower amount of units. And if I feel that my bet will most likely hit, I put significant amount in it. You can check all the units lost and won here in this thread and the positive units that is within the title is accurate. What you're saying is only applicable if I'm betting the same amount on all of my picks (which is not the case). My hit rate on my picks here in this thread is 55.79% (if my computation is correct - 53W and 42L).

EDIT:
Also, I started this thread on a negative run (-20 units if I remember it correctly) and I just turned it around recently with big wins together with winning streaks.  Wink
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I navigated around the thread and I noticed that you bet hardly above 2.00 odds.
Most of the bets are around 1.80-1.90 which makes me wonder how it is profitable and be +33 units profitable with a score of 53-42... I think that the total should be negative when playing with odds below 2 and be around 52% successful.
hero member
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We are going with a quick side bet today because, why not, we already won big on our first bet of the year.  Grin This is in NCAA - College Basketball between UNLV Runnin Rebels - Utah State Aggies. I'm going for UNLV +6.5 points. Let's see if we can win this also.  Wink

FORMATTED POST:

Pick for January 1, 2019 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 10:00 PM CST, NCAA College Basketball
Match: UNLV Runnin Rebels - Utah State Aggies
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the UNLV +6.5 points for 3 UNITS (1.89 ODDS).

hero member
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Hey everyone, let's start this decade with a bang! (and hopefully, grab a dub today)  Grin . For today's pick, we'll gonna go with Alabama -7 points against Michigan. As usual, the write up and screenshot to follow later. Take note that this is a public play (according to stats betting sites, almost 64% of the public bet on this team). God Bless and Grind on everyone!

FORMATTED POST:

BOOM! Big win for us to start this new year! Look the details below.  Grin

Pick for January 1, 2019 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 12:00 PM CST, NCAA American Football
Match: Alabama - Michigan
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the Alabama -6.5 points for 10 UNITS (1.81 ODDS).


This game means something to Alabama, and it is obvious with the amount of players that have chosen to NOT skip this game. Michigan is going for their four 10-win seasons over the last five years but they are only 1-3 in their last four Bowl games. Michigan can struggle on the outside versus tough wide receivers as Ohio State had a field day. Alabama has even better wide receivers which is going to make it a very long day for the Michigan defense. Shea Patterson and Michigan falter in games like this and now they are playing an Alabama team that didn't impress this year. That is not good for Michigan. When Bama gets called to the coals and people doubt them they answer. Now don't get us wrong, they haven't earned a shot in the playoff but Coach Saban won't let this team play poorly when everyone is down on the Crimson Tide. The last time Bama was called out they beat #7 ranked Michigan State 49-7! Patterson and the Wolverines will have to play perfect football to keep this game close, and we just don't see that happening. Take the Tide to win big in this one 44-27.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
hero member
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Happy New Year everyone! Cheers! Thanks for those who followed my picks these past few months (and those who tailed too) and also, thanks for those lurkers who see if I'm gonna go bust in the end.  Grin The past decade has been a roller coaster ride for me but it's a very memorable one. Let's get those dubs and make some profit out of sports betting. See you around.  Wink
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Hello everyone. What's up? For today's freepick, I'm really liking the matchup between DePaul over Seton Hall in College Basketball. Take the spread for DePaul (-1 point). I'll update this post with complete details later.  Wink

FORMATTED POST:

Pick for December 30, 2019 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 7:30 PM CST, College Basketball
Match: Depaul Blue Demons - Seton Hall Pirates
LOSS - PICK: TAKE the DePaul +1.5 points for 1 UNIT (1.94 ODDS).

~snipped~

Man, what a bad beat. We were up by several points until the 38-minute mark and then after that, they didn't f*cking score. To top it off, they let the opponent score 9 points in the last 2 minutes making them lose in this match. My God, these games are really insane. Crazy game where you would think there some mafia working behind the scenes.  Angry
hero member
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Hello everyone. What's up? For today's freepick, I'm really liking the matchup between DePaul over Seton Hall in College Basketball. Take the spread for DePaul (-1 point). I'll update this post with complete details later.  Wink

FORMATTED POST:

Pick for December 30, 2019 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 7:30 PM CST, College Basketball
Match: Depaul Blue Demons - Seton Hall Pirates
LOSS - PICK: TAKE the DePaul +1.5 points for 1 UNIT (1.94 ODDS).


I really like this DePaul team and I think that they are going to be up for this game in a major, major way. This is the best DePaul team we've seen in several years and they actually have NCAA Tournament potential thanks to several impact transfers. DePaul has size, athleticism and experience, and they already beat a decent Texas Tech team here at home. Seton Hall is playing without two of its three best players. Without Myles Powell they are playing without one of the best players in college basketball. And while their big men and senior point guard Quincy McKnight can hold down the fort by relying on their defense, there simply isn't enough offensive pop for this team. DePaul does most of its damage from the perimeter and in transition. That should help limit Seton Hall's massive frontcourt. And in a game decided by the guards I like the home team's edge.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
hero member
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Hey man, thanks for taking your time to watch my thread and hopefully, you also followed my picks. We are quite having some good time in the past days (though we have some lost bets), we are still on the positive side which is always good in any type of gambling. Good eyes in noticing my title for this thread. My target is to change that "FADE ME" title to "TAIL ME" when I hit the +30-unit mark which is really close now. Hoping to get it before this year ends.  Grin

Good luck with that, I'm sure you'll achieve that soon.

Looking forward for some NBA picks... how about the game tomorrow, do you have some picks?

Thanks man. For today's pick, I really like the Over 207 points for Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings. Though they are currently in-game now and the Totals Line for them already moved to a higher one. Currently checking if I can find another good pick for Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks. Will post ASAP once I get decided what to bet on that game.
legendary
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Apologies for not posting any picks today. Quite busy today due to Christmas season but will try my best to post one today. See you later.  Wink

That's alright bro, take your time, everyone has to enjoy this holiday season.

I'm just watching your thread and I am happy that you are in positive now,... I think that "FAME ME" should be change, if we want to win?

Hey man, thanks for taking your time to watch my thread and hopefully, you also followed my picks. We are quite having some good time in the past days (though we have some lost bets), we are still on the positive side which is always good in any type of gambling. Good eyes in noticing my title for this thread. My target is to change that "FADE ME" title to "TAIL ME" when I hit the +30-unit mark which is really close now. Hoping to get it before this year ends.  Grin

Good luck with that, I'm sure you'll achieve that soon.

Looking forward for some NBA picks... how about the game tomorrow, do you have some picks?
hero member
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Apologies for not posting any picks today. Quite busy today due to Christmas season but will try my best to post one today. See you later.  Wink

That's alright bro, take your time, everyone has to enjoy this holiday season.

I'm just watching your thread and I am happy that you are in positive now,... I think that "FAME ME" should be change, if we want to win?

Hey man, thanks for taking your time to watch my thread and hopefully, you also followed my picks. We are quite having some good time in the past days (though we have some lost bets), we are still on the positive side which is always good in any type of gambling. Good eyes in noticing my title for this thread. My target is to change that "FADE ME" title to "TAIL ME" when I hit the +30-unit mark which is really close now. Hoping to get it before this year ends.  Grin
hero member
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Pick for December 28, 2019 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 11:00 AM CST, College Basketball
Match: Florida Gators - Long Beach State 49Ers
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the OVER 136.5 points for 3 UNITS (1.89 ODDS).


Per this game, like the Over here as Florida looked so bad on offense in their last game which they lost to Utah State 65-62 where they scored 2 points in the first 8 minutes. And, Florida still managed to score 62 points against a pretty good Utah State defense after that. Long Beach State is the worst team Florida would have played all year and we think they are likely to bust over 80 today and then you have a Beach team that scored around 75 against Wake Forrest and 76 against USC. Look for Florida to take some anger here and look for Beach to get up for this game as this game likely goes over.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
legendary
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Apologies for not posting any picks today. Quite busy today due to Christmas season but will try my best to post one today. See you later.  Wink

That's alright bro, take your time, everyone has to enjoy this holiday season.

I'm just watching your thread and I am happy that you are in positive now,... I think that "FAME ME" should be change, if we want to win?
hero member
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Our bet for today goes into NHL. Just take note that I'll be only betting half unit here because I cannot seem to find the best game for today. This is a three-way bet so if the match goes for overtime, our bet loses. We need Vegas to win outright to have this in the bag.  Wink

Pick for December 27, 2019 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 9:00 PM CST, NHL
Match: Anaheim Ducks - Vegas Golden Knights
LOSS - PICK: TAKE the VEGAS to win this game outright (three-way bet) for 0.5 UNITS (1.96 ODDS).


The Vegas Golden Knights will look to bounce back from a blowout loss to the Avalanche in their last game before the break when they hit the road to take on the Anaheim Ducks at the Honda Center in Anaheim, CA on Friday night. Marc-Andre Fleury (14-8-3, 2.81 GAA, .910 save %) will get the start in goal for the Golden Knights and he will be opposed by John Gibson (11-14-2, 2.88 GAA, .907 save %), who is scheduled to get the call between the pipes for the Ducks. Vegas has posted a 4-1 record in their last five games where they faced a team with a losing record and they have gone an excellent 5-1 in their last six games following a home loss by three goals or more. They have also won seven of their last ten games on the road and they have that same 7-3 record in their last ten games where they were listed as the road favorite. The Ducks, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 1-4 in their last five games versus a team with a winning record and they have that same 1-4 record in their last five where they faced a Pacific Division rival. They have also lost eight of their last eleven home games and they are an awful 6-16 in their last 22 games overall. Throw in the fact that John Gibson is 1-7-1 against Vegas in his career along with the fact that the Golden Knights are a perfect 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings between the two teams.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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Pick for December 26, 2019 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 9:30 PM CST, NBA
Match: Utah Jass - Portland Trailblazers
WINNER!!! - PICK: TAKE the JAZZ -4.5 points for 4.5 UNITS (1.91 ODDS).


Utah has gotten off to another slow start this season, as they did last season, but they turned it around last year and we are starting to see the signs it's happening again as they have won five of six. Portland has won four of five also, but they have played a home-heavy schedule. They are 6-10 on the road this season while Utah is 11-3 at home. Portland is 1-5 ATS in their last six as an underdog, and when they are getting beat in these situations it's normally well beyond the spread. Utah is just the better team despite the slow start and they have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. We think they roll tonight with a comfortable 7+-point win.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
hero member
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Apologies for not posting any picks today. Quite busy today due to Christmas season but will try my best to post one today. See you later.  Wink
hero member
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Looking for another win in NFL today.  Cool

Pick for December 22, 2019 (SUNDAY)
Game will start on 3:00 PM CST, NFL
Match: Los Angeles Chargers - Oakland Raiders
LOSS - PICK: TAKE the CHARGERS -6.5 points for 2 UNITS (1.75 ODDS).


This is an absolutely killer letdown situation for the Raiders. They are coming off the final home game in Oakland history. And to make matters worse, they lost that game to a terrible Jaguars team in a gut-wrenching fashion. They got booed off the field and that was that. The Raiders have had an absolutely brutal schedule this year and it has been an emotional season, from being on Hard Knocks to dealing with Antonio Brown to traveling to London to dealing with the off-field distraction of Las Vegas. I think that this team is just ready for it all to be over and they should have a massive letdown this week going back on the road to play the Chargers. On top of that, the Raiders will be without star rookie running back Josh Jacobs and Pro Bowl left tackle Trent Brown. They are starting to shut guys down and they are starting to look ahead to next year. I think that the Chargers should be in bounce back mode. They turned the ball over seven times - SEVEN! - last week against the Vikings. If they don't do that again they should win here! Last week's game was actually a littler closer than the 39-10 final score suggests. The Chargers were down 12-10 and driving for a FG to take the lead right before the half before a strip-six touchdown completely changed the game. It was only 25-10 going into the fourth quarter, and that was with Rivers throwing the ball all over the place. I don't think that Philip Rivers is going to have much trouble moving the ball and putting up points against a decimated Raiders defense that has allowed an average of 34 points per game over the last month. In fact, the only team that the Raiders have held below 24 points in the last two months was the Bengals. The Chargers have revenge for a brutal last-second Thursday night loss to Oakland earlier this year. Los Angeles was the better team in that game but, again, turnovers killed them. This Chargers team is more talented than the Raiders. And they are a lot better than their record suggests, with a bunch of close losses. I think that Los Angeles - with revenge on its mind and in a bounce back situation - is the much more motivated team. And when I look at the Raiders I see a team that is ready to quit on this season and call it a day.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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Pick for December 21, 2019 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 1:30 PM CST, College Basketball
Match: Butler Bulldogs - Purdue Boilermakers
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the BUTLER -1.5 points for 6.53 UNITS (1.92 ODDS).


Purdue lost a ton of scoring last year when Carson Edwards left, and they will have trouble keeping pace with Butler in this game. The Bulldogs have a ton of quality wins this season included bating Stanford and Florida. Purdue beat Virginia but they have struggled in their other big games losing to Florida State, Texas, Marquette, and Nebraska. Butler is better than all 4 of those teams. Butler dominated Indiana last year before losing on a freak play to end the game and they have a bad taste in their month from that Crossroads Classic. Butler is 45-20 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 67 neutral site games. Purdue is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
hero member
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LOSS - PICK: TAKE the CLIPPERS -4.5 points for 2.81 UNITS (1.89 ODDS).

~snip~
WOW, what a terrible way to loss. The Clippers choked very hard on the 2ND HALF. Really thought this bet is in the bag but I guess I really don't have to count my chickens before they hatch. the Rockets were down by 15 points at the end of the 1ST HALF and then they won by 5 at the end of regulation time? Maaannn, this has a very bitter after taste.

Will try to get it back tomorrow. See ya all.

I am not much of a fan of Basketball but I see your stats have become really good and I remember you starting not in the best possible way.This means with passion and perseverance good results can be achieved.Don’t worry about a loss whatever be the way that lost come,yesterday I thought I had won my ticket with 5 soccer bets only to be let down in the end by Almeria in Spanish cup.
Yep, you clearly remembered that. I started bad in this thread and have been on negative units for quite some time but as you mentioned, with perseverance and grinding hard on a daily basis, I managed to get ahead of the game and earned some units. If someone's following my picks and betting $100 per unit, he/she should be up by $1585. It's not a lot but it is way better than any other passive income/interest out there.  Wink

Is that a multibet/parlay where you lost your last match? Man, you might felt bad about it.  Undecided
legendary
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LOSS - PICK: TAKE the CLIPPERS -4.5 points for 2.81 UNITS (1.89 ODDS).

~snip~
WOW, what a terrible way to loss. The Clippers choked very hard on the 2ND HALF. Really thought this bet is in the bag but I guess I really don't have to count my chickens before they hatch. the Rockets were down by 15 points at the end of the 1ST HALF and then they won by 5 at the end of regulation time? Maaannn, this has a very bitter after taste.

Will try to get it back tomorrow. See ya all.

I am not much of a fan of Basketball but I see your stats have become really good and I remember you starting not in the best possible way.This means with passion and perseverance good results can be achieved.Don’t worry about a loss whatever be the way that lost come,yesterday I thought I had won my ticket with 5 soccer bets only to be let down in the end by Almeria in Spanish cup.
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
LOSS - PICK: TAKE the CLIPPERS -4.5 points for 2.81 UNITS (1.89 ODDS).

~snip~
WOW, what a terrible way to loss. The Clippers choked very hard on the 2ND HALF. Really thought this bet is in the bag but I guess I really don't have to count my chickens before they hatch. the Rockets were down by 15 points at the end of the 1ST HALF and then they won by 5 at the end of regulation time? Maaannn, this has a very bitter after taste.

Will try to get it back tomorrow. See ya all.
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