Topic: FADE ME! - (46W - 33L) (+24.05 UNITS) FREE Daily Betting Tips - Startup Thread - page 60. (Read 12690 times)

Drew Rucinski is one of the best pitchers in the KBO. He looked outstanding in his first start, pitching six scoreless innings and allowing just three hits. I have no problem backing him at this price, especially with the better lineup behind him. Odrisamer Despaigne was sharp in his first outing as well. But consistency has been a major problem for this guy his entire career. In his last two seasons in the Majors he had ERAs of 6.69 and 9.45. He has a big arm but control is always an issue. I think Rucinski is a bit more polished. NC is at home and they have the better lineup so I will jump on them at this price.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

Vitebsk has three wins this season despite a negative goal differential. They've also played a fairly easy schedule. They are coming off back-to-back losses, and last week's choke job against Slavia Mozyr is the type of loss that can linger. Really if you peel back over their schedule they have been garbage for the past month. Their only wins came against Smolevichi (1-0) - who is awful - and against Brest (1-0) in a game where Brest took two red cards and conceded the winning goal down while playing 11 v. 9. We hit big with Shakhtar last week in a 4-0 rout and I think that they are going to keep that going. This is consistently one of the two or three best teams in this league. They are in sixth place and are just 3-2-2 despite the fact that they lead the Premier League in goal differential. They've won three straight games, all by multiple goals, and they have scored 10 goals in their last three matches. These are two teams that are trending in opposite directions and I think that it will be a victory for Shakhtar.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

There is absolutely no way that Slavia should've won its last game. They beat Vitebsk 3-2 in the lone game that we lost last weekend. It was absolute garbage, as Slavia got two goals on penalty kicks in the game. They were down 2-1 in the 85th minute before they scored a goal in the 87th and then another (on a PK) in the 88th minute for a wild rally to a win. That's not happening again. Torpedo is the No. 2 team in the table right now and the have been playing really well. Outside their one loss to Dinamo Minsk on April 3 they have played really well against a tough schedule. They absolutely buried FC Minsk last week, racking up four goals in the first half. They were due for a breakout after two tough scoreless games against Rukh Brest and BATE. I think that momentum is going to carry over here against a Slavia Mozyr team that is not nearly as good as its results suggest.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

CANCELLED DUE TO VIRUS!!!Uriah Hall vs Ronaldo Souza
PICK: URIA HALL TO WIN THIS FIGHT

Submission expert Jacare Souza (26-8) will compete vs. Knockout artist Uriah Hall (15-9) to kick off the prelims of UFC 249. Jacare is looking for a much-needed win after losing two straight fights, and 4 of his last 6. Uriah is looking for his third victory in a row and to continue building momentum in the middleweight division.

Where this fight ends up, in our opinion, will dictate who comes out with the win. Jacare has power and the ability to win by KO against anyone, but will want this fight on the ground, whilst Uriah Hall is expected to win the standing exchanges. What makes this fight intriguing is the fact that Jacare can be competitive on the feet, but if this goes to the mat, it is only a matter of time before he forces a tap-out from Hall.

We expect to see a motivated Jacare as he looks to avoid his third straight loss for this first time in his career. We are however, seeing a steep decline in the ability of Souza - He's taking consistent damage, his cardio isn't holding up like it once did (not surprising for 41 years of age), and he's finding it increasingly difficult to get takedowns. Uriah on the other hand seems to be putting it all together. He is been hit and miss in his UFC career with inconsistent performances and has previously voiced his lack of confidence in his own mindset - but that all seems behind him now. Uriah won his last fight via split decision vs. Antonio Carlos Junior in a bout where he impressed us, and was able to KO both the dangerous up and comer Bevon Lewis, and the all-round talented Krzysztof Jotko. Uriah's only loss came at the hands of middleweight monster Paulo Costa back in 2018 (a fight where he really did impress, but Costa proved to be too much).

This fight could go either way, but the huge reach advantage and striking ability of Hall should prove to be effective versus a rapidly fading and ageing Jacare. Uriah will need to play this one smart and look for his shots without being too aggressive to ensure he is not leaving himself open for an easy takedown. If he can do that, we expect Uriah to finish Souza in impressive fashion. It's been a phenomenal career for Jacare, but it's time to hang 'em up.

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LOSS Donald Cerrone vs Anthony Pettis
PICK: DONALD CERRONE TO WIN THIS FIGHT

Anthony Pettis (22-10) is set to face off vs. Donald Cerrone (36-14) as they headline the prelims before heading over to PPV at UFC 249. This fight will mark a rematch from their 2013 fight in which Pettis won.

Both fighters are coming off a string of losses, as Anthony Pettis lost via rear-naked choke to Carlos Diego Ferreira at UFC 246 and a unanimous decision loss to Nate Diaz at UFC 241. Donald Cerrone has lost three fights in a row to Conor McGregor, Justin Gaethje and Tony Ferguson - all by TKO. This fight will be the sixth fight for Cerrone since 2019 and you must wonder if these quick turnaround fights are starting to take their toll considering the damage he has been taking.

While many see both fighters as on the decline (hard to argue) you must take a look at the level of opponents they have been fighting. Pettis's last 6 opponents were Carlos Diego Ferreira, Nate Diaz, Stephen Thompson, Tony Ferguson, Michael Chiesa and Dustin Poirier. Pretty tough sledding... One could argue that Cerrone, on the other hand, has had an even higher level of recent opponents - Conor McGregor, Justin Gaethje, Tony Ferguson, Al Iaquinta, Alexander Hernandez, Mike Perry and Leon Edwards! To put that in perspective, 4 of those 7 fighters are all legitimate title contenders. (No disrespect Al, Alexander and Mike Perry). The reason we are pointing this out is it's all too easy to look at fighters, and assume they are on the decline without taking into true consideration the level of competition they are facing.

In terms of the matchup, this will be interesting one for sure! Both are excellent grapplers. Cerrone has finished 47% of his opponents by submission, while Pettis has managed to finish 32%. You should not assume that Cerrone has the edge here just based on these numbers. Both are high level blackbelts in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and the level of opponents Pettis has managed to finish by submission is mighty impressive (Charles Oliveira and Michael Chiesa).

While fans would love to see these two duke it out on the mat - it is unlikely. This is one that will probably be a striking battle. Pettis is flashy and can land something special at any given moment but does not push the pace enough and this can lead him to lose rounds based on inactivity and looking for that 'showtime' KO. It should be noted that before Pettis knocked-out Stephen Thompson in 2019, his last knockout win was all the way back in 2013 which incidentally was against no other than, Donald Cerrone!
Cerrone is a high-level kickboxer, and in our opinion, the better point fighter in this matchup. Whilst Cerrone does not do all that well vs. fighters that come forward and push the pace - he will not be having this issue with Anthony Pettis, who likes to sit back and look for openings. We expect Cerrone to be able to take control of the octagon and land with more consistency, which should help the judges score him rounds. In rounds that are contested, Cerrone does have the offensive wrestling ability to take Pettis down, but will have to be careful in his guard.

All-in-all, this will be a close fight, but as the rounds go on and Cerrone picks up the pace and aggression we believe it will be another situation where Pettis shows some signs of quit and Cerrone should be able to take over for a decisive decision win. Pettis is not the same guy from 2013 and we believe these odds should be flipped.

The Heroes gave one away to KIA yesterday, blowing a late lead and a chance for a sweep. I think that they will rebound here in their home opener, though, against a Hanwha team that scored a comeback win of its own yesterday. Hanwha pulled a solid upset over SK for the second time in that series. However, now they are facing an even better Kiwoom team and they are playing a second straight series on the road. I think that they are primed for a letdown in this spot and I like the Heroes to rebound and continue their solid play through the first week of the season. Hanwha is going with Jang Min-jae. He got torched by Kiwoom last year, giving up 15 runs in 18 innings (7.50 ERA). In 2018 he gave up seven runs in just five innings, so he has an ERA of nearly 9.00 against them the past two years. I expect him to get hit hard again.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

Ko Chang-mo is coming off a great season. Things clicked last year for the then-22-year-old pitcher and he struck out 114 batters while posting a 3.20 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. I think he gives the Dinos a clear advantage here as they go for the sweep. Samsung is going with David Buchanan, who really struggled while posting a 5.03 ERA in the Japan League last year. This is his first career start in the Korean League and I think that he will run into some trouble. He only throws around 90 mph, so he's not going to throw off the Dinos lineup, which has been hot in the first two games. I can see a higher scoring game in this one.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

The Heroes bombed the Tigers last night and I think they will be able to do it again here today. Kiwoom had the No. 1 offense in the KBO last year, averaging 5.42 runs per game, and they came flying out of the gates with 11 runs in the opener. The Tigers allowed over five runs per game last year and I think that they are going to get hit hard again today. Aaron Brooks is making his KBO debut after getting bombed out of MLB. He is going up against another ex-pat, Eric Jokisch. Jokisch was outstanding last year, posting a 3.13 ERA while striking out 141 and walking just 39. He is a veteran lefty with a big lineup behind him and I think that will give the visitors a nice advantage against a rookie starter, a rookie manager, and a team that has serious deficiencies.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

So great to have Baseball back here as now Korean Baseball will be on free picks. Per this selection, Dan Straily is a well known pitcher who used to pitch for the Oakland A's and then the Miami Marlins and now for 500k a year he is with the Lotte Giants. As per Odrisamer, he used to pitch with the Whitesox before being let go and now he pitches for KT Wiz. Note, Lotte Giants were dead last in 10th place last year and KT Wiz was around 6th. Both these guys struggled in the pre-season and given the lack of defense on both these teams and the opening day game where the eyes of the world will be on these teams, look for both pitchers to get lit up a bit here as Straily is the better pitcher and I do think that the Giants could upset KT here, but given that both these 30+ year olds have been struggling with control lately, we have this game around 10-11 runs so we will roll with the Over.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

This is a game from Belarus 1 Division. Khimik Setlogorsk is an abomination of a team, having been outscored by nine goals in their first two matches. That said, they had played two of the top teams in the league and I think that they will be in desperation mode early in the season. Arsenal is a club that was just formed in 2019 and they were promoted from the Belarus 2 Division. They got pasted 3-0 against Oshmyany before gutting out a 2-1 win against Granit. They still haven't really proven that they are going to be anything other than a lower tier team in the 1 Division and I think that it is asking an awful lot of them to blowout a team that has been in this division for years. In 2017 and 2018 Khimik was a respectable, competitive mid-tier team in the 1 Division. They struggled last year and are obviously off to a poor start this season, but I still expect them to be competitive in this game. If you give me three goals, I'll take them. And I think expecting Arsenal to just step on the field and blow out another team by four or more goals really expecting too much. If you go back over the last year of all matches, Khimik has gone 8-22-5. Not great at all. Between the start of last season and the beginning of 2020 only six of their 18 losses had come by four or more goals. That's just a third. And prior to January just three of their last 12 losses had been major blowouts like that, with most of those blowouts coming against the top tier teams in the league. That's not Arsenal. Given their current form I wouldn't expect Khimik to win this match - although at +1200 on the moneyline it is tempting - but I will be very surprised if they roll over and just get buried here. Take the goals.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

This is a bit of a set-up play. On its face, I still think this is a decent spot for Shakhtar Soligorsk. They are the more desperate team in this situation. Last year Brest won the league title and they have gotten off to a slow start. But Shakhtyor was No. 3 last year, No. 2 in 2018, and No. 3 in 2017. So they are used to competing prior to this year's ugly 1-2-2 start. It is early. But they are still in that relegation zone. I know they are on the road, but they are desperate.

I know this seems like an odd wager. However, there are three options: Shakhtar wins, Dinamo wins, or the match is a draw. If Shakhtar wins then we cash the second and third bets (+590 - 200 for the first bet = +370). If it is a draw then we win our first bet (+470 - 200 for second bet; third bet 'push' = +270). Basically, we have a guaranteed profit on 2/3 of the expected outcomes. And I'm not just playing the numbers here; I really think that Shakhtar has a great chance to win this game. They have played well in this matchup and their extra desperation should earn them some extra value.

Finally, this is a set-up play because these two teams play again on Wednesday - in Soligorsk. If Shakhtar loses this match on Saturday then they will be playing for their season on Wednesday and will be plus-money at home in a revenge spot. That will be a spot to double-down because I don't see Dinamo pulling the sweep here.

I like the value on Shakhtar. They've been a reliable, top-tier club in this league for years. I think they get it done here and I expect to hit the side (either with them winning or taking a draw) and the total for a solid win. If Dinamo wins 2-1 - so be it. Just bout any other result works in our favor here.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

I'm not playing lot of sports in the betting I used to play Tennis, Cricket and occasionally on Soccer. I tried playing on unknown sports but stopped it because of losses. I think providing quality picks on a few sports is much required and good than covering no of sports so just do the sports whichever is comfortable and you are too good at should be fine

These are both solid mid table sides in the Belarus Premier League. You will see some flashes of brilliance, but more often than not, you will see above average output. Slavia sit in seventh place in the league on seven points after five-matches. Slavia is coming off a disappointing 2-1 loss having given up two late goals after leading most of the match. This snapped a four-match unbeaten run which included two wins over a very good BATE side. Slavia return home where they have not lost in seven matches, with five wins. They host a Minsk side that have lost three straight after opening the season with two wins. Those two wins were against 10th place Dinamo Minsk and last place Belshina. Away from home, Minsk has won only one of their last seven matches. Six of Minsk last seven away matches have hit 2 or fewer goals. Minsk won the last meeting 1-0. Slavia has a bit of revenge as well, let's roll with the better side here in Slavia to likely to get it done and finally bounce-back.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

Hey there, welcome to my thread. I also cover Baseball games and Ice Hockey. On top of that, I'm planning to cover other games as well such as Golf, Tennis and other Esports games. The main purpose of this thread to help and provide information to other sports bettors and with that in mind, if you have any suggestions (like if you want me to check some games and provide feedback/picks on it), just let me know and I'll be happy to provide some. 

Hey, mate new to this thread and I would like to know what are all the sports you are covering in this thread.? As I could see in some of the old posts you are covering Basket Ball, Football and Soccer. Are you giving tips are most of the sporting event or only on a few sets of sports.?

The finals of the Taiwan Basketball League open up tonight. We will side with the best team in the league, as Taiwan Beer finished 25-7, nine game better than Yulon Luxgen. This spread opened up at -10 and has been coming down very the value clearly lies with taking the favorite. Expect them to be well rested and pull away in the second half to win this game by double digits.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

he line has gone up since yesterday and now it sets up a big play with the under. The game last time out got over 179 by just 1 point and as this series goes on, expect the defense to tighten up. Sooner or later the under is going to hit in this match-up and having a total in the 180s does not leave much room for scoring droughts. One will occur in this game and we look to hit it big with the under.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

Quick update guys, I have several picks for 2020 NFL Draft Props and you can get it by sending eh PM to me. Don't worry, these picks are all free. You'd ask "why not post it on your thread?". The answer is that there's no NFL prop bets on the bookie that I use and thus will not post here (because it will not count to my overall stats). Anyway, there you go, just drop me a message and I'll provide the pick right away.

Also, we'll be having a Basketball Free Pick in the morning (6:00AM EST) so watch out for it. 

The public are trending with the over here and they've hitting it in their past matched but what I believe is the other way around. I think they'll slow it down with this game and the total is a bit too much for comfort. We'll go with the UNDER here and see them to play good defense and make this one a very slow paced game.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

Great win yesterday! We are having some good time right now and with some wins on the bag even though the world is on haywire because of the pandemic that we experience globally. I'm still hoping that you are following my picks (whenever I have one) because this could bring huge help on your end. We'll have no picks for today as I can't find any game with value that is worth betting to.

On the other hand, lookout for tomorrow as I have another pick in Basketball.  Stay safe everyone and be healthy out there!

These two teams have played over the posted total in their last 3 games. In fact they have gone way over the posted total in those games averaging a combined total of 209 points per game. Look for that to continue as the semi-finals of the Taiwan Basketball League gets underway.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.