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Topic: FADE ME! - (46W - 33L) (+24.05 UNITS) FREE Daily Betting Tips - Startup Thread - page 67. (Read 12690 times)

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After another huge win yesterday, we'll try to win another one today.

Pick for December 1, 2019 (SUNDAY)
Game will start on 3:25 PM CST, NFL
Match: Kansas City Chiefs - Oakland Raiders
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the CHIEFS -10.5 points for 1.5 UNITS (1.85 ODDS).


I think that everything is pointing toward a blowout here. However, the one thing that I knew would submarine any improvements was the fact that they have been shackled by one of the most difficult schedules in NFL history. At one point they had to play five straight road games. Then they came home and played two home games in five days on a Sunday-Thursday. After three straight weeks at home they had to travel cross country last week for an early start in New York. It didn't go well and the Raiders got absolutely pasted 34-3. Now they have to fly home, hang out, and then travel to Kansas City this week to face a Chiefs team that is coming off a bye week. Andy Reid teams are legendary off the bye. And I think that they are going to be really focused and really motivated for this one. The Chiefs were kind of faced with their own mortality over the past month or so, with Pat Mahomes getting injured and the team losing four of their last seven games. I think that this team is going to be extremely focused to get this win and essentially wrap up the division title. The Raiders defense is a mess. They still can't rush the passer and they are just No. 28 in pass defense. I think that Mahomes is going to tear them up. If Oakland can fluke out some plays and push around the Chiefs defense with the running game and hang around in this one then so be it. But I see a mismatch in this game. I see a motivated, rested and more talented Chiefs team playing with home field advantage against a Raiders team that is tired, run down, and in over its head. I think that this one has the potential to get out of hand and I can see it around 44-14.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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Pick for November 30, 2019 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 2:30 PM CST, NCAA College Football
Match: Minnesota Golden Gophers - Wisconsin Badgers
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the BADGERS -2.5 points for 10 UNITS (1.81 ODDS).


A lot is on the line in this game as the winner gets to play Ohio State next week in the Big Ten Championship Game. The road team has been the play of late, as they have covered the spread 4 times in the last 5 years (1 push). Wisconsin was shocked last year, and that is one of the worst losses under Coach Paul Chryst at Wisconsin. The Badgers will be far and away the best defense the Gophers have faced this season. Wisconsin is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. Just do not believe Minnesota is ready to win a game like this. They are improved, but their schedule has been soft all season long, and this is the game where that will show up in a big way. Wisconsin pulls away late to win this game by 10 points.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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LOSS - PICK: TAKE the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES -2.5 points for 1.9 UNITS (1.91 ODDS).
~snip~
Hard loss to take. The opponent was able to do a comeback win in the last few minutes of the last quarter. I really thought that we'd win this one. But, atleast it was an interesting game to watch. Intense one, I must say. The Cavaliers avenged their past 15 seasons against the Hockies and they will push through to the ACC championship. Looking forward to what they'll have in the future.
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Pick for November 29, 2019 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 11:00 AM CST, NCAA College Football
Match: Virginia Cavaliers - Virginia Tech Hokies
LOSS - PICK: TAKE the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES -2.5 points for 1.9 UNITS (1.91 ODDS).


I have Virginia Tech winning this game by 7+ points here Friday. Virginia Tech is the superior team defensively in this game and they have held opponents to just 5.7 points per game over their last 3 games with opponents averaging just 204 yards per game against them. Virginia Tech has averaged 33.7 points per game on the road this season and they have averaged 173 rushing yards per game this season. Virginia Tech just beat Georgia Tech 45-0 on the road and that is the same Georgia Tech team that almost beat Virginia at home as they won that game by just 5 points. Virginia Tech is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Cavaliers. Play Virginia Tech ATS.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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Wow, just wow. Our last bet yesterday swung from a winning one to an utterly losing one. I really thought we had this in the bag but they forgot to score on the 2nd half.  Angry

Pick for November 28, 2019 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 7:20 PM CST, NFL
Match: Atlanta Falcons - New Orleans Saints
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the SAINTS -6.5 points for 2.7 UNITS (1.91 ODDS).


The Saints losing bad to the Falcons three weeks ago is fantastic when it comes to this game. Now, the whole revenge factor isn't that big a deal here as these are two Division rivals, and they are going to go at each other regardless. Drew Brees needed to get his feet wet coming back from his injury, and he has done just that following the Falcons loss. Atlanta looked as if they were going to right the ship after knocking off the Saints, but they have gone right back to their old ways since. Like we said, this isn't a revenge game, but it is a bounce back game. The Saints roll here and win this game by double-figures. The Saints defense will play much better than it has as of late, as they struggled versus Atlanta and they nearly gave away the game to Carolina. Look for New Orleans to focus a bit more on that side of the football and limit the Falcons offense. There is still a lot of incentive for the Saints in this game as they sit one game behind San Francisco for the number one seed in the NFC. With San Fran playing the Ravens, New Orleans knows this is a spot they need to take advantage of. Lay the points in this one as New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in their last nine overall and 24-8 ATS in their last 32 road games.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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After a nice win yesterday, we will go into College Basketball to see if we can grab some dubs today (even though we have a lot of games in NBA, I see a lot of value in this bet).  Wink

Pick for November 27, 2019 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 4:00 PM CST, College Basketball
Match: Penn St Nittany Lions - Ole Miss Rebels
LOSS - PICK: TAKE the LIONS -2.5 points for 1.9 UNITS (1.94 ODDS).


The Lions always seem to play well in New York and have had good success in the post season NIT this century (winning it twice since 2009). They have a dominating win against Georgetown and return 4 starters from their squad from last season. The Rebels are coming off a loss last time out to Memphis, a team that was playing without their all-everything player in James Wiseman. Penn State is 12-2 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 16 games. 76% of the money is coming in on Penn State and they will win this game by 7-9 points.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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Pick for November 26, 2019 (TUESDAY)
Game will start on 8:00 PM CST, NBA
Match: Denver Nuggets - Washington Wizards
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the NUGGETS -10.5 for 1.8 UNITS (1.96 ODDS).


The Nuggets have rattled off five in a row and suddenly find themselves at the top portion of the West, which is exactly where they should be. This team battled all year in 2018-19 and they fell short of their goal but with the roster they have back and their decided home court advantage (7-2) they will be in the mix this Summer. This is a tough spot for the Wiz as they have been home for the last three and now head on the road for 4 in a row. They are scrappy and have been playing above their heads at times so Denver should have little trouble pulling away in this one.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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Looking to grab another win today at NFL.  Wink Check the details below.

Pick for November 25, 2019 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 7:15 PM CST, NFL
Match: Los Angeles Rams - Baltimore Ravens
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the RAVENS -3.5 for 1.81 UNITS (1.97 ODDS).


I love the Ravens in this situation. Statistically they are the best team in football. Right now this team is playing great and I think that momentum will continue. The fact that they are favored on the road against a Rams team that won the NFC last year tells me a lot. Baltimore has won six straight games and eight of 10. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games and all of them have been blowouts. Baltimore has won its last two games over the Bengals and Texans by a combined score of 90-20! The Ravens already went on the road and beat Seattle and the Seahawks have one of the best home field advantages in the NFL. Baltimore is 6-2 ATS in its last eight road games and the Rams are just 3-2 SU at home this year. The Ravens are also the only team to beat New England and that game was a blowout. The Rams offense has really been struggling. This team is just 3-4 SU in their last seven games and have only scored over 30 points one time in their last six games. Injuries have really hurt this Rams team. Los Angeles is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine games on Monday Night Football and the Ravens are 10-4 ATS on MNF. Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games against a team with a winning record. I will lay the points in this game and I think that the Ravens will pick up another big win as they try to go for the No. 1 seed and home field advantage in the AFC. Lay the points.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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Match: Cleveland Browns - Miami Dolphins
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the OVER 44.5 for 2.5 UNITS (1.9 ODDS).
~snip~

BOOM! The total score for our bet went way above 44.5 (65 to be exact) and we got a huge winner on this one!  Grin Congratulation on those who follow. We will always have a losing bet here and then but I'm confident that we can always come back from it and get some profit in the end. Positive units is love.  Grin

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We are going with American Football (NFL) today. Check the betting details below!

Pick for November 24, 2019 (SUNDAY)
Game will start on 12:00 PM CST, NFL
Match: Cleveland Browns - Miami Dolphins
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the OVER 44.5 for 2.5 UNITS (1.9 ODDS).


The Browns are some of the biggest losers in football. They are pathetic. Baker Mayfield is not good. Freddie Kitchens is an incompetent and is in way over his head. Cleveland is only a disappointment this year if you know absolutely nothing about sports. Anyone that thought this team would be a legit playoff contender was absolutely kidding themselves. However, their offense actually has been a massive disappointment. They are just No. 22 in total yards and No. 25 in scoring, with just 19.2 points per game despite a litany of playmakers at the skill positions. Part of that is, again, incompetence. But there is another factor at play here. Look at the defenses that the Browns have played: Steelers, Bills, Denver, Patriots, Seattle, 49ers, Ravens, Rams and Titans. Those defenses are all legit! They have faced seven of the Top 10 scoring defenses in the NFL. Hell, the Steelers - No. 12 in total yards, No. 9 against the pass and No. 13 in points allowed - were the WORST defense the Browns have faced over the last month. Now Cleveland gets to face a Miami defense that is, frankly, horrible. The Dolphins are No. 29 in total yards, No. 20 against the pass, No. 31 against the rush and No. 31 in points allowed at 30.5 points per game. It's bad. And if the Browns can't threaten 30 points in this game then I don't know what to tell you.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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Great win yesterday as the Heat wiped the floor using the Bulls team.  Grin

Also, I have a play today that I bet on but didn't have the capacity to put them here as I was inside the hospital at that time. Here are the details for it.

Pick for November 23, 2019 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 10:30 AM CST, ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
Match: West Ham United - Tottenham
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the TOTTENHAM -0.5 for 2 UNITS (1.74 ODDS).


The Jose Mourinho era at Tottenham will begin on Saturday morning as they travel down the street to face local rivals West Ham United. Tottenham enter Saturday's match in 14th place on 14 points after 12-matches. We like teams right after a manager change, this is a very talented Tottenham side that is 2-1-2 in their last five-matches and on a three-match unbeaten run. Tottenham though have been one of the worst sides in the EPL on the road having not won a League match on the road since January, that is a 12-match run without a League road win with nine losses. Probably a big reason for the manager change. Tottenham though have one win and one draw in their last two away matches overall with a 4-0 win at Crvena Zvezda in the Champions League. Not surprisingly, West Ham find themselves in 16th place on 13 points, just one point behind Tottenham and five points off the drop zone. West Ham are 0-4-1 in their last five-matches losing two in a row, including an ugly 3-0 loss at Burnley. At home, West Ham are on a three-match winless run and 2-2-1 in their last five home matches. This will be the 117th meeting between these two sides, with the visiting team winning the last three in a row and five of the last side. We expect a big performance out of Tottenham on Saturday morning.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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We got an NBA game today, guys. Don't miss this one out!  Wink

Pick for November 22, 2019 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 7:00 PM CST, NBA
Match: Chicago Bulls - Miami Heat
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the HEAT -4.5 for 1.9 UNITS (1.92 ODDS).


The Heat have shown they are one of the best teams in the East (and maybe the entire league) through the first month of the season. They are 10-3 and have won four in a row heading into this matchup with the Bulls. Jimmy Butler will have a little extra lead in his pencil for this one so look for a great performance from the Miami star. Butler has not had good exits from his last three stops, Chicago being one of them, so this start in South Beach is very promising. He is one of the leagues best two-way players when he is right and he has been just that through thirteen games. This should be an easy win for Miami so go ahead and lay the number.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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-snip-

Any picks on matches later?
Here's my pick today. Though this is for College Basketball as I don't have any bet for NBA tonight.

Pick for November 21, 2019 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 8:00 PM CST, College Basketball
Match: New Mexico State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the LOBOS +4.5 for 4 UNITS (1.92 ODDS).


New Mexico got its first real taste of competition on Tuesday after four cupcakes. It didn't go well, with the Lobos losing to an underrated UTEP team in a rivalry game. I think their radar will be up and they should bounce back in this second straight rivalry game. New Mexico has lost five straight to NMSU. That's the Aggies longest winning streak in the series in nearly 70 years. I don't see them winning this game and I think that the wrong team is favored. New Mexico got several transfers eligible this year, including stud JaQuan Lyle. Several of these transfers sat out here last year as well, so chemistry isn't as big of an issue for this group. How much better is this team? Last year's best player, Vance Jackson, is now sixth on the team in scoring and is almost an afterthought. Finally, the last time these two played here was last December. NMSU humiliated New Mexico, 100-65. The Lobos are going to want revenge. And over half the points that were scored by Aggies that day were scored by guys no longer on the team. This Aggies team isn't nearly as good. And this Lobos team is a lot better. New Mexico is going to be focused on this game. And NMSU may also get caught looking ahead to their trip to the Cayman Islands this weekend for next week's holiday tournament. I'll call for the upset from the roadie.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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I nearly took a -1.5 bet on Chicago yesterday. But the same with your belief that Detroit is under-achieving and must find ways to win made me think twice. Derrick Rose and Blake Griffin are back too. Not enough to persuade my mind on betting Detroit so I just decided to leave this match and look for the other games. I lost my bet on SAS but I made a profit, thanks to Utah and Miami.

Any picks on matches later?
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Hey guys and girls, check my pick for today in NBA.  Wink

Pick for November 20, 2019 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 7:00 PM CST, NBA
Match: Chicago Bulls - Detroit Pistons
LOSS - PICK: TAKE the PISTONS +1.5 for 2.8 UNITS (1.89 ODDS).


It's starting to become must win time for the Detroit Pistons as they have got off to a 4-9 start on the NBA season. Some might consider the Pistons underachieving right now but the fact is they have only been favored in 4 of their first 13 games this season and so they are probably right where they should be overall. I feel this is a talented and underrated group when it's healthy but their health has been the biggest problem early on this season as their best player Blake Griffin has played in only 2 games so far and another one of their top guys in Derrick Rose has been in just 8 of their first 13 contests but both are back and healthy.

The Pistons haven't played since last Friday night as they lost at the buzzer to Charlotte as the Hornets hit a miracle fade away three pointer at the horn to win the game. That means Detroit has had five long days to stew over that heart breaking loss. I expect the Pistons to be focused and ready to go in this one tonight and to play this game with a big sense of urgency. Detroit will also be likely looking for revenge here against this Chicago Bulls squad as they lost to them earlier this month in Chicago in a tight contest decided by 6 points in a game they were without Griffin. Overall the Pistons have the much more talented team between these two and should be focused, rested and motivated in what is a big game for them tonight.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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Hope to see more NBA picks here and if possible, can you could daily so we could tail you. Smiley

NBA fan here, not much on NHL.

I am a sports fan in general but NHL is one of the very least I know. I can only remember one name, the legendary Wayne Gretsky. Sports telecast in my country is too limited, mostly on NBA only. Football, baseball and hockey are big leagues in the west.

I see that there's so much interest in NBA. Thanks for providing your feedback and I'll try to provide more NBA content/bet in the future. Just take note that if I don't see any value in the lines available for NBA games, I'll mostly stay away from it and look at other sports. But then again, my priority moving forward is to give you NBA free picks.  Wink

We fell short by just 2 points in our last bet. It's very frustrating because if the winning team just tighten up the defense in the last minute, their opponent wouldn't be able to shoot that 3-pointer and our bet should have won. But, meh, this is gambling and everything is unpredictable. Anyway, we'll move forward to today's games and see if we can grab any value bet with it.

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I am a sports fan in general but NHL is one of the very least I know. I can only remember one name, the legendary Wayne Gretsky. Sports telecast in my country is too limited, mostly on NBA only. Football, baseball and hockey are big leagues in the west.
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We'd go with College Basketball today as I'm seeing good value here.

Pick for November 19, 2019 (TUESDAY)
Game will start on 7:00 PM CST, College Basketball
Match: Kansas Jayhawks - East Tennessee State Bucs
LOSS - PICK: TAKE the JAYHAWKS -14.5 for 2.10 UNITS (1.85 ODDS).


I think that this game will be a blowout for the Jayhawks. Kansas has one of the best home court advantages in college basketball. They almost never lose at home. They are almost unbeatable in nonconference games at home and ETSU won't be able to get the job done in this one. In their last game, Kansas beat Monmouth 112-57! The Jayhawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and that big home court edge will be on full display in this game for Kansas. East Tennessee State is coming off a close home win over Winthrop. This is a major step up in class for them and I expect them to struggle on both ends of the court. Kansas should dominate the paint. Center Udoka Azubuike is one of the best big men in college basketball. ETSU doesn't have anyone that can challenge him. Over the last two years ETSU has not done well against teams from the bigger conferences. The Buccaneers come from the Southern Conference. When they have played teams from the power conferences they have lost to Kentucky, Xavier, Creighton and Illinois in the last two seasons. This is their first big test of this year against a big-name team. I think it will be another blowout ETSU is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven games and just 1-4 ATS after a win. Go with the Jayhawks in this one.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
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Hope to see more NBA picks here and if possible, can you could daily so we could tail you. Smiley

NBA fan here, not much on NHL.
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Congratulations on your win with Indiana. Indiana is an underrated team and once their main players oladipo and lamb returns they will become a strong top 8 in the east. brooklyn is too inconsistent with irving. I begin to think if irving was really bad on boston because his former team is starting very strong this season with only 2 defeats.

Any bets for the games later? I am thinking about phoenix, memphis and portland.   
Hey man, thanks for dropping by here. You are indeed correct in your opinion about the Pacers and Iriving's performance this season. I also pointed that out in my write up for the Pacers - Nets game.

I do have bets later and I'm currently looking into NBA, NHL and College basketball. I'm still checking the lines available to us and still finding thr best value out there. I'll be posting our free pick for today in a few hours so stay tuned.  Wink

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