Topic: Football/Soccer Winning Strategy (Read 535 times)

Just a small amount enough for a fan to follow the sport and enjoy watching. Yup any sport I guess you can experiment on the strategy. I tried it on some sport that didn't work for me but it could work for you. It is always just betting for the favorite team, the bookmakers rarely make mistakes in their odds which means you are also on the winning side.

You just can't control the upsets and draws which is why there is also the note about the strategy being Not Guaranteed to work for all.

Your under note is very necessary because of newbie gamblers here whom might assume it as risk free strategy that guarantee winning. This strategy doesn't sound new to me. I attempted it some times back but later abandoned it due to my high stake on little odds which I see as risking too much. I tried it on table tennis too and it is use to work some time while it won't at times. Most at times, the game get more intense towards the final period of the game and if care is not lots of goals will be scored and the initial favorite with less odds will be defeated. The strategy in general is a good one but the reason why I later abandoned it is because of how I was managing it. I do pick three to four games some times to realize two odds in order to be able to double the money and if you are not staking huge amount, the return will be very insignificant. So I think it would be better to risk appropriately and earn a decent amount if it works out than to risk huge amount on little return.

Don't let this be a test, five dollars is enough to risk on gambling and sometimes you can even make more than this forty dollars, how do you feel after winning? I can bet with you that you won't feel the same if you start using higher amount, unless its within the certain amount that you are willing to lose.

---

Either this strategy or that strategy, in the end what matters is the risks you are taking, losses in inevitable in gambling, thats why one must stay within their capability, a gambler who risk small amount of money will always be a happy gambler.

Even if you are rich you should still keep using small amount of money, gambling is not a genuine source of making money, it is a space of making unrealistic gains, that's why you always need to protect yourself, do not be greedy and if you believe that your strategy is one of a kind, just stick to it and don't ever increase the amount of money.

And you do not think that the "gambling within gambling" approach is such that can increase the risk of the gambler? As we are looking for a means to reduce risk, you are here advocating more risk, that's certainly not conservative. Just like the martingale approach you mentioned, it is such that puts the account of the gambler at a higher risk and martingale has never been a term in any risky activity to denote something done with ease but it always denotes something done in desperation. Are you now preaching desperation in gambling which we always advised against?

As for the betting style, this is not just a good style that denote good and careful speculation but gambling on a certain pattern. Mind you, who says since a team has scored, it has now guaranteed their winning? This is baseless and your argument is not just constructive in this regard, histories would prove you wrong millions of times.

Oh, nice that you know it doesn't work in the EPL. But I do not know what you mean by "FIFA" because that name is the entire football body which the guy claimed he is using the strategy for. So I don't even know if you are For or Against anymore.

As always with this type of topics, people tend to get overly focused on the probability of winning, completely neglecting payout rates being too small to make it worth it.
Simple example: if you bet on a dye-roll and bet on it rolling any number from 1-5 with a winning bet paying you x1.10 - you'd be winning the vast majority of times, but you'd still be losing money.

To have an effective strategy, you need to find a way of shifting the advantage to your side. Otherwise it's just inventing new ways of losing money.


1.21 to be precise. You just need to multiply them together.

The strategy is the opposite of what you are saying. But it implies banking on the favorite team will make a bettor win but the suggestion is to parley though. I think the goal is to make the winning amount higher. While you get the chances of winning are higher in a team with 1.10 odds, adding another team with another odds of 1.10 means hitting 1.20 right?

I like that you added 'hope to win' to your point, some people will talk as if the strategy will surely make you win, so there is a chance of losing still, which seems to be impossible to beat.

I think this strategy tends to increase your chances of winning, and thats why I will call this a good one, the reason why many gamblers lose money in sports bets is because of odds, they get greedy picking odds up, if the amount isn't very big they won't be satisfied.

Thanks for the advice, still who will learn will learn, many people are too greedy when it comes to gambling, you made $40 using just $5, many people won't like this, because it is too small to call a win in their head.

When it comes to sports bets, always choose fewer games, and take profit when you are in one even before the match ends.

If you want a safe bet you will find a round-robin game with a higher chance top tier team will be matched against the low-tier team and by this, you can get a safe bet, or else you will seek another bet opportunity to the other games offered in that recent match, most of the time they are offering a match winner, first goal, first card, and etc. with the game you can also grab the chance if you know the team really well by this taking advantage you can easily hit a good run with the single game. For me its easier to predict sports betting if you have a good understanding and analysis with the players and the teams game play.

Not gonna work all the time though I haven't managed to try it personally. I saw some hockey and football games where the score will become 1-1 or 1-2 (the first who scored losses or draw) and I don't think it will not work all the time. I still prefer to make a simple research regarding the team and match even if I am not familiar with them, a simple look at their previous matchup or games would give you an idea on which team who will win or how many scores in total they could make, and place that bet.

This kind of method works on me (but not all the time) there's an instances that I lose 8 consecutively so yeah, it's there's really no winning strategy that let you win all the time but there's a lot of strategy you could try on.

It's just like any strategy that anyone has, they're all doomed to daily in the long run. If there was a guaranteed winning strategy then casinos and sportsbooks would be out of business.

Basically from what I read, you're just hoping that the 1st team to score holds. Unfortunately, sports are super unpredictable and even a game with 1.01 odds can lose.

Acceptable, in fact quite a few of us have applied it in betting on the sports we love. for example, what you say in this thread is not something foreign to me personally. anyway, I also do it even without having to do it in a live match. The concept is the same, the difference is that I don't aim to always win in every bet. Let's be realistic, in reality no one wants to lose their bet. that's why, I do my betting sessions with pleasure. I mean, without having to focus on the results. why, because for me usually these things can change our assumptions in every choice and even a high sense of desire to win. on the other hand, betting 1 or two single matches for me is enough. Of the many available schedules, we are presented with various matches.

This is where the unique thing is, sorting and choosing has become a necessity for me. It's a bit time-consuming, but in football we can review several days before the match takes place. in the final stage, evaluate and examine the results of the analysis to confirm our choice. There is no need to focus on the lowest odds or direct matches, because in fact there is no definite guarantee for that. We can sort and choose everything, according to the knowledge and insight we have. I like the lowest odds at least @1.70. that too, with all the options available. So, you don't have to bet to always choose a team. Likewise with the parlay option, 3 matches is more than enough, because the more we choose, the greater our ratio of losing. I have carried this idea through the years regardless of winning or losing. Moreover, I am a sports lover. So, the main point is not the winning money. but the sensation that is presented is also the art of football itself.

You're right I've tried such method with sports betting and it doesn’t work very often you might be lucky on the first two trials before you realise that you won't win very often. Infact there's no strategy that guarantees one to always win you could only minimise your losing streaks but won't win everytime. And i agree with you cause most times when i used that strategy it's always a draw game that ruins it mostly.

 Every individual should understand that luck plays a very good role in gambling and whether you've got a very good strategy, their are times when luck comes in. I'm very used to sports betting lately there are sometimes when you’ll be pretty sure you've won a bet then you’ll see a lesser team equalising at 89mins just few mins to the end of the match.

Methods like these don't always work because ultimately you are playing with luck and that first goalscorer might get their goal back from the opposing team and the game might end in a draw.

The mental satisfaction here is from the fact that you are doing something that is different from regular games. It cuts the existing redundancy but does not add anything new. It is not a skill based game and hence however you might want to twist the things, it all comes down to your luck.

I quite understand your point about betting fewer games but I kind of feel that the confirmation of winning that you are talking about if you bet few games and smaller odd isn't always like that. If we say that every small odd or few games amounts to winning then every of such will be winning then every gambler will look in that direction. Are we taking away the luck factor in gambling? The point therefore is even lowest odds do become the set back on slip. There are times when only 1.30 odd will lose and 3.15 odd will win. However, I agree that it is better to bet fewer games than multiple, because the chances are high to win than multiple bets.

Strategies in sports betting only work with knowledge, you can't expect to apply a strategy like this without having any knowledge and understanding about the teams involved in a match because that wouldn't make any sense and you will see your strategy falling apart. What if the team that scored a goal isn't the favorite but somehow managed to score and the opponent is stronger than them and they might score two or more goals later on?

So, however uses or applies such strategies on their bets need to understand that sports betting is all about knowledge and understanding of the teams and the players involved and you can't make your bets based on how many goals are scored and what is the timer at that time because we have often seen teams scoring more than 2 goals in the last few minutes of a game.

So basically this "strategy" is to find a bunch of games, that are playing right now and betting on the team that scored the first goal?
This doesn't seem like a sports betting strategy to me. The belief that the team, that scores the first goal usually wins the game isn't very common in football. Hockey games can't end in a draw, while football games could end in draw very often. This changes the odds.
Football games aren't as predictable as other sports. Maybe you should stick to hockey.
The best football betting strategy I know is matched betting. This isn't even a strategy, it's a method to make some easy money out of sports betting bonuses.

TBH, I already knew about this strategy before but never tried it because I was doubtful about the risk I was taking but it wasn't worth the odds which seemed a little small to me.
but whether this is luck or this strategy can really provide an 89% guarantee of victory, but I tried it myself in yesterday's match.
Initially I had read this thread and wanted to prove it for myself with a small amount of around $1 to see if I really got a win and it turned out I was surprised by the winning results I got.

I only tried single bets and maybe if there is another match later, maybe try parlay bets


from this picture, the match is in progress but Almeria is ahead by 1 score and I placed a bet right in the second half choosing Almeria to win with odds @1.35 and I got the win.
but unfortunately my main bet actually lost with a bigger bet
I never wanted to try this strategy because I prefer challenges at bigger odds to get profits commensurate with the risks we take.

Have you tried to backtest your betting strategy on past matches by chance? How many times are you able to guess the winner of the game by applying this strategy on 100 matches for example?
I don't understand why you wait the 2nd half to place your bet BTW, since you are taking live odds, it's more profitable to bet earlier because the less time remains in the match, the lower are live odds for the team leading because it will win even if no other goal are scored, and the more the time passes, the less likely it is to have another goal. So if your strategy is just to bet on the first team to score, it is certainly more interesting to bet on it right after its first goal.  

When it comes to Gambling bets can we say that there definitely is a strategy to making stakes and placing bets? My reason for saying this is quite simple. Now if you observe closely you will notice that sports betting including soccer is more like making a prediction and in such a case predictions are based more on luck than calculations. Although analysis and experience also helps, the percentage of luck required to ace a bet is still very huge compared to the level of experience and analysis required.
Now I am not saying it's impossible to have a strategy in sports betting, rather all I'm saying is that although it is possible the role luck has to play is still a very huge one.

Gambling within gambling pattern is always the kind of system done in most strategies even the martingale system which one can apply also in this strategy. and just like @Solosanz said, this is like betting on your favorite team but just multi-betting but this time doing it live and in the 2nd half, and at the same time you are almost sure the team will win because they already scored.

Based on my experience, it doesn't work much in the very popular premier leagues or on FIFA because of the chances of DRAWs.