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Topic: Football/Soccer Winning Strategy - page 2. (Read 1537 times)

sr. member
Activity: 1479
Merit: 273
Seabet.io | Crypto-Casino
October 08, 2024, 03:59:45 PM
There will definitely be a time when we lose in the betting world, it's a risk. Logically winning in a big club with a small multiple for me is no problem. and in terms of understanding the statistics of the club players with the best style are favorites. I often monitor small teams better and look forward to fighting giant teams. The adrenaline of small teams sometimes brings surprises when fighting big teams making big multipliers
This don't usually favor me because often times small club of team can be easily manipulated and already we know those big team are always stronger to suppress the smaller team, there may be some exception if only they assigned new players to the club then we can try to gamble with the smaller team to give them winning against the opposition team. But I must say it's not always favorable and advisable to give winning to smaller team maybe after checking their records and statistics you find out that their 5 previous matches they did well then you can give them winning.
if you often see or monitor small clubs have a potential process that will bring far it is very extraordinary. I always like to see small clubs in the process of becoming giant teams or fans of fans getting bigger, you could say the team is in the process of rising slowly. giant teams for me are extraordinary and do not surprise me because they already have star players who are already good at playing. but if you see a small team has potential star players we will know which way the wind is going
sr. member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 262
20BET - Premium Casino & Sportsbook
October 08, 2024, 02:38:33 PM
It's true, especially with the important games, like for example when Madrid lost against Lille from France in the UCL, how many people didn't lose that bet? I'm sure many, sometimes betting on the elite teams doesn't guarantee that they will win, in that game Ancelotti was totally to blame for coming out with a strange formation in a UCL game, okay, it wasn't a team like PSG or Man City, but it was a team that is in the UCL, and every team that is in the UCL is because it is very good, so it's difficult to predict when a team will win or lose, even if all the conditions are not in their favor, they can still lose.

Betting on elite teams can win you games most times but not all the time. There are some weeks that the small teams are favourites to win as many of them pick up wins. During weeks like this you can try you luck too by favouring small teams and since their odds are always bigger, it is going to give you lots of profits if the game plays for you. In my opinion, all the sporting strategy used for betting are under probability because they are not guaranteed way of gambling to make profits. There is no sure way, you can win some and lose others when you use any sporting gambling strategy. This is why I do not take sport betting too serious and just enjoy myself while betting. Betting on live game is another strategy that has high profits that can be nice to try but you have to know the teams that you are betting on.
There will definitely be a time when we lose in the betting world, it's a risk. Logically winning in a big club with a small multiple for me is no problem. and in terms of understanding the statistics of the club players with the best style are favorites. I often monitor small teams better and look forward to fighting giant teams. The adrenaline of small teams sometimes brings surprises when fighting big teams making big multipliers
There is no strategy that is 100% effective, there will always be an exception when we could have to lose money and this time it could be when we are over confident about a bet going to see huge wining, suddenly we could lose because nothing like strategy is always effective. Gambling has thought me a lots of lesson to learn and be ready to lose funds at anytime.
When we are too confident about a strategy, loses and regret is what mostly end it. This is why we ought to stay safe as gmsblers, measuring the probability of winning and losing at the same time. Winning does not come always.
hero member
Activity: 1428
Merit: 653
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
October 08, 2024, 02:10:59 PM
There will definitely be a time when we lose in the betting world, it's a risk. Logically winning in a big club with a small multiple for me is no problem. and in terms of understanding the statistics of the club players with the best style are favorites. I often monitor small teams better and look forward to fighting giant teams. The adrenaline of small teams sometimes brings surprises when fighting big teams making big multipliers
This don't usually favor me because often times small club of team can be easily manipulated and already we know those big team are always stronger to suppress the smaller team, there may be some exception if only they assigned new players to the club then we can try to gamble with the smaller team to give them winning against the opposition team. But I must say it's not always favorable and advisable to give winning to smaller team maybe after checking their records and statistics you find out that their 5 previous matches they did well then you can give them winning.
sr. member
Activity: 1479
Merit: 273
Seabet.io | Crypto-Casino
October 08, 2024, 02:02:31 PM
It's true, especially with the important games, like for example when Madrid lost against Lille from France in the UCL, how many people didn't lose that bet? I'm sure many, sometimes betting on the elite teams doesn't guarantee that they will win, in that game Ancelotti was totally to blame for coming out with a strange formation in a UCL game, okay, it wasn't a team like PSG or Man City, but it was a team that is in the UCL, and every team that is in the UCL is because it is very good, so it's difficult to predict when a team will win or lose, even if all the conditions are not in their favor, they can still lose.

Betting on elite teams can win you games most times but not all the time. There are some weeks that the small teams are favourites to win as many of them pick up wins. During weeks like this you can try you luck too by favouring small teams and since their odds are always bigger, it is going to give you lots of profits if the game plays for you. In my opinion, all the sporting strategy used for betting are under probability because they are not guaranteed way of gambling to make profits. There is no sure way, you can win some and lose others when you use any sporting gambling strategy. This is why I do not take sport betting too serious and just enjoy myself while betting. Betting on live game is another strategy that has high profits that can be nice to try but you have to know the teams that you are betting on.
There will definitely be a time when we lose in the betting world, it's a risk. Logically winning in a big club with a small multiple for me is no problem. and in terms of understanding the statistics of the club players with the best style are favorites. I often monitor small teams better and look forward to fighting giant teams. The adrenaline of small teams sometimes brings surprises when fighting big teams making big multipliers
hero member
Activity: 2800
Merit: 595
https://www.betcoin.ag
October 08, 2024, 01:34:32 PM
I don't think this is quite as straightforward as you put it.
I don't know about other sports but in football/soccer, the team that has the bigger chance to win usually have like 1.50-1.80 odds. If it's higher than that then both teams have a very good chance of winning the game. Now if a team with 1.50 odd scores first the live odd drops to some less than 1.20 and this also depends on the time they scored. When the odds are that small, you'll either need to pick more games to make up to 2 odds or stake way higher, both options means more risks.

I play live bet a lot in football betting and you have to be very familiar with the team and league to know how to play it.  I don't play straight win much though. If I'm watching the game and I see how the game is going, I can bet on more goals, corners, and bookings. Games turn around in football too often.

It could be an advantage for someone familiar with the teams and league to play it wisely. Or you could end up overthinking which team could win in a match.

As for me who isn't very familiar with the teams, it's not such a burden and just bet based on the odds and the live bets whether it's in the 2nd half already. It's simply a strategy for gamblers and not a fan of soccer. You may like it or not but this is just meant for betting a small amount. Just enjoy the thrills and bet what you can afford to lose.

sr. member
Activity: 686
Merit: 332
October 08, 2024, 08:34:17 AM
I don't think this is quite as straightforward as you put it.
I don't know about other sports but in football/soccer, the team that has the bigger chance to win usually have like 1.50-1.80 odds. If it's higher than that then both teams have a very good chance of winning the game. Now if a team with 1.50 odd scores first the live odd drops to some less than 1.20 and this also depends on the time they scored. When the odds are that small, you'll either need to pick more games to make up to 2 odds or stake way higher, both options means more risks.

I play live bet a lot in football betting and you have to be very familiar with the team and league to know how to play it.  I don't play straight win much though. If I'm watching the game and I see how the game is going, I can bet on more goals, corners, and bookings. Games turn around in football too often.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 1092
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
October 08, 2024, 08:10:55 AM
The last thing I can conclude from this incident is that this is the reason why we are always advised to only bet with a small budget regardless of whatever reasons you have, no matter even if the team you choose is much stronger than the opposing team in terms of statistics or performance, because the final result cannot always be known from the start.

I think that's what Op is trying to share. He shares his small betting success by betting on Parlay. It is possible for a good win but we have to be smart in choosing the opportunities.
Gambling is still gambling. We will not be able to determine a definite strategy. Op shares how to make bets on live matches that he has experienced himself. I rarely bet on live matches. Especially for matches that have given an advantage to one team. We can see several matches where the team that was initially behind was finally able to turn things around and managed to win.
Many people share their betting methods. Maybe the method works for others, but when we try it, it might not work well for us.

Right, the point is as you said that gambling is still gambling, meaning the possibility of risk will always be something that will definitely happen anytime without you expecting it, simply the chance of winning is always there but the possibility of losing will also continue to lurk when you hope to win when playing. Basically yes sports betting is about skill and knowledge, or what is meant is when you have good enough knowledge then it can increase your chances of winning, but that does not mean that you will be free from the possibility of losing, meaning that skills will only help you not to lose too often, and that is because there are so many factors that can affect the results in the ongoing match, so stay careful and use the amount of money that you are really ready to lose.
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 503
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
October 08, 2024, 12:58:46 AM
It's true, especially with the important games, like for example when Madrid lost against Lille from France in the UCL, how many people didn't lose that bet? I'm sure many, sometimes betting on the elite teams doesn't guarantee that they will win, in that game Ancelotti was totally to blame for coming out with a strange formation in a UCL game, okay, it wasn't a team like PSG or Man City, but it was a team that is in the UCL, and every team that is in the UCL is because it is very good, so it's difficult to predict when a team will win or lose, even if all the conditions are not in their favor, they can still lose.
Betting on elite teams can win you games most times but not all the time. There are some weeks that the small teams are favourites to win as many of them pick up wins. During weeks like this you can try you luck too by favouring small teams and since their odds are always bigger, it is going to give you lots of profits if the game plays for you. In my opinion, all the sporting strategy used for betting are under probability because they are not guaranteed way of gambling to make profits. There is no sure way, you can win some and lose others when you use any sporting gambling strategy. This is why I do not take sport betting too serious and just enjoy myself while betting. Betting on live game is another strategy that has high profits that can be nice to try but you have to know the teams that you are betting on.
Yes and all of this can be said to be able to think about reversing the choice on the small team because indeed many of the top team this week have bad luck to get the final result of failure to win, there are many defeats and draws that should not happen to them strong and popular top team.
But I sure before seeing and knowing all the results this week then we can't talk and think about choosing small team as favorite and getting much bigger odds, haha ​​I lost lot of bets by having analysis and predictions that have been superior on paper for the favorite teams but in the end they gave disappointment and series of consecutive defeats.
But I think that all these bad results happened because it was still in the early phase of the season where each team was still playing more relaxed and not so pursuing more wins because in the future they could easily surpass all those above them and try to achieve success, it is natural that all strategies and predictive analysis have failed even though it is included in the safe betting choice.
Just look at all the matches will be easier to predict and analyze when entering the middle of the season until the end of the season.
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 227
Playbet.io - Crypto Casino and Sportsbook
October 06, 2024, 02:04:18 PM
It's true, especially with the important games, like for example when Madrid lost against Lille from France in the UCL, how many people didn't lose that bet? I'm sure many, sometimes betting on the elite teams doesn't guarantee that they will win, in that game Ancelotti was totally to blame for coming out with a strange formation in a UCL game, okay, it wasn't a team like PSG or Man City, but it was a team that is in the UCL, and every team that is in the UCL is because it is very good, so it's difficult to predict when a team will win or lose, even if all the conditions are not in their favor, they can still lose.

Betting on elite teams can win you games most times but not all the time. There are some weeks that the small teams are favourites to win as many of them pick up wins. During weeks like this you can try you luck too by favouring small teams and since their odds are always bigger, it is going to give you lots of profits if the game plays for you. In my opinion, all the sporting strategy used for betting are under probability because they are not guaranteed way of gambling to make profits. There is no sure way, you can win some and lose others when you use any sporting gambling strategy. This is why I do not take sport betting too serious and just enjoy myself while betting. Betting on live game is another strategy that has high profits that can be nice to try but you have to know the teams that you are betting on.
legendary
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1166
October 06, 2024, 01:33:26 PM
It worked for some time that I turned my $5 to $40 in 2 days of betting. This is just a test of it as I learn this from someone as well. He didn't teach me the entire strategy but just gave me a hint on how to do it.  So maybe if you can improve this sports betting strategy, you may as well contribute to this evolution.

So here are his words: Find a sport like Hockey where teams normally just score a few and usually the first team that scores wins the game. And then find a casino that lists live matches. And then Parlay on 2-3 games. Don't go more than that or it gets riskier he emphasizes.

So what I did is apply this same strategy on Soccer as well. Remember to do this on live matches.
So when you see game 1-0 and the team that score 1 has the odds of 1.30, I guess this is a good bet already. Just add another of these live games for your multibet and hope to win. Also, make sure it's already 2nd half.

Note: Not Guaranteed But Worth Trying.

It works until it doesn't work, it is the same for any other betting strategy. There is nothing magical behind your formula and if it was a long-term winning strategy, then it just means that the bookmakers miscalculate the odds.

If you take the Premier League as an example for football, the probability of the team scoring first to win the game is around 69%. Now if you have three games and we take this average probability (it is obviously average as a top team scoring first has a higher probability than a bottom team scoring first) and you go with 69%, then the probability of all three games ending with a win is 0.69^3, which is a bit less than 33%. So in 33% of the time, picking three games and going with the team that scored first works out one in three times.

Now you have to consider that there is much more complexity involved. If Manchester City scores first and plays against a weak team, you won't get 1.3 in odds, but more like 1.12 or so (if at all). This implies that there is still considerable risk involved and this isn't really a promising strategy. 
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 583
October 06, 2024, 12:35:01 PM
The last thing I can conclude from this incident is that this is the reason why we are always advised to only bet with a small budget regardless of whatever reasons you have, no matter even if the team you choose is much stronger than the opposing team in terms of statistics or performance, because the final result cannot always be known from the start.

I think that's what Op is trying to share. He shares his small betting success by betting on Parlay. It is possible for a good win but we have to be smart in choosing the opportunities.
Gambling is still gambling. We will not be able to determine a definite strategy. Op shares how to make bets on live matches that he has experienced himself. I rarely bet on live matches. Especially for matches that have given an advantage to one team. We can see several matches where the team that was initially behind was finally able to turn things around and managed to win.
Many people share their betting methods. Maybe the method works for others, but when we try it, it might not work well for us.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 1092
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
October 06, 2024, 12:23:15 PM
Betting on the leading teams on live matches indeed sometimes profitable and i have been try this strategy several times before but this strategy also will not always be successfull because i have watching plenty that the team who conceded goal in the first half can able to bounce back and equalize the scores and some of these teams even can makes epic comeback by win the match and eventually people will lost their bets so what i want to say is this is good strategy but the percentages to losing your bets also quite high and this strategy won't working well if you bets on the strong team because after these teams scores and leading the game then automatically the odds could be very low which sometimes can reach to @1.1 or even below

It's true, especially with the important games, like for example when Madrid lost against Lille from France in the UCL, how many people didn't lose that bet? I'm sure many, sometimes betting on the elite teams doesn't guarantee that they will win, in that game Ancelotti was totally to blame for coming out with a strange formation in a UCL game, okay, it wasn't a team like PSG or Man City, but it was a team that is in the UCL, and every team that is in the UCL is because it is very good, so it's difficult to predict when a team will win or lose, even if all the conditions are not in their favor, they can still lose.

True, the conclusion is no matter how strong the team is in terms of statistics and performance compared to the opposing team, the possibility of defeat will always be possible, Real Madrid is a top team and I think we all know that, but that doesn't mean they will never lose, because there are still quite a lot of factors that can affect the results in the final minutes, mistakes in implementing tactics or arranging players in and out at the wrong time will certainly also greatly affect the balance of a team which can ultimately reduce the chances of winning. The last thing I can conclude from this incident is that this is the reason why we are always advised to only bet with a small budget regardless of whatever reasons you have, no matter even if the team you choose is much stronger than the opposing team in terms of statistics or performance, because the final result cannot always be known from the start.
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 1882
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
October 05, 2024, 03:35:47 PM
Betting on the leading teams on live matches indeed sometimes profitable and i have been try this strategy several times before but this strategy also will not always be successfull because i have watching plenty that the team who conceded goal in the first half can able to bounce back and equalize the scores and some of these teams even can makes epic comeback by win the match and eventually people will lost their bets so what i want to say is this is good strategy but the percentages to losing your bets also quite high and this strategy won't working well if you bets on the strong team because after these teams scores and leading the game then automatically the odds could be very low which sometimes can reach to @1.1 or even below

It's true, especially with the important games, like for example when Madrid lost against Lille from France in the UCL, how many people didn't lose that bet? I'm sure many, sometimes betting on the elite teams doesn't guarantee that they will win, in that game Ancelotti was totally to blame for coming out with a strange formation in a UCL game, okay, it wasn't a team like PSG or Man City, but it was a team that is in the UCL, and every team that is in the UCL is because it is very good, so it's difficult to predict when a team will win or lose, even if all the conditions are not in their favor, they can still lose.
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1169
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
October 04, 2024, 07:51:24 AM
It worked for some time that I turned my $5 to $40 in 2 days of betting. This is just a test of it as I learn this from someone as well. He didn't teach me the entire strategy but just gave me a hint on how to do it.  So maybe if you can improve this sports betting strategy, you may as well contribute to this evolution.

So here are his words: Find a sport like Hockey where teams normally just score a few and usually the first team that scores wins the game. And then find a casino that lists live matches. And then Parlay on 2-3 games. Don't go more than that or it gets riskier he emphasizes.

So what I did is apply this same strategy on Soccer as well. Remember to do this on live matches.
So when you see game 1-0 and the team that score 1 has the odds of 1.30, I guess this is a good bet already. Just add another of these live games for your multibet and hope to win. Also, make sure it's already 2nd half.

Note: Not Guaranteed But Worth Trying.
-cut-
I'll let you know how i am doing later on
Ok, it has been few days and i am actually doing great.

I modified your idea so that i am also including on goals on first half, because there are easier to find good odds and they are often way more profitable then just 1.3.

I am also betting on basketball if odds are good for anyone leading >10 points. I have lost few games, but those have still not affected to the profits. Also i am not doing multi-bets.

I don't believe that this would work in a long run, but for now, it helps for making my decisions faster.
hero member
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Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
October 04, 2024, 01:04:35 AM
To be honest, I have not found statistics on teams that won the match in that case. If they started scoring first. Are there such statistics and links to similar studies? But I am also sure that if such statistics exist, then the bookmaker must certainly know them. We must not forget that our goal is not just to predict the outcome of the match with a certain probability in percentage, but also to do it significantly better than the bookmaker. Moreover, one more condition is important: we must do this at those odds at which we can make a profit that can cover our possible losses. You can guess the results of the match with great accuracy and at the same time lose because your wins will be with low odds, and your losses will be with high ones.
In general, we will definitely do our best to find the best results too, but on the other hand, there are bookies who in my opinion still have a greater advantage compared to players who bet everything, even bookies can change the fact that when two teams compete, it is already clear which team will win, but if the bookie experiences a loss, it can be reversed by making the losing team win, in its own way which will likely annoy bettors, but the bookie will not care about that because all they think about is profit. In addition, the chances of losing that the player has are relatively low, so it is not strange if players lose more often, I have watched a match between equally strong teams with results that will end in the match making me win, but not long before the end of the game there was a strange incident that reversed the facts, with this incident I think that this is a bookie game.
legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 3477
October 03, 2024, 09:49:07 PM
To be honest, I have not found statistics on teams that won the match in that case. If they started scoring first. Are there such statistics and links to similar studies? But I am also sure that if such statistics exist, then the bookmaker must certainly know them. We must not forget that our goal is not just to predict the outcome of the match with a certain probability in percentage, but also to do it significantly better than the bookmaker. Moreover, one more condition is important: we must do this at those odds at which we can make a profit that can cover our possible losses. You can guess the results of the match with great accuracy and at the same time lose because your wins will be with low odds, and your losses will be with high ones.
hero member
Activity: 2884
Merit: 794
I am terrible at Fantasy Football!!!
October 03, 2024, 01:04:17 PM
Quote

So what I did is apply this same strategy on Soccer as well. Remember to do this on live matches.
So when you see game 1-0 and the team that score 1 has the odds of 1.30, I guess this is a good bet already. Just add another of these live games for your multibet and hope to win. Also, make sure it's already 2nd half.

Note: Not Guaranteed But Worth Trying.


Did "your friend" tell you why it must be a sport that teams merely score "few"?
Most likely the strategy is that way because if you were to try it in a sport in which there is a lot of scores, then a reversal will be way more likely, so this seems like a strategy that could be used on soccer, hockey and maybe even baseball, however while it is a good idea, at the same time it is too simple to work long term, since I am sure that casinos are aware of most strategies that gamblers use and they can defend against them by giving you terrible odds when a scenario like that happens.
hero member
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Rollbit.com ⚔️Crypto Futures
October 03, 2024, 10:54:49 AM
So what I did is apply this same strategy on Soccer as well. Remember to do this on live matches.
So when you see game 1-0 and the team that score 1 has the odds of 1.30, I guess this is a good bet already. Just add another of these live games for your multibet and hope to win. Also, make sure it's already 2nd half.

Note: Not Guaranteed But Worth Trying.
This might work because you have eliminated any underdog 1st half winners from the equation, and looking at the choice of odds you getting it... means this is almost 15 minutes of game play remaining which isn't a bad idea.
But the number 1 enemy to these games has to be the draw because it's 3 options we playing with (1X2), though to tweak the strategy for more wins I think the double chance @1.30 odds could work, or say draw no bet is a good approach...though I hardly see this market on most bookies these days wonder why.
hero member
Activity: 1666
Merit: 701
October 03, 2024, 10:35:34 AM
But it does not mean that it is impossible to enjoy gambling
Nothing is impossible, it just depends upon what your goals are.

Yup, the pleasure or enjoyment in gambling depends on what you are looking for or what your purpose is in coming, because logically when you come to look for income then of course I can assure you that it is not pleasure or enjoyment that you will get but a journey full of tension and pressure, and that is why the goal of earning is always prohibited.

Quote
when the gambler is able to treat it minimally in the sense of not treating his gambling activities excessively, I also do it with a little money or I mean only with the minimum amount of money that I can afford to lose.
Which is a good thing to make sure you are managing your bankroll. Without limiting that you are in for a balance cleanup in no time.

Basically gambling is a game of money, chance and risk, if there is no risk involved in it then of course it is impossible we always advise people to be careful in making decisions and also suggest to have good management by putting many limits, as you said that without applying any limits then it will be very easy for a gambler to always end up with zero balance.

Quote
So I think it is still possible to make gambling a means of entertainment as long as winning in the object of money is not your priority, but of course it cannot be denied that there are always gamblers who gamble with the aim of making money.
Most gamblers are having the aim to make money from the casino and the opposite is actually what is going to happen to them. Sports that one is knowing about should be bet on but dont let that get to your head because that leads to mental health problems when you are betting on one side and they start going South.

Yes I can also assure or believe that most gamblers come to make money, and as you said that the opposite is true. That is the biggest mistake people make, they see everything from only one side, not considering the other side such as risk and how the winning and losing scenarios occur, so I often say here that if you find new things then use your common sense and rational mindset so that you do not misunderstand.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1253
So anyway, I applied as a merit source :)
October 03, 2024, 04:57:40 AM
But it does not mean that it is impossible to enjoy gambling
Nothing is impossible, it just depends upon what your goals are.

Quote
when the gambler is able to treat it minimally in the sense of not treating his gambling activities excessively, I also do it with a little money or I mean only with the minimum amount of money that I can afford to lose.
Which is a good thing to make sure you are managing your bankroll. Without limiting that you are in for a balance cleanup in no time.

Quote
So I think it is still possible to make gambling a means of entertainment as long as winning in the object of money is not your priority, but of course it cannot be denied that there are always gamblers who gamble with the aim of making money.
Most gamblers are having the aim to make money from the casino and the opposite is actually what is going to happen to them. Sports that one is knowing about should be bet on but dont let that get to your head because that leads to mental health problems when you are betting on one side and they start going South.
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