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Topic: Forecasting Altcoin "Daily Price Change" Winners and Losers (Read 4279 times)

sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
Nice thread. Thank you. Please do your best!
hero member
Activity: 749
Merit: 503
Blockchain Just Entered The Real World
have a look at this listing of winners & losers for the 24H / week / month

https://www.cryptonator.com/winners-losers
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
So you've got about 20 days of data? Hows the ROI on average for the winners/losers?
Obviously it is very difficult if not impossible to create a model that can predict a winner with historical data but it is fun and mighty interesting to try nonetheless. Good luck!
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 250
Nice thread.Thanks for this.
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 10
Today, I've decided to post the entire model results (rather than a couple picks), so people get an idea of what's actually occurring behind the scenes. So, the price listed is the price that was modeled. It was obtained from coinmarketcap within the past hour of this post. I ran that last price through the model (using the other variables in the model as well) and out we receive a percentage for each coin. That percent is the predicted percentage gain over the next day. Here's the results:

legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
Interesting  Smiley

newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
Aww I haven't been on much so haven't been checking in here much.

How's the picks been?
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 10
Yesterday's picks didn't do as well as past picks (winner's were down 2% on average when I re-ran the model). I feel like when the model isn't re-ran twice during the day, the picks aren't as accurate.

Today, I reran the model 3x so, with these picks, I'm pretty confident. Let's see how these picks turn out:

Here's today's picks:


Losers   Price Now
Pesetacoin   0.032
Marscoin   0.016
ORObit   0.0033
Pxlcoin   0.017
FlappyCoin   0.0000046

   
   
   
   
Winners   Price Now
 Ixcoin   0.03
Elacoin   0.18
CasinoCoin   0.0016
Joulecoin   0.0023
DigiByte   0.0002
   
   
Bitcoin   581.64

newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 10
Ok. So, I took the weekend off. I'm back with some picks....

Losers   Price Now
Grumpycoin   0.0000013
Kittehcoin   0.000058
Gridcoin   0.012
Murraycoin   0.0048
Nyancoin   0.00061
      
   
   
Winners   Price Now
UltraCoin   0.11
42 Coin   40438
FlorinCoin   0.0035
Vertcoin   1.66
Cryptographic Anomaly   0.88

   
   
Bitcoin   581.83
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
following...
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 500
Time is on our side, yes it is!
+1 for the OP for putting this thread together I know I appreciate it.  Bringing such useful information like this to the masses, it is what the forum needing for sure
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 10
Here's today's picks:

Losers   Price
Animecoin   0.0000059
LottoCoin   0.000018
CorgiCoin   0.0000014
iCoin   0.0036
Murraycoin   0.0049
   
   
   
   
Winners   Price
ContinuumCoin   0.0000038
Grain   0.0000059
66 Coin   1719
CacheCoin   1.43
ORObit   0.0035

   
   
Bitcoin   592.13
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 10
I checked the model's results earlier today. Yesterday's picks did quite well. Here were the results:

Losers   Change
66 Coin   -47.5485268630849%
ProsperCoin   0%
Extremecoin   -1.44927536231885%
BlackCoin   -17.3913043478261%
Pesetacoin   0%
AVERAGE   -13.277821314646%
   
   
   
   
Winners   Change
Pandacoin (PND)   -1.4705882352941%
Premine   26.3157894736842%
iCoin   30.7692307692308%
Coino   -34.7826086956522%
Animecoin   96.7213114754098%
AVERAGE   23.5106269574757%
   
   
Bitcoin   -1.79662412515438%
   
   
   
   
   
   

   
   
   
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 10
Here's today's picks:

Losers   Price Today
66 Coin   1154
ProsperCoin   0.045
Extremecoin   0.069
BlackCoin   0.023
Pesetacoin   0.021
   
   
   
   
   
Winners   Price Today
Pandacoin (PND)   0.00000068
Premine   0.019
iCoin   0.0026
Coino   0.0023
Animecoin   0.0000061

   
   
Bitcoin   607.25
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 10
Not good results yesterday, but if it's a caveat, I noticed I made an error in data entry, which could have thrown off the model. Here's the results:

Losers   Price Yesterday   Price Today     Change
Animecoin   0.000018          0.0000061   -66.11%
Auroracoin   18.23                  16.07           -11.85%
Elacoin   0.18                  0.14            -22.22%
Bitgem   2.51                  2.45            -2.39%
BlackCoin   0.016                  0.023            43.75%
AVERAGE                                 -11.76%

Winners   Price Yesterday   Price Today       Change
Blakecoin   0.013                   0.013                0.00%
ContinuumCoin   0.0000032   0.0000026        -18.75%
CasinoCoin   0.0017           0.0018         5.88%
BatCoin   0.000006           0.0000058        -3.33%
ZenithCoin   0.0013           0.0013         0.00%
AVERAGE                                     -3.24%
         
         
Bitcoin   612.95           607.25        -0.93%
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 10
Little late today, but just ran the model here are the picks (should be interesting, the model picks Aurora as a daily loser. I know that airdrop date is upcoming, so let's see what happens with that one:



Losers   Price
Animecoin   0.000018
Auroracoin   18.23
Elacoin   0.18
Bitgem   2.51
BlackCoin   0.016

   
   
   
Winners   Price
Blakecoin   0.013
ContinuumCoin   0.0000032
CasinoCoin   0.0017
BatCoin   0.000006
ZenithCoin   0.0013
   
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 10
Yesterday's results were OK, nothing great:

Losers   Price Yesterday   Price Today             Change
QQCoin   0.003                   0.0024           -20.00%
QubitCoin   0.00043           0.00038           -11.63%
Premine   0.076                   0.068                   -10.53%
Phoenixcoin   0.0018           0.0016           -11.11%
ProsperCoin   0.028                   0.027                    -3.57%
AVERAGE                                        -11.37%
         
         
         
         
Winners   Price Yesterday   Price Today                Change
Pxlcoin   0.014                     0.013               -7.14%
FlappyCoin   0.0000062             0.000006               -3.23%
Primecoin   1.22                     1.21                       -0.82%
Quark           0.03                     0.035               16.67%
RedCoin   0.0046             0.0048                4.35%
AVERAGE                                              +1.97%


Bitcoin       621.54                   616.61                     -.79%
newbie
Activity: 16
Merit: 0
winners

litecoin

losers


every other coin

A bit closed-minded, don't you think?
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 500
winners

litecoin

losers


every other coin
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