Topic: Forecasting Altcoin "Daily Price Change" Winners and Losers (Read 4273 times)
Nice thread. Thank you. Please do your best!
have a look at this listing of winners & losers for the 24H / week / month
https://www.cryptonator.com/winners-losers
https://www.cryptonator.com/winners-losers
So you've got about 20 days of data? Hows the ROI on average for the winners/losers?
Obviously it is very difficult if not impossible to create a model that can predict a winner with historical data but it is fun and mighty interesting to try nonetheless. Good luck!
Obviously it is very difficult if not impossible to create a model that can predict a winner with historical data but it is fun and mighty interesting to try nonetheless. Good luck!
Nice thread.Thanks for this.
Today, I've decided to post the entire model results (rather than a couple picks), so people get an idea of what's actually occurring behind the scenes. So, the price listed is the price that was modeled. It was obtained from coinmarketcap within the past hour of this post. I ran that last price through the model (using the other variables in the model as well) and out we receive a percentage for each coin. That percent is the predicted percentage gain over the next day. Here's the results:
Interesting 
Aww I haven't been on much so haven't been checking in here much.
How's the picks been?
How's the picks been?
Yesterday's picks didn't do as well as past picks (winner's were down 2% on average when I re-ran the model). I feel like when the model isn't re-ran twice during the day, the picks aren't as accurate.
Today, I reran the model 3x so, with these picks, I'm pretty confident. Let's see how these picks turn out:
Here's today's picks:
Losers Price Now
Pesetacoin 0.032
Marscoin 0.016
ORObit 0.0033
Pxlcoin 0.017
FlappyCoin 0.0000046
Winners Price Now
Ixcoin 0.03
Elacoin 0.18
CasinoCoin 0.0016
Joulecoin 0.0023
DigiByte 0.0002
Bitcoin 581.64
Today, I reran the model 3x so, with these picks, I'm pretty confident. Let's see how these picks turn out:
Here's today's picks:
Losers Price Now
Pesetacoin 0.032
Marscoin 0.016
ORObit 0.0033
Pxlcoin 0.017
FlappyCoin 0.0000046
Winners Price Now
Ixcoin 0.03
Elacoin 0.18
CasinoCoin 0.0016
Joulecoin 0.0023
DigiByte 0.0002
Bitcoin 581.64
BTC 
Ok. So, I took the weekend off. I'm back with some picks....
Losers Price Now
Grumpycoin 0.0000013
Kittehcoin 0.000058
Gridcoin 0.012
Murraycoin 0.0048
Nyancoin 0.00061
Winners Price Now
UltraCoin 0.11
42 Coin 40438
FlorinCoin 0.0035
Vertcoin 1.66
Cryptographic Anomaly 0.88
Bitcoin 581.83
Losers Price Now
Grumpycoin 0.0000013
Kittehcoin 0.000058
Gridcoin 0.012
Murraycoin 0.0048
Nyancoin 0.00061
Winners Price Now
UltraCoin 0.11
42 Coin 40438
FlorinCoin 0.0035
Vertcoin 1.66
Cryptographic Anomaly 0.88
Bitcoin 581.83
following...
+1 for the OP for putting this thread together I know I appreciate it. Bringing such useful information like this to the masses, it is what the forum needing for sure
Here's today's picks:
Losers Price
Animecoin 0.0000059
LottoCoin 0.000018
CorgiCoin 0.0000014
iCoin 0.0036
Murraycoin 0.0049
Winners Price
ContinuumCoin 0.0000038
Grain 0.0000059
66 Coin 1719
CacheCoin 1.43
ORObit 0.0035
Bitcoin 592.13
Losers Price
Animecoin 0.0000059
LottoCoin 0.000018
CorgiCoin 0.0000014
iCoin 0.0036
Murraycoin 0.0049
Winners Price
ContinuumCoin 0.0000038
Grain 0.0000059
66 Coin 1719
CacheCoin 1.43
ORObit 0.0035
Bitcoin 592.13
I checked the model's results earlier today. Yesterday's picks did quite well. Here were the results:
Losers Change
66 Coin -47.5485268630849%
ProsperCoin 0%
Extremecoin -1.44927536231885%
BlackCoin -17.3913043478261%
Pesetacoin 0%
AVERAGE -13.277821314646%
Winners Change
Pandacoin (PND) -1.4705882352941%
Premine 26.3157894736842%
iCoin 30.7692307692308%
Coino -34.7826086956522%
Animecoin 96.7213114754098%
AVERAGE 23.5106269574757%
Bitcoin -1.79662412515438%
Losers Change
66 Coin -47.5485268630849%
ProsperCoin 0%
Extremecoin -1.44927536231885%
BlackCoin -17.3913043478261%
Pesetacoin 0%
AVERAGE -13.277821314646%
Winners Change
Pandacoin (PND) -1.4705882352941%
Premine 26.3157894736842%
iCoin 30.7692307692308%
Coino -34.7826086956522%
Animecoin 96.7213114754098%
AVERAGE 23.5106269574757%
Bitcoin -1.79662412515438%
Here's today's picks:
Losers Price Today
66 Coin 1154
ProsperCoin 0.045
Extremecoin 0.069
BlackCoin 0.023
Pesetacoin 0.021
Winners Price Today
Pandacoin (PND) 0.00000068
Premine 0.019
iCoin 0.0026
Coino 0.0023
Animecoin 0.0000061
Bitcoin 607.25
Losers Price Today
66 Coin 1154
ProsperCoin 0.045
Extremecoin 0.069
BlackCoin 0.023
Pesetacoin 0.021
Winners Price Today
Pandacoin (PND) 0.00000068
Premine 0.019
iCoin 0.0026
Coino 0.0023
Animecoin 0.0000061
Bitcoin 607.25
Not good results yesterday, but if it's a caveat, I noticed I made an error in data entry, which could have thrown off the model. Here's the results:
Losers Price Yesterday Price Today Change
Animecoin 0.000018 0.0000061 -66.11%
Auroracoin 18.23 16.07 -11.85%
Elacoin 0.18 0.14 -22.22%
Bitgem 2.51 2.45 -2.39%
BlackCoin 0.016 0.023 43.75%
AVERAGE -11.76%
Winners Price Yesterday Price Today Change
Blakecoin 0.013 0.013 0.00%
ContinuumCoin 0.0000032 0.0000026 -18.75%
CasinoCoin 0.0017 0.0018 5.88%
BatCoin 0.000006 0.0000058 -3.33%
ZenithCoin 0.0013 0.0013 0.00%
AVERAGE -3.24%
Bitcoin 612.95 607.25 -0.93%
Losers Price Yesterday Price Today Change
Animecoin 0.000018 0.0000061 -66.11%
Auroracoin 18.23 16.07 -11.85%
Elacoin 0.18 0.14 -22.22%
Bitgem 2.51 2.45 -2.39%
BlackCoin 0.016 0.023 43.75%
AVERAGE -11.76%
Winners Price Yesterday Price Today Change
Blakecoin 0.013 0.013 0.00%
ContinuumCoin 0.0000032 0.0000026 -18.75%
CasinoCoin 0.0017 0.0018 5.88%
BatCoin 0.000006 0.0000058 -3.33%
ZenithCoin 0.0013 0.0013 0.00%
AVERAGE -3.24%
Bitcoin 612.95 607.25 -0.93%
Little late today, but just ran the model here are the picks (should be interesting, the model picks Aurora as a daily loser. I know that airdrop date is upcoming, so let's see what happens with that one:
Losers Price
Animecoin 0.000018
Auroracoin 18.23
Elacoin 0.18
Bitgem 2.51
BlackCoin 0.016
Winners Price
Blakecoin 0.013
ContinuumCoin 0.0000032
CasinoCoin 0.0017
BatCoin 0.000006
ZenithCoin 0.0013
Losers Price
Animecoin 0.000018
Auroracoin 18.23
Elacoin 0.18
Bitgem 2.51
BlackCoin 0.016
Winners Price
Blakecoin 0.013
ContinuumCoin 0.0000032
CasinoCoin 0.0017
BatCoin 0.000006
ZenithCoin 0.0013
Yesterday's results were OK, nothing great:
Losers Price Yesterday Price Today Change
QQCoin 0.003 0.0024 -20.00%
QubitCoin 0.00043 0.00038 -11.63%
Premine 0.076 0.068 -10.53%
Phoenixcoin 0.0018 0.0016 -11.11%
ProsperCoin 0.028 0.027 -3.57%
AVERAGE -11.37%
Winners Price Yesterday Price Today Change
Pxlcoin 0.014 0.013 -7.14%
FlappyCoin 0.0000062 0.000006 -3.23%
Primecoin 1.22 1.21 -0.82%
Quark 0.03 0.035 16.67%
RedCoin 0.0046 0.0048 4.35%
AVERAGE +1.97%
Bitcoin 621.54 616.61 -.79%
Losers Price Yesterday Price Today Change
QQCoin 0.003 0.0024 -20.00%
QubitCoin 0.00043 0.00038 -11.63%
Premine 0.076 0.068 -10.53%
Phoenixcoin 0.0018 0.0016 -11.11%
ProsperCoin 0.028 0.027 -3.57%
AVERAGE -11.37%
Winners Price Yesterday Price Today Change
Pxlcoin 0.014 0.013 -7.14%
FlappyCoin 0.0000062 0.000006 -3.23%
Primecoin 1.22 1.21 -0.82%
Quark 0.03 0.035 16.67%
RedCoin 0.0046 0.0048 4.35%
AVERAGE +1.97%
Bitcoin 621.54 616.61 -.79%
winners
litecoin
losers
every other coin
litecoin
losers
every other coin
A bit closed-minded, don't you think?
winners
litecoin
losers
every other coin
litecoin
losers
every other coin
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