Author

Topic: FORTUNEJACK.COM |Deposit 777 play with 1777 mBTC |Live Casino, Slots, Betting - page 206. (Read 466714 times)

legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1414
~
Different point of view but I get what you mean , there isnt any good way to know the actual odds . As long as it is free, it doesnt matter if it is less than 0.00001 % and lots of people gets to try again and again  Tongue


And I'm one of them. Smiley I have tried many times already, and the best I could come up with were 3 right picks, just once.

Got 3 at most for me ever since the Majestic 7 started again. Im just so bad at this  Tongue

The thing is that in reality it's never 54% or even 33.3% for someone to score, it is much lower than that, always. Those odds we can see on various betting sites do not represent real odds. Rather they("odds") reflect how many bettors, or what part of bettors, put their hopes on this or that player. (Actually, it's about how much money is placed on this or that player). So, if 60% of the pool's money is placed on, say, Tammy Abraham, no way it means he has those chances to score.

Now that you mention this, I kinda realized that the odds in betting site will significantly decrease sometimes if there are alot of people that choose to wager on that bet. There isnt any way to calculate the exact odds or anything close to the exact odds However if FJ offer 1 btc to hit 7/7 for free to anyone without any string attached, If anything it would be less than 0.00001 %  Tongue

I knew I should have picked Giroud but I went for Pulisic instead because of his recent form. All of the chances came to Giroud though in the end and he missed everything except the one that mattered:)

I picked Willian instead knowing full well that Abraham would probably not be playing for full time but Giroud scored instead  Tongue



Seriously, we all need to report meaningless spam like this

OOT but for the moment, put him on the ignore list so we wont read anything meaningless like that in the future again  Wink
hero member
Activity: 2352
Merit: 953
Temporary forum vacation
I knew I should have picked Giroud but I went for Pulisic instead because of his recent form. All of the chances came to Giroud though in the end and he missed everything except the one that mattered:)

The third round is going to be much better for winning the prize I bet until the second round I earned some bitcoin but the rounds are going to get better due to the higher amount of bonus. The higher the price the more bitcoin you can get.

Seriously, we all need to report meaningless spam like this so we can all help to clean up the forum;) These guys do not read a single thing,,, they probably even never bet on a single game their whole life and are just posting to get their post count up (what a waste of time!).
legendary
Activity: 3514
Merit: 2246
🌀 Cosmic Casino
~
Different point of view but I get what you mean , there isnt any good way to know the actual odds . As long as it is free, it doesnt matter if it is less than 0.00001 % and lots of people gets to try again and again  Tongue


And I'm one of them. Smiley I have tried many times already, and the best I could come up with were 3 right picks, just once.

The thing is that in reality it's never 54% or even 33.3% for someone to score, it is much lower than that, always. Those odds we can see on various betting sites do not represent real odds. Rather they("odds") reflect how many bettors, or what part of bettors, put their hopes on this or that player. (Actually, it's about how much money is placed on this or that player). So, if 60% of the pool's money is placed on, say, Tammy Abraham, no way it means he has those chances to score.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1253
So anyway, I applied as a merit source :)
I want to ask about finding a bug in the new website of Fortunejack? Since recently, the campaign under Services is already ended.
What if I can found some bugs, does FortuneJack still give rewards for some bugs? Like some major bugs or based on how dangerous the bug is?
If it is a major bug then you should report it to the representative account personally. It is important that you do not attempt to exploit it and be the white knight in order to save a legitimate company from losing some money possibly.

I am sure if it is a major bug then they will and should compensate you, even if there is no ongoing bug bounty. The campaign was the promote awareness about their new site design and possible minor bugs in it. But major bugs as we know are only caught be debugging experts and not everyone's cup of tea.
legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1399
I want to ask about finding a bug in the new website of Fortunejack? Since recently, the campaign under Services is already ended.
What if I can found some bugs, does FortuneJack still give rewards for some bugs? Like some major bugs or based on how dangerous the bug is?
legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1414
-snipped-

I don't like your math very much. You are making a lot of assumptions which aren't too close to the real thing. If we want to get actual numbers we should take into account only best scorers for the club, your assumption that every player has equal chance to score goal is fundamentally wrong. For example chance for Salah to score a goal is much higher than chance for Keita to score a goal. Then we would have to take into account the expected number of goals each team could score and much more. Most of us will chose the best goalscorers from the stronger club.

I wrote that in another post of mine in this thread as well. Of course the probability of some top scorer scoring the goal would be significantly higher than all the others. ( scroll few pages back to check on the discussion for the odds of 7/7 to happen )

Now that I have written this, it actually looks too good to be true and I am bit concerned that those 5 beers I just drank have some influence on my statistical and math knowledge. Please point glaring mistakes if any.

That definitely has some effect on you  Tongue. Its easy to choose which team would "probably" score if a dominating team be playing against lower table team but its hard to predict which player will score in the game. If we use the previous game of Chelsea vs Norwich as example, Most people will definitely choose Chelsea instead of Norwich but the point is which player would score for the game.

Alot of people would go for either Abraham or Willian ( Or even Pulisic ) because they are both top one and two goalscorer for Chelsea but here's the catch. Abraham was on the bench today until 86th minutes and Giroud the only goalscorer is currently the fifth goalscorer in terms of number of goal for Chelsea.

Different point of view but I get what you mean , there isnt any good way to know the actual odds . As long as it is free, it doesnt matter if it is less than 0.00001 % and lots of people gets to try again and again  Tongue

full member
Activity: 896
Merit: 236

Really don't like your Abraham pick, I think he will probably play just about 20 minutes. Willian, Pulisic & Giraud would be my picks before him. Now that I have written that Willian will probably not play and Abraham will score in minute 1 Smiley

Here are my picks:


Don't like Antonio pick much, he scored 4 last time around and now I am quite sure he will not score but I wanted someone from West Ham and nobody else is looking good for me. Maybe Welbeck, Deeney or Sarr would be a better option here but he delivered last time for me so let's try once again.
The whole thing is totally gamble so I am very happy with my picks and hope for the best. Imagine few matches end with no goal LOL

My picks @Trofo and @BitcoinGirl.Club if we have no bad luck then surely we are going to win prize this week because I just check we have five same picks and just 2 are not matching so hopefully we will able to have prize and end of this season because now its very long time I am living here without any free bet from gambling sites. Cheesy
This will be great and even better if any one of us wins the 1 BTC prize. Will we?

Sadly first match is nightmare for 1 Bitcoin dream as most of members out just 1 goal and its by Ground no Pulsic and Willian so now we have just 2 more chances for this big dream.
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
This will be great and even better if any one of us wins the 1 BTC prize. Will we?

Sooner or later someone is definitely going to win 7/7 but as I have mentioned on this thread before, the probability to actually hit 7/7 would less than 0.00001 % ( Not accurate but it should be close to the real number ). Silly chances isnt it but with nothing to lose at all, I dont see why people should be skipping this knowing that everyone stands a chance to win  Tongue

Assuming that every player has equal chance to score and if you have to pick 1 player from 1 match

Lets say we ruled out few players from each team so 1 goalkeeper and 4 defenders and 1 defensive midfielder will be ruled out because they have lower chance to score

so that left us with 1/10 chance

and also you have to win 7 times in a row so the odds will be 1/10^7 = 0.00001 % chance  Tongue

Obviously the odds should be significantly lower because all player have equal chance to score except goalkeeper

I don't like your math very much. You are making a lot of assumptions which aren't too close to the real thing. If we want to get actual numbers we should take into account only best scorers for the club, your assumption that every player has equal chance to score goal is fundamentally wrong. For example chance for Salah to score a goal is much higher than chance for Keita to score a goal. Then we would have to take into account the expected number of goals each team could score and much more. Most of us will chose the best goalscorers from the stronger club.

But we don't have to do all that since bookies are already doing all the work for us. You have odds for most of the players to score goal. We can just use those odds and calculate our probability to win 1 BTC for each combination with much higher level of accuracy. I will make here a theoretical example when using decimal odds since I am not feeling like searching for odds for all the guys I chose. I prefer not knowing Smiley

Let's say I have chosen 3 "sure" goal scorers with odds of 1.85 that is same as 1/1.85 which gives me a probability of 54% for outcome in my favor.
Let's say I have chosen 4 "less sure" goal scorers with odds of 3.0 which gives me a probability of 33.3% of outcome in my favor.

So my chances of winning 1BTC are as follows:
1/1.85*1/1.85*1/1.85*1/3*1/3*1/3*1/3 which gives roughly 0,00187. That is 0.187% or if you want to put in laymen's terms you will get it correctly 1.8 times in 1000 tries and you have only 38 tries per season. Much better odds than what you came up with but still quite long odds and have in mind these are not connected events and they don't depend on each other. Think roulette, after ball ends up on red 20 times in a row there is still equal chance that 21st ball will end on red or black regardless of what that Martingale user hopes for Smiley

Now that I have written this, it actually looks too good to be true and I am bit concerned that those 5 beers I just drank have some influence on my statistical and math knowledge. Please point glaring mistakes if any.
legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1414
The whole thing is totally gamble so I am very happy with my picks and hope for the best. Imagine few matches end with no goal LOL

A gamble with no risk at all  Smiley, thats the best part of it. Some other site needs you to wager atleast X amount to participate in their event but for Majestic 7 , you can play it for free

This will be great and even better if any one of us wins the 1 BTC prize. Will we?

Sooner or later someone is definitely going to win 7/7 but as I have mentioned on this thread before, the probability to actually hit 7/7 would less than 0.00001 % ( Not accurate but it should be close to the real number ). Silly chances isnt it but with nothing to lose at all, I dont see why people should be skipping this knowing that everyone stands a chance to win  Tongue

Assuming that every player has equal chance to score and if you have to pick 1 player from 1 match

Lets say we ruled out few players from each team so 1 goalkeeper and 4 defenders and 1 defensive midfielder will be ruled out because they have lower chance to score

so that left us with 1/10 chance

and also you have to win 7 times in a row so the odds will be 1/10^7 = 0.00001 % chance  Tongue

Obviously the odds should be significantly lower because all player have equal chance to score except goalkeeper
member
Activity: 476
Merit: 62

Really don't like your Abraham pick, I think he will probably play just about 20 minutes. Willian, Pulisic & Giraud would be my picks before him. Now that I have written that Willian will probably not play and Abraham will score in minute 1 Smiley

Here are my picks:


Don't like Antonio pick much, he scored 4 last time around and now I am quite sure he will not score but I wanted someone from West Ham and nobody else is looking good for me. Maybe Welbeck, Deeney or Sarr would be a better option here but he delivered last time for me so let's try once again.
The whole thing is totally gamble so I am very happy with my picks and hope for the best. Imagine few matches end with no goal LOL

My picks @Trofo and @BitcoinGirl.Club if we have no bad luck then surely we are going to win prize this week because I just check we have five same picks and just 2 are not matching so hopefully we will able to have prize and end of this season because now its very long time I am living here without any free bet from gambling sites. Cheesy
This will be great and even better if any one of us wins the 1 BTC prize. Will we?

Why not but its need some luck and my lady of luck is far away from me so hopefully someone else win and we will celebrate here on this thread Cheesy Cheesy Grin Grin
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 2736
Farewell LEO: o_e_l_e_o

Really don't like your Abraham pick, I think he will probably play just about 20 minutes. Willian, Pulisic & Giraud would be my picks before him. Now that I have written that Willian will probably not play and Abraham will score in minute 1 Smiley

Here are my picks:


Don't like Antonio pick much, he scored 4 last time around and now I am quite sure he will not score but I wanted someone from West Ham and nobody else is looking good for me. Maybe Welbeck, Deeney or Sarr would be a better option here but he delivered last time for me so let's try once again.
The whole thing is totally gamble so I am very happy with my picks and hope for the best. Imagine few matches end with no goal LOL

My picks @Trofo and @BitcoinGirl.Club if we have no bad luck then surely we are going to win prize this week because I just check we have five same picks and just 2 are not matching so hopefully we will able to have prize and end of this season because now its very long time I am living here without any free bet from gambling sites. Cheesy
This will be great and even better if any one of us wins the 1 BTC prize. Will we?
member
Activity: 476
Merit: 62
My picks @Trofo and @BitcoinGirl.Club if we have no bad luck then surely we are going to win prize this week because I just check we have five same picks and just 2 are not matching so hopefully we will able to have prize and end of this season because now its very long time I am living here without any free bet from gambling sites. Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
I hope some of us at-least get some prize at the end.  Here are my picks:
Really don't like your Abraham pick, I think he will probably play just about 20 minutes. Willian, Pulisic & Giraud would be my picks before him. Now that I have written that Willian will probably not play and Abraham will score in minute 1 Smiley

Here are my picks:


Don't like Antonio pick much, he scored 4 last time around and now I am quite sure he will not score but I wanted someone from West Ham and nobody else is looking good for me. Maybe Welbeck, Deeney or Sarr would be a better option here but he delivered last time for me so let's try once again.
hero member
Activity: 2618
Merit: 586
I was even shocked that they managed to put out majestic7 let alone champions league. The games are a lot quicker nowadays instead of just once a week, you see a team play like 3 games in 7 days these days, that is why I was thinking it would be pretty hard to put the majestic7 in there at all. That is why I assumed maybe majestic7 would start next year.

I know life is not really fully 100% back, I know even when we go outside we wear masks and I know that virus is still out there killing thousands of people all the time. However football is not really affected as much as other stuff, so I am not worried about next year at all, maybe once a week would be enough next year and majestic could return next year with once a week games, but they managed to squeeze in this year's last games as well.
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 2736
Farewell LEO: o_e_l_e_o
Man, i just can't pick players that aren't strikers lol i just know a defender or some random midfielder is gonna score, but ffs! it's too hard to choose one =P about the West Ham vs Watford, i have a feeling good 'ol Danny will be the hero for the Hornets
There are always goals from midfielders and defenders but I too can't pick one from them. It's the chances we calculate in our mind. In my case I go with the most scored player of the team but before picking I consider other factors like their recent performance, injury, cards etc. Honestly speaking in a match we see few goals and from 22 players (let's say you are not considering the substitutes), it's hard to pick one. And there are matches where there are no goals LOL

I hope some of us at-least get some prize at the end.  Here are my picks:

hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
@BitcoinGirl.Club  my picks: Giroud - Jimenez - Kane - Salah - Lewin - Ings - Welbeck

Man, i just can't pick players that aren't strikers lol i just know a defender or some random midfielder is gonna score, but ffs! it's too hard to choose one =P about the West Ham vs Watford, i have a feeling good 'ol Danny will be the hero for the Hornets
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 2736
Farewell LEO: o_e_l_e_o
Let's discuss it where it belongs.
Who are your picks for the fortunejack majestic for this round of PL?
https://fortunejack.com/promotions/majesticseven

Toma, Toke and others who make the picks regularly, I just had my picks and I think I am happy with that. In the West Ham - Watford match I wanted to go with Deeney but I thought to go with Antonio finally.
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 3724
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
@Juggy: Yeah we got 3 more shots at this MajSev, so I'm probably going to stick to my favourites for 4 matches, and then 3 midfielders for the complete set. After the restart, it's the regular Joes who've been back in the driving seat, but we're also seeing guys like Pulisic and Antonio show some much-needed form.

@toma: Yeah, he's been on my pick forever, occassionally I switch to Jota or Adama, but Adama's never scored when I pick him. The way he plays though, if he were at Liverpool he'd probably score more often!
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1150
I would assume all of those bets regarding champions league would be voided by now. And all the competitions would have to be voided with the same logic as well. I mean after all everything changed and the leagues gave a break and champions league was postponed etc etc, all of that sounds like a good reason to void everything.

Now, if the bets are voided, you can bet again before games start, however when a competition is voided, you would have to wait for them to void all the predictions and also wait for them to restart it all over again. I don't know if that will happen but if it does, that would be much better for the gamblers. Simply, champions league is something I will stay away from this year, it has been such a big break and I do not think it would be wise to bet on anything for now at that level.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
Is there any chance the Invincible game will proceed, or we should just forget about it?
I expect some changes. The "Guess 29/29 and win 10 BTC" is no longer valid since the competition no longer has 29 games but 16 matches in the RO16, 4 matches in quarter finals, 2 in semis, and the final for a total of 23 matches (this also means that no one can win the prizes for '24x streak' or more).

BTW, who else got Jimenez on this week's Majestic Seven?
Me. He's my primary choice whenever I see Wolves in the Majestic7. But meh, i got 3 wrong picks so no prizes for me this week, again  Tongue
Jump to: