As you said, if we refer from the H2H history between the meetings of these two teams. Lorient always lose against Montpellier, both at home and away. however, when referring to the current standings of the two teams. that in fact, Lorient is better than Montpellier. and currently, Lorient is ranked 7th and Montpellier is ranked 15th in the Ligue 1 standings. plus, in Montpellier's last 7 matches in Ligue 1, they did not even win a game and were only able to produce 2 draws.
As for Lorient, in their last 5 matches they have not been as good as Montpellier either. it's just that, Lorient is better when compared to the opposing team, they only experienced two defeats and three draws. however, in truth this match should have belonged to the home team. because after all, this game is Lorient's home game. which they are more seeded and have better statistics this season. according to my estimation, this game will be owned by the home team.