French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) - page 1577.

poldanmig

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Quote from: MAAManda on October 14, 2021, 03:20:53 AM

If you look at the history of the match between the two of them, it looks like Lyon will easily win against Monaco, But seeing the lack of performance from Lyon this season, I have a little doubt about them, I will try to place a bet for Monaco this time Grin

From the last six meetings between the two teams, their matches have ended with mixed results, with four wins for Lyon and two for Monaco, and if we look at the current condition of both teams, I personally feel that Monaco will be really very difficult to get points in the match, especially since Lyon will play at their own home, besides that of course Lyon will be very motivated to get back to winning ways after their last two matches in the league got a draw, I personally believe that Lyon will be able to get a win with a narrow score in that match.

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My interest in the match between Monaco vs Lyon is the most among the matches held after the international break. This will be the most competitive of all the matches. They have not been able to play as well as the previous season. In the last 5 matches between the two teams, Lyon has won 3 and Monaco has won 2 matches. No matches were drawn. Hopefully we will see the result in the next match too. And I think Monaco will win.

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Quote from: Wawa2013 on October 14, 2021, 12:54:18 AM

There is good news that Sergio Ramos can play, I want to see Ramos debut, if he can defend PSG well.

Where did you get the news, I didn't see any news about Sergio Ramos playing against Angers Roll Eyes

Quote from: Wawa2013 on October 14, 2021, 12:54:18 AM

The Lyon vs Monaco match is also quite interesting, because both are strong teams that were knocked out of
the top 4. I'm sure either Lyon or Monaco will try to win the game to get back on top, but my prediction is that the game will end in a draw.

If you look at the history of the match between the two of them, it looks like Lyon will easily win against Monaco, But seeing the lack of performance from Lyon this season, I have a little doubt about them, I will try to place a bet for Monaco this time Grin

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Quote from: snipie on October 14, 2021, 01:29:01 AM

Quote from: MAAManda on October 14, 2021, 12:18:19 AM

This week we will look back at the leagues being carried out, including the French Ligue 1. In the first match we will see Paris Saint-Germain against Angers which will be held at the Parc des Princes Stadium, of course this will be a slightly difficult match for PSG, because Angers is in its best performance by placing fourth in the Ligue 1 standings.

Apart from the PSG vs Angers match, we will also see another exciting match between Lyon vs Monaco.

What are your predictions for these 2 matches?

The first game, I assume most people including me will support PSG, a draw is possible but less likely to happen.
The second game between Lyon and Monaco is harder to predict. Lyon is favourite in bookies but I find Monaco better right now. A draw is also possible. Monaco or draw maybe?

@snipe a draw will be a bad result for PSG because of their attacking lineup, hence I expect a win for them and I hope they win it in style.

Also as we had discussed earlier Lyon and Monaco fixture is tricky to wager on, unless of course one has lots of funds to burn, hence the correct way to wager would be towards the end of the first half provided score remains goalless till then.

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Quote from: MAAManda on October 14, 2021, 12:18:19 AM

This week we will look back at the leagues being carried out, including the French Ligue 1. In the first match we will see Paris Saint-Germain against Angers which will be held at the Parc des Princes Stadium, of course this will be a slightly difficult match for PSG, because Angers is in its best performance by placing fourth in the Ligue 1 standings.

Apart from the PSG vs Angers match, we will also see another exciting match between Lyon vs Monaco.

What are your predictions for these 2 matches?

The first game, I assume most people including me will support PSG, a draw is possible but less likely to happen.
The second game between Lyon and Monaco is harder to predict. Lyon is favourite in bookies but I find Monaco better right now. A draw is also possible. Monaco or draw maybe?

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Quote from: Wawa2013 on October 14, 2021, 12:54:18 AM

Quote from: MAAManda on October 14, 2021, 12:18:19 AM

This week we will look back at the leagues being carried out, including the French Ligue 1. In the first match we will see Paris Saint-Germain against Angers which will be held at the Parc des Princes Stadium, of course this will be a slightly difficult match for PSG, because Angers is in its best performance by placing fourth in the Ligue 1 standings.

Apart from the PSG vs Angers match, we will also see another exciting match between Lyon vs Monaco.

What are your predictions for these 2 matches?

Finally Ligue 1 is about to start again, I can't wait for the PSG vs Angers match. Besides wanting to see PSG make a comeback after surprisingly
losing in the previous match. There is good news that Sergio Ramos can play, I want to see Ramos debut, if he can defend PSG well. Because Angers is
not a weak team, Angers is currently in 4th position and in 9 matches they have only lost once. Although I predict that PSG will win the match,
but I believe the match will be exciting. The Lyon vs Monaco match is also quite interesting, because both are strong teams that were knocked out of
the top 4. I'm sure either Lyon or Monaco will try to win the game to get back on top, but my prediction is that the game will end in a draw.

Anyway, PSG is still a big team at the moment which makes it always the favourite, moreover, the opponent they face is basically not a top team. Yes, Angers is just a mediocre team and even though the stats are good so far but it still doesn't guarantee, even if we look at the head to head it proves PSG are unbeaten. With the current PSG squad, of course, PSG will not be easily defeated, let alone playing at home which of course, there is no doubt that PSG will still win.
About Lyon - Monaco, I'm not sure the match will end in a draw, it's a big match that they will surely beat each other and won't end the game by dividing the points. I personally refer to their head to head where at least more than 10 matches they have never ended in a draw, I think that record will continue to be extended until the match later where it seems that both teams are not willing to share points.

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Quote from: MAAManda on October 14, 2021, 12:18:19 AM

This week we will look back at the leagues being carried out, including the French Ligue 1. In the first match we will see Paris Saint-Germain against Angers which will be held at the Parc des Princes Stadium, of course this will be a slightly difficult match for PSG, because Angers is in its best performance by placing fourth in the Ligue 1 standings.

Apart from the PSG vs Angers match, we will also see another exciting match between Lyon vs Monaco.

What are your predictions for these 2 matches?

Finally Ligue 1 is about to start again, I can't wait for the PSG vs Angers match. Besides wanting to see PSG make a comeback after surprisingly
losing in the previous match. There is good news that Sergio Ramos can play, I want to see Ramos debut, if he can defend PSG well. Because Angers is
not a weak team, Angers is currently in 4th position and in 9 matches they have only lost once. Although I predict that PSG will win the match,
but I believe the match will be exciting. The Lyon vs Monaco match is also quite interesting, because both are strong teams that were knocked out of
the top 4. I'm sure either Lyon or Monaco will try to win the game to get back on top, but my prediction is that the game will end in a draw.

MAAManda

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This week we will look back at the leagues being carried out, including the French Ligue 1. In the first match we will see Paris Saint-Germain against Angers which will be held at the Parc des Princes Stadium, of course this will be a slightly difficult match for PSG, because Angers is in its best performance by placing fourth in the Ligue 1 standings.

Apart from the PSG vs Angers match, we will also see another exciting match between Lyon vs Monaco.

What are your predictions for these 2 matches?

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Quote from: KTChampions on October 13, 2021, 11:27:36 AM

Why are the odds so low? Stake offers much more attractive odds:

In my opinion, this is a profitable coefficient and easy money, since PSG will not allow a repetition of failure. As for the betting on the player who will score a goal, the odds on Mbappe are quite low - 1,76. In my opinion, this is unprofitable, since Mbappe is still far from such bets on him with odds below 2. Bets on Messi are not accepted (apparently due to the fact that he will miss this match).

I was actually referencing the original post, also using Stake odds actually if you read up. That was 1.27 at the time, and now of course markets are switching to adjust the risk a little. I'm sorry but even your updated market is still pretty poor. Not to argue as it's the same everywhere but Sportsbet once the market is available with a price boost should at least get you almost to 1.4. Still not worth it for me though, again, maybe with a handicap or clean sheet or Messi to score any time is worth it (if it is available).

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Quote from: slaman29 on October 13, 2021, 11:06:54 AM

Yes, sorry people but Angers is not Rennes. And Rennes won because of their history, everyone and PSG knew they find them a difficult team to play, remember the bookie odds was only 4x.

Angers never won against PSG and that's for a good reason, they're just not a very good team.

PSG 1.2 is also crappy odds though, so maybe PSG clean sheet and win, or Win Both Halves is the only way to get good value, or Messi to score? Wink

Why are the odds so low? Stake offers much more attractive odds:

In my opinion, this is a profitable coefficient and easy money, since PSG will not allow a repetition of failure. As for the betting on the player who will score a goal, the odds on Mbappe are quite low - 1,76. In my opinion, this is unprofitable, since Mbappe is still far from such bets on him with odds below 2. Bets on Messi are not accepted (apparently due to the fact that he will miss this match).

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Quote from: LUCKMCFLY on October 12, 2021, 04:18:11 PM

This is the vision that I have roughly found, obviously those who are fans of SCO Angers support it, but when it comes to betting I would not hesitate to do so for PSG.

Yes, sorry people but Angers is not Rennes. And Rennes won because of their history, everyone and PSG knew they find them a difficult team to play, remember the bookie odds was only 4x.

Angers never won against PSG and that's for a good reason, they're just not a very good team.

PSG 1.2 is also crappy odds though, so maybe PSG clean sheet and win, or Win Both Halves is the only way to get good value, or Messi to score? Wink

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Quote from: borovichok on October 12, 2021, 02:49:44 PM

My predictions for league 1 this weekend are as follow.
P S G - Angers: 3-2
Clermont foot- Lille: 1-2
Lyon - Monaco: 2-2
Troyes - Nice: 1-2
Bordeaux - Nantes: 2-0
Brest - Reims: 0-0
Metz - Rennes:1-2
Strasbourg - Saint-Etienne:1-1
Montpellier - Lens: 2-1
Marseille - Lorient: 3-1

You have done some good work and have all predictions here which are very interested because I am having some good look and feeling most of them are going to be good for win, few are not close for their actual results but still good and manageable. Most of the time I never have good at French League, but recently I am in good touch so feeling Lenz and Strasbourg both have some fair chance for upset from your predictions because both are not bad at all as you're already done.

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Quote from: borovichok on October 12, 2021, 03:21:24 PM

Quote from: Slow death on October 10, 2021, 04:58:28 PM

Quote from: Kusman on October 09, 2021, 07:13:20 AM

Some people say that PSG might have a difficulty in beating Angers next week considering Angers' recent form. But when we check the head-to-head matches, we see clearly that PSG are very highly dominant against them. PSG just won all the time against Angers no matter what. And they can do this again easily without caring about Angers' good form.

if Angers wins this game then the oddsmakers will have made a lot of people win a lot of money and it would be like winning the lottery and I sincerely doubt the Angers have any chance of winning this game. the odds speak for themselves, I haven't done the analysis for this game yet because I don't see any advantage in betting on games with very low odds but just seeing this odd so low in case PSG wins I'm already convinced that PSG will win this game, of course that there are times when teams with very low odds that are taken as favorites lose games, but these are rare cases

PSG is going to win this game easily,they don't have much injury problem or suspensions so am going for them winning this game.the team is growing and understanding their selves more,I think is just going to take a little time before the team learn to play with Lionel Messi.as a Barca fan I know the only way a team that Lionel Messi is playing for to be successful is to understand him and play at his strength and style if not Messi will have little to contribute because he has this specific style of playing,he loves the one two football he likes the ball to always be on the ground.

Well, the odds are not very good for SCO Angers, although of the 14 games that both squads have had, PSG have won a total of 13 games, and SCO Angers 0, what that extra game is because there was a draw .

If we are based on the statistics we can infer that obviously the advantage is PSG, in addition these probabilities are only one of the small statistics where Messi did not appear for PSG, which now becomes a direct spear for SCO Angers, what which does not suit him much.

Source: https://footystats.org/france/paris-saint-germain-fc-vs-angers-sporting-club-de-louest-h2h-stats

This is the vision that I have roughly found, obviously those who are fans of SCO Angers support it, but when it comes to betting I would not hesitate to do so for PSG.

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Quote from: Slow death on October 10, 2021, 04:58:28 PM

Quote from: Kusman on October 09, 2021, 07:13:20 AM

Some people say that PSG might have a difficulty in beating Angers next week considering Angers' recent form. But when we check the head-to-head matches, we see clearly that PSG are very highly dominant against them. PSG just won all the time against Angers no matter what. And they can do this again easily without caring about Angers' good form.

if Angers wins this game then the oddsmakers will have made a lot of people win a lot of money and it would be like winning the lottery and I sincerely doubt the Angers have any chance of winning this game. the odds speak for themselves, I haven't done the analysis for this game yet because I don't see any advantage in betting on games with very low odds but just seeing this odd so low in case PSG wins I'm already convinced that PSG will win this game, of course that there are times when teams with very low odds that are taken as favorites lose games, but these are rare cases

PSG is going to win this game easily,they don't have much injury problem or suspensions so am going for them winning this game.the team is growing and understanding their selves more,I think is just going to take a little time before the team learn to play with Lionel Messi.as a Barca fan I know the only way a team that Lionel Messi is playing for to be successful is to understand him and play at his strength and style if not Messi will have little to contribute because he has this specific style of playing,he loves the one two football he likes the ball to always be on the ground.

borovichok

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My predictions for this weekend ligue1 games
.
P S G - Angers: 3-2
Clermont foot- Lille: 1-2
Lyon - Monaco: 2-2
Troyes - Nice: 1-2
Bordeaux - Nantes: 2-0
Brest - Reims: 0-0
Metz - Rennes:1-2
Strasbourg - Saint-Etienne:1-1
Montpellier - Lens: 2-1
Marseille - Lorient: 3-1

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Quote from: hahay on October 12, 2021, 05:30:08 AM

.....
Actually the 1.2x odds for PSG is still a decent odds and not too low like 1.01 and for me, it's already a fair odds. Can't imagine if PSG played at home against a mediocre team getting big odds like 1.5x, then it would definitely kill the bookie. There are factors that make these odds different and we can't demand it to get higher odds for the favorite team. Because after all, it also proves that betting is a risky activity and not an easy way to get money, unlike the bookie they certainly need a quick profit, gamblers and bookies are different.

In my opinion, 1.2x odds for PSG are also decent odds. However, they are not big odds. It is actually a decent enough. Why would we expect a team like PSG to have bigger odds? Bookmakers don't offer these extra big odds markets in football such as Ht-FT odds or correct score markets. The smaller bookies offer them, but often at low limits. There are several factors, but no one shares data. I have developed a few systems, but in sports you can't control everything.

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Quote from: Slow death on October 10, 2021, 04:58:28 PM

if Angers wins this game then the oddsmakers will have made a lot of people win a lot of money and it would be like winning the lottery and I sincerely doubt the Angers have any chance of winning this game. the odds speak for themselves, I haven't done the analysis for this game yet because I don't see any advantage in betting on games with very low odds but just seeing this odd so low in case PSG wins I'm already convinced that PSG will win this game, of course that there are times when teams with very low odds that are taken as favorites lose games, but these are rare cases

In my opinion, these are not low but high odds. Even taking into account the fact that after the matches of the national teams PSG will not be in the best condition, I do not see an option in which it won’t win here. In the previous match, they suffered an unexpected defeat 0-2 in the away match and will now be additionally motivated to show a decent result in front of their fans.

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Quote from: justdimin on October 11, 2021, 02:25:46 PM

Quote from: Slow death on October 10, 2021, 04:58:28 PM

if Angers wins this game then the oddsmakers will have made a lot of people win a lot of money and it would be like winning the lottery and I sincerely doubt the Angers have any chance of winning this game. the odds speak for themselves, I haven't done the analysis for this game yet because I don't see any advantage in betting on games with very low odds but just seeing this odd so low in case PSG wins I'm already convinced that PSG will win this game, of course that there are times when teams with very low odds that are taken as favorites lose games, but these are rare cases

I guess whenever PSG ends up losing in the league, that is a great time for the sportsbooks to be fair. They always give them a good amount of odds and the other side is rarely ever good and Angers probably do not get that much betters neither. In this case I would assume that sportsbooks would be the one that make the most profit if PSG loses, or if a draw happens in which case it will be even rarer.

Most people wager on PSG, and by a big margin as well, like 70%+ people wager on PSG most probably, a case could be made for as high as 90%+ as well. This is why only "few" people would be richer if Angers wins, whereas it is a bigger profit for the sportsbooks.

Actually the 1.2x odds for PSG is still a decent odds and not too low like 1.01 and for me, it's already a fair odds. Can't imagine if PSG played at home against a mediocre team getting big odds like 1.5x, then it would definitely kill the bookie. There are factors that make these odds different and we can't demand it to get higher odds for the favorite team. Because after all, it also proves that betting is a risky activity and not an easy way to get money, unlike the bookie they certainly need a quick profit, gamblers and bookies are different.

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Quote from: justdimin on October 11, 2021, 02:25:46 PM

Most people wager on PSG, and by a big margin as well, like 70%+ people wager on PSG most probably, a case could be made for as high as 90%+ as well. This is why only "few" people would be richer if Angers wins, whereas it is a bigger profit for the sportsbooks.

Most people wager on favorites period

And when you look at PSG's record, winning majority of games, like all the big favorites in their leagues, Bayern, City, of course you expect most people to put most of their money on PSG.

Sportsbook always wins too because of the other betting, or multibetting usually, pairing PSG with other outcomes. And of course the odds. PSG winning 4/5 games should be 1.25 but the odds will be 1.20

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Quote from: justdimin on October 11, 2021, 02:25:46 PM

I guess whenever PSG ends up losing in the league, that is a great time for the sportsbooks to be fair. They always give them a good amount of odds and the other side is rarely ever good and Angers probably do not get that much betters neither. In this case I would assume that sportsbooks would be the one that make the most profit if PSG loses, or if a draw happens in which case it will be even rarer.

Most people wager on PSG, and by a big margin as well, like 70%+ people wager on PSG most probably, a case could be made for as high as 90%+ as well. This is why only "few" people would be richer if Angers wins, whereas it is a bigger profit for the sportsbooks.

If any team in any sports around the world lost with these odds surely it's good day for bookmakers because we have very big community in gambling those love to place bets like this without any analysis or search because they feel it's free money, but they never know there is no free money in world for anyone.

And in PSG case it really matters because they are really giants in French League, and they have some most lethal players in soccer world right now in attack and midfield but still if they are losing then it's matter of worry about their management but really enjoying and profitable for bookmakers.

Topic: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) - page 1577. (Read 198752 times)