Ajaccio has 23 points from 34 matches this makes their position is very in danger and if they lose from PSG today then Ajaccio will be relegated to Ligue 2 and beating PSG is just like mission impossible for them because in the last 8 meetings in all competitions Ajaccio were unable win to but if PSG win they will be more closer to Ligue 1 title and the latest news for PSG is Messi probably will be in the squad after the club accepted his apology after his controversial vacation to Saudi Arabia recently but probably he will starting the match from the bench
The odds for PSG is @1.12 but i am thinking other option such as over 2.5 goals and this option has better odds than PSG win and to scores more than 2 goals is not hard task for PSG because Ajaccio defensive lines is very poor and until week 34 Ajaccio have been conceded 61 goals so i expect PSG can able to win with big scores today
It is very likely that Ajaccio will be relegated, because their next opponent is not an easy team to beat. after against PSG, Ajaccio has matches against Rennes, Lens, Marseille. is it possible, this team will win the remaining matches with victory. Meanwhile, Ajaccio is 9 points away from Nantes who are ranked 17th. apparently, something difficult for them.
On the contrary, in this match PSG must win 3 absolute points from their opponent. because, currently Lens is approaching their ranking with a difference of 3 points. on paper, PSG will win this fight easily. Apart from playing at their own base, Ajaccio is not a difficult team for them to overthrow. plus, in this match Messi will be the starter again. now if I refer to the predicted line-up of these two teams. apparently, nothing will change.
Now, let's talk about odds. it would not be ideal if you bet on PSG with odds @ 1.12, especially for a draw with @ 8.60, while Ajaccio with odds @ 25.00, wow that's fantastic. The question is whether these two teams will score goals. if yes, the available odds are better than betting on PSG. well, for over 2.5 goals that's not ideal because the odds are also very low, ideally Over 3+ goals. the question is, can Ajaccio score just 1 goal. this is quite difficult. so the scenario, PSG must score 4 goals. or with the PSG handicap option -2.5, with odds @1.92. so, at least PSG scored 3 goals. well, if you dare, I recommend Over 3 goals. at least with 3 goals, we will not lose. however, if Ajaccio is able to score 1 goal, it will be an advantage for us. so, I will choose Over 3 goals.
PSG vs Ajaccio =
Over 3 goals