For the last 12 months, the price of Brent crude has remained in two digits. And for the last few weeks, it is really struggling to break even the $80 per barrel level. Remember that this is happening despite the fact that Saudi Arabia and Russia are continuing with their production cuts. Saudis have taken 1 million barrels per day offline, while Russians have reduced their output by 300,000 barrels per day. But this is not having any impact because countries such as Angola and Guyana are stepping up their crude oil output. Saudis and Russians are losing their market share, while non-OPEC nations are increasing theirs.
1. Angola and Guyana become potential terrorist attack points. this is how one of the "world's oil suppliers", often "solves" its problems.
2. The "Let's Light Up the Middle East Project", where the country from point 1 was definitely one of the scenarios, also failed and the oil market remained stable.
3. Cutting oil production has no impact as the Chinese economy is in bad shape and the outlook is even worse. And it is one of the largest consumers of oil. So the demand for oil is not so high, and even decreased.
In a word - "rosy dreams" of some countries trying to manipulate or even terrorize the market - failed !
PS There is one more news that can affect the oil market - Russia is hysterical and demands from India to refuse to pay for Russian oil in rupees. Because whatever the price of Russian oil sold to India do not draw, even 90 dollars per barrel, the same dollars Russia does not get
If Russia stops supplying its oil in exchange for illiquid currency, there will be a surplus on the market, which Russia will be forced to sell "for pennies". The reason is banal: the gray fleet is no longer working so efficiently (and will soon be even smaller), China will not buy oil now, except "for 1 yuan per barrel", Russia has nowhere to store oil physically.