Then it is about time to buy a bicycle. Because I think Ukrainian-Russian conflict is not going to be settled this year. Even if the global war actions stops, it will always be small local skirmishes. Same that were after Crimea conflict. This seems like an endless conflict, were people dont even know or remember the reasons why it all started.
Current economical downtrend Russia is going to counter with high oil prices. I think 2022 will be the year when everyone will realize consequences if this war actions. Next year sides will figure out strategy to get business and development back. Several years it will take to rebuild, build own new business, get abroad contracts, or wait till current business who has abandoned Russian market, start to think to return. Maybe year 2025 and further will be the time when prices goes down.