Let's take a look at the Scrypt-N theory (which has also already been brought up in this thread) forwarded by Dr. whomever on the Hashtalk forums. Please check my arithmetic.
I will see if it is possible for the Scrypt-N network to cover daily Zenpool payments. The answer is a resounding "no."
Hard Numbers:Total Scrypt-N Hashrate /day = 2,603 MH/s
Total Scrypt-N Hashrate /day = 2,603,000 kH/s
Total Revenue from Scrypt-N /day /for all coins combined = $14,717.93 (let's call it 29 BTC @$505)
Before GAW pulled the info from ZenPool, the total ZP network shares were over 250,000 MH (which comes out to over 124BTC paid out per day)
You can generate this data from CoinWarz:
http://tinyurl.com/Just-the-facts-JackWe now see that the total revenue of
all scrypt-N coins combined comes out to $14,717.93/day. That is ~29BTC/day in total payout. Seems like an awfully low number. Let's check to see how much Zenpool pays out each day.
Taking the publicly available top 10 champions from Zenpool, you get 45,468 MH between them. We ignore the MH, since that number is not any indication of actual mining, but instead use that number to estimate their payouts. After fees, they will be paid out 22.626 BTC for the last 24 hours of "mining."
Conclusions:So what does that mean? It means that if Zenpool is comprised of 100% of all network hashrate on all scrypt-N coins then it would be able to cover the payments of its top 10 users with 6.373 BTC left over, which is enough left to cover an additional 12,806 MH of GAW shares, but not the 200,000 plus outstanding shares that GAW has to pay out to daily.
Does GAW represent 100% of all scrypt-N hashing for all scrypt-N coins? Certainly not.
Does GAW payout more per day than the entire scrypt-N network makes per day? Yes, they do.
We can say, conclusively, that GAW is not paying out purely from Scrypt-N. They would need at least 5x the payout of the entire Scrypt-N network combined in order to satisfy the sales that were made up to August 26th.
Further Questions:All sales since August 26th would only increase that number, which I think we can safely assume to have gone up by a further 50% with all of the panic buying amidst hashlet price increases. This means GAW must payout ~$93,930 per day, despite being only able to mine a fraction of this cost.
As always, we are left with the question: Where does the payout money come from if not from Hashlet sales? Why does Josh make vague statements which he later changes when they are challenged?