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Topic: GBTC Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer - page 76. (Read 262357 times)

legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
September 17, 2014, 12:10:37 AM
I wonder how they will react (the investors) if the market continues trending down. Steady buying? Or panic? I kinda imagine panic TBH, if it goes below $400.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
September 16, 2014, 10:06:51 AM
update
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
September 12, 2014, 01:39:45 PM
And is GABI merely a variation of SM? ... therefore COIN will bring a lot more versatility, if it does get approved?

This was recently discussed in this forum, in the Wall Observer thread perhaps.

The conclusion was that GABI will be very different from SMBIT, more like a traditional generic investment fund.  GABI's assets will be a basket of commodities and instruments -- mostly bitcoins, presumably, but they explicitly allow for other things -- and trade them with the aim to increase their total value.  Each GABI share will be a fraction of those assets.  Therefore, the share price will not be pegged to the bitcoin market price (as it is for SMBIT) but will depend on the luck and skills of their traders.
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
September 12, 2014, 01:08:32 PM
To my knowledge, the last change of the SM trust we know about for sure is the large net sell (-1444 BTC) earlier this month. Everything since then is too small to allow us to conclude with certainty that it represents an actively managed change in the trust's holdings.

Please correct me if the above is wrong, jl2012.

I think everything above +/- 50XBT are real. Others are just noise.

However, if on the same day one bought 1000XBT with another one sold 1000XBT, the net change would be zero and there is no way for us to tell.

It would be great to see those metrics, too, of course. These are the first insights to what we might expect from the COIN ETF, although I believe it may still be a more desirable investment vehicle for some. It doesn't seem that people on SecondMarket are as panicky as the rest of the Bitcoin investment-world. I guess they're more experienced or don't care as much about the 'little' money they put in Bitcoin.


Can someone provide a very brief description about what the different dynamics between Second Market and COIN.

SM seems a sort of investment club for elitists with quantity and time restrictions and COIN would allow any entity to buy into it and trade it on NASDAQ with any quantity and any time line, potentially.

Some large investors may participate in the NASDAQ COIN b/c they do NOT have to go through the intermediary that is controlling and taking some of the profits?  In other words, COIN would be much more flexible, and also COIN would allow for a much greater exposure and legitimacy of BTC, no?

And is GABI merely a variation of SM? ... therefore COIN will bring a lot more versatility, if it does get approved?
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
September 12, 2014, 12:40:03 PM
It would be great to see those metrics, too, of course. These are the first insights to what we might expect from the COIN ETF, although I believe it may still be a more desirable investment vehicle for some. It doesn't seem that people on SecondMarket are as panicky as the rest of the Bitcoin investment-world. I guess they're more experienced or don't care as much about the 'little' money they put in Bitcoin.

Is there any similar information on PBP and other bitcoin funds?

The six-month lock-in and the heavy fees are expected to make the funds less volatile than the open markets.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
September 12, 2014, 11:51:03 AM
To my knowledge, the last change of the SM trust we know about for sure is the large net sell (-1444 BTC) earlier this month. Everything since then is too small to allow us to conclude with certainty that it represents an actively managed change in the trust's holdings.

Please correct me if the above is wrong, jl2012.

I think everything above +/- 50XBT are real. Others are just noise.

However, if on the same day one bought 1000XBT with another one sold 1000XBT, the net change would be zero and there is no way for us to tell.

It would be great to see those metrics, too, of course. These are the first insights to what we might expect from the COIN ETF, although I believe it may still be a more desirable investment vehicle for some. It doesn't seem that people on SecondMarket are as panicky as the rest of the Bitcoin investment-world. I guess they're more experienced or don't care as much about the 'little' money they put in Bitcoin.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
September 12, 2014, 11:35:07 AM
To my knowledge, the last change of the SM trust we know about for sure is the large net sell (-1444 BTC) earlier this month. Everything since then is too small to allow us to conclude with certainty that it represents an actively managed change in the trust's holdings.

Please correct me if the above is wrong, jl2012.

I think everything above +/- 50XBT are real. Others are just noise.

However, if on the same day one bought 1000XBT with another one sold 1000XBT, the net change would be zero and there is no way for us to tell.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
September 12, 2014, 10:26:50 AM
To my knowledge, the last change of the SM trust we know about for sure is the large net sell (-1444 BTC) earlier this month. Everything since then is too small to allow us to conclude with certainty that it represents an actively managed change in the trust's holdings.

Please correct me if the above is wrong, jl2012.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
September 12, 2014, 09:55:49 AM
update

Not much of one!  Very slow on the buy side with the monthly big sells lately...

Still, it's better than a slow bleeding out on a regular basis, in my opinion. It at least supports the view that people are still coming in and money is flowing into Bitcoin instead of it bleeding out slowly.
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 501
September 12, 2014, 08:00:54 AM
update

Not much of one!  Very slow on the buy side with the monthly big sells lately...
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
September 11, 2014, 09:13:09 PM
update
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 501
September 09, 2014, 10:21:06 AM
Very strange to invest in this fund and then withdraw quickly considering the huge fee both when investing and when withdrawing. Just demonstrates once again that accredited investor doesn't mean shrewd investor Wink
Imagine someone who invested in Nov or Jan-Feb at >800$, expecting sizabe gains, and watched instead his investment gradually lose value while being unable to cut his losses because of the 6-month lock-in period.  Or someone who bought in May at 450$, saw it go to 650$, and then drop back to 480$ -- and could not cash the profit, for that reason.

Plus the management fees further increasing your losses.
At least with stocks, there is some fees paid to the mutual fund manager in picking stocks.
What motivates people to invest in these funds when they might as well directly buy bitcoins?


Well they are technically incompetent and afraid to do it themselves because they fear messing up. (or maybe they're just lazy).

IRA Rollovers, Roth IRA Rollovers, etc, only reason I see to use this "fund".
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
September 08, 2014, 10:52:50 PM
update. no real change since last update
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
September 08, 2014, 07:42:48 PM
Very strange to invest in this fund and then withdraw quickly considering the huge fee both when investing and when withdrawing. Just demonstrates once again that accredited investor doesn't mean shrewd investor Wink
Imagine someone who invested in Nov or Jan-Feb at >800$, expecting sizabe gains, and watched instead his investment gradually lose value while being unable to cut his losses because of the 6-month lock-in period.  Or someone who bought in May at 450$, saw it go to 650$, and then drop back to 480$ -- and could not cash the profit, for that reason.

Plus the management fees further increasing your losses.
At least with stocks, there is some fees paid to the mutual fund manager in picking stocks.
What motivates people to invest in these funds when they might as well directly buy bitcoins?


Well they are technically incompetent and afraid to do it themselves because they fear messing up. (or maybe they're just lazy).
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
September 08, 2014, 07:36:06 PM
Very strange to invest in this fund and then withdraw quickly considering the huge fee both when investing and when withdrawing. Just demonstrates once again that accredited investor doesn't mean shrewd investor Wink
Imagine someone who invested in Nov or Jan-Feb at >800$, expecting sizabe gains, and watched instead his investment gradually lose value while being unable to cut his losses because of the 6-month lock-in period.  Or someone who bought in May at 450$, saw it go to 650$, and then drop back to 480$ -- and could not cash the profit, for that reason.

Plus the management fees further increasing your losses.
At least with stocks, there is some fees paid to the mutual fund manager in picking stocks.
What motivates people to invest in these funds when they might as well directly buy bitcoins?
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
September 08, 2014, 06:35:56 PM
Very strange to invest in this fund and then withdraw quickly considering the huge fee both when investing and when withdrawing. Just demonstrates once again that accredited investor doesn't mean shrewd investor Wink
Imagine someone who invested in Nov or Jan-Feb at >800$, expecting sizabe gains, and watched instead his investment gradually lose value while being unable to cut his losses because of the 6-month lock-in period.  Or someone who bought in May at 450$, saw it go to 650$, and then drop back to 480$ -- and could not cash the profit, for that reason.

If you buy into a fund paying 2% entry and 2% exit fees you're holding onto that investment for 5 years at least (unless there is an explosive increase in price or the underlying asset breaks). If you don't you're very stupid.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
September 08, 2014, 06:33:02 PM
Very strange to invest in this fund and then withdraw quickly considering the huge fee both when investing and when withdrawing. Just demonstrates once again that accredited investor doesn't mean shrewd investor Wink
Imagine someone who invested in Nov or Jan-Feb at >800$, expecting sizabe gains, and watched instead his investment gradually lose value while being unable to cut his losses because of the 6-month lock-in period.  Or someone who bought in May at 450$, saw it go to 650$, and then drop back to 480$ -- and could not cash the profit, for that reason.
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
September 08, 2014, 04:58:40 PM
Very strange to invest in this fund and then withdraw quickly considering the huge fee both when investing and when withdrawing. Just demonstrates once again that accredited investor doesn't mean shrewd investor Wink
I don't know about these "accredited" investors, but it is well known that mutual fund investors get a much smaller return than the average mutual fund. That is, people just can't help but buying high and selling low, chasing the performance of other assets that outperform their current position just when the tide was about to turn in their favour

People can't help buy high sell low sure, but then they add on ridiculous fees. Just buy an index funds for a yearly flat fee of 0.1% then.
hero member
Activity: 496
Merit: 500
Spanish Bitcoin trader
September 08, 2014, 04:57:05 PM
Very strange to invest in this fund and then withdraw quickly considering the huge fee both when investing and when withdrawing. Just demonstrates once again that accredited investor doesn't mean shrewd investor Wink
I don't know about these "accredited" investors, but it is well known that mutual fund investors get a much smaller return than the average mutual fund. That is, people just can't help but buying high and selling low, chasing the performance of other assets that outperform their current position just when the tide was about to turn in their favour
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
September 08, 2014, 04:16:16 PM
Very strange to invest in this fund and then withdraw quickly considering the huge fee both when investing and when withdrawing. Just demonstrates once again that accredited investor doesn't mean shrewd investor Wink
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