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Topic: $GBTC Speculation, Information, and Cogitation (Read 11789 times)

hero member
Activity: 676
Merit: 500
GBTC had a daily volume of 27,256. That's 7-8x more than average and I think a new all time high.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
The Freerealtime page today was strange:

14:53:33       29.09    3    OTO
14:50:51       29.09    18    OTO
14:33:23       29.05    56    OTO
14:33:23       29.05    50    OTO
14:33:19       29.09    200    OTO
14:24:29       29.09    1000    OTO
14:13:17       29.10    340    OTO
14:06:52       29.1122    4747    OTO
14:06:21       29.1122    4747    OTO
14:02:09       29.09    20    OTO
13:40:56       29.00    1774    OTO
13:40:04       29.14    100    OTO
13:14:35       29.14    900    OTO
13:06:50       29.11    1000    OTO
13:06:18       29.14    1000    OTO
12:55:43       29.05    100    OTO
12:48:37       29.15    100    OTO
10:38:32       29.1122    4747    OTO
10:38:11       29.00    500    OTO
10:38:04       29.19    100    OTO
10:38:00       29.50    2800    OTO
10:37:43       29.50    100    OTO
10:37:17       29.25    100    OTO
10:36:48       29.25    1000    OTO
10:36:18       29.25    1000    OTO
10:08:33       29.25    70    OTO
10:06:51       29.25    20    OTO
10:05:21       29.25    57    OTO
10:04:37       29.10    340    OTO
09:59:19       29.25    86    OTO
09:59:11       29.25    154    OTO
09:54:01       29.25    100    OTO
09:47:46       29.25    25    OTO
09:45:45       29.00    1774    OTO
09:45:35       29.25    100    OTO
09:44:56       29.29    100    OTO
09:31:03       29.95    10    OTO
09:30:11       29.95    224    OTO


Note the weird entries with "4747" shares.  The total comes out as 29562 shares, which is 6861 = 4747 + 1774 + 340 shares more than the total volume listed on the OTCQX page.

Also note that trade was rather strong but stopped just before 15:00.  Isn't the closing time 16:00?
legendary
Activity: 1133
Merit: 1050
I wonder which asset is affected by Greece more? GBTC or BTC.
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
Premium is there because of tax free environment.
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1362
Following
hero member
Activity: 513
Merit: 500
If people got into BIT when BTC was $600, and are in it for the long run, they have no reason whatsoever to sell. I believe part of the reason for the premium is that there just isn't enough supply. In fact if I was a heavy buyer at $600, it would make more sense to double down at these prices than to sell anything. I mean look at downside v.s. upside potential. OK downside there is some chance it would go bust, like down to $0. But it is my personal belief that it is way lower than 50% v.s. going double from here within 5 years.
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 1021
Instead of GBTC moving down the market is going up and getting closer to GBTC value.
member
Activity: 117
Merit: 10
ever since watching the GBTC launch, I've been even more excited to see some real exposure to actual, liquid, regulated markets. This could be interesting.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
GBTC was just another hype shit that didn't even work, this market is collapsing, nobody wants to get in at these prices.
Now, now. GBTC seems to have settled at around $29. If there's any reason to believe GBTC should trade at a premium, then this might reflect that. Of course, I'm still waiting for a rise in Bitcoin proper with a corresponding rise in GBTC with significant volume to confirm. It's really too early to draw conclusions. But, yes it was a bit hyped.

Could it be that all buyers so far have been by people who already held BIT shares?

* They know what BIT is, few other people do.
* They believe that bitcoin will someday be worth a lot more than now.
* They are prepared to wait many years for that.
* They probably bought other shares for 400-800 $/BTC, so 290 is cheap.
* Buying more of something is an easier decision to make than buying the first one.
* They may be tempted to buy just to keep the price from falling.
member
Activity: 94
Merit: 10
GBTC was just another hype shit that didn't even work, this market is collapsing, nobody wants to get in at these prices.
Now, now. GBTC seems to have settled at around $29. If there's any reason to believe GBTC should trade at a premium, then this might reflect that. Of course, I'm still waiting for a rise in Bitcoin proper with a corresponding rise in GBTC with significant volume to confirm. It's really too early to draw conclusions. But, yes it was a bit hyped.
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
GBTC was just another hype shit that didn't even work, this market is collapsing, nobody wants to get in at these prices.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
Odd:

Bid Price
CSTI   28.15   100   10:28

Ask Price
CSTI   29.25   1000   10:28

Odd how? This is what market makers do. Buck and change to be made on the spread.
Well there's not really any volume to support market making profits, and also the volatility would make it risky in the first place. Of course it's settled now, but at the time they placed that bid it was still not showing a clearly defined path.
full member
Activity: 280
Merit: 100
GBTC is still overpriced. The volume would probably increase if it was closer to exchange prices.

I agree wholeheartedly. And I hope once it happens
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
Odd:

Bid Price
CSTI   28.15   100   10:28

Ask Price
CSTI   29.25   1000   10:28

Odd how? This is what market makers do. Buck and change to be made on the spread.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
Odd:

Bid Price
CSTI   28.15   100   10:28

Ask Price
CSTI   29.25   1000   10:28
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Ok I have to admit I thought this would be a lot more bullish for the price if bitcoin because it's a safe haven for big investors who aren't that tech savvy to get in & get themselves a piece of the bitcoin pie.
I know it's still very early days for a new business/corporation but I can't help but admit that yes, I'm disappointed.
Come on GBTC prove me wrong, do something positive to the price ASAP.

COIN is what matters!

Yeh, a true ETF, not a jumping-through-hoops fudge. MUCH more interesting to investors.
Only then will we find out what real demand is. I would not get to downbeat about this one LFC ... its just not the real deal - it's supermarket Cola selling for more than Coke.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
Ok I have to admit I thought this would be a lot more bullish for the price if bitcoin because it's a safe haven for big investors who aren't that tech savvy to get in & get themselves a piece of the bitcoin pie.
I know it's still very early days for a new business/corporation but I can't help but admit that yes, I'm disappointed.
Come on GBTC prove me wrong, do something positive to the price ASAP.

COIN is what matters!
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Ok I have to admit I thought this would be a lot more bullish for the price if bitcoin because it's a safe haven for big investors who aren't that tech savvy to get in & get themselves a piece of the bitcoin pie.
I know it's still very early days for a new business/corporation but I can't help but admit that yes, I'm disappointed.
Come on GBTC prove me wrong, do something positive to the price ASAP.

I think the premium is the problem - it's too high. Why is it so? Because of the structure of the fund, that new buyers can only buy from long-term holders, who have no desire to sell at these prices after holding for more than a year. I can't see this changing any time soon TBH
The XBT structure is a much better product as it is new issuance at close to NAV.
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
Ok I have to admit I thought this would be a lot more bullish for the price if bitcoin because it's a safe haven for big investors who aren't that tech savvy to get in & get themselves a piece of the bitcoin pie.
I know it's still very early days for a new business/corporation but I can't help but admit that yes, I'm disappointed.
Come on GBTC prove me wrong, do something positive to the price ASAP.
member
Activity: 94
Merit: 10
Price of GBTC continues to slide toward Bitcoin proper on low volume. I couldn't buy with my Roth through sharebuilder. Anyone have any luck purchasing in any sort of tax advantaged account?
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