I agree with you somewhat. However, it will be too early to predict which teams will get promotions in the first division. Pauli, Regensburg and Paderborn are playing quite well now. Looking at the gameplay so far, it seems that they are a worthy team to go to the first division. But Schalke 04 is a good enough team. They will do their best to make it to the first division again.
@laurenB7742 you’re absolutely correct it’s too early because player’s form changes post the holiday season, and injuries also can play it’s role so unless the teams take a huge lead it’s yet open in my opinion. Furthermore Schalke 04 are blowing hot and cold in their performances, and if they wish to secure promotion then they’ll have to vastly improve on their performances.
Of course, injuries can have many effects and the winter break can also have an impact. What just struck me is that I meant in my post that Pauli, Regensburg and Paderborn will probably be one of the teams that will play in the Relagation. Someone can read that differently in the post. Therefore here for clarification.