Dortmund have one win and four losses in their last five games. And the next game is against Leipzig. I don't even know what to expect here, given that Dortmund likes to surprise. The bookmakers see it like this:
2.22 - 3.85 - 3.00
To be honest, Dortmund looks overrated here. Leipzig has a great statistic, they have the fewest goals conceded in the Bundesliga (3). This game looks very unclear, but the bet on Leipzig looks more reasonable.
Seriously I don’t understand how the bookmakers are actually doing all this odds, isn’t it supposed to be about form, head to head and yes also about home advantage if it is two power horses, the only thing Dortmund tick here to edge Leipzig is the home advantage which they don’t even use well against even weaker oppositions, we see week and week out how lower teams come here most often to take points away from them. The other two in terms of form we all know Leipzig is clear of them as they are currently tittle contenders with the likes of Bayern Munich, i don’t think we can say that about Dortmund right now.
As for the head to head it is even worse, Dortmund has won just once out of the last 6 league meetings between the two clubs since 2021/22, with Leipzig winning the remaining five plus an extra DFP Pokal win last two seasons, looking at this stats I think the best odds should have been for Leipzig not against them