I am not so sure about that. Quality difference is of course huge, but Dresden is doing ok-ish after finding some rhythm with ending quarantine. It was just Wehen and Fürth, where they got 4 points recently, but they have some momentum and self-confidence. And they have nothing to lose, because nobody is expecting anything from them today. Hamburg otoh once again shot themselves in the foot on Monday. They play good football, but only managed one win after the break against poor Wehen. They were unlucky with late goals against Fürth, Stuttgart and Kiel, but when it happens that often, there is something wrong, this is not just bad luck.
Stuttgart was 1.60+ when they played at Dresden the other week - and that was when Dresden wasn't match-fit at all. Now Hamburg is 1.50+ and I think it's too low or fair at best. They should win, but 2. Bundesliga is crazy at times
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I think Sandhausen has a great shot today at giving Bielefeld all sorts of trouble. Bielefeld seems to run a bit out of gas and they don't need the 3 points badly, a draw would do the trick as well. Neuhaus will take rather defensive approach imo and look to keep a clean sheet first and then hope for some Klos-Magic upfront. Sandhausen themselves are on a pretty good run and sitting comfortably in the middle of the table. This looks like a low-scoring draw (0-0/1-1) for me, but unfortunately the markets think the same and odds are not very tempting; the odds for Bielefeld look actually quite huge on paper. Probably a game to lay the team that manages to get the lead.
The sacking of Schreuder with Hoffenheim was really weird. They were doing quite good and didn't seem to play against their coach. They didn't play any top teams, but wins don't come easy in Bundesliga, even against the smaller teams. So something must have happened behind the curtains. Now with a new coach (or the old being sacked) I would normally expect Hoffenheim to come out firing on all cylinders, but this situation is a bit different On top of that they will play against their old coach Nagelsmann and surely want to show what they are capable of. 1.45 for Leipzig looks a bit low considering all circumstances. They were ruthless with Mainz and Köln in their away games, but Hoffenheim is a different caliber.