Author

Topic: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. - page 1003. (Read 2032266 times)

legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 24, 2014, 11:08:47 PM
Buying a home at any time in the last 50 years would've been a good move except in years 2007, 2008:

www.census.gov/const/uspriceann.pdf

My father in law is a multi millionaire having bought primarily commercial real estate starting back then in LA.  Now his kids get a handsome annuity check monthly. It's amazing how long these trends keep going.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
August 24, 2014, 10:57:49 PM
i'm moving up next year, and i wont have to sell any bitcoins, can't wait!
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
August 24, 2014, 10:52:42 PM
The house you rent out = investment
The house you live in = consumption
If standard of living is a function of what one consumes, adam "gets it" already.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
August 24, 2014, 10:24:09 PM
if i rent for 25years i end with nothing.
if i buy and pay mortgage for 25years i end with a house.

who in there right mind would rent?

If renting is a fraction of the cost of buying, you could use the extra money to enjoy a higher standard of living for those 25 years.

Maintaining a home can also be quite expensive (ignoring the purchase cost).

but living in a really expenvice house =  higher standard of living

Adam, I'm starting to wonder exactly how old you are.  Because if you have lived life long enough (to at least age 40-ish), and have spent some amount of time in an "expensive" house, you would understand the realized absurdity of that statement.  When you experience it for yourself, you'll finally "get it".

i have a tiny condo

wana trade?

i want to "get it"

BS a nice house doesn't improve standard of living, BS
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
August 24, 2014, 10:22:18 PM
if i rent for 25years i end with nothing.
if i buy and pay mortgage for 25years i end with a house.

who in there right mind would rent?

If renting is a fraction of the cost of buying, you could use the extra money to enjoy a higher standard of living for those 25 years.

Maintaining a home can also be quite expensive (ignoring the purchase cost).

but living in a really expenvice house =  higher standard of living

Adam, I'm starting to wonder exactly how old you are.  Because if you have lived life long enough (to at least age 40-ish), and have spent some amount of time in an "expensive" house, you would understand the realized absurdity of that statement.  When you experience it for yourself, you'll finally "get it".


Careful, Adam's a tricky penguin:



legendary
Activity: 3780
Merit: 5429
August 24, 2014, 10:17:58 PM
if i rent for 25years i end with nothing.
if i buy and pay mortgage for 25years i end with a house.

who in there right mind would rent?

If renting is a fraction of the cost of buying, you could use the extra money to enjoy a higher standard of living for those 25 years.

Maintaining a home can also be quite expensive (ignoring the purchase cost).

but living in a really expenvice house =  higher standard of living

Adam, I'm starting to wonder exactly how old you are.  Because if you have lived life long enough (to at least age 40-ish), and have spent some amount of time in an "expensive" house, you would understand the realized absurdity of that statement.  When you experience it for yourself, you'll finally "get it".
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
August 24, 2014, 09:39:32 PM
...
A good form of money that can act better than housing out of the grasp of the rent seekers could add to the deflation in a housing price collapse as RE demonitises.

It's interesting to imagine what the equilibrium price levels of things like an apartment in New York or a house in Vancouver would be in a bitcoin economy.  Like you implied, the economic dislocations caused by monetary policy have monetized RE over the last 1-2 decades (and probably for much longer to a lesser extent), and it's impossible to know the true scale of these distortions.

If bitcoin can aid the movement towards disintermediation, decentralization, and deregulation, I don't see why the cost of commodity housing for the masses wouldn't fall significantly.  
 
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
August 24, 2014, 09:16:55 PM
House prices have become monetised over the last 1-2 decades as the options for good savings vehicles (store of value) immune from inflation, tax grabs, regulations (and sundry other rent-seeking) have diminished. As has collectable art, vintage vehicles, antiques, etc. The fiat mis-management has manifest itself in innumerable ways that will only become fully visible when looked back from a stable economy at some point in the future.

Coralling everyone into stocks and bonds as the only "viable investments" via the pension system rorts and trying to lock them in there is backfiring massively when we look at how poorly the wider economies of the west are progressing.

A good form of money that can act better than housing out of the grasp of the rent seekers could add to the deflation in a housing price collapse as RE demonitises.
sr. member
Activity: 371
Merit: 250
August 24, 2014, 08:35:36 PM
I don't have any real estate but there are some nice condos around the world in some lovely locations that run about the same as buying a parking spot in big cities. But if rents in those places are also very low, it's still not very compelling for me to buy. I just spent a few weeks in Vancouver and that is one beautiful city. I wouldn't expect to see any big price increases there in the near future but if the chinese and taiwanese keep buying, prices probably won't come down too much either.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
August 24, 2014, 08:33:17 PM
if i rent for 25years i end with nothing.
if i buy and pay mortgage for 25years i end with a house.

who in there right mind would rent?

If renting is a fraction of the cost of buying, you could use the extra money to enjoy a higher standard of living for those 25 years.

Maintaining a home can also be quite expensive (ignoring the purchase cost).

but living in a really expenvice house =  higher standard of living
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
August 24, 2014, 08:31:42 PM

if i rent for 25years i end with nothing.
if i buy and pay mortgage for 25years i end with a house.

who in there right mind would rent?


For people who will spend all of their money in either case, it's definitely better to buy than to rent.  A mortgage is a forced savings plan. Building wealth while renting probably requires a different kind of discipline (but if it's cheaper to rent than to buy you will come out ahead by renting 25 years down the road all else being equal).  
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
August 24, 2014, 08:28:49 PM
long term housing can only go up... and even if thats not true, consider your options, throwing away money on rent?

But everybody pays rent.  You either pay it to yourself (in lieu of the money you would receive from a tenant), or you pay it to a landlord.  In an efficient market, it shouldn't really make a difference whether you buy or rent.  The fact that it has made a difference (and a huge difference at that) shows how out of whack the housing market has become over the last few decades.

I also don't think it's true that long term housing can only go up. Shiller has over a century of evidence to refute this:



I think the statement "housing is a good investment" is a myth that started with the baby boomer generation because this is the only generation that the statement has been unequivocally true for.  

if i rent for 25years i end with nothing.
if i buy and pay mortgage for 25years i end with a house.

who in there right mind would rent?
who cares what the market is doing?
BUY BUY BUY!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
August 24, 2014, 08:24:56 PM
long term housing can only go up... and even if thats not true, consider your options, throwing away money on rent?

But everybody pays rent.  You either pay it to yourself (in lieu of the money you would receive from a tenant), or you pay it to a landlord.  In an efficient market, it shouldn't really make a difference whether you buy or rent.  The fact that it has made a difference (and a huge difference at that) shows how out of whack the housing market has become over the last few decades.

I also don't think it's true that long term housing can only go up. Shiller has over a century of evidence to refute this:



legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
August 24, 2014, 08:17:24 PM
It'll probably take a break in the gold market to get the ball rolling.

let it drop!  Grin

Although a move by gold investors could easily transform the bitcoin market, only a tiny percentage of investors hold PMs in their portfolios. I would much rather see the other 99% (or whatever figure it actually is) buy into BTC or it will remain as obscure as gold.

BTC offers so much more then gold. and now with all these big names accepting it, it will surely not be as obscure as gold. wtf is taking so long? anything below 10K is dirt cheep!

buy Buy BUY!!!
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
August 24, 2014, 08:13:18 PM

It's a battle to get my friends and family to understand that high housing costs are an overall negative to the economy; they see it as an investment and investments should go up in value.  And even though the market has been fairly flat the last several years here in Vancouver, it's accepted as fact that prices will continuously appreciate--a long decline in housing costs is not even in the realm of possibility in the minds of the majority here.  
...

long term housing can only go up... and even if thats not true, consider your options, throwing away money on rent? buying a house the second a bank will let you barrow is sound financial advice, no matter what the market is doing.

I agree poeple can't view housing as investment, its not, its a store of value a damn good one.


Actually, if you believe Bitcoin is destined to replace the usd, then you should be buying a house. After all, you do it with a loan.

believing your own beliefs as fact is DANGEROUS. so no.

i say this and i bought a house in 2011 and then bought 25$ of bitcoin because i was broke at the time.

lol fuck my life.

Mind you, I'm not saying buy a house right now as there are some signs its rolling but the long term point I was making still holds, IF you believe fiat is doomed.

fiat is designed to lose 90% of its value every 50-100 years.

doom is coming.
sr. member
Activity: 371
Merit: 250
August 24, 2014, 08:12:03 PM
It'll probably take a break in the gold market to get the ball rolling.

let it drop!  Grin

Although a move by gold investors could easily transform the bitcoin market, only a tiny percentage of investors hold PMs in their portfolios. I would much rather see the other 99% (or whatever figure it actually is) buy into BTC or it will remain as obscure as gold.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 24, 2014, 08:10:17 PM

It's a battle to get my friends and family to understand that high housing costs are an overall negative to the economy; they see it as an investment and investments should go up in value.  And even though the market has been fairly flat the last several years here in Vancouver, it's accepted as fact that prices will continuously appreciate--a long decline in housing costs is not even in the realm of possibility in the minds of the majority here.  
...

long term housing can only go up... and even if thats not true, consider your options, throwing away money on rent? buying a house the second a bank will let you barrow is sound financial advice, no matter what the market is doing.

I agree poeple can't view housing as investment, its not, its a store of value a damn good one.


Actually, if you believe Bitcoin is destined to replace the usd, then you should be buying a house. After all, you do it with a loan.

believing your own beliefs as fact is DANGEROUS. so no.

i say this and i bought a house in 2011 and then bought 25$ of bitcoin because i was broke at the time.

lol fuck my life.

Mind you, I'm not saying buy a house right now as there are some signs its rolling but the long term point I was making still holds, IF you believe fiat is doomed.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
August 24, 2014, 08:05:09 PM

It's a battle to get my friends and family to understand that high housing costs are an overall negative to the economy; they see it as an investment and investments should go up in value.  And even though the market has been fairly flat the last several years here in Vancouver, it's accepted as fact that prices will continuously appreciate--a long decline in housing costs is not even in the realm of possibility in the minds of the majority here.  
...

long term housing can only go up... and even if thats not true, consider your options, throwing away money on rent? buying a house the second a bank will let you barrow is sound financial advice, no matter what the market is doing.

I agree poeple can't view housing as investment, its not, its a store of value a damn good one.


Actually, if you believe Bitcoin is destined to replace the usd, then you should be buying a house. After all, you do it with a loan.

believing your own beliefs as fact is DANGEROUS. so no.

i say this and i bought a house in 2011 and then bought 25$ of bitcoin because i was broke at the time.

lol fuck my life.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
August 24, 2014, 08:04:24 PM
It'll probably take a break in the gold market to get the ball rolling.

let it drop!  Grin
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