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Topic: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. - page 1007. (Read 2032266 times)

full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
THE GAME OF CHANCE. CHANGED.
August 23, 2014, 11:22:52 AM
oh noes, turning down again:



Short LTC/BTC is probably one of the best trading strategy so far this year.

And I expect the strategy to work till year end.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 23, 2014, 11:10:57 AM
NSA and GCHQ agents 'leak Tor bugs', alleges developer

http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-28886462

this is great.  whether true or not, this info will serve as a great psyop.  corruption and abuse likes to hide in the shadows. not only that, but it leads to extreme paranoia.  as JR said somewhere above, eventually the spying that drains billions of free dollars from taxpayers and Fed printing will turn towards internal surveillance.  and then the whole place goes dark and NSA workers will be walking around with headlamps:

http://www.govtech.com/federal/New-NSA-Data-Center-Too-Big-Not-to-Explode.html
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 23, 2014, 10:45:42 AM
oh noes, turning down again:

legendary
Activity: 2002
Merit: 1040
August 23, 2014, 08:00:30 AM
Debt is the one and only real money. Everything else is a (more or less liquid) commodity. (Gold, Gold 2.0, Copper, Grain, Houses etc.)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debt:_The_First_5000_Years

I'm sure the leaders of the good ole US of A wish they could declare a jubilee for themselves  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1004
August 23, 2014, 06:47:22 AM
Debt is the one and only real money. Everything else is a (more or less liquid) commodity. (Gold, Gold 2.0, Copper, Grain, Houses etc.)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debt:_The_First_5000_Years
sr. member
Activity: 371
Merit: 250
August 22, 2014, 11:29:17 PM
The world's largest diggers.

That's what I would call some serious POW.

http://www.mining.com/infographic-the-worlds-largest-diggers-79393/
sr. member
Activity: 371
Merit: 250
August 22, 2014, 11:26:36 PM
U.S. Mint platinum coins bypassed in rush for gold
Platinum sales at the U.S. Mint have all but collapsed as investors continue to favour gold and silver.

So even in the physical world, perhaps there isn't much room for more than one alt coin.

http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/content/en/mineweb-gold-news?oid=250839&sn=Detail
sr. member
Activity: 371
Merit: 250
August 22, 2014, 11:24:14 PM
Transnistria to Introduce Plastic Circulation Coins

I'd never heard of trasnsnistria.

http://news.coinupdate.com/transnistria-to-introduce-plastic-circulation-coins-4441/
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 11:20:49 PM

Does not an unforgeable global ledger and a method writing information to that ledger via digital signatures have value independent of its use as a medium of exchange?  Does this "save" the regression theory?  Or is it better to sweep it away in favour of the "money is memory" point of view?


not in Bitcoin's case.

the only reason the ledger is unforgeable is b/c of the embedded monetary units that incentive mining via the POW leading to the blockchain.  they're inextricably linked.

edit: maybe i'm not reading your intentions with that quite right.  but i still think the blockchain may only ever be applicable to Bitcoin as money.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 11:01:06 PM
Article linked from ZH. What does bitcoin mean for Austrian Money Theory? Some of the comments are worth reading. Some aren't.

"Bitcoin may yet fail, in which case Mises’ theorem will remain as a powerful argument in favor of the gold standard. If it ends up succeeding, however, an alternate explanation will have to be found."

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-08-22/what-does-bitcoin-mean-austrian-money-theory



look at the comments.

wow, what a change for the better.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 106
August 22, 2014, 10:51:26 PM
If bitcoin succeeds, does it necessarily mean that the Mises' Regression Theory is false?  

Hi,

I think Mises' theory is no longer complete.

Mise wrote the theory in 1912 and he died in 1973.

But in his defense: I don't think he could have possibly imagined an unforgeable virtual token that has controlled and finite issuance.

Just imagine being told to engineer a solution for that in 1973, let alone 1912.

IMHO: Bitcoin is closer in most dimensions to gold than fiat, as we all know fiat is just fancily printed paper, the issuance of which takes a chaotic and inevitably corrupt path.

Quote from: Mise
"Paper money, especially that with no commodity backing, is only adopted when governments force it upon people."

Were Mise still alive then I think he would hold some Bitcoins for sure, alongside his gold of course.




legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1004
August 22, 2014, 10:20:10 PM
...  
Or is it better to sweep it away in favour of the "money is memory" point of view?
...


Yes.

I thought we got over the Regression TheoremTheory in 2010/2011?

Funny this came up right now... I've been re-reading Kocherlakota's "Money is Memory" (pdf) tonight.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
August 22, 2014, 09:57:15 PM
Article linked from ZH. What does bitcoin mean for Austrian Money Theory? Some of the comments are worth reading. Some aren't.

"Bitcoin may yet fail, in which case Mises’ theorem will remain as a powerful argument in favor of the gold standard. If it ends up succeeding, however, an alternate explanation will have to be found."

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-08-22/what-does-bitcoin-mean-austrian-money-theory


If bitcoin succeeds, does it necessarily mean that the Mises' Regression Theory is false?  

Quote from: Mises
People will only accept a medium of exchange if they observe that it has value, and can actually be exchanged for things. The only way to observe that is by looking at whether it was so used in a preceding time period. Thus, this chain of observations can be followed back until the first instance in which a particular type of money was used as a medium of exchange, and in order for those first adopters to accept it, it must have had value independent of its use as a medium of exchange, or in other words, be a commodity. Paper money, especially that with no commodity backing, is only adopted when governments force it upon people.
 

Does not an unforgeable global ledger and a method writing information to that ledger via digital signatures have value independent of its use as a medium of exchange?  Does this "save" the regression theory?  Or is it better to sweep it away in favour of the "money is memory" point of view?

I thought this was a useful perspective:

Quote from: Capt_Roger_Murdock (r/bitcoin)
I really like language as an analogy for money. Whereas a typical language like English is a protocol for communicating all kinds of information, money is a protocol for communicating credible information about value given but not yet received. If you go through familiar properties of good money (i.e, scarcity, fungibility, divisibility, portability, etc.) with that analogy in mind, you'll see that there are really only two requirements. First, the protocol must ensure that it facilitates the transmission of credible messages. And second, the protocol should facilitate the efficient transmission of those messages. Gold satisfies the first requirement, but not the second -- at least from the perspective of a modern, global economy. Digital fiat does a pretty good job at satisfying the second requirement, but not the first. The constant creation of new fiat out of thin air is equivalent to the constant creation of false messages that undermine the integrity and usefulness of the system. Bitcoin is exciting because it's the first money that may be able to simultaneously satisfy both requirements. Another obvious parallel between money and language is the importance of network effects. The more people that speak a language, the more useful it is. The more people that use a particular form of money, the more useful and valuable it is.

sr. member
Activity: 371
Merit: 250
August 22, 2014, 09:25:40 PM
Article linked from ZH. What does bitcoin mean for Austrian Money Theory? Some of the comments are worth reading. Some aren't.

"Bitcoin may yet fail, in which case Mises’ theorem will remain as a powerful argument in favor of the gold standard. If it ends up succeeding, however, an alternate explanation will have to be found."

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-08-22/what-does-bitcoin-mean-austrian-money-theory

legendary
Activity: 3430
Merit: 3080
August 22, 2014, 07:39:29 PM
You can reduce the argument right down when you look at the broader economic context. Namely, why even use a service, however well it provides that service at a mechanistic level, that needs it's own special tokens? Unless the service fails as a concept without a built in currency, then the developers are adding friction to information services instead of continuing in satoshi's spirit of liberation as they claim to. It's all wrong from a plain information theory perspective, either you're a distributed TLD system or you're a currency. If you want to be both, expect inefficiency, confusion or conflict. Put another way, imagine if we all did this in commerce now? Shoecoin at footwear stores, foodcoin when you buy food but don't forget to keep some beercoin just in case you buy that at the same time. No beercoin? Hey, we convert at great rates! Doesn't take alot to see where that would end up... everyone who's not profiteering agreeing on something universal.

There will be a natural recognition that schizophrenic designs don't benefit users, and so Namecoin and Maidsafe will survive in their overall purpose as differentiated from bitcoin, but the token component cannot. If the tokens are not made optional or allow for direct access to the bitcoin protocol, then they won't compete well against rival systems that employ bitcoin as money and stick to addressing the actual problem they purport to solve.
Maybe all this appcoin insanity is a good thing.

It keeps Bitcoins out of the hands of people who've shown a lack of discernment, therefore they'll control a smaller fraction of the future economy.

Well, except for the developers who sell their scamcoins for Bitcoins.

You'd think the fact that the developers prefer to hold bitcoins over appcoins would be a giant red flag for potential investors...

it's not a good thing.  Bitcoins are the only thing they can monetize with.  they are a drag on Bitcoin b/c of all the scams and failures.  they suck out valuable capital away from Bitcoin.  they are means of getting something for nothing.  much like POS which involves no work.

True, but only bitter experience can force people to make smarter decisions. I say this while reminding myself that maybe this won't be the last new paradigm in money, or even in cryptographic money. We're still waiting for >99% of the world to realise the old paradigm is finished, after all. I'm in "expect the unexpected" mode for the rest of the 2010's.
legendary
Activity: 3430
Merit: 3080
August 22, 2014, 07:28:05 PM
Now consider Storjcoin as a share and I think we end up with a contradiction.  If I hold x% of the Storjcoins(shares), should I not earn x% of the revenue from the Storj network?  If they were shares then I should.  But I don't: the revenue flows to the nodes providing the service.  The nodes are the shareholders!  So Storjcoin is not a share.

What is Storjcoin then? 

Exactly, Storjcoin is not intrinsic to the Storj system at all. This can only end badly for the Storj developers, either they quietly phase out Storjcoin and make the system competitive against distributed storage networks that are frcitionless, or the system loses out to an unencumbered design.

My thoughts exactly (and I agree with your previous comment too). 

But MoA is a smart guy.  He thinks we're missing something.  Are we? 

I agree that we could be. These systems can be designed so that shares more directly represent the asset that they signify ownership over, but it can't always be as strongly enforceable as ownership of an all-abstract asset like money. There are already many key forms of ownership that work so well though, and there's bound to be more innovations to come. I still sense that shares will work applied to some businesses and not to others, and that reputation in free markets will still be the only adequate resolution to defrauding shareholders of property in a world running on decentralised crypto systems. And maybe the answer is a crypto based reputation system... I've argued this point before, but it's hard to flesh out in practice.


legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 07:27:20 PM
The coin itself is actually a counterparty asset so it exists on the counterparty protocol
Remember when Wall Street started making synthetic derivatives composed of mortgage-backed security derivatives?

The main failing was not derivatives but that government backed the funding of questionable mortgage debt.   If wall street or any private company screws up it'll fall over, but when government backs something it becomes a giant that crushes anyone who stands in its way and in the end it trips up anyway

Maybe securitization is bad but if it is questionable then its very likely rated as such.   The problem stems when people dont question or rate debt that could fail realistically

that's not true:

http://politicalcorrection.org/factcheck/201110140001

Fannie Mae entered the fray after the Wall St banks pumped up the CDO market.  Banks are the "out of thin air lenders" and when regs are light and money is cheap, they lend BIG.  money was so cheap and gvt backing so implied, debt instruments were trading just like money.

furthermore, ratings by Moody's, Standard & Poors, Fitch all were bought off to give high ratings. this is well documented.

so no, Wall St was the progenitor.
member
Activity: 87
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August 22, 2014, 07:17:40 PM

since i know not much about Counterparty, except that a bunch of ppl burned their BTC to get Counterparty tokens, again, how is Storjcoin secured and who holds the ledger?

All counterparty assets run currently on the Bitcoin Blockchain
They can fork to a different one if ever needed

So in that sense Bitcoin secures and holds the ledger
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
August 22, 2014, 07:14:44 PM
The coin itself is actually a counterparty asset so it exists on the counterparty protocol
Remember when Wall Street started making synthetic derivatives composed of mortgage-backed security derivatives?

The main failing was not derivatives but that government backed the funding of questionable mortgage debt.   If wall street or any private company screws up it'll fall over, but when government backs something it becomes a giant that crushes anyone who stands in its way and in the end it trips up anyway

Maybe securitization is bad but if it is questionable then its very likely rated as such.   The problem stems when people dont question or rate debt that could fail realistically
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 07:12:08 PM
Now consider Storjcoin as a share and I think we end up with a contradiction.  If I hold x% of the Storjcoins(shares), should I not earn x% of the revenue from the Storj network?  If they were shares then I should.  But I don't: the revenue flows to the nodes providing the service.  The nodes are the shareholders!  So Storjcoin is not a share.

What is Storjcoin then?  

Exactly, Storjcoin is not intrinsic to the Storj system at all. This can only end badly for the Storj developers, either they quietly phase out Storjcoin and make the system competitive against distributed storage networks that are frcitionless, or the system loses out to an unencumbered design.

My thoughts exactly (and I agree with your previous comment too).  

But MoA is a smart guy.  He thinks we're missing something.  Are we?  

I haven't looked into specifics of the StorJcoin economic model at all.

Like any division of ownership/labour/incentive structure if they don't get that right it will be a failed venture.

The ones that do and the analysts that dig in and find the right ones will make the right bets ...  focusing on one failed application you might be missing the wider possibilities? Maybe fork the open source StorJcoin and bolt on the correct economic model and you'll have a winner?



Hey guys,  Ryan here Storj Community President.

Caught the discussion happening figure I would help you out and give some answers
l
Storjcoin is not equity in storj.

Storjcoin is the token used to purchase storage on the decentralized cloud network

People running the application Driveshare(in development github.com/storj) will be able to sell excess hard drive space
The whitepaper describing this process is being reviewed right now and adjustments to it.

If you want to store something on the network you will use a metadisk node
Current public nodes
(note without drive share running these are early demos and not a decentralized application)
node1.metadisk.org

you can read the metadisk whitepaper here
metadisk.org/metadisk.pdf

People using metadisk will purchase space that they need using storjcoin

So therefore storjcoin will have value as it has a commodity directly attached to it.

This is a brief summary and there is lots of more information on the Storjtalk.org forums

Hope to see you there or send a reply here and I will do what I can to answer

how is Storjcoin secured and who holds the ledger?

The coin itself is actually a counterparty asset so it exists on the counterparty protocol

since i know not much about Counterparty, except that a bunch of ppl burned their BTC to get Counterparty tokens, again, how is Storjcoin secured and who holds the ledger?
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