this has been a bad weekend for news on Bitcoin 2.0 projects. we all know about Ripple now. Mastercoin allegedly has problems with Willett selling out (not confirmed by me), and now we have Bitshares:
http://letstalkbitcoin.com/blog/post/beyond-bitcoin-1-nxt-asset-exchange-and-bitshares-technical-updatelisten carefully to Larimer describe how, just last week, he's had to redo the entire implementation of how tx's are handled within his protocol. simple inputs and outputs structure like in Bitcoin have been discarded for database tables which will be required for every asset tracked by the Bitshare protocol. blocks require "delegate" (read centralized) nodes to sign off and approve tx's. apparently he had severe forking problems with his original code and lack of a mechanism to develop consensus.
while listening to the podcast it dawned on me how centralized these Bitcoin 2.0 projects have become in the sense of depending on a core group of known devs
who have a vested interest. he even says that if something happened to him while the protocol had a problem there would be no one to really fix it. that's bad.
Satoshi was wise to remain anonymous. by leaving and turning the code management over to a distributed group of devs who don't have a vested interest in Bitcoin, other than whatever BTC they may have bought on the free market, he fortified the Bitcoin dev process from gov't pressure. all the Bitcoin 2.0 projects have dev teams whose personal financial success depends on the success of their product. if the devs themselves ever get attacked by gov't their project would be finished by the mere fact that most of them have awarded themselves an upfront disproportionate share of the equity.
i am beginning to believe that blockchain technology may only ever be applicable to Bitcoin as money. you heard it here first. i know what Satoshi said about scripting language and the potential to do more things like smart contracts et al but he said those things in a forum post and almost as an afterthought. he also could be wrong about growing these products out from the blockchain from an economic and technical standpoint. the masses don't care about these things, at least right now. i think they just want their money to be safe. here in the US, the arguably wealthiest country in the world, only a small % own things like stocks or bonds let alone assurance contracts or derivatives.
i think it's an interesting thought that blockchain technology may only ever be used to protect Bitcoin as money. if i'm right, all that money directed at alt projects has yet to flow back to Bitcoin.
I have a prediction - after all the Bitcoin 2.0 projects are dead, Open-Transactions is going to be around doing everything those projects promised to deliver, precisely because they are just building useful financial cryptography tools and not trying to create a competing currency.
The reason you haven't heard much about them is because, unlike projects that have an alt to pump, they're being more careful about who they take on as investors and are focusing more on building software correctly than building it quickly.