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Topic: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. - page 465. (Read 2032286 times)

legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
March 10, 2015, 07:04:30 PM
There is zero reason to invest >$100M to make mining ASICs at this point. Too many options already exist and the market is largely saturated.

A $100 million funding round does not mean they are spending $100 million on mining ASICs, even assuming they are making mining ASICs. That may be just one thing they are investing in, or the valuation numbers for whatever they have proposed may work out that for investors to get the sort of meaningful stake they want $100 million has to go in. In the latter case the company may have no idea whatsoever what they want to do with the $100 million to her than treat it as a war chest.
legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
March 10, 2015, 06:49:17 PM
Dow -333 smackdown:


Volatility increasing...  when was the last time there was a -333 or more?  Biggest (closing) drop I recall in a while.   

Plunge patrol is missing because they are at alltime highs Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1153
Merit: 1000
March 10, 2015, 06:39:00 PM
actually it is most likely a mining ASIC application, the first mining outfit to effectively deploy decentralized ASIC hardware and find a value proposition for the 100% efficient heat generation will clean up in the mining space.

21e6 are designing ASICs, so you'd expect them to get into mining supply and mining. But surely it makes sense for them to use some of that capital to directly buy BTC reserves.
There is zero reason to invest >$100M to make mining ASICs at this point. Too many options already exist and the market is largely saturated.
I wouldn't be so sure of that......

Just look at Bitfury who are raising money like it's nothing every other month.

At this point we have several designs already developed on modern sub 30nm nodes that are approximately close to the maximum efficiency we can expect (an SHA core is not complicated) and offer granularity down to 1, 2 or 3 Watts per chip.

If you are planning to build products to decentralize mining (think space heaters, etc that mine) starting with the current chips available is a good starting place, and using your money towards the other productization aspects makes the most sense.

The economics of the ASICS and the semicon industry are such that it only makes sense to develop a new chip it is significantly better than any other alternatives in terms of features/specs, or it is only marginally better but you have very high 100 million unit volumes to support the investment.

Otherwise it always makes more sense to save the several 10s of millions of NRE and use an existing off the shelf part. People that ignore this have gotten burned again and again, it's why the ASIC industry today is much smaller than it was before. Source: I have many many years of experience in the ASIC and semicon industry, have seen countless designs that never came close to a positive return, and have seen numerous businesses that ignore this fail and exit the industry....

I'm not saying there isn't an ASIC development gold rush still going on, I just personally would stay far away from the investment rounds, very far away.
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259
March 10, 2015, 06:24:53 PM
Dow -333 smackdown:


Volatility increasing...  when was the last time there was a -333 or more?  Biggest (closing) drop I recall in a while.   
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
March 10, 2015, 05:58:28 PM
Requiring it would be a hard fork? Is that the problem?

Requiring anything can be done with a soft fork. If >50% (preferably well over 50%) of miners require it then all blocks will have it.

full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
March 10, 2015, 05:53:09 PM
another ramp in dollar starting right now.  look out risk assets...

more deflation, bad for gold.....until US doesn't raise rates.

Gold price is rising currently, along with US$. Not uncommon, just an unholy alliance, albeit temporary, I assume.
legendary
Activity: 961
Merit: 1000
March 10, 2015, 05:47:38 PM
another ramp in dollar starting right now.  look out risk assets...

more deflation, bad for gold.....until US doesn't raise rates.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1013
March 10, 2015, 05:32:57 PM
If the protocol was changed to require a valid UTXO set hash for a block to be considered valid, and if enough entities kept enough history to catch any cheating before its too late it should probably work.

Tricky part is finding the right values of "enough."
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
March 10, 2015, 05:13:42 PM
...
Recording all transactions that have happened is done because that's the easiest way to generate the proof, not because storing that kind of history is the purpose of Bitcoin.

Well said.

embedding the hash of UTXO in the block headers and retaining only the last few hundred blocks is being experimented with as a client option.
The real trick will be figuring out a secure way of letting the entire network do it.

I don't think committed UTXO sets by themselves are sufficient.

I hadn't thought about this...

If a wrong UTXO hash would invalidate the block it should work, no? But then there's also incentive to omit it due to the risk of the block being rejected. Requiring it would be a hard fork? Is that the problem?

EDIT: found a good "in a nutshell" description: https://rustyrussell.github.io/pettycoin/2014/11/29/Pettycoin-Revisted-Part-I:-UTXO-Commitments.html
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
March 10, 2015, 04:57:11 PM
...
Recording all transactions that have happened is done because that's the easiest way to generate the proof, not because storing that kind of history is the purpose of Bitcoin.

Well said.

embedding the hash of UTXO in the block headers and retaining only the last few hundred blocks is being experimented with as a client option.
The real trick will be figuring out a secure way of letting the entire network do it.

I don't think committed UTXO sets by themselves are sufficient.

what does "committed" mean in this sense?

Committed means mined into a block (not the whole set literally, just a hash of it)
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
March 10, 2015, 04:46:11 PM
...
Recording all transactions that have happened is done because that's the easiest way to generate the proof, not because storing that kind of history is the purpose of Bitcoin.

Well said.

embedding the hash of UTXO in the block headers and retaining only the last few hundred blocks is being experimented with as a client option.
The real trick will be figuring out a secure way of letting the entire network do it.

I don't think committed UTXO sets by themselves are sufficient.

what does "committed" mean in this sense?
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1013
March 10, 2015, 04:38:08 PM
...
Recording all transactions that have happened is done because that's the easiest way to generate the proof, not because storing that kind of history is the purpose of Bitcoin.

Well said.

embedding the hash of UTXO in the block headers and retaining only the last few hundred blocks is being experimented with as a client option.
The real trick will be figuring out a secure way of letting the entire network do it.

I don't think committed UTXO sets by themselves are sufficient.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
March 10, 2015, 04:06:08 PM
another ramp in dollar starting right now.  look out risk assets...
full member
Activity: 660
Merit: 101
Colletrix - Bridging the Physical and Virtual Worl
March 10, 2015, 03:53:11 PM
embedding the hash of UTXO in the block headers and retaining only the last few hundred blocks is being experimented with as a client option.
screw that, i want direct access to a copy of the entire blockchain at all times. 
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
March 10, 2015, 03:40:09 PM
Dow -333 smackdown:

legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
March 10, 2015, 03:38:11 PM
...
Recording all transactions that have happened is done because that's the easiest way to generate the proof, not because storing that kind of history is the purpose of Bitcoin.

Well said.

embedding the hash of UTXO in the block headers and retaining only the last few hundred blocks is being experimented with as a client option.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1004
March 10, 2015, 02:45:46 PM
...
Recording all transactions that have happened is done because that's the easiest way to generate the proof, not because storing that kind of history is the purpose of Bitcoin.

Well said.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
March 10, 2015, 02:44:13 PM
if you fail to see the fundamental difference between those stacks and the already primitive flash drive on my newish machine, i fail to see the interest hanging out here has for you.
There's also the issue that what the blockchain records is not records of transactions, but rather proofs of ledger integrity.

The blockchain is a statement that, "no matter how many lattes were purchased or Satoshi Dice bets were placed, the number of bitcoins available for spending has been perfectly, is and always has been, exactly correct"

Recording all transactions that have happened is done because that's the easiest way to generate the proof, not because storing that kind of history is the purpose of Bitcoin.

This is exactly right. The ledger aspect is overblown.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1004
March 10, 2015, 02:42:43 PM
21e6 announcing they've raised $116M (!): http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2015/03/10/secretive-bitcoin-startup-21-reveals-record-funds-hints-at-mass-consumer-play/

*still* not saying exactly what they're up to...

Wow, that's incredible, not just for a BTC related company, but for any silicon valley tech company in stealth mode to raise that amount, has to have a very significant product and team.
mmmh

http://uk.businessinsider.com/juicero-raises-120-million-2015-1?r=US


^Helps put things in perspective...

Haha, good point!  Although I would still argue it's extremely rare to see any stealth startup in any space raise that kind of funding.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1013
March 10, 2015, 02:36:48 PM
if you fail to see the fundamental difference between those stacks and the already primitive flash drive on my newish machine, i fail to see the interest hanging out here has for you.
There's also the issue that what the blockchain records is not records of transactions, but rather proofs of ledger integrity.

The blockchain is a statement that, "no matter how many lattes were purchased or Satoshi Dice bets were placed, the number of bitcoins available for spending, is and always has been, exactly correct"

Recording all transactions that have happened is done because that's the easiest way to generate the proof, not because storing that kind of history is the purpose of Bitcoin.
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