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Topic: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. - page 650. (Read 2032266 times)

legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
November 30, 2014, 04:17:57 PM
Also finding gold in developed world, watch this tv series: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bering_Sea_Gold    It is possible to mine gold and just pick it up off the ground right in the USA.  Not easy exactly but its there..

There is an important human & capital investment required to obtain this gold.

This same investment could be put toward mining Bitcoins. "Not easy exactly but its there..."

The difference is that with bitcoin those mining costs also secure the network allowing it to function as a secure transaction network.

With gold mining you are left with just the gold.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 106
November 30, 2014, 04:11:53 PM
To put things in perspective, fiat has been ~x3 better store of value than Bitcoin over the last year.
You may now return to your delirium.

Nonsense, there are infinite perspectives.

Over the past 24 hours bitcoin has proven a better investment than fiat.

We can both pick any part of the fractal to agree with our own stance.

Fiat is a faith based money, anyone with half a brain knows fiat is not tenable in the long term. It's issuance is controlled by a few families who are FAR richer than us, their wealth wasn't accrued through labor.

You should study some history rather than browsing my little pony sites.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks
November 30, 2014, 04:01:18 PM
Also finding gold in developed world, watch this tv series: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bering_Sea_Gold    It is possible to mine gold and just pick it up off the ground right in the USA.  Not easy exactly but its there..

There is an important human & capital investment required to obtain this gold.

This same investment could be put toward mining Bitcoins. "Not easy exactly but its there..."
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
November 30, 2014, 03:54:56 PM
Cypherdoc: you could be right. If so this thread could be referenced in the monetary history books Smiley

Edit: One can imagine a future student scratching his head and frowning, "teacher what are all those pages about side chains?". Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
November 30, 2014, 03:51:22 PM
On Counterparty...
I like it, but also recognize that it brings SOME of the problems that side chains bring.  One of these is the increased regulatory attack profile.  The more things Bitcoin does, the more government agencies start to think "oh, we are the authority on everything to do with that".

The introduction of securities, distributed organizations, distributed exchanges, and all of the wonders of the Bitcoin 2.0 suite of things brings in new armies of regulators that will work to enforce rules on anyone who lives in or has assets in their jurisdictions.

It also used a sort of SVP one directional diminishing peg with the Proof of Burn initial distribution.  This was the most ethical distribution method of any of the 2.0 efforts of the time.  Earliest "burners" were rewarded slightly more than later burners, and there was an end block after which burned BTC would yield no XCP.

The Side Chain technologies provide much of the same, but also allow for "unburning" the burned BTC, but the Bitcoin protocol doesn't support this currently.  
Personally my position on SC is pretty nuanced, I'd rather see the experimental changes done on another block chain rather than Bitcoin.  The economic issues are complicated, and some of the risks are insidious (they build over time).  For those, we won't know that we hit a tipping point until afterwards, and I don't see an impending crisis of need for Side Chains manifesting.  We already have Counterparty, and its implementation of turing completeness.  We have some parts of our test bed already, but there are others we don't have.

The benefits of SC are tremendous.  They also pale in comparison to the Bitcoin endgame and provide a distraction from the steady march towards that.  I like the innovation, I would like to see it on the Bitcoin block chain... eventually.  
For now, I'd rather see it as a Dogecoin side chain implementation, or Litecoin side chain implementation or Monero side chain implementation.  I would like to see how the economics play out, or at least have some faster chain running into the problems that Bitcoin may have with it AHEAD of when it would happen with Bitcoin (each of those examples have faster block times, and faster emission schedules).
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks
November 30, 2014, 03:51:02 PM
it's way easier to get Bitcoin than an ounce of gold.  just log into Circle, input CC info and buy instantly.

Agree, one thing I always mention to my friends is that Bitcoin is arguably the most accessible investment asset that exist.

hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks
November 30, 2014, 03:45:29 PM
Because of this accessibility gold is unlikely to ever be forgotten by the masses

This accessibility is getting increasingly rare though. You don't see people finding "pebbles" of gold laying around anymore.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
November 30, 2014, 03:43:12 PM
... First came the internet to the Western world, next comes smartphones everywhere. That future will be here in the next three years! ...

And people hoarding Bitcoin will be filthy rich, just like everyone who hoarded first-gen smartphones!!1!
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
November 30, 2014, 03:40:06 PM
and with smartphone penetration increasing quickly to places like Africa, soon that will change too.  i'm the first one i know to have identified M Pesa as a good example of how Bitcoin could quickly make an impact in places like Kenya and we are now seeing that play out.  and it's spreading.  and none of this discussion assumes the ease with which Bitcoin can be used to transact btwn ppl worldwide.  the network effect has caused Bitcoin to gain much greater acceptance of Bitcoin as a payment network as evidenced by all the thousands of merchants accepting it worldwide today.  

the growth and trajetory seems pretty clear.  i think it was a huge warning sign that Bitcoin had the audacity to go up and touch gold parity in fiat terms just last year.  

I made posts similar to this much earlier in the year. First came the internet to the Western world, next comes smartphones everywhere. That future will be here in the next three years! Android handsets are already dirt cheap. All bitcoin has to do is literally stay functional and it will arise dominant. It just need a spark.

the failure of gold to perform its stated function can be no more clear.  it's been failing to enforce Sound Money for over 40 years.  today's Swiss vote shows just how far we've gone over the edge into the hands of a Keynesian reliance.

there's a reason Bitcoin has formed what i think is a bull flag along with a diminution in the McClellan Oscillator, a quieting period so to speak.  we be fixing for a big move.

we need a follow up chart from you on the Bitcoin rich list balances.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
November 30, 2014, 03:35:45 PM
and with smartphone penetration increasing quickly to places like Africa, soon that will change too.  i'm the first one i know to have identified M Pesa as a good example of how Bitcoin could quickly make an impact in places like Kenya and we are now seeing that play out.  and it's spreading.  and none of this discussion assumes the ease with which Bitcoin can be used to transact btwn ppl worldwide.  the network effect has caused Bitcoin to gain much greater acceptance of Bitcoin as a payment network as evidenced by all the thousands of merchants accepting it worldwide today. 

the growth and trajetory seems pretty clear.  i think it was a huge warning sign that Bitcoin had the audacity to go up and touch gold parity in fiat terms just last year. 

I made posts similar to this much earlier in the year. First came the internet to the Western world, next comes smartphones everywhere. That future will be here in the next three years! Android handsets are already dirt cheap. All bitcoin has to do is literally stay functional and it will arise dominant. It just need a spark.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
November 30, 2014, 03:35:43 PM
we're fixing for a big move in the next 24 hours. 

i say UP.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks
November 30, 2014, 03:32:29 PM
This gold mining argument still seems a bit silly and perhaps circular to me. We use gold (a rare and difficult-to-mine substance) for the same reason we need Bitcoin mining: to replace fragile trust. If everyone were trustworthy, we could use shiny pebbles instead of gold coins. No resources would be needed to "mine" pebbles, you just pick them up off the ground. Everyone would be trusted not to pick up pebbles he didn't deserve, and only obtain them through trade or in some other socially approved manner (perhaps as a form of "guaranteed minimum income", every person would be allowed to pick up one pebble per day.

+1

The work is the tradeoff for trust.

Justusranvier had a good comment on this in that "useful proof of work is an oxymoron".

Yet, as Peter points it out, this work is not "wasted". The energy is what is required to establish a trustless ledger that replaces the need for a "benevolent and omniscient God"
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
November 30, 2014, 03:29:03 PM
Yea I always wonder what is the point to bitcoin difficulty.   Surely its not a self assembled mountain ready for the fresh ascent of miners every day in order to claim a prize.  It must make the protocol more secure right, some kind of offshoot benefit would be good to hear.   Not just we needed to stop it being easy to solve.   I mean if it werent for high diff we could process transactions in 1 minute or less instead maybe though I realise this makes cohesion of the chain harder

AFAIK difficulty is essential to regulate the emission schedule of newly minted coins.

This is precisely true.  (with some liberty taken on the definition of minted)
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks
November 30, 2014, 03:18:10 PM
Yea I always wonder what is the point to bitcoin difficulty.   Surely its not a self assembled mountain ready for the fresh ascent of miners every day in order to claim a prize.  It must make the protocol more secure right, some kind of offshoot benefit would be good to hear.   Not just we needed to stop it being easy to solve.   I mean if it werent for high diff we could process transactions in 1 minute or less instead maybe though I realise this makes cohesion of the chain harder

AFAIK difficulty is essential to regulate the emission schedule of newly minted coins.

legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
November 30, 2014, 01:06:57 PM
Quote
no way anyone in the developed world can randomly pick up a piece of gold.

Im thinking about USA and it has vast unoccupied sections, like deserts and so on.   I realise thats not really habitable in some cases and thats why its empty but in theory, theres gold there to be found.   Im thinking even in the 1st world its possible to some extent

Im not slamming table on these points, just throwing it out there for discussion and maybe its the case thats its important to success or not.    I do believe capitalism is about people and the more the better, because all of us can achieve things of greater benefit with the right backing in theory


Also finding gold in developed world, watch this tv series: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bering_Sea_Gold    It is possible to mine gold and just pick it up off the ground right in the USA.  Not easy exactly but its there..


I hope you are right about M pesa etc, would be good to see


what's interesting about your theory is that it's inflationary in thinking.  in essence, what you're saying is that the money supply needs to grow to match the growth in population.  and that the new money added should be "free" as in being able to be picked up off the ground.

well, that's where we disagree.  early on in Bitcoin, everyone could just turn on their CPU and collect "free" money.  maybe everyone got used to this and are now arguing how unfair it is to have to go out and actually have to "pay" to get Bitcoin, either in the form of ASICs or on the free market.  i don't agree with this.  there's nothing wrong with having to "buy in".  and with Bitcoin, we "need" that buy in to develop the mining infrastructure so critical to security.  my other problem with this viewpoint is that it is inherently "unpredictable" in nature in terms of final supply.  in this system, you have to "project" your calculations into the future as to just how much additional money supply will come online.  to me, that doesn't make for a particularly efficient monetary system.  i suppose you could argue about how much BTC will be lost over time for the reverse argument.  but that could apply to gold too, altho maybe less likely since it is afterall a hunk of metal.  

but then again, this entire discussion is to ignore the seamless tx abilities of being able to send $millions overseas at the click of a button.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
November 30, 2014, 01:03:11 PM
Here is one way gold can be viewed, nothing special, just another way:

Some gold is useful, that is the consumption part. We could include some of the ornaments, and the technical use in electronics and so on (not the gold used in indian weddings - that is mostly monetary). Due to the monetary gold value, gold for consumption is more expensive than what it otherwise would be.

Gold is distributed, since it can be found basically everywhere. Someone could not monopolize gold because of that. And even if it was possible, it could not controle the value, since the production is small relative to all the gold that already exists as money.

Gold production adds to worlds monetary gold holdings at the rate of 1-3 percent. This rhymes with a natural development of productivity, so prices of goods in gold could be even more long time stable than with bitcoin.

The resources that is used to produce new gold is governed by the actual gold price, just as with bitcoin. You just think of it that way, you think that someone produces gold from a mine, can sell it for marginally more, and that is ok. As long as someone buys it, it is wealth creation. The same could be said about bitcoin.

It is the straightforwardness of bitcoin price and cost structure that fools people into thinking that it is wasteful. In reality, it is the same as with gold. And it is nothing to cry about, the cost is reasonable when you think of the value the system brings to the world.
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
November 30, 2014, 12:57:31 PM
Quote
no way anyone in the developed world can randomly pick up a piece of gold.

Im thinking about USA and it has vast unoccupied sections, like deserts and so on.   I realise thats not really habitable in some cases and thats why its empty but in theory, theres gold there to be found.   Im thinking even in the 1st world its possible to some extent

Im not slamming table on these points, just throwing it out there for discussion and maybe its the case thats its important to success or not.    I do believe capitalism is about people and the more the better, because all of us can achieve things of greater benefit with the right backing in theory


Also finding gold in developed world, watch this tv series: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bering_Sea_Gold    It is possible to mine gold and just pick it up off the ground right in the USA.  Not easy exactly but its there..


I hope you are right about M pesa etc, would be good to see
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
November 30, 2014, 12:49:58 PM
...
Sound money ( gold and bitcoin included ) WILL break up to it's real price in the future.



Quite fitting, your GIF rebuttal has as much substance as fiat. Cheesy

It does look pretty though... weeee!

Substance?  As opposed to Bitcoin?
To put things in perspective, fiat has been ~x3 better store of value than Bitcoin over the last year.
You may now return to your delirium.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
November 30, 2014, 12:41:32 PM
Gold is an element created in super novas not on this planet so to some extent its total amount is limited but yea price could crash from big supply but I think its fairly regular and been proven for a while.

More then asteroids we have vast amounts of gold on this planet.   They are locked into the earth core as molten lava though, we arent going to get it easily seems like but maybe one day.   Some kind of continual supply is inevitable, it seems to be in line with global population increase though

My point about finding gold is that this is a valued asset usable by anyone.   Even the 'savages' can find a shiny rock and access this form of currency.    Why does this matter to you and me stting here in comfort, its that we all start off in the world as nobody with nothing not even able to talk.   We must pick up the tools and make our way in the world and gradually gain the benefit of knowledge and wealth created by our ancestors.  It seems to me this is a vital part overlooked that gold is so incredibly accessible by a person with absolutely nothing in the world, they can just find it.  

Bitcoin lacks this, its elitest perhaps.  Increasingly its market involvement is being constricted to just those who can design ASIC circuit boards or those who can pay them for their knowledge.   It seems this could be a flaw that if you really want to build something great, you must allow the great unwashed masses of the world to be able pick up their tools and learn how to be involved in your system of worth and we cant exclude them.  Increasingly we only want people to be btc consumers and my arguement with capitalism truely applied is that the worth is always with the people not the elite.

Just a point and I might be wrong but its another major difference between gold and bitcoin and I think its an ongoing dynamic as bitcoin becomes more difficult and gold remains random in its distribution to even just a small part this makes it more a peoples currency.
  Which is more likely to survive long term and increase in value even

we have a pretty big difference in perspective.

there is just no way anyone in the developed world can randomly pick up a piece of gold.  that pretty much is true for most in the non-developed world as well.  and travel to whatever region that has accessible gold is dangerous, expensive, and impractical for the avg person. 

Bitcoin, otoh, is easily accessible for anyone in developed nations.  maybe this is the elitist function you're referring to.  but that's changing fast:

http://www.internetlivestats.com/internet-users/

and with smartphone penetration increasing quickly to places like Africa, soon that will change too.  i'm the first one i know to have identified M Pesa as a good example of how Bitcoin could quickly make an impact in places like Kenya and we are now seeing that play out.  and it's spreading.  and none of this discussion assumes the ease with which Bitcoin can be used to transact btwn ppl worldwide.  the network effect has caused Bitcoin to gain much greater acceptance of Bitcoin as a payment network as evidenced by all the thousands of merchants accepting it worldwide today. 

the growth and trajetory seems pretty clear.  i think it was a huge warning sign that Bitcoin had the audacity to go up and touch gold parity in fiat terms just last year. 
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
November 30, 2014, 12:29:49 PM
This gold mining argument still seems a bit silly and perhaps circular to me. We use gold (a rare and difficult-to-mine substance) for the same reason we need Bitcoin mining: to replace fragile trust. If everyone were trustworthy, we could use shiny pebbles instead of gold coins. No resources would be needed to "mine" pebbles, you just pick them up off the ground. Everyone would be trusted not to pick up pebbles he didn't deserve, and only obtain them through trade or in some other socially approved manner (perhaps as a form of "guaranteed minimum income", every person would be allowed to pick up one pebble per day.

I think you're right.  In a world where everybody is 100% trustworthy, pebbles are perfectly effective as a store of value (maintaining the global ledger).  The fact that there's no competition to pick up pebbles beyond one's pre-defined allotment means that very little resources are consumed "mining" for this money.  So this seems to weaken Andolfatto's argument. 

So, if trust is perfect, no resources need to be consumed by "mining," whether money is digital or physical.  I suppose the question then becomes, "given that trust is not perfect, what system for money is most efficient?"  I think you addressed this with your earlier comment:

But ultimately, as with anything, its only "wasted" if there is a better alternative. If you are going to use gold as a form or money (or even merely store of value) than it is essential that trust be maintained by continually trying to break it. This is very similar in essential, underlying function to Bitcoin's PoW. You can't declare (by "fiat") that the oceans contain no gold or that asteroids contain no gold, or that Bitcoin miners will nicely and fairly take turns collecting the free coins that are being distributed.

But it is true that if there is something else that is more efficient as a store of value than gold (like say Bitcoin), then mining isn't necessary. Indeed if that happens the price of gold will plummet, and mining will essentially stop.

Haha, I felt I was on the verge of some new insight.  Maybe not...
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