Reason why I don't want more MPP because:
a) MPP will come too late to be useful
its usefullness is a combination of delivery TIME and SIZE. that means, a well stocked MPP in June or even July could be sufficient given enough hashpower is delivered.
b) it may cost too much for HF to provide 3x of MPP i.e. 12 extra boards with chips to each customer instead of 4
no, it wont. this business is a business of high r&d costs, but all later fabrication runs are very cheap to do. as far as i can remember death&taxes provided once a good estimate of the raw costs of such a mining device and the raw chip/board costs are going down to several hundred us$. thats it.
given that they are still selling new batches, they should stem that with ease.
and HF may not even have that many available in March/April
thats just a question of the pre-order queue at the silicon producing fabric in Taiwan/SouthKorea. ordering today a rocket run could bring the chips/boards as early as march. but i dont expect them to react so swift. thats a thought process thats has to happen first and we all dont know at the moment which outcome this project will finally come up to.
i personally would expect hashfast to react as soon as the MPP is deployed and one can estimate which BTC profit/loss is to be expected. so that could be march and in march they could order enough
cheap boards for may that everyone is satisfied.
and we will have to buy power, cases, cooling hardware and then host it for 6-12 months in the temperature controlled facility because of the heat so many systems will generate and power they will use ~5,850W (450W*13) or more
those chips/boards will have some serious market value, just like the chips from BFl had. nobody is forced to build/mine.
I rather let them take on that risk of mining and have my BTC back now.
as i see it, the only ones that COULD be able to get some of their BTC back are those who ordered BEFORE august 15th. cause afterwards the TOS changed and we all agreed to USD refunds. so that might be some option for you but for a majority of us here that wont be an option.