Topic: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services. - page 27. (Read 6430 times)

Date : 1st June 2022.

Market Update – June 01 – European stocks advance despite data.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

Wall Street was generally lower, but off its worst levels. Bond and stock bears returned refreshed from the Memorial Day holiday and got right to work, pushing Treasury yields higher and Wall Street lower. Treasuries underperformed globally after comments from Fed Governor Waller on Monday where he supported several more 50 bp rate hikes to curb inflation. Additionally, record high Eurozone inflation and hawkish ECB speak from Villeroy and Visco added to the concerns over central bank tightening. US data were mixed with ongoing record strength in home prices but worsening in consumer sentiment. Today, European stock futures are advancing as Bunds move higher at the open, despite the plunge in German retail sales data at the start of the session, which flagged the impact of rising inflation on consumption trends.

Overnight: President Biden stressed he would not interfere with the Fed’s independence, in comments after meeting with Chair Powell and Treasury Secretary Yellen. Biden said his plan to address inflation “starts with a simple proposition, respect the Fed’s independence.” He also said Powell has noted he has a “laser focus on addressing inflation.” So as expected this was largely a photo op for the president as he tried to assure that he and Chair Powell are addressing inflation.

* USDIndex at 101.97, after 102.17 highs. The buck found renewed strength after comments from Fed Governor Waller who said on Monday, he favored several more half point rate hikes until the inflation rate is brought back toward the 2% target.
* Equities – The USA30 and USA500 closed down -0.67% and -0.63%, respectively, while the USA100 fell -0.41%. DAX and FTSE 100 futures are posting gains of 0.43% and 0.36%.
* Yields – 10-year rate spiked 13 bps to a high of 2.88%, and the 2-year climbed 10 bps to test 2.58%.
* Oil – USOil drifted to 114.05 from 120.45. Oil prices rallied on the economic hopes and news the EU would ban some Russian imports, but then collapsed into the close on reports OPEC+ was considering exempting Russia from production quotas, thus opening the door for increased output from the likes of Saudi and UAE.
* Bitcoin steady at 31,550.
* FX markets – USDJPY spiked to 129.35, with EURUSD at 1.0716, and GBPUSD has dropped below 1.2600, although Sterling is nudging higher against the EUR.

Today Eurozone unemployment rate, ECB Lagarde speech, ISM Manufacturing Index & PMI, BOC Rate Decision and Statement and lots of Fed speeches.



Biggest FX Mover @ (08:00 GMT) XAUUSD (-0.70%) broke the 20- and 200-day SMA. Intraday MAs flattened, MACD histogram & signal line well below 0, RSI 34 but flattening, H1 ATR 3.16, Daily ATR 21.92.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
HF Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 31st May 2022.

Market Update – May 31.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

Stock markets traded mixed. Overnight Chinese data showed a slowdown in the pace of contraction in the manufacturing sector. Beijing’s new policy support, which includes cash handouts for hiring graduates and support for internet companies’ offshore listings, supported the sentiment a bit. In the rest of the world though, inflation jitters returned and yields spiked, with Australia’s 10-year up 8.5 bp and the German Bund yield lifting 1.0 bp to 1.06%. US Dollar stabilized as Treasury yields spiked.

European open:  Swiss economy stronger than expected at the start of the year. Official GDP numbers beat expectations and showed a quarterly growth rate of 0.5% q/q up from 0.3% q/q in Q4 last year. Services were still held back at the start of the quarter by virus restrictions, and the impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine won’t show in these numbers yet. SNB head Jordan warned that the fallout from the war and sanctions against Russia could mean stagflation risks globally, but still, with these numbers, the SNB’s negative interest rate environment will also be challenged.

* USDIndex recovered slightly to 101.79.
* Equities – Nikkei and ASX meanwhile closed with losses of -0.3% and -1.0% respectively as inflation jitters returned and yields spiked. GER40 and UK100 up 0.9% and 0.4%.
* Yields – US 10-year rate has jumped 9.4 bp to 2.83% as markets return from yesterday’s holiday.
* Oil – USOil spiked to $119.20 per barrel as demand expectations pick up and EU leaders agreed a partial ban on Russian oil.
* Bitcoin extended gains above 20-day SMA for the first time since April 7.
* FX markets – USDJPY lifted to 127.33, EURUSD down to 1.0734, Cable below the 1.26 mark.

Today GDP from Switzerland and Canada for Q1, German unemployment, Eurozone HICP. US housing index, Chicago index and Consumer Confidence. The Biden-Powell meeting is also on tap.



Biggest FX Mover @ (08:00 GMT) EURUSD (-0.39%) declined to 1.0730 due to USD strength. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram zeroed, RSI 35 & falling, H1 ATR 0.00117, Daily ATR 0.00942.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
HF Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 30th May 2022.

Market Update – May 30 – Month-end Rebalancing.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

Risk appetite continued to surge with Wall Street closing sharply higher on Friday ahead of the long Memorial Day weekend. Worries that an aggressive FOMC policy posture with officials intent on destroying growth to curb inflation have been dissipating. USD down from Friday’s highs (USDIndex 101.39) as Fed bets ease. Today, Stocks had a very strong start to the day as concern over aggressive tightening in the US and China’s virus lockdowns eased somewhat. (NASDAQ +1.4%, Nikkei +2.2%). Shanghai said on Sunday “unreasonable” curbs on businesses will be removed from June 1, while Beijing reopened parts of its public transport as well as some malls. US markets will remain closed for a holiday today, but across the Eurozone Yields are rising as confidence improves and the German 10-year has lifted 4.7 bp to 1.00% in early trade. The Swedish economy contracted -0.8% q/q in Q1, a much weaker than expected result. Spanish HICP inflation hit 8.5% in May, and German import price inflation came in at 31.7% in April readings, up from 31.2% y/y.

* USDIndex extends declines and trades at 101.39.  Chair Powell confirming that a 75 bp hike is not on the table for now has helped stabilize investor sentiment and encourage bargain hunters.
* Equities – Nikkei up 1.8% at 27,263.37, a level not seen since April 21, Topix was up 1.59% at 1,916.88. Shares of shipping firms such as ISHIP.T fell 4.3 which was the worst performer. GER40 and UK100 are up 0.9% and 0.4%.
* Yields – German 10-year has lifted 4.7 bp to 1.00% in early trade.
* Oil & Gold up – USOil rallied to $115.80, and Gold retested the $1863 barrier, holding over $1850 at $1854. Markets waited to see if the European Union would reach an agreement on banning Russian oil ahead of a meeting on a sixth package of sanctions against Moscow for its invasion of Ukraine.
* Bitcoin holds on the back foot – below 31K.
* FX markets – EURUSD up to test 1.0770, USDJPY retests up to 127.34, Cable pull back to 1.2634 from 1.2656 this morning.

Today German HICP, Fed’s Waller speech, New Zealand building permits and Japanese labor data and retail trade.



Biggest FX Mover @ (08:00 GMT) CADCHF (+0.39%) jumped to 0.7550 on EU open, and retook a place above the 50-day SMA. In the 1-hour chart, MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram positive & holds 0 line, RSI 64 & rising, H1 ATR 0.00099, Daily ATR 0.00747.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
HF Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 27th May 2022.

Market Update – May 27 – USD 1-month low, Stocks Rally, Yields Ease.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USD sinks to 1-month low (USDIndex 101.43) as CB easing pressures absorbed, despite GDP slipping to -1.5% from -1.3% & Pending Home sales at -3.9% from -1.6%. Stocks had a very strong day on weaker USD (NASDAQ +2.68%) and Yields slipped. Asian markets followed US lead (Nikkei +0.66%, Hang Seng +2.07%) and European FUTS are higher.  BOJ’s Kuroda & PM Kishida, talk up YEN and want it stabilized, see core CPI at 2% for next 12-months.

* USDIndex sinks further to 4-week lows trades at 101.55. (-1.5% this week, after -1.37% last week)
* Equities – USA500 +79 (1.99%) at 4057, US500FUTS at 4050 now. Discount Retailers lead markets higher on good Earnings – Dollar Tree +21.87%, Macy’s +19%, Dollar General +13% TSLA +7% NVDA +5%
* Yields 10-year yield edged lower to 2.75% at close and trades at  2.76% now.   
* Oil & Gold had mixed sessions – USOil rallied after a cautious week back to test over $114, trades at $13.70 now, Gold is holding over $1850 at $1854. 
* Bitcoin continues to weaken under $30K at $28.6k, having touched $27.9k yesterday.
* FX markets – EURUSD up to test 1.0750, breaching 1.0700 again, USDJPY capped  under 127.00, having tested 126.50 Cable to 1.2625, from 1.2540 yesterday.

Overnight – JPY – Tokyo Core CPI in line, (1.9%) AUD Retail Sales  in line (0.9%)

Today US PCE Price Index, Personal Income & Consumption, Speech from ECB’s Lane.



Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) NZDUSD (+0.51%) gave up yesterday’s declines to 0.6450 and retook 0.6500 today, trades at 0.6512 (16-day high). MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram positive & holds 0 line, RSI 65 & rising, H1 ATR 0.0010, Daily ATR 0.0077.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
HF Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 26th May 2022.

Market Update – May 26 – FOMC 100bp by July, USD Stable.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USD stable today (USDIndex holds 102.00) following FOMC minutes that showed agreement by “most participants” that 50 bp hikes in June & July would “likely be appropriate”, Stocks had a positive session (NASDAQ +1.50%) and Yields ticked up  as treasuries slipped. Asian markets mixed (Nikkei -0.27%) Shanghai reopening gradually  (Port is 95% operational & schools from June 6).

* USDIndex rotates at  102.00
*Equities – USA500 +37 (0.95%) at 3978, US500FUTS at 3967 now. NVDA +5% at close but lowered outlook following Earnings announcement, -6.82% after hours.
Yields 10-year yield edged up to 2.781% and the policy-sensitive two-year yield was flat at 2.502%. 
*Oil & Gold had mixed sessions – USOil steady after a cautious rally this week back up  to $110, Gold is weaker – broke below $1850, down to  $1846. 
*Bitcoin rotates under $30K – at $29.6k, having touched $28.6k yesterday.
*FX markets – EURUSD up to test 1.0670, breach of 1.0700 limited, USDJPY back over 127.00, at 127.25 Cable up to 1.2550.

Overnight – RBNZ Orr – will move on rates quickly, JPY PPI beats at 1.7% vs 1.5%, World Bank says Russian invasion of Ukraine could cause “global recession”.

Today Today – US GDP (2nd), US IJC, Canadian Retail Sales, UK Chancellor Sunak, Fed’s Brainard. Earnings from Alibaba, Baidu. Ascension Day holidays – Germany, France, Switzerland, Denmark, Sweden, & Norway all closed.



Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) EURNZD (-1.02%) Tanked from 1.6650 to 1.6425 on Hawkish RBNZ. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram turned negative crashing signal line  RSI 29, OS & falling, H1 ATR 0.0043, Daily ATR 0.01413.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
HF Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 25th May 2022.

Market Update – May 25 – Stocks Volatile, USD Stable, NZD Surges.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USD slipped again, but is  stable today (USDIndex 102.00), weak global PMI data & US data missed and Powell adding to rate hike expectations meant Stocks had another volatile session (SNAP lost -43%, and other big tech stocks hit NASDAQ -2.35%) Yields down as treasuries firmed. Asian markets mixed (Nikkei -0.26%) RBNZ raised by 50bps & Gov. Orr had more hawkish outlook than expected (rates to 4%?) NZD surged. NK tested a range of missiles as Biden left Asia, Zelenskiy says Donbas situation critical.

* USDIndex down to 101.64 yesterday back to 102.00
* Equities – USA500 -32 (0.81%) at 3941, US500FUTS at 3962 now. Snap lead some huge declines.
Yields down, 10-yr closed at 2.76%, now 2.77% 
* Oil & Gold both had positive sessions – USOil back up  to test $111 Gold holds $1860 today, down from $1870. 
* Bitcoin rotates through $30K – but under today at $29.8k.
* FX markets – EURUSD up to test 1.0750, holds 1.0700, USDJPY down to 127.00, Cable up to 1.2540.  NZD off 5-week low at 0.6515

Overnight – Hawkish RBNZ, German Gfk missed, French Consumer Confidence missed.

Today US Durable Goods, FOMC Minutes, ECB Financial Stability Review, Speeches from ECB’s Lagarde, Lane, Panetta, Fed’s Brainard.

Today – US Durable Goods, FOMC Minutes, ECB Financial Stability Review, Speeches from ECB’s Lagarde, Lane, Panetta, Fed’s Brainard.



Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) EURNZD (-1.02%) Tanked from 1.6650 to 1.6425 on Hawkish RBNZ. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram turned negative crashing signal line  RSI 29, OS & falling, H1 ATR 0.0043, Daily ATR 0.01413.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
HF Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 24th May 2022.

Market Update – May 24 – Bear Market Rally?


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USD slipped again (USDIndex down a whole big number), Stocks rallied as Euro moved higher on rate hike expectations, Asian markets fell (Nikkei -0.97%) after Snap’s profit warning and US Futures are lower. Shanghai & Beijing tightening Covid rules, Biden no change to Taiwan policy, Ukraine is a global issue prodding neutral countries. Zelenskiy says he would meet with Putin to end the war.

* USDIndex down to 102.00 and 6th down day of last eight.
* Equities – USA500 72 (1.86%) at 3973, US500FUTS at 3914 now.
* Yields down, 10-yr closed at 2.83%, now up 2.87%   
* Oil & Gold both had negative sessions – USOil down to test $108.75 Gold holds $1850 today, down from 1864. 
* Bitcoin rotates through $30K – but under today at 29.8k.
* FX markets – EURUSD up to test 1.0700, parity calls falling. USDJPY under 128.00, at 127.55, Cable up to 1.2580.  AUD under performed in Asia.

Overnight – JPY & AUD PMIs miss, NZD retail sales miss and hotter JPY Tokyo CPI all weighed.

Eurozone PMIs disappointed. The German composite PMI unexpectedly improved, but that wasn’t enough to lift the overall Eurozone numbers. The S&P Global Composite PMI dropped to 54.9 from 55.8, with both manufacturing and services readings coming in weaker than anticipated and flagging a renewed deceleration in the pace of expansion. The recovery continues, but at a slower pace and with the balance of risks still tilted to the downside, thanks to the threat of cut off gas deliveries from Russia.

Today – EZ, UK & US Flash PMIs, US ISM Semi-annual Economic Forecast, Speeches from Fed’s Powell, ECB’s Lagarde & Villeroy.



Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) NZDJPY (-1.20%) Drifted to 81.79 from 82.80 highs. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram turned negative however signal line remains above 0, RSI 29, OS & falling, H1 ATR 0.00208, Daily ATR 0.01413.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
HF Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 23rd May 2022.

Market Update – May 23 – USD Dips, Stocks Pressured, Futures Higher.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USD slipped again, Stocks had a torrid day on Friday, but recovered in final hour, Bear market talk dominated weekend press. Asian markets rose, and US Futures up 1.6% after improvements in Shanghai covid news as isolation times were reduced, but record cases in Beijing.  Biden in Tokyo, offered olive branch to Kim, says US recession “not inevitable” and is willing to us force to defend Taiwan.  AUD & NZD rally on new Aussie PM.

* USDIndex down to 12-day low at 102.6 and 5th down day of last seven.
* Equities – USA500 0.57 (0.005%) at 3901, US500FUTS at 3952 now.
* Yields down 10-yr closed at 2.788%,  now up at 2.79%   
Oil & Gold both had positive sessions –  USOil rallied to test $110.00 earlier today from $103.50 on Thursday. Gold holds $1850 today from lows at $1788 last week.
* Bitcoin rotates through $30K – Lagarde says crypto assets are ‘worth nothing.’
* FX markets – EURUSD up from 1.0355 to 1.0600, parity calls falling. USDJPY under 128.00, and Cable back to 1.2570.  AUD again outperformed in Asia.

Overnight – GBP House Prices  hotter than expected  & RBA’s Kent says the Bank’s estimate of the neutral rate is 2 to 3%.

Today – German Ifo Survey, Speeches from BOE’s Bailey ECB’s Villeroy & Fed’s Bostic.



Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDUSD (+1.20%) Rallied from lows at 0.7000  on  Friday to 0.7125 today, following new labor PM’s election.  MAs aligning higher, MACD signal line & histogram moving higher line, RSI 70, OB & rising, H1 ATR 0.0020, Daily ATR 0.0111.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
HF Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 13th May 2022.

Market Update – May 13 – USD dominates, Stocks lick their wounds.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USD holds at highs following hot CPI & PPI data but with signs the peak may have been reached. Stocks stalled their recent declines, closing flat in the US and bouncing in Asian markets (Nikkei +2.6%), Yields climbed as risk appetite improved, Fed Chair Powell still flagged half-percentage point interest rate increases at the next two policy meetings, adding that the Fed is “prepared to do more!” and that stable prices are the “bedrock” of the economy but it will cause “some pain”. Oil continued to rally on supply concerns whilst Gold dipped to within $10 of $1800. Kuroda maintains dovish guidance even as Inflation moves higher, Russia threatens “technical retaliation” as Finland seeks NATO membership, Sweden to follow? Putin “humiliating himself on the world stage” – UK Foreign Sec. Truss.

* USDIndex rallied to within 5 ticks of 105.00 and remains at 20-year highs at 104.75 up from 103.60 last Friday.
* Equities – USA500 -5.10 (0.25%) at 3930, US500FUTS at 3955 now.  COIN +8.9%, TSLA -0.82%, (Musk would not back TRUMP in 2024). APPLE -2.69%, GM -4.59%.
* Yields rallied, 10-yr closed at 2.817%, significantly below key 3.00% level. Trades up at 2.89%   
* Oil & Gold both had weak & volatile sessions –  USOil rallied to test $108.00 earlier today from $98.00 on Wednesday.  Gold slump continued with a test of $1810 on open today from highs this week at $1885, struggles at $1822 now. No safe-haven bid.
* Bitcoin languishes at $30K now, but up from $26.5k. 6th consecutive week lower.
* FX markets – EURUSD up from 1.0355 to 1.0400, parity calls rising. USDJPY dived from 130.00, to 127.50 yesterday now back to 128.70 and Cable continues to struggle at 1.2335.  AUD again outperformed in Asia.

Overnight – JPY Money Supply better than expected & French M/M CPI in-line at 0.4%.

Today – US Export/Imports Prices, UoM (Prelim.) data, Speeches from ECB’s Schnabel, de Guindos & Fed’s Kashkari.



Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.74%) Rallied from lows at 87.30  yesterday as risk appetite raised it’s head to 89.00 ( and next resistance) earlier. Now back to 88.55.  MAs aligning higher, MACD signal line & histogram moving higher & testing 0 line, RSI 48 & rising, H1 ATR 0.346, Daily ATR 1.67.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
HF Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 12th May 2022.

Market Update – May 12 – Tech Trounced as Inflation Possibly Peaks.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USD rallies to new highs following much volatility after US CPI data for April was lower than March but higher than expected, rekindling concern that aggressive central bank action will weigh on growth.  Stocks sharply into the red, Yields spiked sharply higher as talk of Treasury rout also cools with 10-yr back under 3.00%. Oil jumped after Russia sanctioned 31 companies & on recession fears. Gold slightly up, but holds below $1860. Bitcoin tumbled to new 16-month low. UK economy shrinks in March, grows 0.8% in Q1. Nomura estimated this week that 41 Chinese cities are in full or partial lockdowns, making up 30% of the country’s GDP. Reuters: “Property developer Sunac China missed a bond interest payment and will miss more as China’s real estate sector remains in the grip of a credit crunch.” New Zealand inflation survey steady.

* USDIndex spiked to 104.20 & holds its bid trading at 104 now.
* Equities – USA500 slid below the 4000 level before bouncing back, into the green with the USA30. But all of the indexes crashed into the close, paced by the USA100’s -3.18% plunge. Nikkei dropped 1.8%, the ASX also -1.8%.
* Yields had jumped to 2.839% and 3.07%, respectively, in the immediate aftermath of the data. 10-year rate closed 6.5 bps lower at 2.920%, with the 2-year up 3 bps to 2.64%.
* Oil breached $106.23 before reversing to $103.46 (PP of the day).
* Bitcoin fire-sale of risky assets as rate hikes gather steam, fell 7% to $26,673.
* FX markets – EURUSD down to 1.0489, USDJPY drifted further on EU open to 129.25, & Cable retests 1.2210.  AUD & NZD at 2 year lows.

Today – US PPI & Initial Claims, Speeches from BOC Gravelle.



Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) ETHUSD (-12.47%) Down to June 2021 low, at 1787. MAs aligning lower, MACD signal line & histogram extend lower, RSI 27 OS, H1 ATR 90.59, Daily ATR 236.65.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

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Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 11th May 2022.

Market Update – May 11 – All About the Inflation Outlook.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USD holds at highs and on standby for US CPI later, Stocks stalled their recent declines,  Yields cool a tad as talk of Treasury rout also cools with 10-yr back under 3.00%. Oil paused its 9% slump on EU Oil ban and OPEC talk of capacity issues. Gold under $1850.  Asian shares off 2-year lows (Nikkei +0.18%). Chinese Inflation hotter than expected, Biden supports FED actions, more Fed members talk rate hikes, NZ housing market shows signs of cooling. US House of Representatives approves $400bn support package for Ukraine as US intelligence chief talks of Putin preparing for “long war”.

* USDIndex remains under 104.00 but holds its bid trading at 103.75 now.
* Equities – USA500 +9.81 (0.25%) at 4001.05, US500FUTS at 4015 now. Peloton -8.7% @ $12.70 (ATH was $171), COIN -12.6%, TSLA +1.64%, TWTR -1.64% (Musk would allow TRUMP back). APPLE (+1.61%) retired the iPod after 21 years.
* Yields cooled -10-yr closed at 2.993%, below key 3.00% level.  Trades down over 1.5% today at 2.98%.   
Oil & Gold both had weak & volatile sessions –  USOil tested down to $98.00 before reversing to $102.20  Gold slumped from  $1865 to $1830 earlier and struggles at $1845 now. No safe-haven bid.
* Bitcoin languishes at $31K now, over 50% down from ATH and -35% YTD
* FX markets – EURUSD up from 1.0500 to 1.0545, USDJPY holds over 130.00, at  130.25 and Cable continues to struggle at 1.2335.  AUD outperformed in Asia. 

Overnight – CHINA CPI  & PPI hotter than expected, (2.1% vs 1.5% & 8.0% vs 7.8%) respectively.  JPY leading Indicators  better than expected & German M/M CPI in-line at 0.8%.  ECB’s Müller: Appropriate to raise rates into positive territory by year-end. Fed’s Waller & Mester more hawkish. (Mester talked of going beyond neutral)

Today – US CPI, Speeches from Fed’s Bostic, ECB’s Lagarde, Schnabel, Elderson, de Cos, Centeno, Vasle & Muller. Earnings from Ubisoft, Siemens Energy, Poste Italiane, E.ON, Continental, ITV, Compass & Beyond Meat.



Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDUSD (+0.42%) Rallied from lows at 0.6910 yesterday to 0.6970 now, next resistance 0.6980 and 0.7000 today. MAs aligning higher, MACD signal line & histogram moving higher & testing 0 line, RSI 56 & rising, H1 ATR 0.0016, Daily ATR 0.011.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 10th May 2022.

Market Update – May 10 – Stocks Stabilize After Huge Risk-Off Monday.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USD cools from recent highs, Stocks stall their decline after Monday rout (NASDAQ -4.29%), Yields hold at highs with 10-yr over 3.00%. Gold and Oil both slumped as risk-off rattled markets CB tightening and rising inflation fears continuing to spook sentiment.  Asian markets weaker (Nikkei -1.00%) and European Futures all weaker.




* USDIndex tested new at highs at 104.20 yesterday back to 103.60 now.
* Equities – USA500 -132 (-3.20%) at 3991, first close below 4k since March 2021. US500FUTS at 4022 now.
* Yields moved higher, 10-yr closed at 3.079%, holding key 3.00% level.  Trades at 3.054% now  
* Oil & Gold both had weak & volatile session –  USOil tested down to $100.00 before reversing to $102.20 now from opening trades over $109.00. Gold slumped from  $1885 zone to $1850 yesterday and struggles at $1860 now.
* Bitcoin crashed through $30K struggling with $32K now.  
* FX markets – EURUSD up from 1.0500 to 1.0560, USDJPY holds over 130.00, at  130.40 and Cable continues to struggle – 1.2260 lows were tested yesterday, back to  1.2325.  

Overnight Fed’s Kashkari : Reiterates confidence that inflation will return to Fed’s 2.0% target &  Fed’s Bostic: 50 bps hike was an aggressive move, Fed can stay at that pace, 75 bps rate hike is low probability.

Today – German ZEW, Speeches from Fed’s Williams, Waller, Bostic, Barkin, Kashkari, Mester, ECB’s de Guindos & BoE’s Saunders, Earnings from Bayer, Porsche, Norwegian Cruise Line & Warner Music.



Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) USOIL (-2.17%) drifted to  S1 at 108.15 in the EU open. MAs & Stochastics bearishly crossed, and RSI is at 41 sloping lower. H1 ATR 0.91, Daily ATR 4.43.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Date : 9th May 2022.

Market Update – May 9 – USD dominance rips through every market on FED.


Trading Leveraged Products is risky

Monday Markets Blues

Can the cause sometimes take place after the effect? This is what looks to be the case this week. The USD surged to 2001 and has been bought and fixed income sold on ideas that the Fed had taken a hawkish turn, with investors searching for safety.  The hikes will be front-loaded with the next 50 bp hikes discounted for the next two meetings (June and July) and a strong leaning for the same in September (~66%). Yields 10-year is up 1.0 bp at 3.14%. Stock markets are broadly lower, with Japanese markets underperforming and the Nikkei down -2.5%. Tighter Covid lockdowns in Beijing and Shanghai raised pressure on its economy, while China reported faster-than-expected growth in exports for April, while imports were flat.

Meanwhile in the market, speculation that President Putin might declare war on Ukraine in order to call up reserves during his speech at “Victory Day” celebrations could further hurt market sentiment.

The week ahead is important because it may show the first signs that peak inflation is at hand.

* USDIndex above 104.10.
* Equities – Nikkei down -2.5%. The ASX closed with a loss of -1.2%, the CSI is currently down -1.4%, while Hong Kong was closed today. USA500 led the way with a drop of 1.1%, while USA100 shed 1.0%.
* Yields 10-year is up 1.0 bp at 3.14%, Australia’s long yield also continued to climb and the German 10-year rate is up 0.4 bp at 1.13% this morning.
* Oil back to 109, after EU and G7 mull Russian oil imports while Saudi Arabia cut prices for buyers in Asia as China’s lockdowns weigh on demand in the region.
* Gold drifted back to 1869 as it looks less attractive from the safety of USD, while elevated yields further weighed on prices.
* Bitcoin hammered! Gapped down to33,228. The start of a sharp technical fall ?
* FX markets – EURUSD is just over the 1.05 mark, AUD and NZD also struggled against the largely stronger USD. USDJPY climbed above the 131 mark and Cable is at a near 2-year low at currently 1.2259.



Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) USOIL (-2.17%) drifted to  S1 at 108.15 in the EU open. MAs & Stochastics bearishly crossed, and RSI is at 41 sloping lower. H1 ATR 0.91, Daily ATR 4.43.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.