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Topic: Hmm... is it time to crash BTC exchange rates yet? - page 2. (Read 8836 times)

full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100

The problem is that not many businesses (or local businesses) accept bitcoin which is a shame.


That's because, as a miner, you are not giving the merchants a good enough reason to accept it... Remember, speculative bubbles are mainly designed for the speculators, not merchants! Fortunately, there is an approach that can benefit both parties to a transaction, all thanks to the speculators: the original VCs of bitcoin economy. The only problem is that we have to wait for the vaccine to do its magic first, don't we? And if the vaccine doesn't work, there's always a poison pill we can fall back on.

jml
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Dunno about the posts. just wanted to tell you about my part in Bitcoin. I speculate, Mine, Hoard, spend (Alot on alot, directly and not through fiat), Using Bitcoin to startup my upcoming services and goods that I offer for bitcoins (Anime shop, VPN solution, others). Hoarding is not bad, There is the wealth effect, need to accumulate capital and other aspects and not just hoarding for savings and speculating on future prices.

I do the same, mine, hoard and spend just like anybody does with fiat. The problem is that not many businesses (or local businesses) accept bitcoin which is a shame.
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
Unlimited Free Crypto
Dunno about the posts. just wanted to tell you about my part in Bitcoin. I speculate, Mine, Hoard, spend (Alot on alot, directly and not through fiat), Using Bitcoin to startup my upcoming services and goods that I offer for bitcoins (Anime shop, VPN solution, others). Hoarding is not bad, There is the wealth effect, need to accumulate capital and other aspects and not just hoarding for savings and speculating on future prices.
jml
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
I think BTConomist theories are built on assertion that it is possible to monopolize mining or at least that it is somehow possible for decisively big proportion of miners to collude or to follow common goal which goes against interests of majority of BTC Economy.
I simply do not share this assertion in the longer than short-term.

I believe BTConomist has a theory that there is an oligopoly going on with the miners. I do not share BTConomist's view like ZephramC has already stated because I believe that these are unfounded claims and based on speculative analysis of one person who wants BTC to crash; OP title says it all!
sr. member
Activity: 475
Merit: 255
I think BTConomist theories are built on assertion that it is possible to monopolize mining or at least that it is somehow possible for decisively big proportion of miners to collude or to follow common goal which goes against interests of majority of BTC Economy.
I simply do not share this assertion in the longer than short-term.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
Don't tell me what to do with my bitcoins.
Are you a bitcoin miner? If you are, do you mind sharing how does it feel to be a central bank of bitcoin economy?

How can you compare a single miner (if he was) to being a central bank?? That comparison is out of order.


"a" central bank, not "the" central bank... Together, they represent the miners cartel.

jml
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100

Don't tell me what to do with my bitcoins.


Are you a bitcoin miner? If you are, do you mind sharing how does it feel to be a central bank of bitcoin economy?



How can you compare a single miner (if he was) to being a central bank?? That comparison is out of order.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1090
Learning the troll avoidance button :)

I'm going to Side with The Austrians and Kick Keyne's points and OP to the curve Smiley


Doesn't anyone notice that my thinking is not driven by neither Austrian nor Keynesian economics?
When interpreting my hints, try not to lead with the economic viewpoint that's familiar to you.
Focus on the roles that the miners play in the context of bitcoin-based economy.



Well if we don't use economics that leaves human actions and psychology and of course philosophy
If you wish we can discuss it from Political Economy and meet halfway Smiley
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100

Don't tell me what to do with my bitcoins.


Are you a bitcoin miner? If you are, do you mind sharing how does it feel to be a central bank of bitcoin economy?

full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100

I'm going to Side with The Austrians and Kick Keyne's points and OP to the curve Smiley


Doesn't anyone notice that my thinking is not driven by neither Austrian nor Keynesian economics?
When interpreting my hints, try not to lead with the economic viewpoint that's familiar to you.
Focus on the roles that the miners play in the context of bitcoin-based economy.

legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1090
Learning the troll avoidance button :)

Deflationary currencies works opposite to inflationary...


Yet the values of both are still driven by spending: one slowly looses its value as the money supply increases (i.e. more currency units in circulation), the other slowly gains its value as the money supply increases (i.e. more bitcoin base units in circulation; bitcoin base units are not to be confused with bitcoins — currently, there are 100,000,000 base units per each bitcoin).



You two bitcoin is inflationary as long as we live
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Controlled_supply
Block   Reward Era    BTC/block    Year    Start BTC    BTC Added    End BTC    BTC Increase    End BTC % of Limit
0   1   50.00   2009   0   2625000   2625000   infinite   12.500%
52500   1   50.00   2010   2625000   2625000   5250000   100.00%   25.000%
105000   1   50.00   2011   5250000   2625000   7875000   50.00%   37.500%
157500   1   50.00   2012   7875000   2625000   10500000   33.33%   50.000%
210000   2   25.00   2013   10500000   1312500   11812500   12.50%   56.250%
262500   2   25.00   2014   11812500   1312500   13125000   11.11%   62.500%
315000   2   25.00   2015   13125000   1312500   14437500   10.00%   68.750%
367500   2   25.00   2016   14437500   1312500   15750000   9.09%   75.000%
420000   3   12.50   2017   15750000   656250   16406250   4.17%   78.125%
472500   3   12.50   2018   16406250   656250   17062500   4.00%   81.250%
525000   3   12.50   2019   17062500   656250   17718750   3.85%   84.375%
577500   3   12.50   2020   17718750   656250   18375000   3.70%   87.500%
630000   4   6.25   2021   18375000   328125   18703125   1.79%   89.063%
682500   4   6.25   2022   18703125   328125   19031250   1.75%   90.625%
735000   4   6.25   2023   19031250   328125   19359375   1.72%   92.188%
787500   4   6.25   2024   19359375   328125   19687500   1.69%   93.750%

And that's the chart for the short term XD Speculators

Anyways just uses good ol copy and paste here

Because the monetary base of bitcoins cannot be expanded, the currency would be subject to severe deflation if it becomes widely used. Keynesian economists argue that deflation is bad for an economy because it incentivises individuals and businesses to save money rather than invest in businesses and create jobs. The Austrian school of thought counters this criticism, claiming that as deflation occurs in all stages of production, entrepreneurs who invest benefit from it. As a result, profit ratios tend to stay the same and only their magnitudes change. In other words, in a deflationary environment, goods and services decrease in price, but at the same time the cost for the production of these goods and services tend to decrease proportionally, effectively not affecting profits. Price deflation encourages an increase in hoarding — hence savings — which in turn tends to lower interest rates and increase the incentive for entrepreneurs to invest in projects of longer term.

So don't get me wrong guys but I'm just saying that I'm going to Side with The Austrians and Kick Keyne's points and OP to the curve Smiley
Sure spend it save it but the economy will solve these problems itself
full member
Activity: 159
Merit: 100
Your rhetoric sounds like someone on investorhub.com forums panicking about their short position and bashing the hell out of a stock.   Roll Eyes

Although that was funny, let's keep it civil. This is a good thread with minimal bashing. Some good ideas are being put forth.

Here are a few thoughts:

* No reason to get butthurt about hoarding - you do what you want with your coin.
* Basic necessities and durable good will always be in demand - let's make these available via BTC!
* WE ARE ALL SPECULATORS - Bitcoin is not proven yet: we could all lose 100% of value, or increase our wealth 10-fold...
* Inflationary currency encourages spending and punishes saving, deflationary currency encourages saving and punishes spending (however, "life is finite", as one said here)
* Bitcoin is an inflation hedge - the fact that it's stable right now implies that it's losing a bit of value against fiat...
* Bitcoin is SIMILAR to the financial networks that the global elite use - every day US $5 trillion changes hands electronically...

In case nobody has noticed: we're pretty close to World War III right now, which will have a dramatic impact on trade, valuations, and the global geopolitical balance.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100

+1 you hit the nail right on the head. I don't know what this "BTConomist" guy's deal is, but he's certainly not much of an economist Grin 


That's correct, I'm not an economist... there's BTC in place of "ec"!

sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250

I speculate its going to shoot up again to new heights before another painful crash way to the bottom  Cry


Very unlikely to shoot up again, especially as I'm slowly beginning to provide eye openers, here and there (still in a hint form though). The third link can be especially useful for the GOLD 2.0 fanatics.



Those are not eye-openers.  Your rhetoric sounds like someone on investorhub.com forums panicking about their short position and bashing the hell out of a stock.   Roll Eyes

+1 you hit the nail right on the head. I don't know what this "BTConomist" guy's deal is, but he's certainly not much of an economist Grin 
full member
Activity: 129
Merit: 100

I speculate its going to shoot up again to new heights before another painful crash way to the bottom  Cry


Very unlikely to shoot up again, especially as I'm slowly beginning to provide eye openers, here and there (still in a hint form though). The third link can be especially useful for the GOLD 2.0 fanatics.



Those are not eye-openers.  Your rhetoric sounds like someone on investorhub.com forums panicking about their short position and bashing the hell out of a stock.   Roll Eyes
jml
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
That is the problem when bitcoin is backed by fiat which it should not be the case as it's value will be determined by a debt ridden fiat currency.

In point of fact, am even looking to "back" Bitcoin with silver by accepting Bitcoin in trade for silver.  Grin Grin  I just have to convert enough Bitcoin to fiat in order to pay the taxes, (which are minimal as I don't keep much on the trade in order to increase quantity).

This is what I believe should be done in the exchanges; that is to allow the person to trade either gold, silver or other precious metal (platinum or palladium).
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
So I think hoarding and speculating is ok for BTC.... until the speculators get spooked. The problem is that they could artificially inflate the price and then suddenly decide to sell when the price drops a little. This would increase supply and cause the price to further lower and cause a chain reaction (Like when the price dropped from 250 to 100?). The problem isn't that people are quick to buy its that the same people are quick to sell.

No we aren't. Isn't this exactly what people are complaining about? NOT selling?

Your masters (early adopters/programmers) know exactly what they're doing. Relax.  Wink

I think he was saying that they're quick to sell when the value is on the quick decline. Somebody holding a large amount isn't inclined to sell when it goes from $125-$133 in a week, but they'll sell like it's going out of style when it drops from $250 to $120 in a week (further driving the decline).
member
Activity: 102
Merit: 10
So I think hoarding and speculating is ok for BTC.... until the speculators get spooked. The problem is that they could artificially inflate the price and then suddenly decide to sell when the price drops a little. This would increase supply and cause the price to further lower and cause a chain reaction (Like when the price dropped from 250 to 100?). The problem isn't that people are quick to buy its that the same people are quick to sell.

No we aren't. Isn't this exactly what people are complaining about? NOT selling?

Your masters (early adopters/programmers) know exactly what they're doing. Relax.  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
That is the problem when bitcoin is backed by fiat which it should not be the case as it's value will be determined by a debt ridden fiat currency.


Thank you for clarifying.  It looks like we do agree on much, though we may have a different degree and scope of concern.
(I don't much care about wage disparity, for example, provided it is engaged in though voluntary negotiation)

In point of fact, am even looking to "back" Bitcoin with silver by accepting Bitcoin in trade for silver.  Grin Grin  I just have to convert enough Bitcoin to fiat in order to pay the taxes, (which are minimal as I don't keep much on the trade in order to increase quantity).
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100

I speculate its going to shoot up again to new heights before another painful crash way to the bottom  Cry


Very unlikely to shoot up again, especially as I'm slowly beginning to provide eye openers, here and there (still in a hint form though). The third link can be especially useful for the GOLD 2.0 fanatics.

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