Topic: How long Putin can continue this nonsense war?! - page 4. (Read 586 times)

If NATO is what endangers Russia, then go fight NATO or the US.

Why are you wasting your resources in Ukraine? Do you think you will be in a better position after you exhaust yourself in Ukraine?
What kind of logic is that? Your losses in Ukraine are $200-300M/day, 200-300 men/day.

"Po plan-oo" I guess, lol.

both sides have their shortcomings, but seems that no one wants to give up their respective causes. unless, one of them will lower down their head, this can indeed go for months and months. and the most affected here are their respective people. don't know to what extent can putin sacrifice the future of his people. but if his people will unite to overthrow him, they possibly can.

They support it because it is their fight for survival.

They may be exhausted by fighting and lose strength but if they do not fight then NATO will destroy them in the future.

NATO and the Western media are playing a major role in fueling this war. NATO and the United Nations can stop this war if they want but they do not want. The United Nations wants to gradually cripple Russia by creating economic pressure. Russia alone is not responsible for this war

He can easily continue for another 1-5 years. He will completely destroy the Russian army and economy, but I think it could be physically
possible to continue for while.
Provided he will sell it as an existential threat to Russia so that Russians will go along with the 18-60 military draft.

They have lost about 15,000 soldiers and probably 60,000 wounded in the first month.

But, I think they will progress a bit more carefully, so I expect the losses will be smaller, maybe 7,500 dead/month, and 30,000 wounded/month.

They lost about 600 tanks/month, so assuming they will continue losing 300/month for the remainder of the campaign, they can easily
continue for a few more years tankwise. Fighter jets might be an issue as they have lost over 100/month.

I think their critical resource is warm bodies.
So the success or failure of Putin's adventure will depend on how fast Ukrainians can kill Russians.

86% of the Russian public supports Putin's war, so he will not have any political issues for a while, IMHO.

Economically, I think he can bypass sanctions, with third-party countries, Kazakhstan, India, Afghanistan, African countries, and China.
Sanctions will lower his revenues, but for critical components, I think he will find suppliers that
will be willing to supply him with whatever he needs for the right price ($$$).

So, the bottom line is that his revenue will decrease, his expenses will increase, and his manpower will decrease long-term.

As for ordinary Russians, well, they will go back to the Soviet times. The older generation will be able to cope with it with no problem.
The younger generation will be shocked but will keep their mouth shut, and will be afraid to speak out.

Their standard of living will be that of Indians, Africans, or Chinese.

War is the last chance for a politician to stay in power, how bad was the Russian economy that caused Putin political suiside? How long is it going to take to step down from power or do Russians underestand he is just a paper tiger?! I believe in less than three months Putin's kingdom is over , what do  you think?