How is it even possible to use fossil fuels as currency? Storage itself is complicated and is expensive. Storing a barrel of crude oil for a month costs anywhere from $0.20 to $1.00. And crude oil hasn't proved effective against inflation. Check the prices we had in 2009-14 and now. Volatility is another concern. In case of gold, it is easier to store and has very low volatility. And although green energy has failed to replace fossil fuels so far, I have noticed a sharp increase in electric vehicles during the past few years. The replacement is picking up pace.
Producers of fossil fuel would be the main countries that use them to back their currencies and they don't need storage space since it is already stored in natural storages underground, they just increase/decrease their extraction if they need to.
As for the price, it is going to be challenging but the challenge is not specific to fossil fuels, any asset is going to have volatility and usage of fossil fuels this way could actually decrease their volatility significantly.
As for replacement, I don't see them replaced in our lifetime even electric cars need electricity that is partly generated using fossil fuels not to mention that a huge number of products are being created from fossil fuels which can never be replaced.
I see that about oil / gas production - you superficially know the topic you are writing about, as well as in many other things
Let me explain - oil and gas is not a water supply system for you, where you can turn on or off the tap with water, thereby increasing, reducing or even stopping the water supply.
For example, both reducing and increasing the "return" of a deposit is a technologically complex process. This is not to unscrew and tighten the valve. In addition, for example, in Russia, most of the fields have already passed the first and second stages of production (read what it is - it won’t hurt you for general development), and are at stage 3. And here is the most difficult thing, that it will be extremely difficult and EXPENSIVE for a technologically backward country implement and support.
Let me explain.
the "primary stage" is the extraction of only the "discovered" deposit. Natural mechanisms still work here, such as, for example, gravity drainage. The production factor at the initial stage, as a rule, does not exceed 15%. During further production, the pressure underground drops and becomes insufficient to further displace oil to the surface.
This is where the "second stage" begins. It typically consists of delivering external energy to the reservoir by introducing liquids (eg water) or gases (eg air, carbon dioxide) to pressurize underground. The average recovery factor after primary and secondary operations usually does not exceed 45%. But it is not eternal either. And we are approaching the third, final stage of oil production. Which is carried out using different technologies. The first of these reduces the viscosity of oil by heating. Another one is the injection of gas into the reservoir (carbon dioxide). And the last method is the so-called “chemical flood” method. It consists in mixing dense, insoluble polymers with water and introducing them underground. Tertiary production makes it possible to achieve an additional 15% of the volume of oil from the field.
So once again - most of the fields that are currently operating are either already at the third stage or are finishing the second. This has even been officially confirmed, you can read the reports of Rosneft and other production operators on production forecasts for the next 10-20 years. It talks about a noticeable drop in production due to the depletion of deposits.
And the conservation of deposits, for the same Russia, is a technologically irreversible procedure. And insanely expensive.
And further. Guess one of the reasons why Russia sells its oil and gas to China and India for a penny? I answer: because Russia has very small storage facilities! And after they are filled, the only way out will be either to burn the extracted raw materials, or to conserve the deposit! And this and that - pure losses, without the slightest chance of profit!
And here, for example, in Ukraine - the largest gas storage facilities in Europe, without which the gas transmission network, which Russia actively used. True, before unleashing a terrorist war against Ukraine, and economic terror against the EU.
So if there are no special problems for the Middle East, North American and other suppliers, then in Russia "everything is not clear." And given the sanctions and limited access to technology, the prospects are simply sad. no matter how hysterical propagandists are with fairy tales