In general I agree with this due to how much money is/has been put into Bitcoin start-ups and the traction its already gained.
This I'm not so sure of. There is some evidence that all halving does is raise the price before halving (I'm thinking of Litecoin, and yes, I know it's kind of apples and oranges), as people speculate the price is sure to go up, and then dumping afterward which brings the price down again.
Then again, the price of Bitcoin (via coindesk) at the last halving was about $12.20+ (in 2012) but didn't show much marked increase from the previous months leading up to the halving. After that though, four months later, the price was the price of today $230, but then went down again. Then there was mtgox.
This is all a round about way of saying I've no idea, but I'm holding.