Topic: Is doubling your investment more probable than we think? - page 5. (Read 1299 times)

Well, it's not bad actually if some highly optimistic people are expecting to make 3x or 4x returns from their investments. That is also their way of motivating theirselves to never stop from accumulating bitcoin while the price is still affordable. However, they just need to be more open-minded on what will be the future outcome of their investments as they don't hold the future price of bitcoin.

Regardless of how much you expect from your investment returns, that is of less importance. What is more crucial is that we never stop from taking advantage of bitcoin opportunities most especially that bitcoin halving is getting near. Do not be too obsessed with the future bitcoin price as no one gets an edge of that, but focus on your investment preparations while the market is still allowing us.

I think I understand the OP, it might actually not be a big deal for those who are in the world of trading and investment for so long to double their investment. It might be hyped more than it actually is but a very good consideration is the price at which halving meets Bitcoin. Imagine halving meeting Bitcoin at $50,000 and it later hit the ATH of $100,000, such can't freak many experienced traders and investors, especially those with a little capital.

I thought extensively about it early this year when I opened a trading account and I made x6 of my investment in less than 2 months without risking excessively. Bitcoin might not be able to do that in a year if halving meets it at about $30,000. So, it depends on people, their experience, satisfaction with their investment and their ability to actually use money to make more money in diverse ways.

Certainly not. If you read more carefully, you'll understand that $50,000 is a very realistic price to see in the upcoming months; thus, doubling your investment shouldn't require too much time, effort, or risk, judging that Bitcoin's price used to be $26,000 a few days ago. With that being said, it would somewhat be considered a relatively easy investment, but as I've already mentioned, these are all hypotheses.
That's true; I can only imagine what's going to happen if it's approved. Some fake news was enough to send its price up to almost $30,000, which is astounding. Along with the halving and a possible upcoming bull market, it's quite probable to send Bitcoin up to $100,000 or even more. As for the signature campaign, I'm generally satisfied with where I'm at; however, it's quite reasonable to always aim for more. I acknowledge that there are a few relatively new ones that pay quite well, but I don't see any vacant spots at the moment, and even if there was a spot or two, I don't know if I'd apply with so much competition going on.
Definitely, I experienced the bull market in 2017 and 2020, respectively, and I'm quite confident about Bitcoin's capabilities in the next bull market. 3x looks quite possible, let alone 2x. I'm not quite sure how I'll react in an upcoming bull market, but I'm aiming for at least $60,000, nothing less.

Just let people on thinking on what are the things that they do have in mind on which we do have our own price targets and if they are hoping for 3x or more then so be it. You cant really just blame them considering on
how this crypto moves on random and surprising way basing up on what happened back in the past where hitting up huge multipliers but its true that lets really be that realistic considering  that we are already on high
price already on which reaching out 2x or 3x is already a struggle. We would really be needing more funds on pushing up the price even on $100k a piece. This is why i do agree with some points that you had elaborated on which setting up some realistic approach or goals which it wont really be thinking on hitting 500k or 1M per coin which it is really just that too impossible.

Better to make yourself that prepare and make out some realistic numbers rather than expecting something big which it is that non realistic at all. You would really be finding yourself
that getting disappointed on the time that the price wont really be moving on the way that you are anticipating. This is why it would really be always that recommended
that you should be sticking onto those probabilities which it is likely to happen rather than on being too optimistic but way too unrealistic. Well we do have our own
hopes and expectations but just like been said that dont hope too much.

When you invest, you should be ready for everything. You might see double of your investments, or even triple profits. You can also face losses and anything can happen to be frank. What we can do is just estimate based on past growth and future projections. We have seen Bitcoins follow a 4 year cycle to reach ATH price, and 2024 is expected to be the 4th year. So yes if that happens then we can see 3x the investment. So let’s hope for the best and keep on accumulating the coins.

Bitcoin has always provided investors with the opportunity to increase their investment many folds. It is predicted that BTC price will dip below $20k in the coming months before a bull run. After BTC halving in 2024, the price will start to increase and might reach a new ATH in 2025. Let's say that the price will dip to $15k, and in the bull run, the price will at least go past the previous ATH, say $70k. For 1 BTC ($15k), you will get a $55k profit within 2 years (more than double). No other investment can give you this much return on investment in such a short period.
Buy Bitcoin now and secure your future.

In a traditional model, getting a return of 5%/yr is about normal. Sometimes its a little bit more and goes into double digits like 10+%. What we are saying here is we are not ok unless it goes to 100+% return.

I think everyone needs to be a bit cautious/conservative with expectations, its probably going to surpass these conservative numbers but there is no guarantee. Only invest in what you can lose

True, Normally Everyone wants profits but is not ready to lose money and I think it is also a great way to test one's trading ideas and market perspective if one has too high expectations in the world of trading.


Usually when the hype goes down, prices tend to stabilize. As you explained, similar trading situations repeat themselves over time and it is also relevant if we relate them to past data and what generally happens, whatever the conditions. In fact, trend traders enter as early as possible and exit before the trend reverses.

Those of us who have been around for a few cycles don’t think that a x4 return from here is out of the question. Almost the opposite as we’ve seen this happen every four years several times now. Sure a x2 return would be great and I wouldn’t spit at it, but at the same time, I think it’s more likely we see a x3 than a x2 this cycle.

The trend every 4 years is unique because price increases can reach 200% or more, especially since early 2024 there will be a halving which will make mining supply increasingly difficult and the easiest thing to usually do is buy more before the busy season occurs, and buy more when Cheap prices like now are certainly the best decision.

Expecting a greater pump in price is not just a mere speculation actually because we all know where this bitcoin price is heading to. Especially that halving is nearly approaching, all is really expecting a positive price feedback after that. Although predictions will remain predictions not until that certain time comes, but we know for sure that those predictions have high probability to happen. But you were right then, no matter how positive the future of bitcoin will be, we should still stick to the basic to never invest more than you can afford to lose.

However, I am very optimistic that if we start accumulating bitcoin as early as now, then it’s not far to happen to double our investment after the bitcoin halving happens. Just continue to hold bitcoin for long term, and have faith in the process. Bitcoin remains highly profitable in the end no matter how risky it is.

I also have fewer expectations this time. But I guess reaching its previous ATH at least is conservative which means it is still over 200% growth to the current price of bitcoin. This is why I am also considering altcoins since reaching their previous ATHs will give higher returns although they are more risky of course. But we can just allocate a smaller portion of our portfolio to some altcoins, especially ethereum which based on its current price is more than 300% if it returns to its previous ATH and it is very likely to happen within this cycle.

Yes, you are right, everyone who has made an investment has certainly thought carefully about when is the right time to buy it and take advantage of what they invested, of course they have different methods from others, but in essence they will continue to double their investment to be able to get even greater profits, but we need to see when is the right time to add investment from the profits we have previously obtained so that we can still get other profits.

As in you were capable of it? I assume that is what he was talking about but I think he can respond to it himself. At the end of the day we are talking about a situation where it is going to be terrible if you do not know what you are doing, and there will be some situations where it is not going to be all that easy to handle neither, we are talking about doubling here and anyone who is capable of doing that must be both good and lucky at the same time ,one of them alone can't make you get that much return.

Bull runs are there for a reason, so that you make more than double of your investment, so that when the bull run ends, you could stop making profit like that but keep the profits you have and hope that the average comes down to double per year.

What kind of privilege?
Multiplying an investment cannot be done easily, it requires a project that will indeed be bullish in the end and also requires patience.

All have the same rights, it is only if they have a large enough capital at the beginning that they have the privilege.

But big capital also needs good planning in order to multiply it.
Don't put everything into investments, make a reserve to overcome when there are some strategies that are not suitable.
Doing DCA is a good strategy, but also supported by in-depth knowledge about trading and when to buy.

If you have the privilege to double your investment, then it's a good idea to do so because it creates more opportunities to earn higher than you would have only Invested on, some people make this decision that instead of doubling it at once, they do it gradually using DCA, all our money should be reinvested back to the profitable asset like bitcoin and when the market rises then we sell and reinvest back again and so on the whole process continues.

There is always the possibility that something positive will happen, but also that something negative will happen that will affect the price of BTC. Yesterday, the price briefly flew towards $30k because some amateurs announced that the SEC approved a spot ETF from BlackRock, which of course was fake news. If fake news has such an effect, one only has to wonder what will happen if at some point such news appears that will be true.

Investing in BTC is always risky, not only because of the price, but also because of the way someone stores such sensitive data. However, as the old saying goes, "he who does not take risks, does not profit", it is up to each individual what he will do with his money.

I already mentioned to you that it would not be bad if you look for a better paid campaign, you are a solid poster and you are active on the forum, why not take advantage of that?

I think nearly all fellow forum members here will at least make 3x in next halving and bull run through Bitcoin and better altcoins. Its pretty much safe guess. But issue here is to make more money before halving through other methods as Bitcoin stalls a bit. If you invest into Bitcoin at the right time you would make more because your initial investment will be bigger. That's why people mainly look for other methods instead of focusing at nearly guarenteed 2x through Bitcoin.

It's true that we are going to end up with something that will change some things and if we are careful then we are going to do fine as well. Too many people are focusing on how good we can do and forget about what we can do right now. The future is there, and yes we are going to be doing fine with time, but we need to remember that we are going to end up with something much better with time.

So all in all I am assuming that we are going to be doing fine as long as we do fine right now. The future is written in my mind already, maybe I am wrong but if you ask me right now, I will say that there will be a new ATH by at latest 2025, that's guaranteed in my mind, if I am wrong then I am wrong. But even if I am right, if I do not buy any, then what good does it do?

The block reward reduction will not have any impact on miners. This will only happen if the bitcoin price does not increase, but if the bitcoin price still increases and creates a new ATH as before, miners will still make huge profits. They have no reason to stop the work that is bringing them wealth.


I think the market has bottomed out in 2021 and $15K is the lowest we've ever been. There will be more corrections until the bull market emerges but no new bottom will be made. But no one knows exactly when bull season will come, the future is unpredictable.