Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC?

Kasabus

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Quote from: Editbar on October 07, 2022, 10:39:57 AM

BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?

There is no way you can rightly calculate its price even if you are born a mathematician or an expert bitcoin analyst since everything relies on the bitcoin supply and demand, and relevant news and events that greatly affect the price of bitcoin. The only thing that is certain is that bitcoin price may pump or dump, or even move sideways particularly if there are sudden events that affect its price. But to think that we can calculate it easily and predict its future price correctly, maybe there are less chances or unfortunately, no chances at all. The reason why everything in bitcoin is risky as all of its movement are unpredictable.

Mauser

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Quote from: Editbar on October 07, 2022, 10:39:57 AM

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?

This is a very difficult question for which many investors would like to get an answer. Unfortunately there is no clear answer for your question. Potentially bitcoins has no upper price limit, the price could rise to 100,000 USD or 1m USD in the next 10 years. As long as there are investors willing to pay that price it's going to rise. The easiest calculation you could do would be to look how much the Bitcoin price increased in the last 10 years, and then use that number for a linear projection for the next 10 years. This is not so realistic of course because the price is trading so much higher now. It would be better to only look at the past few years instead and use the growth number after Bitcoin reached 10,000 USD. You can also only look at the halving process and take the price increase in the 6-12 months after the last 2 halvings and use that extrapolate for the next halving. In the end these predictions are not really accurate because it always comes down the general economic recession, if there is a recession or not going to happen again within the next 10 years.

Oceat

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Quote from: AicecreaME on October 21, 2022, 05:03:35 AM

You can calculate it but you will not get any correct answer, because no one can accurately predict the price of Bitcoin tomorrow or for the next 10 years. The only thing that is gonna happen for sure is the new coming All Time High after the next halving, if I'm not mistaken. Technical analysis could help you a little to get a hint on what price to buy and to sell.

Nah, it's just the same as guessing the price so why bother to calculate though?
No one can do it even if you say a super robot do the equation but their problem lies on who will gonna buy or who're gonna sell?
This is because demand and supply is not a given number it rely on people and a lot of of factors such as mining, halving and traders.

It's best to just focus on the present than thinking what's coming since we all don't know what's in the future.

Fatunad

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You are trying to predict the future of Bitcoin from the present total supply which is so impossible because Demand and supply curve work in two opposite direction and their grip on the market is also something no one can foresee. All you can get is mere speculations and estimations. But bear in mind before Bitcoin will hit 21 million total supply many who are holders today will become millionaires just for holding.

No man or human does have the ability on knowing the future unless if you are God. Cheesy

There's no way that we could really predict on where prices would be going.We can make out some price predictions and presumptions via those indicators or tools that we do currently have
but it doesnt really indicate that it could really able to make precise predictions towards on where we do go.
It all matters on the demand and come to mind off that there are lots of factors which could really make out some effects on overall market condition
which it is really that hard to make conclusions but its better to make some analysis rather than making steps without any basis.

AicecreaME

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You can calculate it but you will not get any correct answer, because no one can accurately predict the price of Bitcoin tomorrow or for the next 10 years. The only thing that is gonna happen for sure is the new coming All Time High after the next halving, if I'm not mistaken. Technical analysis could help you a little to get a hint on what price to buy and to sell.

monineklutak

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Quote from: TelolettOm on October 20, 2022, 06:57:12 PM

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I don't think this can be accurately assessed. You need to understand that it is quite difficult to find out the price of such a currency, because pricing in this case has its own characteristics.

Yes, it is impossible to have an accurate assessment of price prediction. We all know that Bitcoin price is unpredictable, the price trend can change in a short time. If in the near future there is good news, the price will increase gradually. But if there is bad news, the price may decrease a lot. The hard thing is that we cannot predict what the issue to spread in the future. It naturally happens, no one has the ability to know it.

Yes, that's how cryptocurrencies are where market movements are also influenced by news,
but for now maybe we need to be patient first to be able to see the price of Bitcoin go up because of the current unsupportive conditions,
Of course we all hope there will be good news and let's see later

TelolettOm

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Quote from: ?? on ??

I don't think this can be accurately assessed. You need to understand that it is quite difficult to find out the price of such a currency, because pricing in this case has its own characteristics.

Yes, it is impossible to have an accurate assessment of price prediction. We all know that Bitcoin price is unpredictable, the price trend can change in a short time. If in the near future there is good news, the price will increase gradually. But if there is bad news, the price may decrease a lot. The hard thing is that we cannot predict what the issue to spread in the future. It naturally happens, no one has the ability to know it.

arwin100

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I don't think this can be accurately assessed. You need to understand that it is quite difficult to find out the price of such a currency, because pricing in this case has its own characteristics.

No accurate prediction can be made by certain individual since for saying that the market is unpredictable it tells all with that. Maybe there are some cases that traders use some analysis base on current events or even the chart they had but still it will never be accurate. If newbies want to learn something to get more knowledge about this much better if they learn trading thru their personal experiences, consistency is the only one they need.

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Quote from: rendravolt on October 17, 2022, 09:29:53 AM

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Quote from: rendravolt on October 16, 2022, 03:55:23 PM

I'm so bored everyday open the market app on my phone and the price is the same as last week no change. Even so the market volume is still quite good, at least that's what I can expect. As for the new project, I hope they bring something different and interesting for next year because it can get more people to come.

Well, everyone is hoping for something new and a pump upon checking the market and their portfolio but it was hard to change the situation as we are still in this bearish situation. What we have seen yesterday can be the same today and a few weeks from now. We no longer have to expect a spike in prices as we only get disappointed. That why I'd never check the market everyday, as I was holding Bitcoin I know that was safe, I don't know about yours.

I bought some altcoins last month and I'm around $300 now it's a loss to $185 even though I only traded spot it sucks. So I have anxiety to check the market every day but still nothing has changed. But I shouldn't have done that but since it happened, so be it.

I would say that losing money during bear period shouldn't discourage you from making these mistakes. You should learn from them, you did a mistake and that’s understandable, but what did you learn while making these mistakes, that’s the important part.

I personally lost a lot of money during my time in crypto world as well, but I didn't end up losing a lot of money neither, it was a period where I caused a lot of problems with the situation at hand and got better thanks to it, that trouble I caused eventually lead me to understand what was wrong with my understanding of what trading was. This is why we should be focusing a bit more towards why, and not what.

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Quote from: rendravolt on October 16, 2022, 03:55:23 PM

I'm so bored everyday open the market app on my phone and the price is the same as last week no change...

Probably the same feelings are experienced by investors who, after buying bitcoin at the high of 2017, continue to hold coins. And obviously they are dissatisfied when they see the same price 5 years later, after they have made their purchases. But if we assume that the bear market is coming to an end, then we can see another ATH.

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Quote from: Silberman on October 18, 2022, 11:32:19 PM

Quote from: jaberwock on October 17, 2022, 02:23:55 PM

So many people owns btc but if there are people who owns large quantities of it then I think it's possible for them to influence the price if they will sell it. They can be called as a whale. Many of us only want's to earn so we buy more btc and then hodl it but there will always be whales which are against with what we are planning. It's kind suck though.

Other than the whales, there is also bear market but I think this one is mostly natural though I think a whale can interfere with it making the bear moves un naturally or making the duration more longer like on what we are experiencing now. They say it was only a 4 year cycle but I don't believe on it.

You have a point, whales without a doubt are powerful enough to move the market, however they have to be opportunistic on their moves, for example if whales tried to create a bullish trend now I think they will fail as there is still a lot of fear in the market and many investors which are trapped and losing money will use an increase in the price to sell their coins, and as such whales will fail in their attempt to pump the price, so even whales need the help from small traders in order for their manipulations to succeed.

Whale groups of course already know what to do when the market is in a bearish moment like now, they already have their own guidelines. Making some manipulations and some FUD will certainly be an option to get even cheaper prices. Whales may not have the full power to influence the market, but they have enough effort and effort to influence the psychology of small traders like us.
The future price of bitcoin can only be predicted and it will also not be accurate. The predictions made only provide a clue and may or may not happen.

kotajikikox

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Quote from: Editbar on October 07, 2022, 10:39:57 AM

BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

sorry but isn't 21 million max bitcoin to be mined? and not Billions?

Quote

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?

You can't I believe, though looking at the 13 years History then there will be some guidance for what you wanted to know.

but just buy and keep it hold .

Silberman

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Quote from: jaberwock on October 17, 2022, 02:23:55 PM

Quote from: Silberman on October 15, 2022, 11:19:11 PM

Quote from: Editbar on October 07, 2022, 10:39:57 AM

BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?

This is impossible to do, we must remember that the price is an aggregate of what everyone in the market is thinking about the price of bitcoin, this means it is not controlled by a single person or indicator but by millions of people all of which have contradictory beliefs, needs and wants, so predicting accurately what the price will be over the long term is not something that can be done, you could make some calculations which could give you a range, but that is as far you will be able to go in your quest.

So many people owns btc but if there are people who owns large quantities of it then I think it's possible for them to influence the price if they will sell it. They can be called as a whale. Many of us only want's to earn so we buy more btc and then hodl it but there will always be whales which are against with what we are planning. It's kind suck though.

Other than the whales, there is also bear market but I think this one is mostly natural though I think a whale can interfere with it making the bear moves un naturally or making the duration more longer like on what we are experiencing now. They say it was only a 4 year cycle but I don't believe on it.

You have a point, whales without a doubt are powerful enough to move the market, however they have to be opportunistic on their moves, for example if whales tried to create a bullish trend now I think they will fail as there is still a lot of fear in the market and many investors which are trapped and losing money will use an increase in the price to sell their coins, and as such whales will fail in their attempt to pump the price, so even whales need the help from small traders in order for their manipulations to succeed.

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Quote from: dunfida on October 17, 2022, 05:05:54 PM

Trying to look back into those earlier years then it cant really be denied that manipulative actions of whales do really make out significant impact on the market but it is indeed the market now isnt really something

monopolized where the community is been composed by huge numbers where manipulative actions cant really be something that be done easily.You would need tons of billions for you to move on the market.

Making out conclusions about on where price could actually go then its actually hard and we know that this had been mainly the questions been asked on where we are going
and would be reaching on years to come.

This is the reason why I believe the whales are not in the position to manipulate the market anymore but if we're talking about humpback whales which the user didn't mention they can do some manipulative on the market.
Yes, it is hard to tell what will be actually market price since the market is volatile but with the help of the 4years cycle, people can still predict the market to always make new ATH prices.

kotajikikox

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Quote from: Editbar on October 07, 2022, 10:39:57 AM

BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

first it is 21 million cap mate and not billion , but calculating how much this will value?
this is impossible to happen mate and this is not really going to happen.

Quote

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?

you cant mate, but you can speculate only , there is no math towards this because it is always impossible .

Awaklara

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Quote from: GeorgeJohn on October 17, 2022, 05:49:59 PM

i believe that the volume of Bitcoin in the market is determine through the qualitative of the demand and the supply in the market, so with that, it's when bitcoin will increase.

that is why the price of bitcoin can never be calculated in the future. some who try to do so, only speculate by doing analysis and predictions. no one will get accurate results.
even if by chance the prophecy was correct. it's just a prediction of the future. instead of finding the actual way to find the facts of the future.
we can learn from the Bull run cycle that occurs several times in the market. it shows how the demand and supply of bitcoin in the market are experiencing high spikes.

GeorgeJohn

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It is possible for you to calculate tjat but you need to know that they are only based on estimation of what the future market is going to look like so you don't have a reliable outcome.from that. The market is still growing so I don't really know what you have in mind to do with the calculation but they are not always guarantee for a recap. There are some sites that has that we you can calculate that.

The future is diabolical, so the future of Bitcoin cannot be measured or being calculated to know what should will happen in the next year, the market of cryptocurrency are the one that determine the future of Bitcoin price through the investor's who enroll who come to cryptocurrency, i believe that the volume of Bitcoin in the market is determine through the qualitative of the demand and the supply in the market, so with that, it's when bitcoin will increase.

dunfida

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Quote from: suzanne5223 on October 17, 2022, 04:48:59 PM

Quote from: jaberwock on October 17, 2022, 02:23:55 PM

Quote from: Silberman on October 15, 2022, 11:19:11 PM

Quote from: Editbar on October 07, 2022, 10:39:57 AM

BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?

This is impossible to do, we must remember that the price is an aggregate of what everyone in the market is thinking about the price of bitcoin, this means it is not controlled by a single person or indicator but by millions of people all of which have contradictory beliefs, needs and wants, so predicting accurately what the price will be over the long term is not something that can be done, you could make some calculations which could give you a range, but that is as far you will be able to go in your quest.

So many people owns btc but if there are people who owns large quantities of it then I think it's possible for them to influence the price if they will sell it. They can be called as a whale. Many of us only want's to earn so we buy more btc and then hodl it but there will always be whales which are against with what we are planning. It's kind suck though.

Other than the whales, there is also bear market but I think this one is mostly natural though I think a whale can interfere with it making the bear moves un naturally or making the duration more longer like on what we are experiencing now. They say it was only a 4 year cycle but I don't believe on it.

Yes, the whales can influence the Bitcoin market but after the institutional investors have joined the Bitcoin market the level of the whale's influence in the market reduce.
A single whale can not influence the market like what we used to see back in the year 2017- 2020. If you follow the whales alert you'll see a lot of whales movement which shows no significant effect on the market.
Back to the OP question, it is hard to predict the price of BTC in 1-10years but if you're good with using the BTC 4years cycle you can have a good guess.

Trying to look back into those earlier years then it cant really be denied that manipulative actions of whales do really make out significant impact on the market but it is indeed the market now isnt really something

monopolized where the community is been composed by huge numbers where manipulative actions cant really be something that be done easily.You would need tons of billions for you to move on the market.

Making out conclusions about on where price could actually go then its actually hard and we know that this had been mainly the questions been asked on where we are going
and would be reaching on years to come.

suzanne5223

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Quote from: jaberwock on October 17, 2022, 02:23:55 PM

Quote from: Silberman on October 15, 2022, 11:19:11 PM

Quote from: Editbar on October 07, 2022, 10:39:57 AM

BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?

This is impossible to do, we must remember that the price is an aggregate of what everyone in the market is thinking about the price of bitcoin, this means it is not controlled by a single person or indicator but by millions of people all of which have contradictory beliefs, needs and wants, so predicting accurately what the price will be over the long term is not something that can be done, you could make some calculations which could give you a range, but that is as far you will be able to go in your quest.

So many people owns btc but if there are people who owns large quantities of it then I think it's possible for them to influence the price if they will sell it. They can be called as a whale. Many of us only want's to earn so we buy more btc and then hodl it but there will always be whales which are against with what we are planning. It's kind suck though.

Other than the whales, there is also bear market but I think this one is mostly natural though I think a whale can interfere with it making the bear moves un naturally or making the duration more longer like on what we are experiencing now. They say it was only a 4 year cycle but I don't believe on it.

Yes, the whales can influence the Bitcoin market but after the institutional investors have joined the Bitcoin market the level of the whale's influence in the market reduce.
A single whale can not influence the market like what we used to see back in the year 2017- 2020. If you follow the whales alert you'll see a lot of whales movement which shows no significant effect on the market.
Back to the OP question, it is hard to predict the price of BTC in 1-10years but if you're good with using the BTC 4years cycle you can have a good guess.

jaberwock

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Quote from: Silberman on October 15, 2022, 11:19:11 PM

Quote from: Editbar on October 07, 2022, 10:39:57 AM

BTC's circulating supply is now 19 billion out of the 21 billion caps.

Is it possible to calculate how much the price of BTC will go up until it hits the 21 billion cap?

I know there is some complicated math you can do about circulating supply, market cap, price etc, it's all connected,

How can I calculate the price potential of BTC within the next 1-10 years?

This is impossible to do, we must remember that the price is an aggregate of what everyone in the market is thinking about the price of bitcoin, this means it is not controlled by a single person or indicator but by millions of people all of which have contradictory beliefs, needs and wants, so predicting accurately what the price will be over the long term is not something that can be done, you could make some calculations which could give you a range, but that is as far you will be able to go in your quest.

So many people owns btc but if there are people who owns large quantities of it then I think it's possible for them to influence the price if they will sell it. They can be called as a whale. Many of us only want's to earn so we buy more btc and then hodl it but there will always be whales which are against with what we are planning. It's kind suck though.

Other than the whales, there is also bear market but I think this one is mostly natural though I think a whale can interfere with it making the bear moves un naturally or making the duration more longer like on what we are experiencing now. They say it was only a 4 year cycle but I don't believe on it.

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