What kind of trades is he doing exactly?
- National currencies. Sells USD for EUR, EUR for YEN etc.
- Plays with spot losses, buy orders, sell orders and the like, with gold.
Whenever he explains what he's doing to me, it feels like a black box. It's like when someone feels he knows what he does, but it is somehow constantly proven that he doesn't. What he wants is to have is a ~3% gain on average, every month. I just don't understand if he deeply knows it's gambling or just thinks there's a "scientific explanation" known as "
analysis" that can be used to make money.
Honestly trading gold on a short time horizon seems weird to me, there isnt much scientific about it. No matter how someone tries to rationalize it. Thats why im meant with putting too much emphasis on TA, because it can give oneself the impression that there is something predictable to discover, when its completely unpredictable in reality. Theres big institutions that can use a lot of volume to move markets. But for a regular person: trying to predict tiny changes in gold solely based on ta seems like astrology to me personally, especially if his strategies dont seem to be working.
Im not a expert on forex, but its definitely not something i would advice a beginner to start in. And especially if no long term strategy portfolio is even being built. I think the basics are missing here and this whole approach seems to be built on weak ground. Basics first, and then a beginner can start going into more challenging trading. Just keep him out of leverage please, so he doesnt run the risk to get into debt for nothing.
He likes being on Tradingview and try to explain what's going on, what are all these things etc. But, why do I feel it's just horseshit and there's absolutely nothing essential?
Because thats what it is, its just a waste of time trying to predict ultra short term changes in prices better than everyone else, instead of spending time on actually evaluting economics/ ideas/ businesses. Time can be spent more productively with greater returns, both financially and mentally. Sure a lot of money could be made with leverage(less with spot), but lets not act like this is the norm, the same money can be lost quickly again with this approach.