Can I have a precise and constructive answer on whether trading is really worth spending time on? My brother wants to do this job for a living, and I'm just curious if it's a dignified, worth-spending occupation. I don't know where to ask, I don't understand technical analysis; when he explains it to me I feel it's some sort of gambling strategy.
I've used to read experts' discussions, papers, books and the like, but I find no such stuff on trading. It's a very vague term anyway. Are there really people who just "buy low and sell high", making a living by just doing that? I can't comprehend how can a person seriously make a living by something that looks complete gambling, instead of providing goods, services, work etc.
It highly depends on how much capital he has. What we saw in the last years is an abnormality, the usual return of the stock market would be like 7-8% yearly. And the most elite of the elite traders could maybe double this return, but not forever. It’s common knowledge that it is really hard to even outperform the market and it takes many years to even build a good portfolio that you can live from.
If he has 100.000 invested(which most can’t afford fast), an average return of 7.000€ yearly wouldn’t be that high and not worth the risk(as only income), he can survive with this, but it’s much more efficient to build a career out of actual work and invest at the same time. This maybe changes with 1-2 million invested, then it would be like 70k a year. Bitcoiners are used to much higher gains, but these kind of returns are insanity in traditional investments, we should really appreciate it more.
So my advice is, he shouldn’t risk everything for trading. If he wanna make trading a living he should maybe try to look for jobs in this field. Technical analysis is not that effective, people put way too much emphasis on it, and forget the basics of investment. Its easy to loose focus there. His best bet is to work and invest at the same time. Just living from investments is a privilege big capital holders have and then there’s so many factors outside of technical analysis that he isnt prepared for, that could make him loose everything. The best traders have insider knowledge/ technology that he will never access to outside these circles, this is really a battle against sharks.
Theres a huge hype on social media by coaches and all the other bs, that make it way too complicated and make more money from selling dreams/ talking and not actual trading. The reality is boring, a good/ fun job and consistently investing in something undervalued like Bitcoin by simply dcaing, will probably outperform any trading a regular person can do, and be much less stressful at the same time.
If he wants to trade he can do it while having a stable income and prove that he can live from it, there’s no need to give up everything for trading before reaching this level. If he isnt better than billion dollar companies with many employees yet, he will also not outperform the market.