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Topic: Just-Dice.com : now with added CLAMs : Play or Invest - page 63. (Read 454823 times)

hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 500
Some heavy buying on poloniex! Grin
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
Dooglus, had you already considered this scenario and how it would be handled? Again, it's a small chance, but any chance should be accounted for because let's face it: things happen.

Yes, you won't be allowed to risk more than you have on deposit.

If the max profit was 5% then it would be silly for JD to let you leverage by more than 20x.

I get you now. For some reason, the math wasn't clicking properly with me, but after running it again, you're right.
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Dooglus, had you already considered this scenario and how it would be handled? Again, it's a small chance, but any chance should be accounted for because let's face it: things happen.

Yes, you won't be allowed to risk more than you have on deposit.

If the max profit was 5% then it would be silly for JD to let you leverage by more than 20x.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
I don't get this idea (tell them you have 30, while you have actually 300).

What if there is a lucky winner who wins 15% of the bankroll. You have invested 300, so you'll lose 45 coins. That is not possible, since you only have 30 coins.

Have you thought about this?

  If someone gets lucky, and your bankroll goes to zero (because your leveraged) your busted.  Once you lose your 30 coins, the other 270 that you claimed you had would be removed from the JD bankroll, and the maxbet would be adjusted to the new bankroll.  Just as if you lost the whole 300, but you only lost 30.   

Actually, his question was a great one and something my mind skipped over. Let me help him illustrate the scenario better (a theoretical one, as it would be unlikely to work this way, BUT still possible nonetheless).

For this, we're going to use 2 investors and a max winning of 5% of the pot.

Investor A puts in 10 CLAM, claiming he has 100.
Investor B puts in 10 CLAM, claiming he has 900.

Someone puts in a bet and on the first time wins the 5%. This is 5% of 1000, or 50 CLAM.

The issue here, as you'll see, is that the winnable amount is more than there actually are. In other words, the person that just won 50 CLAM actually only won 20, while taking a much greater risk to do so.

This is where the issues come in. Now theoretically this wouldn't happen as most investors would keep on a 1:1 ratio and therefore it shouldn't be problematic. But if an investing whale comes in and boosts it (or a couple do), it could result in the majority of the bankroll, if not more than there are, being lost.

Dooglus, had you already considered this scenario and how it would be handled? Again, it's a small chance, but any chance should be accounted for because let's face it: things happen.
legendary
Activity: 1007
Merit: 1000
I don't get this idea (tell them you have 30, while you have actually 300).

What if there is a lucky winner who wins 15% of the bankroll. You have invested 300, so you'll lose 45 coins. That is not possible, since you only have 30 coins.

Have you thought about this?

  If someone gets lucky, and your bankroll goes to zero (because your leveraged) your busted.  Once you lose your 30 coins, the other 270 that you claimed you had would be removed from the JD bankroll, and the maxbet would be adjusted to the new bankroll.  Just as if you lost the whole 300, but you only lost 30.   
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
nice to see that JD got new chat features

hoping to see a lot more!
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 515
I don't get this idea (tell them you have 30, while you have actually 300).

What if there is a lucky winner who wins 15% of the bankroll. You have invested 300, so you'll lose 45 coins. That is not possible, since you only have 30 coins.

Have you thought about this?
hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 500
The issue with your idea of holding coins locally is... what's to keep me from saying I have more than I do? Let's say you use 10% as the baseline. I have 30 coins. There's no way for you to know I don't really have 300, so I could just invest the 30 I have and claim I have 10x that.

There's nothing to stop you lying about how many coins you hold locally, but it would be fooling to claim you have more coins that you really do, because you'll end up risking too much and the volatility will bust you.

JD won't let you lose more than you actually deposit, so it's up to you.

I didn't work out all the details yet, but will be working on it for the next week or so.

If investments are marked are 10 times what they are and the players are lucky, most investors will not keep depositing and the bankroll will dry up.

  The investors will have that option.  For those that want less risk, then they should not claim more clams then they have, or just the amount they deposit.  

On a side note: Your claimed amount is also increasing the Max bet amount.  That means the more you claim the more you're increasing the chance that you bust.
 
  I don't know if Doog will implement a .5% or 99.5% limit (however you look at it.), on claimed amounts.  The max bet is .5% of the bankroll.  So claiming you have more then that would cause the max bet to increase more then your actual investment, and would cause others to potentially lose coins.    

interesting dilemma...    

Claiming more coins that you have will cause other to lose OR WIN more coins.

If you can deposit 100CLAM and have 20,000CLAM invested it will be pretty crazy because if you are lucky you can make a fortune Grin
legendary
Activity: 1007
Merit: 1000
The issue with your idea of holding coins locally is... what's to keep me from saying I have more than I do? Let's say you use 10% as the baseline. I have 30 coins. There's no way for you to know I don't really have 300, so I could just invest the 30 I have and claim I have 10x that.

There's nothing to stop you lying about how many coins you hold locally, but it would be fooling to claim you have more coins that you really do, because you'll end up risking too much and the volatility will bust you.

JD won't let you lose more than you actually deposit, so it's up to you.

I didn't work out all the details yet, but will be working on it for the next week or so.

If investments are marked are 10 times what they are and the players are lucky, most investors will not keep depositing and the bankroll will dry up.

  The investors will have that option.  For those that want less risk, then they should not claim more clams then they have, or just the amount they deposit.  

On a side note: Your claimed amount is also increasing the Max bet amount.  That means the more you claim the more you're increasing the chance that you bust.
 
  I don't know if Doog will implement a .5% or 99.5% limit (however you look at it.), on claimed amounts.  The max bet is .5% of the bankroll.  So claiming you have more then that would cause the max bet to increase more then your actual investment, and would cause others to potentially lose coins.    

interesting dilemma...    
hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 500
The issue with your idea of holding coins locally is... what's to keep me from saying I have more than I do? Let's say you use 10% as the baseline. I have 30 coins. There's no way for you to know I don't really have 300, so I could just invest the 30 I have and claim I have 10x that.

There's nothing to stop you lying about how many coins you hold locally, but it would be fooling to claim you have more coins that you really do, because you'll end up risking too much and the volatility will bust you.

JD won't let you lose more than you actually deposit, so it's up to you.

I didn't work out all the details yet, but will be working on it for the next week or so.

If investments are marked are 10 times what they are and the players are lucky, most investors will not keep depositing and the bankroll will dry up.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
Yeah, someone had replied to me basically saying the same thing. I wasn't thinking about it from that perspective. It's an awesome idea to do and allows investors to choose their risk even better, as well as fabricate numbers and just buy in for the difference (i.e., I have 30 coins, I say I have 300, I lose the 30 I had, so I just use an exchange to buy more and reinvest).

I hadn't thought about it that way, but yeah that works too.

"I want to invest 10k CLAMs, but I don't actually want to buy them all yet. So I'll buy 100 and invest those, and hopefully I win and don't need to buy the rest, but if I lose I'll buy some more".

Exactly. Dice Investments in Dice. It's a unique offering, too, Smiley.
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Yeah, someone had replied to me basically saying the same thing. I wasn't thinking about it from that perspective. It's an awesome idea to do and allows investors to choose their risk even better, as well as fabricate numbers and just buy in for the difference (i.e., I have 30 coins, I say I have 300, I lose the 30 I had, so I just use an exchange to buy more and reinvest).

I hadn't thought about it that way, but yeah that works too.

"I want to invest 10k CLAMs, but I don't actually want to buy them all yet. So I'll buy 100 and invest those, and hopefully I win and don't need to buy the rest, but if I lose I'll buy some more".
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
The issue with your idea of holding coins locally is... what's to keep me from saying I have more than I do? Let's say you use 10% as the baseline. I have 30 coins. There's no way for you to know I don't really have 300, so I could just invest the 30 I have and claim I have 10x that.

There's nothing to stop you lying about how many coins you hold locally, but it would be fooling to claim you have more coins that you really do, because you'll end up risking too much and the volatility will bust you.

JD won't let you lose more than you actually deposit, so it's up to you.

I didn't work out all the details yet, but will be working on it for the next week or so.

Yeah, someone had replied to me basically saying the same thing. I wasn't thinking about it from that perspective. It's an awesome idea to do and allows investors to choose their risk even better, as well as fabricate numbers and just buy in for the difference (i.e., I have 30 coins, I say I have 300, I lose the 30 I had, so I just use an exchange to buy more and reinvest).
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
The issue with your idea of holding coins locally is... what's to keep me from saying I have more than I do? Let's say you use 10% as the baseline. I have 30 coins. There's no way for you to know I don't really have 300, so I could just invest the 30 I have and claim I have 10x that.

There's nothing to stop you lying about how many coins you hold locally, but it would be fooling to claim you have more coins that you really do, because you'll end up risking too much and the volatility will bust you.

JD won't let you lose more than you actually deposit, so it's up to you.

I didn't work out all the details yet, but will be working on it for the next week or so.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
Updates on JD/CLAM

Current # of dug CLAMS = 385,216
Price at Polinex 0.003 (CLAM/BTC) *$333 (USD/BTC) = $384K Market Cap (** Does not include undug)

JD Wagered - 808101 CLAMs in 18 days * .01 (House Edge) *365 Days = 163864 CLAM a Year Profit for Site
163864*.003*333 = $163701 USD Profit
Doog gets 10% of Profit - Doogs take $16k USD (fees)

Doog's Big take is Stake
1000 CLAM a day staked at JD * 10% = 100 Clam a day *
100*.003*333=$100 USD * 365 = $36500 a year (MORE THAN GAMBLING PROFIT FEES)

This guy just wins MATH

I imagine the way it is meant to work is that staking causes monetary base inflation, which causes the price to decrease accordingly.

If everybody staked, they would be "running to stand still" - their number of CLAM would increase at the same rate that the price decreased, and they would retain the same value. So you can't just take 10% of the amount staked, multiply by the current price, and say that's my expected take, as the very act of staking increases the supply, and so drops the price.

Either way your conclusion that the amount staked is expected to be more than the amount won from players seems valid - at least as long as JD continues to hold such a large percentage of the active coins.

I plan to finally implement the feature that will allow investors to hold the majority of their coins locally, so that should change the situation. It's not healthy for a single entity (even one as amazing as JD Tongue) to control the majority of the coins, so I'll do what I can to fix that.

The issue with your idea of holding coins locally is... what's to keep me from saying I have more than I do? Let's say you use 10% as the baseline. I have 30 coins. There's no way for you to know I don't really have 300, so I could just invest the 30 I have and claim I have 10x that.

   I asked the same question in another forum topic.

If you put 30 clams in and say you have 300, that's 10% of your total bag.  If the total invested drops by 10% your investment drops by 10% also. 10% of 300 clams = 30 clams so your wiped out and lose your 30 clams.  If you just claimed 30 clams.   10% of 30 clams is 3 clams so you would still have 27 clams invested.   

JD doesn't real care how much you actually have.  The bigger the percentage you claim the more volatile you investment will be.  And once the real investment amount goes to zero you lose it,  there is no coming back from it.     

Ahhh, that's interesting! I didn't think about it like that, but it makes a lot of sense. So basically you can choose, should you want to... to play the high-risk version of saying you have much more than you do. If the site profits, you make a lot more. If it doesn't, you lose it all.
legendary
Activity: 1007
Merit: 1000
Updates on JD/CLAM

Current # of dug CLAMS = 385,216
Price at Polinex 0.003 (CLAM/BTC) *$333 (USD/BTC) = $384K Market Cap (** Does not include undug)

JD Wagered - 808101 CLAMs in 18 days * .01 (House Edge) *365 Days = 163864 CLAM a Year Profit for Site
163864*.003*333 = $163701 USD Profit
Doog gets 10% of Profit - Doogs take $16k USD (fees)

Doog's Big take is Stake
1000 CLAM a day staked at JD * 10% = 100 Clam a day *
100*.003*333=$100 USD * 365 = $36500 a year (MORE THAN GAMBLING PROFIT FEES)

This guy just wins MATH

I imagine the way it is meant to work is that staking causes monetary base inflation, which causes the price to decrease accordingly.

If everybody staked, they would be "running to stand still" - their number of CLAM would increase at the same rate that the price decreased, and they would retain the same value. So you can't just take 10% of the amount staked, multiply by the current price, and say that's my expected take, as the very act of staking increases the supply, and so drops the price.

Either way your conclusion that the amount staked is expected to be more than the amount won from players seems valid - at least as long as JD continues to hold such a large percentage of the active coins.

I plan to finally implement the feature that will allow investors to hold the majority of their coins locally, so that should change the situation. It's not healthy for a single entity (even one as amazing as JD Tongue) to control the majority of the coins, so I'll do what I can to fix that.

The issue with your idea of holding coins locally is... what's to keep me from saying I have more than I do? Let's say you use 10% as the baseline. I have 30 coins. There's no way for you to know I don't really have 300, so I could just invest the 30 I have and claim I have 10x that.

   I asked the same question in another forum topic.

If you put 30 clams in and say you have 300, that's 10% of your total bag.  If the total invested drops by 10% your investment drops by 10% also. 10% of 300 clams = 30 clams so your wiped out and lose your 30 clams.  If you just claimed 30 clams.   10% of 30 clams is 3 clams so you would still have 27 clams invested.   

JD doesn't real care how much you actually have.  The bigger the percentage you claim the more volatile you investment will be.  And once the real investment amount goes to zero you lose it,  there is no coming back from it.     
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
Updates on JD/CLAM

Current # of dug CLAMS = 385,216
Price at Polinex 0.003 (CLAM/BTC) *$333 (USD/BTC) = $384K Market Cap (** Does not include undug)

JD Wagered - 808101 CLAMs in 18 days * .01 (House Edge) *365 Days = 163864 CLAM a Year Profit for Site
163864*.003*333 = $163701 USD Profit
Doog gets 10% of Profit - Doogs take $16k USD (fees)

Doog's Big take is Stake
1000 CLAM a day staked at JD * 10% = 100 Clam a day *
100*.003*333=$100 USD * 365 = $36500 a year (MORE THAN GAMBLING PROFIT FEES)

This guy just wins MATH

I imagine the way it is meant to work is that staking causes monetary base inflation, which causes the price to decrease accordingly.

If everybody staked, they would be "running to stand still" - their number of CLAM would increase at the same rate that the price decreased, and they would retain the same value. So you can't just take 10% of the amount staked, multiply by the current price, and say that's my expected take, as the very act of staking increases the supply, and so drops the price.

Either way your conclusion that the amount staked is expected to be more than the amount won from players seems valid - at least as long as JD continues to hold such a large percentage of the active coins.

I plan to finally implement the feature that will allow investors to hold the majority of their coins locally, so that should change the situation. It's not healthy for a single entity (even one as amazing as JD Tongue) to control the majority of the coins, so I'll do what I can to fix that.

The issue with your idea of holding coins locally is... what's to keep me from saying I have more than I do? Let's say you use 10% as the baseline. I have 30 coins. There's no way for you to know I don't really have 300, so I could just invest the 30 I have and claim I have 10x that.
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Updates on JD/CLAM

Current # of dug CLAMS = 385,216
Price at Polinex 0.003 (CLAM/BTC) *$333 (USD/BTC) = $384K Market Cap (** Does not include undug)

JD Wagered - 808101 CLAMs in 18 days * .01 (House Edge) *365 Days = 163864 CLAM a Year Profit for Site
163864*.003*333 = $163701 USD Profit
Doog gets 10% of Profit - Doogs take $16k USD (fees)

Doog's Big take is Stake
1000 CLAM a day staked at JD * 10% = 100 Clam a day *
100*.003*333=$100 USD * 365 = $36500 a year (MORE THAN GAMBLING PROFIT FEES)

This guy just wins MATH

I imagine the way it is meant to work is that staking causes monetary base inflation, which causes the price to decrease accordingly.

If everybody staked, they would be "running to stand still" - their number of CLAM would increase at the same rate that the price decreased, and they would retain the same value. So you can't just take 10% of the amount staked, multiply by the current price, and say that's my expected take, as the very act of staking increases the supply, and so drops the price.

Either way your conclusion that the amount staked is expected to be more than the amount won from players seems valid - at least as long as JD continues to hold such a large percentage of the active coins.

I plan to finally implement the feature that will allow investors to hold the majority of their coins locally, so that should change the situation. It's not healthy for a single entity (even one as amazing as JD Tongue) to control the majority of the coins, so I'll do what I can to fix that.
legendary
Activity: 4018
Merit: 1250
Owner at AltQuick.com
Can someone fix my signature as a full Member

High level BTC memebers-

♦  Open!  ♦  ♦  Just-Dice.com  ♦   ♦  1% House Edge Dice Game  ♦   ♦  Play or Invest  ♦
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Ya dude I can help you.

Code:
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If you had Bitcoin, Litecoin or Dogecoin on May 12, 2014 then the chances are you have free CLAM to claim! Check Just-dice FAQ!
www.MyFreeClams.com

Are you using this one? ^

If so try this one:

Code:
[center][size=8pt][font=Arial][b][url=https://just-dice.com][color=green]♦  [u]Open![/u]  ♦ [/color][/url]  [size=8pt][font=Arial][b][url=https://just-dice.com][color=green]♦  Just-Dice.com  ♦ [/color][/url]  [url=https://just-dice.com][color=green] ♦  1% House Edge Dice Game  ♦ [/color][/url]  [url=https://just-dice.com][color=green] ♦  Play or Invest  ♦ [/color][/url][/b][/font][/size]
If you had Bitcoin, Litecoin or Dogecoin on May 12, 2014 then the chances are you have free CLAM to claim! Check Just-dice FAQ!
www.MyFreeClams.com

♦  Open!  ♦  ♦  Just-Dice.com  ♦   ♦  1% House Edge Dice Game  ♦   ♦  Play or Invest  ♦
If you had Bitcoin, Litecoin or Dogecoin on May 12, 2014 then the chances are you have free CLAM to claim! Check Just-dice FAQ!
www.myFreeClams.com
legendary
Activity: 1717
Merit: 1125
Seuntjie DiceBot Update:

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  fixed charts
  added bet verification algorithms for other sites and fixed JDs.
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