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It all averages out in the end. It's nice to get excited seeing 180% luck or whatever but you then expect that you aren't gunna be hitting again for a while. I believe a part of this is why this pool is set up on the 5rnd reward system really to stop the luck jumpers. It's not roulette, there is no wonky table with a scewed lucky result. Just grab ur pick axes and stick with the gang for the bants n gold.
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What the 5Nd does is reduce variance.
Instead of each share averaging getting one payout per block, they average to get 1/5 payout for 5 blocks.
Thus if over the next 5Nd after a share is submitted, we find 5 blocks, then the share will be rewarded it's expected value.
Variance on 5 blocks in 5Nd is of course lower than 1 block in 1Nd
The statistically expected effect of 5Nd on long term miners is the same as the expected effect on hoppers.
The perceived effect on hoppers is that you are less likely to miss getting a reward since your hop mining is still spread out over 5Nd.
Of course it doesn't mean you expect to get more reward, just less often get 'no reward' for shares submitted when hopping.
If the 5Nd was instead 1Nd, when you hop you still expect the same reward, but more often you'll get no reward, but conversely more often you'll get a higher than expected reward.
It still all averages out.
... and you can't game it
