Topic: KanoPool kano.is lowest 0.9% fee 🐈 since 2014 - Worldwide - 2432 blocks - page 762. (Read 5352367 times)

I think your math is correct. Though probability has no memory, the chance of having 2 of 1 in 2000 so closely (within 4) is 1 out of million.
The question is with increased hash rate this pool gets more bad luck and is supposed to be less variance.
It will be great if we can find the issue. Otherwise we can just blame bad luck.

Meanwhile, I've requested the big rentals to stop mining for the time being so the hash rate is back down to mostly just direct hardware now.

I have also moved my miners for the time being, would love to return when everything is back to normal.
I can honestly say the last 2 months have been very steep roller coasters.
This problem didn't exist 3-4 months ago... has to be some bug somewhere!

SOME ONE GET THAT BUG SPRAY!!!! LETS GET THIS BUG OUT OF HERE!

definitely a plus
this is why i like this pool you actually got some to talk to and answer your questions
specilly when you are a noob

Yeah the problem is that you can't actually use the result of that calculation.
Statistics requires impartiality.

Selecting a range of data, specifically based on the results: the first and last being the worst possible values, invalidates the statistical analysis.

As you will see on the web site, there is no CDF[Erl] of data that defines a set of data based on the results of that data, since that isn't valid.
The boundaries are all unrelated to the results -> months, or a specific number of blocks.

Last chicken going to chopping block. The rooster! I’m all in.

The fact that we had 2 good blocks between 2 devilblocks must change the "1 in 4000000" chance, but that´s above my pay-grade.

I remember some years ago when slush pool had a several month long streak with really bad luck, but as i remember it they found out it was some bug cousing it
.


This is maybe just bad luck but how big is the chance of getting 2 devilblocks so close to each other ? Or should I see it as every new block is a new block and what happened before doesnt matter at all ?

Just for fun, I pointed all my other miners here too -only a couple dozen TH, but I hope it brings some luck (and I love its lower fees than other pools.)

Let's hope things change for the better kano-san! 

Well, just in case anyone gets upset about me not posting, here's a post

I know enough of the (non-rental) pool hash rate to know it's not a miner causing it, and I'm also looking into this from a few angles to make sure everything is running correctly.

With half the hash rate rental and the other half miners, and the fact that we broke the last long block with a rental, it does leave it all in the realms of the most likely answer being that it is simply just bad luck.
There's been no changes to the mining part of the pool code since I added the 🐈 to the coinbase (and only one massive change before that in the past year to include segwit and fix a 100% crash condition in the code)
I did of course (in both cases) test the code and make sure it did produce valid blocks, so unless there's some bug hiding there in the mining part of the code for months of finding blocks, I can assume it's all OK on that front (though I am checking things on that front as well of course)

The majority of the big miners are still around and that's what matters to keep the pool hash rate up, so anyone with theories about me causing it, that I've seen posted ... well ... yeah I'm not sure why I'd want the pool, that I've spent more than 3 years connected to it 24/7 every single day (except when some damn planes don't have working satellite wifi), to crash and burn ... ... ...

A big factor is difficulty. But it seems that more hashrate didn't bring good luck or less variance, especially with 2 very bad luck (~800%) out of 5. Some bigger pools (found at https://btc.com/) seem to have less variance in luck even within last 3 days. It seems less hashrate had less variance for this pool.

Other pools did also grown 10% ~ 20% extra hashrate within last 2 weeks

We are on page 1492. Columbus stumbled across America. Hell we should be able to find block. 

From my observation our luck got really good when some miners had to shut down for the hurricane. It also got really good when Labrador had some electricity issues a few weeks back and was offline. I don't know anything about code, but could to much hashrate cause it not to be efficient? You threw a ton of hashrate at it and only got 3 blocks for the effort. I know a year makes a big difference, but 70 blocks at 33.55Phs last November. Math is not adding up, so lets think outside the box.

I'll answer that...no, Core doesn't affect finding blocks. It's your wallet, or if you're running a full node, you're helping process the mempool (the way I understand it). That's not mining.

Anyway...I've been running a full node for a long time, and have been running 15.0.1 with no issues.

Mine on!

Another dead chicken.  I have only two left and the wife is getting pissed I'm killing all our chickens!   One more chicken boys......

I'm out...
So sorry, but it's way too red here.
I'm no hopper, but what we need here is ? yes luck!
Wish all of you here: be on the lucky side of life/pool

Looks like we got paid for the last three blocks though within the past 24 hours, that's good to see. 

Granted.  Also, on average, it's supposed to be more than one block found a day too.

M