In order to speculate, we need to have proper knowledge about the market. That comes from learning and experiments. But that's a long process. For that reason, we stick to the old methods that people have come up with in the past. This is the reason why we can not get a 100% accurate results on our prediction. But as the process are somewhat similar to the new market movements, it is predictable at some extent. Learning this is crucial for any newbie trader. This will help you understand the market in depth. If the future, it will also help us to come up with our own strategy.
I think you should be studying and learning to be a good thing and that doesn't mean that it would be a good thing in the end and I believe that we should be considering this as a combined thing. After you became that good, it is not going to be that simple to actually make a profit, because in the end you are going to lose something anyway, and that will be a trouble. So be ready and be lucky at the same time and you should be doing fine, them together is a great feeling without a doubt.