Author

Topic: [LABCOIN] IPO [BTCT.CO] - Details/FAQ and Discussion (ASIC dev/sales/mining) - page 204. (Read 1079974 times)

full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
They've stated that they plan on bringing 500 Th/s online by the end of the year. That is a valid possibility. If they did and they controlled 5% of the network, then the network hash rate would be 10 Ph/s. I think it's more likely that Labcoin will have 500 Th/s online than the network will be at 10 Ph/s by the end of the year. If the network was at 5 Ph/s then LC would need 250 Th/s. If they get their problems sorted and hit their targets they'll have around 200 Th/s in November.

They'd still need to keep up with that, though.  Right now they can't even keep their rank on btcguild.
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1004
Anyway what's happening with the payments drying up

Drying up? Can you elaborate? At least every hour the payment is sent to their wallet..

That link shows the last payment was almost 4 hours ago.
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1004
Your own calculations show that @1% of the network, Labcoin is worth .002 per share @ 50% APR.

What calculations would they be?

But, as you can see, the market does not value securities like that.  They can only be valued based on what they are actually achieving, and in the case of Labcoin, they are underachieving and over promising.  AM is the exact opposite.

It clearly does, otherwise you wouldn't be claiming they're overpriced and the shares would be selling for what you claim they're worth. What about before they started hashing? Were shares worth 0?

no, not a chance.  They will be lucky to reach 1% by the end of the year.   They have failed to meet any of their hashing goals, so I don't know why anyone would assume that they would meet a lofty goal like 5% of the network within a few months.

If they reach 1% by the beginning of Nov, they MIGHT be able to achieve 3% by the end of the year, but that's a big MIGHT.

They've stated that they plan on bringing 500 Th/s online by the end of the year. That is a valid possibility. If they did and they controlled 5% of the network, then the network hash rate would be 10 Ph/s. I think it's more likely that Labcoin will have 500 Th/s online than the network will be at 10 Ph/s by the end of the year. If the network was at 5 Ph/s then LC would need 250 Th/s. If they get their problems sorted and hit their targets they'll have around 200 Th/s in November.

That's their plan and it certainly a possibility, to claim otherwise is just silly. Sure there are risks, that's why the price is not more than 0.06 BTC/share already.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1026
Anyway what's happening with the payments drying up

Drying up? Can you elaborate? At least every hour the payment is sent to their wallet..
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
newbie
Activity: 40
Merit: 0
Wish the divs came last week before all the problems with BTCT  Embarrassed I want a new home for my Labcoin shares
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Yay.. Div pay Smiley

I'm happy.

Hope they keep up.
legendary
Activity: 1025
Merit: 1000

The market does not place value on what is promised


It certainly does.
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
Would you agree that LC has the potential to control 5% of the network by the end of the year?

You mean, if they do an armed robbery on Cointerra's assembly house? No, not even then.
Them getting 400TH or 100000 of their mystery 130nm chips up and running and burning through at least  1.5MW?  Then double that every month for a few months?
Nah, dont see that happening either.



legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1808
Exchange Bitcoin quickly-https://blockchain.com.do
Anyway what's happening with the payments drying up
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
I think a security that currently has 0.06% of the network and plans on greatly increasing their network share to around 5% by the end of the year has a lot of potential. People recognise and value that potential.

With AM at 1.68 BTC/share, if LC was equally as profitable, it would be worth 0.0672 BTC per share.
AM has produced 250+ TH and has been in operation for over a year. 
Labcoin has produced .8 TH and is currently behind schedule. 
There is no way you can compare them like that.

Your own calculations show that @1% of the network, Labcoin is worth .002 per share @ 50% APR. Labcoin currently has less than .06% of the network.  That puts their value at .00012 per share (best case scenario).  At their current situation, they certainly don't deserve 50% APR.

The market does not place value on what is promised, especially with securities, like Labcoin, that have failed to meet their promises.  AM plans to launch 500 TH/s in OCTOBER.  They plan to sell most of that, bringing in at least another 50K-100K btc in revenue for the next 8 weeks. By your reasoning, AM is severely UNDERVALUED, because of what they promise to do.

But, as you can see, the market does not value securities like that.  They can only be valued based on what they are actually achieving, and in the case of Labcoin, they are underachieving and over promising.  AM is the exact opposite.

Would you agree that LC has the potential to control 5% of the network by the end of the year?
no, not a chance.  They will be lucky to reach 1% by the end of the year.   They have failed to meet any of their hashing goals, so I don't know why anyone would assume that they would meet a lofty goal like 5% of the network within a few months.

If they reach 1% by the beginning of Nov, they MIGHT be able to achieve 3% by the end of the year, but that's a big MIGHT.

I appreciate that you can't disagree with my math, but it's misleading to try and compare value of a mature mining company who has delivered hundreds of TH to one that hasn't delivered anything (and has repeatedly lied, missed deadlines, misled shareholders and broken dozens of promises).
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1004
Where is the maths to support your statement?

Once you show us this maths of yours, you can also use it to show us how much AM is worth based on its dividends.
where have you been?  I posted that shit several pages ago.

But here it goes again, just for you:
Dividend Per share:  0.00000146 BTC
26 of those a year: ~.0000365
@ 50% APR (very generous), that's a share value of .000073

at double those earnings - .000146/share, triple - .000219/share

So, as you can see, even if we give them a lot of room and triple their current revenue, they are still worth an order of magnitude less than anyone around here is claiming.

Do you think a security that has less than .06% of the network should be valued more?

Even if they get that 20 TH/s up in the next 10 days (highly unlikely), they'll be worth ~.002 per share BY YOUR OWN CALCULATIONS (1% of network = .002/share)

AM's last div was 0.00967485, so .5 per year.  @ 30% APR, that's ~1.68 per share,  (which was their price before the BTCT fiasco yesterday).  AM has followed the 30% APR relationship for a while, now.  But when they were new, those APR were 70+%.

I think a security that currently has 0.06% of the network and plans on greatly increasing their network share to around 5% by the end of the year has a lot of potential. People recognise and value that potential.

With AM at 1.68 BTC/share, if LC was equally as profitable, it would be worth 0.0672 BTC per share.

400,000 AM shares
10,000,000 LC shares
10,000,000 / 400,000 = 25

AM share price = 1.68 BTC/share
LC share price = 1.68 / 25 = 0.0672 BTC/share

AM had around 5%-6% of the network at the time according to asicminercharts.com. So if LC controlled 5% of the network would you agree that it would be worth around 0.06 BTC/share?

Would you agree that LC has the potential to control 5% of the network by the end of the year?
hero member
Activity: 486
Merit: 500
Another update would be nice
hero member
Activity: 709
Merit: 500
Gridcoin Foundation
velacreations you are boring...
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Yay dividends! But why aren't they hashing??
They might be hashing under a different name, or they're testing something. The recent payments on blockchain seem to indicate they're still hashing at the same rate as before they were removed from the list. Weird.

They are hashing, It's just not showing up because they're less then 640Gh/s and their rank is less then 25.  Probably they're at #26 or 27.

Perhaps more hardware issues or something.
sr. member
Activity: 560
Merit: 250
do you guys remember this from page 1 of this thread: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/labcoin-ipo-btctco-detailsfaq-and-discussion-asic-devsalesmining-263445



Now, granted, this week LC saw more than just mining revenue, but that won't last.


WHY ARE YOU STILL HERE?
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
do you guys remember this from page 1 of this thread: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/labcoin-ipo-btctco-detailsfaq-and-discussion-asic-devsalesmining-263445



Now, granted, this week LC saw more than just mining revenue, but that won't last.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1808
Exchange Bitcoin quickly-https://blockchain.com.do
so, I'll ask again, where is the math that shows Labcoin is undervalued?  The math clearly shows them to be severely overvalued.

so what is the story with you? I'm interested to know why you are such an angry little Internet warrior
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
so, I'll ask again, where is the math that shows Labcoin is undervalued?  The math clearly shows them to be severely overvalued.

So you're basing it solely on the fact you want to make back in dividends what you paid for the share within a year? Wasn't satoshi dice shares set at ~$1 USD and went up to over $400 USD?..

You cant value a company because you want to make 5X your investment in dividends.. Right now Microsoft stocks sit at $32.49 and pay out $0.28 per share 4 times a year.. Based off your calculations they should be paying $8 per share per quarter.

So, let me ask you this.  What would be the value of a company that has produced 250+ TH of ASIC mining equipment?  And then, using your same analysis, what is the value of a company that has produced .8 TH?

Things work a bit differently in the bitcoin world. You cant compare Microsoft or Apple to AsicMiner and/or Labcoin.  Maybe after the economy has matured, you might be able to do that.
Jump to: