I still believe in the "supercycle". Just want to say it here to prove how delusional I am.
But I really do. I think we are
very close to a point where money begins to flee to the stability of Bitcoin, when a critical mass of people will see that even when the price is oscillating people who store wealth in BTC will, over a medium sized window of time, protect their value at the price of (lessening) volatility.
And at some point we tip over into a race into the asset.
The hard part is what does
"very close to a point" mean in a global sized, human lifetime duration event? I don't know... in retrospect from today "really close" will easily be somewhere between 6 months and 10-20 years. Very short periods of time if we are looking back on when it happened.
For example I think we are probably going to enter a worldwide depression that will at LEAST last 10 years, if not a quarter century. And it may just be Bitcoin that shortens that macro cycle.
My bet is STILL on the sooner side... I think within 1 bitcoin cycle. A deterministic Poisson distribution just like finding blocks. Always 10m out? Always 4 years out.
Supercycle. Sooner rather than later. Feel free to remind me if I am wrong and we are still just creeping up in 4 year spurts 25 years from now... because you know I will be dancing around when I am right (and that should ONLY take about 4!)!