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Topic: Martingale for win, my own experience (Read 1194 times)

sr. member
Activity: 980
Merit: 255
August 26, 2018, 11:11:23 AM
Martingale will never work in the long term, neither in the short term I will think. There will always be that advantage to the house that will make them win sooner or later. Once you lose 5 time there is so much risk to just win a few bucks. Not fun either, I have way more fun playing BlackJack or Roulette. Try some different things because this method doesnt work, sooner or later you will hit a big losing streak.
And that is another problem of martingale it escalates very quickly and you need to bet more and more just to recover your money, if you bet one dollar as your base bet after losing 5 times you are risking 16 dollars just to get one dollar back, it is a system that puts more and more money at risk and while you could get your money back most of the time but the one time you don't will break you, and this applies to all games that have a negative EV, like roulette, craps, dice or sports bets.
jr. member
Activity: 270
Merit: 1
August 21, 2018, 07:36:22 PM
I guess that you cannot always win with your martingale strategy because of it still difficult to get this strategies works in a long time no matter you can master the strategies. maybe martingale is work in the short time only and for a long time, I think you need to make another strategy so you can still win in the game. I hope that you can control yourself and not spend too much money if you decide to play in all day long.

Martingale will work if :
1. We have an unlimited balance
2. The casino has no max profit rule, means we can bet with whatever amount we want.

And I guess, those two conditions will be impossible to achieve and that is why I considered martingale isn't the perfect strategy in gambling. It can work if we are lucky enough and know how to stop, otherwise it will fail.
Otherwise, it is not possible for everyone to win bets with the help of this strategy. I highly support your both conditions and everyone knows none of them is possible. So basically, if someone wins a good amount with martingale then definitely it was his luck. Ultimately, gambling is a game of luck and pure luck only. Random games cannot be won by any strategy.
If you know when to stop in a martingale strategy you won't be broke. Indeed it is definitely luck you need in gambling even if you have strategy working for you, it is not enough because it is gambling.
member
Activity: 392
Merit: 39
August 21, 2018, 05:50:10 AM

-snip-

I don't want to advocate martingale strategy but for fairness' sake I must say that it can make you a fortune in some scenarios, and here's how. The thing is that sometimes you win your first bet, and the second one, and the third one. When using an automated betting on a dice site with good speed it can bring you $3 per second in the best case scenario, and $1 per second on average. With $256 bankroll you can safely afford 7 reds in a row and it is possible that in a time span, say, of 20 minutes you won't hit 8 reds in a row playing with 49.5% win chance. Thus you can make over $1k in 20 minutes. There were numerous examples of that and that's why this strategy is so attractive. If gamblers were only losing with martingale, this strategy would be forgotten long time ago and we wouldn't be discussing it here.

That being said, it is not improbable that you will lose your $256 during the first five seconds, and it most likely that you will lose everything with thousands and thousands of bets.

Well, for fairness sake, if one must risk all one's bank roll - well, just let one do exactly that. Betting all one's bankroll and starting with 256$ one needs to win only twice to get over 1k. I didn't calculate the odds for both but I bet they are much better than achieving the same with martingales.


No, they are not. In fact, they are absolutely the same. Depending on the House Edge, on a provably fair site, your odds of doubling you bankroll are always the same regardless of what strategy you are using. Say, if the house edge is 1%, then the probability of that is 49.5%; if the house edge is 5% then it's 47.50% and so on. Consequently, the probability of quadrupling your bankroll is 24.75% in the former case, and 23.75% in the latter. You can do martingale for 20 minutes, or you can go all in at once with 25% win chance, it doesn't matter. The probability of increasing your bankroll fourfold (or xfold) is always the same on the same site.
Well I salute your mathematical intuition because on the second thought: you must be right saying that the probabilities are equal. Thanks I will incorporate that into my intuition too Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 616
Merit: 256
August 21, 2018, 02:46:02 AM
Gambling is a game of luck some strategies work and some strategies won't and it vary from player to player so sometimes martingale's strategy work for you but if you do it habitually the system might detect your behaviour and  it randomly select a winning strategy that might end up of losing your game. the gambling house is always for the win in any means.
member
Activity: 332
Merit: 12
August 21, 2018, 02:07:12 AM
I guess that you cannot always win with your martingale strategy because of it still difficult to get this strategies works in a long time no matter you can master the strategies. maybe martingale is work in the short time only and for a long time, I think you need to make another strategy so you can still win in the game. I hope that you can control yourself and not spend too much money if you decide to play in all day long.

Martingale will work if :
1. We have an unlimited balance
2. The casino has no max profit rule, means we can bet with whatever amount we want.

And I guess, those two conditions will be impossible to achieve and that is why I considered martingale isn't the perfect strategy in gambling. It can work if we are lucky enough and know how to stop, otherwise it will fail.
Otherwise, it is not possible for everyone to win bets with the help of this strategy. I highly support your both conditions and everyone knows none of them is possible. So basically, if someone wins a good amount with martingale then definitely it was his luck. Ultimately, gambling is a game of luck and pure luck only. Random games cannot be won by any strategy.
full member
Activity: 295
Merit: 100
August 18, 2018, 03:25:04 PM
Martingale will never work in the long term, neither in the short term I will think. There will always be that advantage to the house that will make them win sooner or later. Once you lose 5 time there is so much risk to just win a few bucks. Not fun either, I have way more fun playing BlackJack or Roulette. Try some different things because this method doesnt work, sooner or later you will hit a big losing streak.
member
Activity: 322
Merit: 43
August 18, 2018, 01:11:01 PM



For some games it won't work that way without any experience and luck, you'll need your experiences in some gambling games before you make a living with the martingale strategy. It will takes some years of gambling for some people to literally use gambling as a way of their living which makes them a good profit in the future.

you'll need your experiences in some gambling games before you make a living with the martingale strategy.

That was a hilarious post.
sr. member
Activity: 2506
Merit: 368
August 18, 2018, 01:04:01 PM
Many people here saying that martingale is not good but, one way or other we tried this strategy at least one. I have not good experience with the strategy. Anyway, in the long run no strategy is safe. Some might get lucky to make a fortune from it, some don't. Happy for this guy.
It does not work and even if it did it would NOT give you a fortune. You get one dollar back risking all your money each time, because if the strategy fails it means you ran out of money.

Have a look at this example:
  • Say, you loose 1$, so you now stake 2$. You already lost 1$, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • Next you loose those 2$, and you now stake 4$. You already lost 3$ total, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • Next you loose those 4$, and you now stake 8$. You already lost 7$ total, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • Next you loose those 8$, and you now stake 16$. You already lost 15$ total, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • and so on

As you can see, even assuming the strategy doesn't break (=you run out of money = total bankruptsy) you risk all your money to win one dollar back. How can that make you a fortune Huh

[Post was edited to remove ambiguity]

Well said. I totally agree with you. I didn't say martingale is a sure win. What i was trying to convey was, I am happy for this guy and he did made some profit using this strategy.
and about making a fortune from this strategy, If a highroller bets with big amount and he somehow managed to get winning bet after two or three loses for some time then, he would definitely make some fortune from it.. (Even it sounds unbelievable, it's probable right) .
For some games it won't work that way without any experience and luck, you'll need your experiences in some gambling games before you make a living with the martingale strategy. It will takes some years of gambling for some people to literally use gambling as a way of their living which makes them a good profit in the future.
member
Activity: 322
Merit: 43
August 18, 2018, 12:20:57 PM
Just to the guys who think you cannot lose using martingale in the short term, just two weeks ago there was horse winning a race, traded at 1000/1 on Betfair before the race started > https://www.racingpost.com/news/in-running-carnage-as-125-1-shot-feel-glorious-stuns-goodwood/341070


Quote
Feel Glorious was matched for £249 at the maximum 1,000 on Betfair

Feel Glorious, who had been comfortably beaten in novice contests at Brighton and Kempton, was matched for £249 at the maximum 1,000 on Betfair, with the large majority traded before the race.

Runner-up Alhakmah, who was sent off at 4-1, ran an extraordinary race, also trading at 1,000 before crashing to a low of 1.03 when flying home.

Ridden in mid-division, Feel Glorious stayed on strongly to hit the front 100 yards out under Pat Cosgrave and stuck her neck out well to deny Alhakmah.


Betfair's Barry Orr said: "Glorious Goodwood is always a massive betting event and, as far as I'm aware, the £249 that was matched pre-race on Feel Glorious at Betfair’s ceiling price of 1,000 is a record for the Exchange."
hero member
Activity: 1246
Merit: 529
CryptoTalk.Org - Get Paid for every Post!
August 18, 2018, 11:24:53 AM
I guess that you cannot always win with your martingale strategy because of it still difficult to get this strategies works in a long time no matter you can master the strategies. maybe martingale is work in the short time only and for a long time, I think you need to make another strategy so you can still win in the game. I hope that you can control yourself and not spend too much money if you decide to play in all day long.

Martingale will work if :
1. We have an unlimited balance
2. The casino has no max profit rule, means we can bet with whatever amount we want.

And I guess, those two conditions will be impossible to achieve and that is why I considered martingale isn't the perfect strategy in gambling. It can work if we are lucky enough and know how to stop, otherwise it will fail.

It isn't the perfect strayegy yes, though it probably is the most efficient for dice given that you have a pretty big capital. And i don't think there's really any fool proof way to win in dice, whatever strategy you use unless you're extremely lucky.
legendary
Activity: 3500
Merit: 2246
🌀 Cosmic Casino
August 18, 2018, 06:38:48 AM
Many people here saying that martingale is not good but, one way or other we tried this strategy at least one. I have not good experience with the strategy. Anyway, in the long run no strategy is safe. Some might get lucky to make a fortune from it, some don't. Happy for this guy.
It does not work and even if it did it would NOT give you a fortune. You get one dollar back risking all your money each time, because if the strategy fails it means you ran out of money.

Have a look at this example:
  • Say, you loose 1$, so you now stake 2$. You already lost 1$, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • Next you loose those 2$, and you now stake 4$. You already lost 3$ total, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • Next you loose those 4$, and you now stake 8$. You already lost 7$ total, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • Next you loose those 8$, and you now stake 16$. You already lost 15$ total, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • and so on

As you can see, even assuming the strategy doesn't break (=you run out of money = total bankruptsy) you risk all your money to win one dollar back. How can that make you a fortune Huh

[Post was edited to remove ambiguity]

I don't want to advocate martingale strategy but for fairness' sake I must say that it can make you a fortune in some scenarios, and here's how. The thing is that sometimes you win your first bet, and the second one, and the third one. When using an automated betting on a dice site with good speed it can bring you $3 per second in the best case scenario, and $1 per second on average. With $256 bankroll you can safely afford 7 reds in a row and it is possible that in a time span, say, of 20 minutes you won't hit 8 reds in a row playing with 49.5% win chance. Thus you can make over $1k in 20 minutes. There were numerous examples of that and that's why this strategy is so attractive. If gamblers were only losing with martingale, this strategy would be forgotten long time ago and we wouldn't be discussing it here.

That being said, it is not improbable that you will lose your $256 during the first five seconds, and it most likely that you will lose everything with thousands and thousands of bets.

Well, for fairness sake, if one must risk all one's bank roll - well, just let one do exactly that. Betting all one's bankroll and starting with 256$ one needs to win only twice to get over 1k. I didn't calculate the odds for both but I bet they are much better than achieving the same with martingales.


No, they are not. In fact, they are absolutely the same. Depending on the House Edge, on a provably fair site, your odds of doubling you bankroll are always the same regardless of what strategy you are using. Say, if the house edge is 1%, then the probability of that is 49.5%; if the house edge is 5% then it's 47.50% and so on. Consequently, the probability of quadrupling your bankroll is 24.75% in the former case, and 23.75% in the latter. You can do martingale for 20 minutes, or you can go all in at once with 25% win chance, it doesn't matter. The probability of increasing your bankroll fourfold (or xfold) is always the same on the same site.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1000
August 17, 2018, 03:37:38 AM
I guess that you cannot always win with your martingale strategy because of it still difficult to get this strategies works in a long time no matter you can master the strategies. maybe martingale is work in the short time only and for a long time, I think you need to make another strategy so you can still win in the game. I hope that you can control yourself and not spend too much money if you decide to play in all day long.

Martingale will work if :
1. We have an unlimited balance
2. The casino has no max profit rule, means we can bet with whatever amount we want.

And I guess, those two conditions will be impossible to achieve and that is why I considered martingale isn't the perfect strategy in gambling. It can work if we are lucky enough and know how to stop, otherwise it will fail.
member
Activity: 392
Merit: 39
August 17, 2018, 03:20:44 AM
Many people here saying that martingale is not good but, one way or other we tried this strategy at least one. I have not good experience with the strategy. Anyway, in the long run no strategy is safe. Some might get lucky to make a fortune from it, some don't. Happy for this guy.
It does not work and even if it did it would NOT give you a fortune. You get one dollar back risking all your money each time, because if the strategy fails it means you ran out of money.

Have a look at this example:
  • Say, you loose 1$, so you now stake 2$. You already lost 1$, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • Next you loose those 2$, and you now stake 4$. You already lost 3$ total, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • Next you loose those 4$, and you now stake 8$. You already lost 7$ total, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • Next you loose those 8$, and you now stake 16$. You already lost 15$ total, and you have a chance to win 1$ profit.
  • and so on

As you can see, even assuming the strategy doesn't break (=you run out of money = total bankruptsy) you risk all your money to win one dollar back. How can that make you a fortune Huh

[Post was edited to remove ambiguity]

I don't want to advocate martingale strategy but for fairness' sake I must say that it can make you a fortune in some scenarios, and here's how. The thing is that sometimes you win your first bet, and the second one, and the third one. When using an automated betting on a dice site with good speed it can bring you $3 per second in the best case scenario, and $1 per second on average. With $256 bankroll you can safely afford 7 reds in a row and it is possible that in a time span, say, of 20 minutes you won't hit 8 reds in a row playing with 49.5% win chance. Thus you can make over $1k in 20 minutes. There were numerous examples of that and that's why this strategy is so attractive. If gamblers were only losing with martingale, this strategy would be forgotten long time ago and we wouldn't be discussing it here.

That being said, it is not improbable that you will lose your $256 during the first five seconds, and it most likely that you will lose everything with thousands and thousands of bets.

Well, for fairness sake, if one must risk all one's bank roll - well, just let one do exactly that. Betting all one's bankroll and starting with 256$ one needs to win only twice to get over 1k. I didn't calculate the odds for both but I bet they are much better than achieving the same with martingales.
hero member
Activity: 2912
Merit: 541
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 17, 2018, 02:43:12 AM
I guess that you cannot always win with your martingale strategy because of it still difficult to get this strategies works in a long time no matter you can master the strategies. maybe martingale is work in the short time only and for a long time, I think you need to make another strategy so you can still win in the game. I hope that you can control yourself and not spend too much money if you decide to play in all day long.
hero member
Activity: 1139
Merit: 500
August 16, 2018, 10:03:23 PM
You martingale for a short period of time and few bets try more and Lets see if you'll get the same result as positive profit. But if you do that you must have a big amount of balance to cover your continous losses during martingale. And don't forget martingales work not only for you they works for website as well.
If the site is provably fair, martingale will not work, what happens is just pure coincidence. Martingale is not a loop hole that applies to all dice or online casino site. Its nothing but a glorified strategy that some claims works for them but didn't make them rich at the end of the day because if it is true and working, how come they are still playing and using the so called strategy?
It's coincidence with the hint of luck. It's really just that, the martingale is awesome, but if you do it too much and play for a long time, you are going to lose it. There are reports about it, and it wouldn't really work. In the end, it's just for the entertainment and "hoping" that it could work and we all should know that it's not the Holy Grail.
That's reality to always possibly will happen when we played too much and not even thinking the negative results. Martingale was so good, but you need to control yourselves so that you won't be losing your bets. If you see it not profitable for the main time don't rush it all, because there's another chance and you can come back for the other days.
copper member
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1280
https://linktr.ee/crwthopia
August 16, 2018, 08:15:55 PM
You martingale for a short period of time and few bets try more and Lets see if you'll get the same result as positive profit. But if you do that you must have a big amount of balance to cover your continous losses during martingale. And don't forget martingales work not only for you they works for website as well.
If the site is provably fair, martingale will not work, what happens is just pure coincidence. Martingale is not a loop hole that applies to all dice or online casino site. Its nothing but a glorified strategy that some claims works for them but didn't make them rich at the end of the day because if it is true and working, how come they are still playing and using the so called strategy?
It's coincidence with the hint of luck. It's really just that, the martingale is awesome, but if you do it too much and play for a long time, you are going to lose it. There are reports about it, and it wouldn't really work. In the end, it's just for the entertainment and "hoping" that it could work and we all should know that it's not the Holy Grail.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1036
August 16, 2018, 05:17:57 PM
You martingale for a short period of time and few bets try more and Lets see if you'll get the same result as positive profit. But if you do that you must have a big amount of balance to cover your continous losses during martingale. And don't forget martingales work not only for you they works for website as well.
If the site is provably fair, martingale will not work, what happens is just pure coincidence. Martingale is not a loop hole that applies to all dice or online casino site. Its nothing but a glorified strategy that some claims works for them but didn't make them rich at the end of the day because if it is true and working, how come they are still playing and using the so called strategy?
copper member
Activity: 224
Merit: 0
August 16, 2018, 05:04:55 PM
You martingale for a short period of time and few bets try more and Lets see if you'll get the same result as positive profit. But if you do that you must have a big amount of balance to cover your continous losses during martingale. And don't forget martingales work not only for you they works for website as well.

Well there are always other martingale based strategies, just need to calculate some of them Cheesy
Indeed, calculation is aslo good idea but you cannot often calculate and sometimes your calculations aren't go right cause of house edge Tongue
member
Activity: 2464
Merit: 57
Primedice.com & Stake.com
August 16, 2018, 03:33:07 PM
You martingale for a short period of time and few bets try more and Lets see if you'll get the same result as positive profit. But if you do that you must have a big amount of balance to cover your continous losses during martingale. And don't forget martingales work not only for you they works for website as well.

Well there are always other martingale based strategies, just need to calculate some of them Cheesy
copper member
Activity: 224
Merit: 0
August 16, 2018, 01:30:27 PM
You martingale for a short period of time and few bets try more and Lets see if you'll get the same result as positive profit. But if you do that you must have a big amount of balance to cover your continous losses during martingale. And don't forget martingales work not only for you they works for website as well.
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